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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (277)
      • Faculty Publications  (131)

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      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      In Privacy We Trust: The Effect of Privacy Regulations on Data Sharing Behavior

      By: Ozge Demirci, Ayelet Israeli and Eva Ascarza
      This paper studies the impact of privacy policies on consumer data-sharing behavior, focusing on policy changes in California and Virginia that took effect in 2023. Using data from a leading customer engagement app in the United States, where users upload shopping... View Details
      Keywords: Privacy; Privacy Regulation; Data Sharing; Digital Platforms; Policy; Surveys; Behavior; Public Opinion; California; Virginia
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      Demirci, Ozge, Ayelet Israeli, and Eva Ascarza. "In Privacy We Trust: The Effect of Privacy Regulations on Data Sharing Behavior." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 26-001, July 2025.
      • July 2025
      • Exercise

      Travelogo: Customer Segmentation Instructions

      By: Eva Ascarza
      Keywords: Algorithmic Decision Making; Marketing; Simulation; Marketing Strategy; Customer Focus and Relationships
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      Ascarza, Eva. "Travelogo: Customer Segmentation Instructions." Harvard Business School Exercise 526-702, July 2025.
      • June 2025
      • Simulation

      Teleko: Managing Customer Retention

      By: Eva Ascarza
      Supplement to the A Case, No. 523-005. This interactive tool is designed to enhance engagement with the Managing Customer Retention at Teleko case by allowing the student to explore and analyze key data from the experiment run in July (“July... View Details
      Keywords: Algorithmic Decision Making; Simulation; Marketing Strategy; Customer Focus and Relationships; Analytics and Data Science
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      Ascarza, Eva. "Teleko: Managing Customer Retention." Harvard Business School Simulation 525-705, June 2025.
      • June 2025
      • Simulation

      Travelogo: Customer Segmentation

      By: Eva Ascarza and Noah Ahmadi
      This interactive tool is designed to enhance engagement with the Travelogo: Understanding Customer Journeys case by allowing the student to explore the company's data. Through this tool, the student can examine the variables used for segmentation, analyze the resulting... View Details
      Keywords: Algorithmic Decision Making; Simulation; Marketing Strategy; Customer Focus and Relationships; Analytics and Data Science; Segmentation
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      Ascarza, Eva, and Noah Ahmadi. "Travelogo: Customer Segmentation." Harvard Business School Simulation 525-706, June 2025.
      • April 2025
      • Teaching Note

      Tabby: Winning Customers' Digital Wallets

      By: Eva Ascarza
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 524-056. Tabby, a Saudi-based fintech founded in 2019, rapidly became one of the MENA region’s first unicorns by offering buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) services with a unique twist: instead of charging end consumers, it partnered with... View Details
      Keywords: Fintech; Business Startups; Marketing; Entrepreneurship; Growth and Development Strategy; Business Strategy; Business Model; Competitive Strategy; Financial Services Industry; Middle East; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates
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      Ascarza, Eva. "Tabby: Winning Customers' Digital Wallets." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 525-057, April 2025.
      • March 2025
      • Teaching Note

      Unintended Consequences of Algorithmic Personalization

      By: Ayelet Israeli and Eva Ascarza
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 524-052. View Details
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      Israeli, Ayelet, and Eva Ascarza. "Unintended Consequences of Algorithmic Personalization." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 525-046, March 2025.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Dynamic Personalization with Multiple Customer Signals: Multi-Response State Representation in Reinforcement Learning

      By: Liangzong Ma, Ta-Wei Huang, Eva Ascarza and Ayelet Israeli
      Reinforcement learning (RL) offers potential for optimizing sequences of customer interactions by modeling the relationships between customer states, company actions, and long-term value. However, its practical implementation often faces significant challenges.... View Details
      Keywords: Dynamic Policy; Deep Reinforcement Learning; Representation Learning; Dynamic Difficulty Adjustment; Latent Variable Models; Customer Relationship Management; Customer Value and Value Chain; Foreign Direct Investment; Analytics and Data Science
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      Ma, Liangzong, Ta-Wei Huang, Eva Ascarza, and Ayelet Israeli. "Dynamic Personalization with Multiple Customer Signals: Multi-Response State Representation in Reinforcement Learning." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-037, February 2025.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Policy-Aware Experimentation: Strategic Sampling for Optimized Targeting Policies

      By: Yi-Wen Chen, Eva Ascarza and Oded Netzer
      Firms often rely on randomized experiments to estimate customer-level treatment effects for targeting policies. Standard "test-then-learn" approaches typically sample customers uniformly to optimize estimation accuracy but ignore economic objectives, leading to... View Details
      Keywords: Research; Customer Focus and Relationships; Profit
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      Chen, Yi-Wen, Eva Ascarza, and Oded Netzer. "Policy-Aware Experimentation: Strategic Sampling for Optimized Targeting Policies." Columbia Business School Research Paper Series, No. 5044549, December 2024. (Revised June 2025.)
      • November 2024
      • Article

      The Customer Journey as a Source of Information

      By: Nicolas Padilla, Eva Ascarza and Oded Netzer
      We introduce a probabilistic machine learning model that fuses customer click-stream data and purchase data within and across journeys. This approach addresses the critical business need for leveraging first-party data (1PD), particularly in environments with... View Details
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      Padilla, Nicolas, Eva Ascarza, and Oded Netzer. "The Customer Journey as a Source of Information." Quantitative Marketing and Economics (November 2024).
      • July–August 2024
      • Article

      Doing More with Less: Overcoming Ineffective Long-Term Targeting Using Short-Term Signals

      By: Ta-Wei Huang and Eva Ascarza
      Firms are increasingly interested in developing targeted interventions for customers with the best response, which requires identifying differences in customer sensitivity, typically through the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation. In theory, to... View Details
      Keywords: Long-run Targeting; Heterogeneous Treatment Effect; Statistical Surrogacy; Customer Churn; Field Experiments; Consumer Behavior; Customer Focus and Relationships; AI and Machine Learning; Marketing Strategy
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      Huang, Ta-Wei, and Eva Ascarza. "Doing More with Less: Overcoming Ineffective Long-Term Targeting Using Short-Term Signals." Marketing Science 43, no. 4 (July–August 2024): 863–884.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Incrementality Representation Learning: Synergizing Past Experiments for Intervention Personalization

      By: Ta-Wei Huang, Eva Ascarza and Ayelet Israeli
      This paper introduces Incrementality Representation Learning (IRL), a novel multitask representation learning framework that predicts heterogeneous causal effects of marketing interventions. By leveraging past experiments, IRL efficiently designs and targets... View Details
      Keywords: Heterogeneous Treatment Effect; Multi-task Learning; Representation Learning; Personalization; Promotion; Deep Learning; Field Experiments; Customer Focus and Relationships; Customization and Personalization
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      Huang, Ta-Wei, Eva Ascarza, and Ayelet Israeli. "Incrementality Representation Learning: Synergizing Past Experiments for Intervention Personalization." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-076, June 2024.
      • April 2024
      • Article

      Detecting Routines: Applications to Ridesharing CRM

      By: Ryan Dew, Eva Ascarza, Oded Netzer and Nachum Sicherman
      Routines shape many aspects of day-to-day consumption. While prior work has established the importance of habits in consumer behavior, little work has been done to understand the implications of routines—which we define as repeated behaviors with recurring, temporal... View Details
      Keywords: Ride-sharing; Routine; Machine Learning; Customer Relationship Management; Consumer Behavior; Segmentation
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      Dew, Ryan, Eva Ascarza, Oded Netzer, and Nachum Sicherman. "Detecting Routines: Applications to Ridesharing CRM." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 61, no. 2 (April 2024): 368–392.
      • March 2024 (Revised April 2024)
      • Case

      Angel City Football Club: Scoring a New Model

      By: Jeffrey F. Rayport, Jennifer Fonstad and Nicole Tempest Keller
      In January 2024, Kara Nortman, Julie Uhrman, and Natalie Portman, the founders of Angel City Football Club (ACFC) were developing the club’s first three-year strategic plan. Founded in 2020, ACFC had a star-studded investor group, including Portman and celebrities such... View Details
      Keywords: Sports; Entertainment; Entrepreneurship; Brands and Branding; Venture Capital; Business Model; Corporate Strategy; Digital Marketing; Sports Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; United States; California; Los Angeles
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      Rayport, Jeffrey F., Jennifer Fonstad, and Nicole Tempest Keller. "Angel City Football Club: Scoring a New Model." Harvard Business School Case 824-192, March 2024. (Revised April 2024.)
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Greenlighting Innovative Projects: How Evaluation Format Shapes the Perceived Feasibility of Early-Stage Ideas

      By: Jacqueline N. Lane, Simon Friis, Tianxi Cai, Michael Menietti, Griffin Weber and Eva C. Guinan
      The evaluation of innovative early-stage projects is essential for allocating limited resources. We investigate how the evaluation format affects the identification of feasibility issues through a field experiment at a leading research university. Experts were... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation Evaluation; Evaluation Criteria; Feasibility Assessment; Attention Allocation; Cognitive Mechanisms; Field Experiment; Research; Performance Evaluation; Innovation and Invention; Prejudice and Bias
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      Lane, Jacqueline N., Simon Friis, Tianxi Cai, Michael Menietti, Griffin Weber, and Eva C. Guinan. "Greenlighting Innovative Projects: How Evaluation Format Shapes the Perceived Feasibility of Early-Stage Ideas." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-064, March 2024. (Revised May 2025.)
      • March 2024
      • Supplement

      Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit

      By: Eva Ascarza, Peter Fader, Bruce G.S. Hardie and Michael Ross
      This case presents a scenario where Madrigal, a U.S. retailer with a rich 20-year history and a solid loyalty program, faces a turning point with the arrival of a new CEO. This leadership change reveals a critical gap in understanding the customer base, prompting an... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Analytics and Data Science; Growth and Development Strategy; Retail Industry; United States
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      Ascarza, Eva, Peter Fader, Bruce G.S. Hardie, and Michael Ross. "Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit." Harvard Business School PowerPoint Supplement 524-068, March 2024.
      • March 2024
      • Supplement

      Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit

      By: Eva Ascarza, Bruce Hardie, Peter S. Fader and Michael Ross
      This case presents a scenario where Madrigal, a U.S. retailer with a rich 20-year history and a solid loyalty program, faces a turning point with the arrival of a new CEO. This leadership change reveals a critical gap in understanding the customer base, prompting an... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Analytics and Data Science; Growth and Development Strategy; Retail Industry; United States
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      Ascarza, Eva, Bruce Hardie, Peter S. Fader, and Michael Ross. "Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 524-707, March 2024.
      • March 2024
      • Supplement

      Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit

      By: Eva Ascarza, Bruce Hardie, Peter S. Fader and Michael Ross
      This case presents a scenario where Madrigal, a U.S. retailer with a rich 20-year history and a solid loyalty program, faces a turning point with the arrival of a new CEO. This leadership change reveals a critical gap in understanding the customer base, prompting an... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Analytics and Data Science; Growth and Development Strategy; Retail Industry; United States
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      Ascarza, Eva, Bruce Hardie, Peter S. Fader, and Michael Ross. "Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 524-706, March 2024.
      • March 2024
      • Teaching Note

      Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit

      By: Eva Ascarza, Peter S. Fader, Bruce Hardie and Michael Ross
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 524-046. This case presents a scenario where Madrigal, a U.S. retailer with a rich 20-year history and a solid loyalty program, faces a turning point with the arrival of a new CEO. This leadership change reveals a critical gap in... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Analytics and Data Science; Growth and Development Strategy; Customer Value and Value Chain; Retail Industry; United States
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      Ascarza, Eva, Peter S. Fader, Bruce Hardie, and Michael Ross. "Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 524-047, March 2024.
      • March 2024
      • Case

      Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit

      By: Eva Ascarza, Bruce Hardie, Michael Ross and Peter S. Fader
      This case presents a scenario where Madrigal, a U.S. retailer with a rich 20-year history and a solid loyalty program, faces a turning point with the arrival of a new CEO. This leadership change reveals a critical gap in understanding the customer base, prompting an... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Analytics and Data Science; Growth and Development Strategy; Customer Value and Value Chain; Retail Industry; United States
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      Ascarza, Eva, Bruce Hardie, Michael Ross, and Peter S. Fader. "Madrigal: Conducting a Customer-Base Audit." Harvard Business School Case 524-046, March 2024.
      • March 2024
      • Case

      Unintended Consequences of Algorithmic Personalization

      By: Eva Ascarza and Ayelet Israeli
      “Unintended Consequences of Algorithmic Personalization” (HBS No. 524-052) investigates algorithmic bias in marketing through four case studies featuring Apple, Uber, Facebook, and Amazon. Each study presents scenarios where these companies faced public criticism for... View Details
      Keywords: Race; Gender; Marketing; Diversity; Customer Relationship Management; Prejudice and Bias; Customization and Personalization; Technology Industry; Retail Industry; United States
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      Ascarza, Eva, and Ayelet Israeli. "Unintended Consequences of Algorithmic Personalization." Harvard Business School Case 524-052, March 2024.
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