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      • Faculty Publications  (45)

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      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs

      By: Alberto Cavallo, Paola Llamas and Franco Vazquez
      This paper examines the short-run impact of the 2025 U.S. tariffs on consumer prices using a unique integration of high-frequency retail pricing data, product-level country-of-origin information, and detailed tariff classifications. By linking daily prices from major... View Details
      Keywords: Tariffs; Trade; Price; Inflation and Deflation
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      Cavallo, Alberto, Paola Llamas, and Franco Vazquez. "Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs." Working Paper, April 2025.
      • February 13, 2025
      • Article

      Research: The Costs of Circumventing Tariffs

      By: Jaya Y. Wen, Ebehi Iyoha, Edmund Malesky and Sung-Ju Wu
      When tariffs are levied against a specific country, that country might attempt to circumvent the tariff by rerouting products through a third country to avoid the higher taxes. Research in the aftermath of the 2018 U.S.-China trade war examined this phenomenon, finding... View Details
      Keywords: Trade; Global Strategy; International Relations; United States; China
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      Wen, Jaya Y., Ebehi Iyoha, Edmund Malesky, and Sung-Ju Wu. "Research: The Costs of Circumventing Tariffs." Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (February 13, 2025).
      • January 2025 (Revised February 2025)
      • Background Note

      A High-Tech Revolution with Chinese Characteristics: China's Drive Towards EV Supremacy

      By: William C. Kirby, Daniel Fu and Matthew Ngai
      This background note explains and documents the rise of China's EV industry. Moreover, it identifies the challenges facing it and posits several questions about the decisions needed to be made to sustain the industry's global dominance. Would Chinese producers be able... View Details
      Keywords: China; State Capitalism; Electric Vehicles; Tesla; Renewable Energy
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      Kirby, William C., Daniel Fu, and Matthew Ngai. "A High-Tech Revolution with Chinese Characteristics: China's Drive Towards EV Supremacy." Harvard Business School Background Note 325-073, January 2025. (Revised February 2025.)
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Foreign Influence in U.S. Politics

      By: Marco Grotteria, Max Miller and S. Lakshmi Naaraayanan
      This paper investigates the informational role of lobbyists in the context of foreign lobbying in the United States. Using Department of Justice data on contacts between foreign governments and US legislators, we show that exogenous shocks to these connections... View Details
      Keywords: Political Economy; Public Finance; Political Connections; Foreign Lobbying
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      Grotteria, Marco, Max Miller, and S. Lakshmi Naaraayanan. "Foreign Influence in U.S. Politics." Working Paper, October 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      The Golden Revolving Door

      By: Ling Cen, Lauren Cohen, Jing Wu and Fan Zhang
      Using both the onset of the US-China trade war in 2018 and the most recent Russia-Ukraine war and associated trade tensions, we show a counterintuitive pattern in global trade. Namely, while the average firm trading with these nations significantly decreases their... View Details
      Keywords: Trade; Business and Government Relations; International Relations
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      Cen, Ling, Lauren Cohen, Jing Wu, and Fan Zhang. "The Golden Revolving Door." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 32621, June 2024.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Exports in Disguise? Trade Rerouting During the U.S.-China Trade War

      By: Ebehi Iyoha, Edmund Malesky, Jaya Wen and Sung-Ju Wu
      This paper introduces a new measure of tariff evasion through rerouting and applies it to the 2018 U.S.–China trade war, focusing on Vietnam as a transit country. We use transaction-level trade data and define rerouting as the flow of a granular eight-digit Harmonized... View Details
      Keywords: Trade; International Relations; Logistics; China; Viet Nam; United States
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      Iyoha, Ebehi, Edmund Malesky, Jaya Wen, and Sung-Ju Wu. "Exports in Disguise? Trade Rerouting During the U.S.-China Trade War." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-072, May 2024. (Revised March 2025.)
      • March 2023 (Revised June 2023)
      • Case

      Doing Business in Kigali, Rwanda

      By: Andy Zelleke, A. Zelleke, Leonard A. Schlesinger, Leonard A. Schlesinger, Pippa Tubman Armerding and Wale Lawal
      This case examines the challenges and opportunities of doing business in Rwanda. It highlights Rwanda's economic transformation in the decades leading up to 2023 in the context of its history, culture, and politics. The case gives an overview of some of the main... View Details
      Keywords: Business History; Business and Government Relations; Technological Innovation; Foreign Direct Investment; Economic Growth; Transportation Industry; Tourism Industry; Rwanda
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      Zelleke, Andy, Leonard A. Schlesinger, Pippa Tubman Armerding, and Wale Lawal. "Doing Business in Kigali, Rwanda." Harvard Business School Case 323-089, March 2023. (Revised June 2023.)
      • November 2022
      • Case

      Chêne Bleu: Caught in the Trade Tariff Crossfire

      By: Dante Roscini, Elena Corsi and Daniela Beyersdorfer
      A French wine estate faced a 25% tariff on its U.S. exports following a multi-decade-long EU-U.S. trade dispute in the aerospace industry. View Details
      Keywords: Trade; Globalized Markets and Industries; Business Startups; Business Strategy; Expansion; Family Business; Distribution; Agribusiness; Taxation; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Food and Beverage Industry; Aerospace Industry; France; United States; Europe
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      Roscini, Dante, Elena Corsi, and Daniela Beyersdorfer. "Chêne Bleu: Caught in the Trade Tariff Crossfire." Harvard Business School Case 723-020, November 2022.
      • December 2021
      • Article

      Trade Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns

      By: Marcelo Bianconi, Federico Esposito and Marco Sammon
      A recent literature has documented large real effects of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on trade, employment, and investment, but there is little evidence that investors are compensated for bearing such risk. To quantify the risk premium associated with TPU, we exploit... View Details
      Keywords: Trade Policy; Uncertainty; Stock Returns; Risk Premium; Tariff Rates; Portfolio Analysis; Trade; Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Stocks; Investment Return
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      Bianconi, Marcelo, Federico Esposito, and Marco Sammon. "Trade Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns." Art. 102492. Journal of International Money and Finance 119 (December 2021).
      • Article

      Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from U.S. Trade Policy

      By: Alberto Cavallo, Gita Gopinath, Brent Neiman and Jenny Tang
      We use micro data collected at the border and the store to characterize the price impact of recent US trade policy on importers, exporters, and consumers. At the border, import tariff passthrough is much higher than exchange rate passthrough. Chinese exporters did not... View Details
      Keywords: Trade Policy; Tariffs; Exchange Rate Passthrough; Economics; Trade; Policy; Currency Exchange Rate; Price; United States
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      Cavallo, Alberto, Gita Gopinath, Brent Neiman, and Jenny Tang. "Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from U.S. Trade Policy." American Economic Review: Insights 3, no. 1 (March 2021).
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      Competitive Two-Part Tariffs

      By: Jorge Tamayo and Guofu Tan
      We study competitive two-part tariffs in a model of asymmetric duopoly firms that offer (vertically and horizontally) differentiated products. We show that the sign of the markup for each product depends on the average expected demand among all customers as well as the... View Details
      Keywords: Product Differentiation; Two-part Tariffs; Marginal-cost Pricing; Cross-subsidization; Competition; Price
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      Tamayo, Jorge, and Guofu Tan. "Competitive Two-Part Tariffs." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-089, March 2021. (R&R American Economic Journal: Microeconomics.)
      • November 2020 (Revised May 2023)
      • Case

      Holaluz: Taking on the Spanish Energy Market

      By: Elie Ofek, Marco Bertini, Oded Koenigsberg, Elena Corsi and Emer Moloney
      In 2020, the three cofounders of Holaluz, a newcomer to Spain’s electricity retail market, are preparing to launch a new offering: installing and managing solar panels on households' roofs at no extra cost for the consumer, who would still benefit from the energy... View Details
      Keywords: Electricity; Solar Power; Subscription Business; Renewable Energy; Entrepreneurship; Service Delivery; Business Model; Product Launch; Marketing; Energy Industry; Spain
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      Ofek, Elie, Marco Bertini, Oded Koenigsberg, Elena Corsi, and Emer Moloney. "Holaluz: Taking on the Spanish Energy Market." Harvard Business School Case 521-045, November 2020. (Revised May 2023.)
      • November 2020 (Revised March 2021)
      • Case

      Sercomm: Operating in China Amid COVID-19 and Beyond

      By: Prithwiraj Choudhury, Gary P. Pisano and Bonnie Yining Cao
      The COVID-19 pandemic had forced a production cut in the factory of Sercomm, one of the world’s major telecom equipment producers, in China. The case explores and highlights the challenges that Chief Executive Officer James Wang faced: How could Sercomm recover and... View Details
      Keywords: Emerging Markets; Information Technology; Operations; Management; Health Pandemics; Strategy; Telecommunications Industry; Manufacturing Industry; China
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      Choudhury, Prithwiraj, Gary P. Pisano, and Bonnie Yining Cao. "Sercomm: Operating in China Amid COVID-19 and Beyond." Harvard Business School Case 621-005, November 2020. (Revised March 2021.)
      • April 2020 (Revised June 2020)
      • Case

      Oriental Land Co., Ltd.—Tokyo Disney Resort

      By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Akiko Kanno
      This case describes the history of Oriental Land Co. Ltd.’s (OLC's) Tokyo Disney Resort (TDR), its operations, the extent of vertical integration, and the challenges it faced in 2018 as OLC's chairman and CEO, Toshio Kagami, contemplated how best to deal with... View Details
      Keywords: Strategy For Multi-business Firm; Business Models; Growth; Theme Parks; Disney; Disney Parks; Licensing; Royalties; Two-part Tariffs; Oriental Land Co.; Tokyo Disneyland; Tokyo DisneySea; Tokyo Disney Resort; Tokyo Disney; Growth Strategy; Hotels; Hotel Industry; Partnership; Development; Attractions; Rides; Urayasu; Kagami; Congestion; Pricing; Amusement Parks; Amusement Park Industry; Brand; Branding; History; OLC; Corporate Strategy; Competitive Strategy; Business History; Price; Retention; Growth and Development; Growth and Development Strategy; Brands and Branding; Agreements and Arrangements; Contracts; Operations; Vertical Integration; Problems and Challenges; Partners and Partnerships; Business Strategy; Expansion; Rail Transportation; Transportation Networks; Accommodations Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; Tourism Industry; Asia; Japan; Tokyo; United States
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      Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, and Akiko Kanno. "Oriental Land Co., Ltd.—Tokyo Disney Resort." Harvard Business School Case 720-460, April 2020. (Revised June 2020.)
      • November 2019
      • Case

      Floating the Exchange Rate: In Pursuit of the Chinese Dream

      By: Laura Alfaro and Sarah Jeong
      In the decades following 2005, China faced significant financial challenges. Inflation spiraled upwards and China’s economy stagnated in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. The country’s leaders took an interventionist approach to weather the storm, controlling... View Details
      Keywords: Exchange Rate; Inflation; Debt; Currency Exchange Rate; Inflation and Deflation; Borrowing and Debt; China
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Sarah Jeong. "Floating the Exchange Rate: In Pursuit of the Chinese Dream." Harvard Business School Case 320-039, November 2019.
      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from U.S. Trade Policy

      By: Alberto Cavallo, Gita Gopinath, Brent Neiman and Jenny Tang
      We use micro data collected at the border and the store to characterize the price impact of recent US trade policy on importers, exporters, and consumers. At the border, import tariff passthrough is much higher than exchange rate passthrough. Chinese exporters did not... View Details
      Keywords: Trade Policy; Tariffs; Exchange Rate Passthrough; Economics; Trade; Policy; Inflation and Deflation; United States; China
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      Cavallo, Alberto, Gita Gopinath, Brent Neiman, and Jenny Tang. "Tariff Passthrough at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from U.S. Trade Policy." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 26396, October 2019. (Revised June 2020. Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-041, October 2019)
      • February 2019 (Revised January 2022)
      • Case

      The U.S. – China Trade War

      By: Alberto Cavallo, Mariana Cal and Anne Laski
      On December 1, 2018, U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s Leader Xi Jinping faced each other across a dinner table during a G20 meeting in Buenos Aires, Argentina. After what Trump called an “amazing and productive meeting,” the two leaders announced a truce in the... View Details
      Keywords: Trade War; Trump; Current Account; NAFTA; Balance Of Payments; Intellectual Property Protection; Trade; Macroeconomics; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; International Relations; United States; China
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      Cavallo, Alberto, Mariana Cal, and Anne Laski. "The U.S. – China Trade War." Harvard Business School Case 719-034, February 2019. (Revised January 2022.)
      • March 2018 (Revised April 2018)
      • Supplement

      1366 Technologies: Scaling the Venture (B)

      By: Joseph B. Lassiter III and Ramana Nanda
      It was March 2018. Should proposed U.S. solar tariffs keep U.S.-based 1366 CEO Frank van Mierlo from starting up his 1st full-scale manufacturing plant overseas? View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Finance; Intellectual Property; Trade; Technology Industry; Manufacturing Industry; Energy Industry; United States; China; Korean Peninsula
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      Lassiter, Joseph B., III, and Ramana Nanda. "1366 Technologies: Scaling the Venture (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 818-116, March 2018. (Revised April 2018.)
      • 2018
      • Introduction

      Introduction: History and Political Economy

      By: Sophus A. Reinert and Robert Fredona
      This volume offers a snapshot of the resurgent historiography of political economy in the wake of the ongoing global financial crisis, and suggests fruitful new agendas for research on the political-economic nexus as it has developed in the Western world since the end... View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Government and Politics; History
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      Reinert, Sophus A., and Robert Fredona. "Introduction: History and Political Economy." Introduction to New Perspectives on the History of Political Economy, edited by Robert Fredona and Sophus A. Reinert, 11–32. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2018.
      • 2018
      • Book

      New Perspectives on the History of Political Economy

      By: Robert Fredona and Sophus A. Reinert
      This volume offers a snapshot of the resurgent historiography of political economy in the wake of the ongoing global financial crisis and suggests fruitful new agendas for research on the political-economic nexus as it has developed in the Western world since the end... View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Government and Politics; History
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      Fredona, Robert and Sophus A. Reinert, eds. New Perspectives on the History of Political Economy. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2018.
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