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- All HBS Web
(41)
- Faculty Publications (17)
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- August 2023
- Article
Can Security Design Foster Household Risk-Taking?
By: Laurent Calvet, Claire Célérier, Paolo Sodini and Boris Vallée
This paper shows that securities with a non-linear payoff design can foster household risk-taking. We demonstrate this effect empirically by exploiting the introduction of capital guarantee products in Sweden from 2002 to 2007. The fast and broad adoption of these... View Details
Keywords: Financial Innovation; Household Finance; Structured Products; Stock Market Participation; Finance; Innovation and Invention; Household; Personal Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavior; Market Participation
Calvet, Laurent, Claire Célérier, Paolo Sodini, and Boris Vallée. "Can Security Design Foster Household Risk-Taking?" Journal of Finance 78, no. 4 (August 2023): 1917–1966.
- November 2022
- Article
Opportunity Neglect: An Aversion to Low-probability Gains
By: Emily Prinsloo, Kate Barasz, Leslie K. John and Michael I. Norton
Seven preregistered studies (N = 2,890) conducted in the field, lab, and online document opportunity neglect: a tendency to reject opportunities with low probability of success, even when they come with little or no objective cost (e.g., time, money,... View Details
Prinsloo, Emily, Kate Barasz, Leslie K. John, and Michael I. Norton. "Opportunity Neglect: An Aversion to Low-probability Gains." Psychological Science 33, no. 11 (November 2022): 1857–1866.
- February 2020
- Article
Being 'Good' or 'Good Enough': Prosocial Risk and the Structure of Moral Self-regard
By: Julian Zlatev, Daniella M. Kupor, Kristin Laurin and Dale T. Miller
The motivation to feel moral powerfully guides people’s prosocial behavior. We propose that people’s efforts to preserve their moral self-regard conform to a moral threshold model. This model predicts that people are primarily concerned with whether their... View Details
Keywords: Prosocial Behavior; Moral Sensibility; Decision Making; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavior; Perception
Zlatev, Julian, Daniella M. Kupor, Kristin Laurin, and Dale T. Miller. "Being 'Good' or 'Good Enough': Prosocial Risk and the Structure of Moral Self-regard." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 118, no. 2 (February 2020): 242–253.
- 2010
- Article
Fretting About Modest Risks Is a Mistake
By: Matthew Rabin and Max Bazerman
Managers often engage in risk-averse behavior, and economists, decision analysts, and managers treat risk aversion as a preference. In many cases, acting in a risk-averse manner is a mistake, but managers can correct this mistake with greater reflection. This article... View Details
Rabin, Matthew, and Max Bazerman. "Fretting About Modest Risks Is a Mistake." California Management Review 61, no. 3 (May 2019): 34–48.
- Article
Choice Architects Reveal a Bias Toward Positivity and Certainty
By: David P. Daniels and Julian Zlatev
Biases influence important decisions, but little is known about whether and how individuals try to exploit others’ biases in strategic interactions. Choice architects—that is, people who present choices to others—must often decide between presenting choice sets with... View Details
Keywords: Nudges; Biases; Strategic Decision Making; Social Influence; Choice Architects; Choice Architecture; Reflection Effect; Certainty Effect; Loss Aversion; Decision Making; Risk and Uncertainty; Power and Influence
Daniels, David P., and Julian Zlatev. "Choice Architects Reveal a Bias Toward Positivity and Certainty." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 151 (March 2019): 132–149.
- 2003
- Working Paper
The Risk Tolerance of International Investors
By: Kenneth A. Froot and Paul G. J. O'Connell
- May 2000
- Article
Maxmin Expected Utility over Savage Acts with a Set of Priors
By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell, Peter Klibanoff and Emre Ozdenoren
This paper provides an axiomatic foundation for a maxmin expected utility over a set of priors (MMEU) decision rule in an environment where the elements of choice are Savage acts. This characterization complements the original axiomatizations of MMEU developed in a... View Details
Keywords: Uncertainty Aversion; Ambiguity; Expected Utility; Set Of Priors; Knightian Uncertainty; Decision Making; Game Theory; Risk and Uncertainty; Mathematical Methods
Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, Peter Klibanoff, and Emre Ozdenoren. "Maxmin Expected Utility over Savage Acts with a Set of Priors." Journal of Economic Theory 92, no. 1 (May 2000): 35–65.
- March 1995
- Article
Tests of Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market
By: C. Engel, J. Frankel, Kenneth A. Froot and T. Rodrigues
Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; CAPM; Capital Asset Pricing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Foreign Direct Investment; Behavioral Finance; United States
Engel, C., J. Frankel, Kenneth A. Froot, and T. Rodrigues. "Tests of Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market." Journal of Empirical Finance 2 (March 1995). (Revised from NBER Working Paper Nos. 2890, March 1989 and 4292, March 1993, "Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market," March 1993.)
- 1990
- Working Paper
Short Rates and Expected Asset Returns
By: K. A. Froot
Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; Risk and Uncertainty; International Finance; Asset Pricing; Behavioral Finance
Froot, K. A. "Short Rates and Expected Asset Returns." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 3247, May 1990.
- 1990
- Article
The Role of Arbitration Costs and Risk Aversion on Dispute Outcomes
By: H. S. Farber, M. A. Neale and M. H. Bazerman
Farber, H. S., M. A. Neale, and M. H. Bazerman. "The Role of Arbitration Costs and Risk Aversion on Dispute Outcomes." Industrial Relations 29 (1990): 361–384.
- December 1989
- Article
Risk Aversion and the Relationship between Nash's Solution and Subgame Perfect Equilibrium of Sequential Bargaining
By: A. E. Roth
Roth, A. E. "Risk Aversion and the Relationship between Nash's Solution and Subgame Perfect Equilibrium of Sequential Bargaining." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 2, no. 4 (December 1989): 353–365.
- Article
Risk Aversion in Bargaining: An Experimental Study
By: J. K. Murnighan, A. E. Roth and F. Schoumaker
Murnighan, J. K., A. E. Roth, and F. Schoumaker. "Risk Aversion in Bargaining: An Experimental Study." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 1, no. 1 (March 1988): 101–124.
- 1987
- Working Paper
Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets
By: K. A. Froot
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over... View Details
- January 1985
- Article
A Note on Risk Aversion in a Perfect Equilibrium Model of Bargaining
By: A. E. Roth
Roth, A. E. "A Note on Risk Aversion in a Perfect Equilibrium Model of Bargaining." Econometrica 53, no. 1 (January 1985): 207–211.
- September 1982
- Article
Risk Aversion and the Negotiation of Insurance Contracts
By: R. Kihlstrom and A. E. Roth
Kihlstrom, R., and A. E. Roth. "Risk Aversion and the Negotiation of Insurance Contracts." Journal of Risk and Insurance 49 (September 1982): 372–387.
- May 1982
- Article
Risk Aversion and Nash's Solution for Bargaining Games with Risky Outcomes
By: A. E. Roth and U. Rothblum
Roth, A. E., and U. Rothblum. "Risk Aversion and Nash's Solution for Bargaining Games with Risky Outcomes." Econometrica 50, no. 3 (May 1982): 639–647.
- 1981
- Chapter
Risk Aversion and Solutions to Nash's Bargaining Problem
By: R. Kihlstrom, A. E. Roth and D. Schmeidler