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      MacroeconomicsRemove Macroeconomics →

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      • July 2017
      • Article

      Inflation Expectations, Learning, and Supermarket Prices: Evidence from Survey Experiments

      By: Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces and Ricardo Perez-Truglia
      Information frictions play a central role in the formation of household inflation expectations, but there is no consensus about their origins. We address this question with novel evidence from survey experiments. We document two main findings. First, individuals in... View Details
      Keywords: Inflation Expectations; Survey Experiment; Rational Inattention; Supermarkets; Macroeconomics; Household; Inflation and Deflation; Policy
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      Cavallo, Alberto, Guillermo Cruces, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia. "Inflation Expectations, Learning, and Supermarket Prices: Evidence from Survey Experiments." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 9, no. 3 (July 2017): 1–35.
      • April 2017 (Revised August 2018)
      • Case

      The U.S. Shale Revolution: Global Rebalancing?

      By: Laura Alfaro and Richard H.K. Vietor
      The American shale revolution has upended oil and gas markets for nearly a decade. Prices have risen then plunged, production has surged and then waned, LNG has boomed, and technology and productivity have improved. The U.S. energy policy, under the Obama... View Details
      Keywords: Shale Oil; Shale Gas; LNG; Energy Policy; Drilling Technology; Energy; Trade; Economics; Macroeconomics; Policy; Energy Industry; Manufacturing Industry; United States; Middle East
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Richard H.K. Vietor. "The U.S. Shale Revolution: Global Rebalancing?" Harvard Business School Case 717-056, April 2017. (Revised August 2018.)
      • April 2017 (Revised February 2020)
      • Case

      Restructuring Ukraine

      By: Kristin Mugford, Seema Amble and Tian Feng
      In June 2015, Ukraine found itself struggling with a volatile and devalued currency, dramatically diminished foreign reserves, and a projected financing shortfall of $40 billion. Ukraine’s new government sought to return the nation to stability following political... View Details
      Keywords: Exchange Rates; Politics; Macroeconomics; Financial Crisis; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Restructuring; Economy; Currency Exchange Rate; Banks and Banking; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Bonds; Sovereign Finance; Capital Markets; Credit; Debt Securities; Financial Liquidity; Financial Markets; Government and Politics; Ukraine
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      Mugford, Kristin, Seema Amble, and Tian Feng. "Restructuring Ukraine." Harvard Business School Case 217-049, April 2017. (Revised February 2020.)
      • March 2017
      • Article

      Land Institutions and Chinese Political Economy: Institutional Complementarities and Macroeconomic Management

      By: Meg Rithmire
      This article critically examines the origins and evolution of China’s unique land institutions and situates land policy in the larger context of China’s reforms and pursuit of economic growth. It argues that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has strengthened the... View Details
      Keywords: China; Economic Reform; Land Politics; Macromanagement; Government and Politics; Macroeconomics; China
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      Rithmire, Meg. "Land Institutions and Chinese Political Economy: Institutional Complementarities and Macroeconomic Management." Politics & Society 45, no. 1 (March 2017): 123–153.
      • 2016
      • Report

      Problems Unsolved and a Nation Divided: The State of U.S. Competitiveness 2016

      By: Michael E. Porter, Jan Rivkin, Mihir Desai and Manjari Raman
      In this report, the authors synthesize their views on U.S. competitiveness and unveil the findings of the 2016 HBS surveys on U.S. competitiveness. Specifically, the report documents the faltering performance of the U.S. economy and the erosion of America’s business... View Details
      Keywords: U.S. Competitiveness; Competitive Strategy; Macroeconomics; Government and Politics; United States
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      Porter, Michael E., Jan Rivkin, Mihir Desai, and Manjari Raman. "Problems Unsolved and a Nation Divided: The State of U.S. Competitiveness 2016." Report, U.S. Competitiveness Project, Harvard Business School, September 2016.
      • June 2016 (Revised May 2017)
      • Case

      FANUC Corporation: Reassessing the Firm's Governance and Financial Policies

      By: Benjamin C. Esty, Nobuo Sato and Akiko Kanno
      In February 2015, Daniel Loeb (a U.S.–based activist investor) announced his firm had a large investment in FANUC Corporation, a leading producer of industrial robots and software for machine tools. Loeb was demanding that the Japanese firm change its financial and... View Details
      Keywords: Hedge Funds; Economic Policy; Investments; Government Policy; Deregulation; Financial Management; Valuation; Investment Funds; Policy; Corporate Governance; Macroeconomics; Investment Activism; Change Management; Financial Strategy; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Japan; United States
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      Esty, Benjamin C., Nobuo Sato, and Akiko Kanno. "FANUC Corporation: Reassessing the Firm's Governance and Financial Policies." Harvard Business School Case 216-042, June 2016. (Revised May 2017.)
      • June 2016
      • Supplement

      FANUC Corporation: Reassessing the Firm's Governance and Financial Policies Spreadsheet Supplement

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Akiko Kanno
      In February 2015, Daniel Loeb (a US-based activist investor) announced his firm had a large investment in FANUC Corporation, a leading producer of industrial robots and software for machine tools. Loeb was demanding that the Japanese firm change its financial and... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Management; Valuation; Investment Funds; Policy; Corporate Governance; Macroeconomics; Investment Activism; Change Management; Financial Strategy; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Japan; United States
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Akiko Kanno. "FANUC Corporation: Reassessing the Firm's Governance and Financial Policies Spreadsheet Supplement." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 216-714, June 2016.
      • 2016
      • Working Paper

      Who Gets Hired?: The Importance of Finding an Open Slot

      By: Edward P. Lazear, Kathryn L. Shaw and Christopher Stanton
      Despite seeming to be an important requirement for hiring, the concept of a slot is absent from virtually all of economics. Macroeconomic studies of vacancies and search come closest, but the implications of slot-based hiring for individual worker outcomes has not been... View Details
      Keywords: Hiring; Selection and Staffing; Employment
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      Lazear, Edward P., Kathryn L. Shaw, and Christopher Stanton. "Who Gets Hired? The Importance of Finding an Open Slot." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-128, May 2016.
      • 2016
      • Chapter

      Authority and Expertise at the Origins of Macroeconomics

      By: Sophus A. Reinert
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      Reinert, Sophus A. "Authority and Expertise at the Origins of Macroeconomics." In Antonio Serra and the Economics of Good Government, edited by Rosario Patalano and Sophus A. Reinert, 112–142. Palgrave Studies in the History of Finance. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2016.
      • 2016
      • Chapter

      Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration

      By: Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit and William R. Kerr
      The propagation of macroeconomic shocks through input-output and geographic networks can be a powerful driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. We first exposit that in the presence of Cobb-Douglas production functions and consumer preferences, there is a specific pattern... View Details
      Keywords: Economic Fluctuations; Geographic Collocation; Input-output Linkages; Propagation; Shocks; Networks; Fluctuation; System Shocks; Macroeconomics
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      Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, and William R. Kerr. "Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration." In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015, Vol. 30, edited by Martin Eichenbaum and Jonathan Parker, 273–335. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press, 2016.
      • 2015
      • Working Paper

      The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications

      By: Emil Siriwardane
      I analyze a rare disasters economy that yields a measure of the risk neutral probability of a macroeconomic disaster, p*t. A large panel of options data provides strong evidence that p*t is the single factor driving option-implied jump risk measures in the cross... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics
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      Siriwardane, Emil. "The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-061, November 2015.
      • 2015
      • Working Paper

      Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration

      By: Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit and William Kerr
      The propagation of macroeconomic shocks through input-output and geographic networks can be a powerful driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. We first exposit that in the presence of Cobb-Douglas production functions and consumer preferences there is a specific pattern... View Details
      Keywords: Economic Fluctuations; Geographic Collocation; Input-output Linkages; Propagation; Shocks; Networks; Fluctuation; System Shocks; Macroeconomics
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      Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr. "Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-006, July 2015.
      • May 2015
      • Teaching Note

      The United Kingdom and the Means to Prosperity

      By: Laura Alfaro, Lakshmi Iyer and Hilary White
      After struggling through the country's longest recession since 2008, the U.K. was expected to grow faster than any other G7 nation in 2014. Analysts wondered whether the return to growth was because, or in spite of, Prime Minister David Cameron's controversial £113... View Details
      Keywords: United Kingdom; Austerity; Fiscal Deficits; Fiscal Policy; Keynesian Multiplier; Government; Government Policy; Recessions; Depression; Inequality; Government Intervention In The Markets; Stagnation; Public Finance; Economics; Macroeconomics; Government Administration; Business and Government Relations; Economic Growth; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Public Sector; Economy; Financial Crisis; Taxation; Government and Politics; United Kingdom
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      Alfaro, Laura, Lakshmi Iyer, and Hilary White. "The United Kingdom and the Means to Prosperity." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 715-055, May 2015.
      • April 2015
      • Tutorial

      Introduction to International Macroeconomics

      By: Laura Alfaro and Elizabeth A. Meyer
      This tutorial is a web-based, interactive program which will provide students with an introduction to the basic principles of macroeconomics and international macroeconomics. View Details
      Keywords: International Macroeconomics; International Economy; Current Account; Unemployment; Inflation; Monetary Policy; Fiscal Policy; Gdp; Macroeconomics; Money; Business Cycles; Inflation and Deflation; Trade
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Elizabeth A. Meyer. Introduction to International Macroeconomics. Harvard Business School Tutorial 715-702, April 2015.
      • April 2015 (Revised January 2020)
      • Case

      Japan's Missing Arrow?

      By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White
      In late December 2014, Shinzo Abe was elected to another term as the prime minister of Japan. His re-election was largely interpreted as a vote of confidence for his economics policies, collectively referred to as "Abenomics." Comprised of three "arrows," including... View Details
      Keywords: Currency; Bonds; Government Bonds; Government Debt; Public Finance; Quantitative Easing; Stimulus; Fiscal Policy; Fiscal Deficits; Debt Management; Debt Reduction; Abenomics; Exchange Rate; Exports; Reform; Economics; Macroeconomics; Policy; Government Legislation; Government and Politics; Asia; Japan
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Hilary White. "Japan's Missing Arrow?" Harvard Business School Case 715-050, April 2015. (Revised January 2020.)
      • Article

      De Gustibus non est Taxandum: Heterogeneity in Preferences and Optimal Redistribution

      By: Benjamin B Lockwood and Matthew Weinzierl
      The prominent but unproven intuition that preference heterogeneity reduces redistribution in a standard optimal tax model is shown to hold under the plausible condition that the distribution of preferences for consumption relative to leisure rises, in terms of... View Details
      Keywords: Motivation and Incentives; Income; Decision Choices and Conditions; Consumer Behavior; Taxation; Microeconomics; Macroeconomics
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      Lockwood, Benjamin B., and Matthew Weinzierl. "De Gustibus non est Taxandum: Heterogeneity in Preferences and Optimal Redistribution." Journal of Public Economics 124 (April 2015): 74–80. (Also NBER Working Paper Series, No. 17784, September 2014 and Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-063, January 2012.)
      • April 2015
      • Teaching Note

      International Macroeconomics — An Online Tutorial

      By: Laura Alfaro and Elizabeth A. Meyer
      This is the Teaching Note to accompany "International Macroeconomics", HBS Tutorial 715-702. View Details
      Keywords: International Macroeconomics; International Economy; Current Account; Unemployment; Inflation; Monetary Policy; Fiscal Policy; Gdp; Macroeconomics; Money; Business Cycles; Inflation and Deflation; Trade
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Elizabeth A. Meyer. "International Macroeconomics — An Online Tutorial." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 715-048, April 2015.
      • March 2015 (Revised February 2017)
      • Case

      Shanghai: GDP Apostasy

      By: George Serafeim
      Balancing economic growth alongside environmental sustainability and social inclusion was becoming increasingly important in China. The case describes Shanghai's decision to abandon growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as its primary metric of measuring success.... View Details
      Keywords: China; Gdp; Measurement; Measurement Problems; Accountability; Sustainability; Sustainable Development; Strategy Execution; Strategy; Balanced Scorecard; Strategy Map; Macroeconomics; Measurement and Metrics; Corporate Accountability; Accounting; Environmental Sustainability; Development Economics; Corporate Governance; Shanghai
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      Serafeim, George, Rebecca Henderson, and David Freiberg. "Shanghai: GDP Apostasy." Harvard Business School Case 115-042, March 2015. (Revised February 2017.)
      • February 2015
      • Article

      The Great Recession, Insurance Mandates, and the Use of In Vitro Fertilization Services in the United States

      By: Sorapop Kiatpongsan, Robert S. Huckman and Mark D. Hornstein
      Objective: To investigate the relationship between economic activities, insurance mandates, and the use of in vitro fertilization (IVF) in the United States.

      Design: We examined the correlation between the coincident index (a proxy for overall economic... View Details
      Keywords: Macroeconomics; Recessions; Medical Care; In Vitro Fertilization; Health Industry; United States
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      Kiatpongsan, Sorapop, Robert S. Huckman, and Mark D. Hornstein. "The Great Recession, Insurance Mandates, and the Use of In Vitro Fertilization Services in the United States." Fertility and Sterility 103, no. 2 (February 2015): 448–454.
      • 2014
      • Report

      Bridge the Gap: Rebuilding America's Middle Skills

      By: Joseph B. Fuller, Jennifer Burrowes, Manjari Raman, Dan Restuccia and Alexis Young
      The market for middle-skills jobs—those that require more education and training than a high school diploma but less than a four-year college degree—is consistently failing to clear. That failure is inflicting a grievous cost on the competitiveness of American firms... View Details
      Keywords: Business or Company Management; Human Capital; Education; Competency and Skills; Macroeconomics; United States
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      Fuller, Joseph B., Jennifer Burrowes, Manjari Raman, Dan Restuccia, and Alexis Young. "Bridge the Gap: Rebuilding America's Middle Skills." Report, U.S. Competitiveness Project, Harvard Business School, November 2014. (This report was authored jointly by Accenture, Burning Glass Technologies, and Harvard Business School.)
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