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      • August 5, 2025
      • Article

      Data-driven Equation Discovery Reveals Nonlinear Reinforcement Learning in Humans

      By: Kyle J. LaFollette, Janni Yuval, Roey Schurr, David Melnikoff and Amit Goldenberg
      Computational models of reinforcement learning (RL) have significantly contributed to our understanding of human behavior and decision-making. Traditional RL models, however, often adopt a linear approach to updating reward expectations, potentially oversimplifying the... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Behavior; Learning; Motivation and Incentives; Mathematical Methods
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      LaFollette, Kyle J., Janni Yuval, Roey Schurr, David Melnikoff, and Amit Goldenberg. "Data-driven Equation Discovery Reveals Nonlinear Reinforcement Learning in Humans." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 122, no. 31 (August 5, 2025).
      • 2025
      • Article

      Difference-in-Differences Subset Scan

      By: Will Stamey, Sriram Somanchi and Edward McFowland III
      Difference-in-differences (DiD) has been extensively applied in the literature to elicit the average causal effect of an intervention or policy. Though researchers explore heterogeneity in the treatment effect with respect to time or some observed covariate (usually... View Details
      Keywords: Research; Analytics and Data Science
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      Stamey, Will, Sriram Somanchi, and Edward McFowland III. "Difference-in-Differences Subset Scan." Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining 31st (2025): 2656–2667.
      • Article

      Faith and Assimilation: Italian Immigrants in the U.S.

      By: Stefano Gagliarducci and Marco Tabellini
      How do ethnic religious organizations influence immigrant assimilation? To answer this question, we assemble novel data from the Catholic directories to measure the presence of Italian Catholic churches in the US between 1890 and 1920, when four million Italians moved... View Details
      Keywords: Assimilation; Religious Organizations; Immigration; Religion; History; United States
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      Gagliarducci, Stefano, and Marco Tabellini. "Faith and Assimilation: Italian Immigrants in the U.S." Economic Journal 135, no. 670 (August 1, 2025): 1814–1851. (Also available from NBER and featured in NBER Digest and VoxEU.)
      • July–August 2025
      • Article

      How the Busiest People Find Joy

      By: Leslie A. Perlow, Sari Mentser and Salvatore J. Affinito
      Joy, along with achievement and meaningfulness, is one of the three keys to a satisfying life. Yet it’s the missing piece for many ambitious individuals, the authors found after examining data on how nearly 2,000 professionals spend their days. Jam-packed schedules are... View Details
      Keywords: Well-being; Satisfaction; Work-Life Balance; Happiness
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      Perlow, Leslie A., Sari Mentser, and Salvatore J. Affinito. "How the Busiest People Find Joy." Harvard Business Review 103, no. 4 (July–August 2025): 135–139.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      New Economic Forces Behind the Value Distribution of Innovation

      By: Timothy F. Bresnahan, Shane Greenstein and Pai-Ling Yin
      Advances in a general-purpose technology (GPT) enable many firms to invent complementary inventions, or co-inventions, making the GPT more valuable. This study examines the empirical implications of a straightforward model in which firms choose either incremental or... View Details
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      Bresnahan, Timothy F., Shane Greenstein, and Pai-Ling Yin. "New Economic Forces Behind the Value Distribution of Innovation." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 34090, August 2025.
      • August 2025
      • Article

      Revenue Collapses and the Consumption of Small Business Owners in the COVID-19 Pandemic

      By: Olivia S. Kim, Jonathan A. Parker and Antoinette Schoar
      Using financial account data linking small businesses to their owner households, we examine how business owners’ consumption responded to changes in business revenues during the COVID-19 crisis. In the first two months following the National Emergency, business... View Details
      Keywords: Revenue; Small Business; Health Pandemics; Spending; Consumer Behavior
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      Kim, Olivia S., Jonathan A. Parker, and Antoinette Schoar. "Revenue Collapses and the Consumption of Small Business Owners in the COVID-19 Pandemic." Art. 104079. Journal of Financial Economics 170 (August 2025).
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      In Privacy We Trust: The Effect of Privacy Regulations on Data Sharing Behavior

      By: Ozge Demirci, Ayelet Israeli and Eva Ascarza
      This paper studies the impact of privacy policies on consumer data-sharing behavior, focusing on policy changes in California and Virginia that took effect in 2023. Using data from a leading customer engagement app in the United States, where users upload shopping... View Details
      Keywords: Privacy; Privacy Regulation; Data Sharing; Digital Platforms; Policy; Surveys; Behavior; Public Opinion; California; Virginia
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      Demirci, Ozge, Ayelet Israeli, and Eva Ascarza. "In Privacy We Trust: The Effect of Privacy Regulations on Data Sharing Behavior." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 26-001, July 2025.
      • July–August 2025
      • Article

      Beefing IT Up for Your Investor? Engagement with Open Source Communities, Innovation, and Startup Funding: Evidence from GitHub

      By: Annamaria Conti, Christian Peukert and Maria P. Roche
      We study the engagement of nascent firms with open source communities and its implications for innovation and attracting funding. To do so, we link data on 160,065 U.S. startups from Crunchbase to their activities on the open source software development platform... View Details
      Keywords: Startups; Knowledge; Open Source Communities; GitHub; Machine Learning; Innovation; Business Startups; Venture Capital; Information Technology; Strategy
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      Conti, Annamaria, Christian Peukert, and Maria P. Roche. "Beefing IT Up for Your Investor? Engagement with Open Source Communities, Innovation, and Startup Funding: Evidence from GitHub." Organization Science 36, no. 4 (July–August 2025): 1551–1573.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Designing Consent: Choice Architecture and Consumer Welfare in Data Sharing

      By: Chiara Farronato, Audrey Fradkin and Tesary Lin
      We study the welfare consequences of choice architecture for online privacy using a field experiment that randomizes cookie consent banners. We study three ways in which firms or policymakers can influence choices: (1) nudging users through banner design to encourage... View Details
      Keywords: Consumer Behavior; Decision Choices and Conditions; Welfare; Policy
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      Farronato, Chiara, Audrey Fradkin, and Tesary Lin. "Designing Consent: Choice Architecture and Consumer Welfare in Data Sharing." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 34025, July 2025.
      • July 2025
      • Article

      Digital Lending and Financial Well-Being: Through the Lens of Mobile Phone Data

      By: AJ Chen, Omri Even-Tov, Jung Koo Kang and Regina Wittenberg-Moerman
      To mitigate information asymmetry about borrowers in developing economies, digital lenders use machine-learning algorithms and nontraditional data from borrowers’ mobile devices. Consequently, digital lenders have managed to expand access to credit for millions of... View Details
      Keywords: Informal Economy; Digital Banking; Mobile Phones; Developing Countries and Economies; Mobile and Wireless Technology; AI and Machine Learning; Analytics and Data Science; Credit; Borrowing and Debt; Well-being; Banking Industry; Kenya
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      Chen, AJ, Omri Even-Tov, Jung Koo Kang, and Regina Wittenberg-Moerman. "Digital Lending and Financial Well-Being: Through the Lens of Mobile Phone Data." Accounting Review 100, no. 4 (July 2025): 135–159.
      • July 2025
      • Article

      On the Economic Origins of Concerns Over Women’s Chastity

      By: Anke Becker
      This paper studies the origins and function of customs and norms that intend to keep women from being promiscuous. Using large-scale survey data from more than 100 countries, I test the anthropological theory that a particular form of preindustrial... View Details
      Keywords: Infibulation; Female Sexuality; Paternity Uncertainty; Concern About Women's Chastity; Pastoralism; Economic Anthropology; History; Gender; Social Issues; Culture
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      Becker, Anke. "On the Economic Origins of Concerns Over Women’s Chastity." Review of Economic Studies 92, no. 4 (July 2025): 2303–2329.
      • June 2025
      • Case

      Parque del Sendero: Repositioning in the Death Care Industry in Chile

      By: Jill Avery, Andres Cuneo and Marco Bertini
      Facing changing consumer behavior and shifting industry conditions, Parque del Sendero, one of largest networks of cemeteries in Chile, considers repositioning its products to appeal to a broader swath of Chilean customers to fuel growth and a more profitable business... View Details
      Keywords: Consumer Behavior; Positioning; Branding; Marketing; Brands and Branding; Marketing Strategy; Service Industry; Real Estate Industry; Chile
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      Avery, Jill, Andres Cuneo, and Marco Bertini. "Parque del Sendero: Repositioning in the Death Care Industry in Chile." Harvard Business School Case 525-064, June 2025.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Productivity Beliefs and Efficiency in Science

      By: Fabio Bertolotti, Kyle R. Myers and Wei Yang Tham
      We develop a method to estimate producers’ productivity beliefs in settings where output quantities and input prices are unobservable, and we use it to evaluate allocative efficiency in the market for science. Our model of researchers’ labor supply shows that their... View Details
      Keywords: Performance Productivity; Perception; Research
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      Bertolotti, Fabio, Kyle R. Myers, and Wei Yang Tham. "Productivity Beliefs and Efficiency in Science." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-063, June 2025.
      • June 2025
      • Simulation

      Teleko: Managing Customer Retention

      By: Eva Ascarza
      Supplement to the A Case, No. 523-005. This interactive tool is designed to enhance engagement with the Managing Customer Retention at Teleko case by allowing the student to explore and analyze key data from the experiment run in July (“July... View Details
      Keywords: Algorithmic Decision Making; Simulation; Marketing Strategy; Customer Focus and Relationships; Analytics and Data Science
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      Ascarza, Eva. "Teleko: Managing Customer Retention." Harvard Business School Simulation 525-705, June 2025.
      • June 2025
      • Teaching Note

      The Miccosukee Tribe and the Battle to Save the Everglades (B): The Art of Coalition Building

      By: Rosabeth Moss Kanter and Jacob A. Small
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 325-132. Curtis Osceola, Chief of Staff to the Chairman of the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians of Florida, exercised leadership to mobilize allies, deal with opposition, and forge internal and external multi-sector coalitions to help preserve... View Details
      Keywords: Communication Strategy; Environmental Sustainability; Leadership; Projects; Alliances; Natural Environment; Power and Influence; Florida; Everglades National Park
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      Kanter, Rosabeth Moss, and Jacob A. Small. "The Miccosukee Tribe and the Battle to Save the Everglades (B): The Art of Coalition Building." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 325-139, June 2025.
      • June 2025
      • Case

      AI Wars in 2025

      By: Andy Wu and Anna Yang
      In June 2025, Google leaders in Mountain View, CA convened after its parent company Alphabet shed a quarter-trillion in market capitalization in a matter of months. The immediate spark—the quiet revelation that Google searches had dipped for the first time in 20... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Technology Adoption; Disruptive Innovation; Mission and Purpose; Business Strategy
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      Wu, Andy, and Anna Yang. "AI Wars in 2025." Harvard Business School Case 725-484, June 2025.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Cash Flow Volatility, Return Predictability and Stock Price Decompositions: Why You Should Scale Prices by Trend Cash Flows

      By: Sebastian Hillenbrand and Odhrain McCarthy
      We address two inconvenient facts in asset pricing: (i) valuation ratios are often more related to future cash flows than to returns, and (ii) they mostly fail to predict returns. We show that these issues arise because stock prices are scaled by cash flows that... View Details
      Keywords: Cash Flow; Volatility; Investment Return; Asset Pricing; Forecasting and Prediction; Valuation; Stocks
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      Hillenbrand, Sebastian, and Odhrain McCarthy. "Cash Flow Volatility, Return Predictability and Stock Price Decompositions: Why You Should Scale Prices by Trend Cash Flows." Working Paper, June 2025.
      • June 2025
      • Case

      Scale AI Scales Up

      By: Boris Groysberg and Sarah L. Abbott
      Scale AI, the data labeling and AI infrastructure company, had grown rapidly since it was founded in 2016; however, as Scale’s generative AI business was taking off, Alexandr Wang, Scale’s founder and CEO, became concerned that Scale was slowing down. Wang and the... View Details
      Keywords: Technology And Innovation Management; Entrepreneur; Managing Growth; Hiring; Generative Ai; Data Labeling; Scale; AI and Machine Learning; Entrepreneurship; Talent and Talent Management; Growth Management; Leadership; Organizational Culture; Business Startups; Selection and Staffing; Technology Industry; United States
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      Groysberg, Boris, and Sarah L. Abbott. "Scale AI Scales Up." Harvard Business School Case 425-082, June 2025.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Small Business Innovation Applied to National Needs

      By: Kyle Myers, Lauren Lanahan and Evan E. Johnson
      Small businesses have long supplied a disproportionate share of major innovations in the United States. We review a centerpiece policy on this topic: the U.S. Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program. We trace its legislative history and summarize program... View Details
      Keywords: Small Business; Innovation and Invention; Government Legislation; Entrepreneurial Finance; Business and Government Relations
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      Myers, Kyle, Lauren Lanahan, and Evan E. Johnson. "Small Business Innovation Applied to National Needs." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-062, June 2025.
      • June 2025
      • Case

      TagHive: Edtech Pricing and Distributor Decisions

      By: Isamar Troncoso, Frank V. Cespedes and Stacy Straaberg
      Education technology (edtech) company TagHive, founded in 2017, used a direct sales team and third-party distributors to sell its Class Saathi hardware and software solution to 300 clients, mainly primary and secondary schools in India. The product aimed to improve... View Details
      Keywords: Business Model; Marketing Channels; Marketing Strategy; Product Marketing; Social Marketing; Information Infrastructure; Internet and the Web; Mobile and Wireless Technology; Technology Adoption; Teaching; Price; Customer Relationship Management; Customer Satisfaction; Growth and Development; Technological Innovation; AI and Machine Learning; Applications and Software; Distribution Channels; Sales; Reputation; Education Industry; Technology Industry; India; South Korea
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      Troncoso, Isamar, Frank V. Cespedes, and Stacy Straaberg. "TagHive: Edtech Pricing and Distributor Decisions." Harvard Business School Case 525-001, June 2025.
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