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  • 2022
  • Working Paper

The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates

By: Sebastian Hillenbrand
In this paper I document a striking fact: a narrow window around Fed meetings fully captures the secular decline in U.S. Treasury yields since 1980. By contrast, yield movements outside this window are transitory and wash out over time. This is surprising because the... View Details
Keywords: United States Treasury; Monetary Policy; Yield Curve; Central Banking; Interest Rates; Valuation
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  • 09 Feb 2015
  • News

Turkey’s secularization in reverse?

  • 2019
  • Book

Disciples of the State?: Religion and State-Building in the Former Ottoman World

By: Kristin Fabbe
As the Ottoman Empire crumbled, the Middle East and Balkans became the site of contestation and cooperation between the traditional forces of religion and the emergent machine of the sovereign state. Yet such strategic interaction rarely yielded a decisive victory for... View Details
Keywords: Ottoman Empire; Secularism; State-building; Religion; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; History; Turkey; Greece; Middle East
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  • 2022
  • Chapter

State-Formation, Statist Islam, and Regime Instability: Evidence from Turkey

By: Kristin Fabbe
Religion, and particularly the forces of political Islam and state secularism, have been central to discussions of regime stability in the Turkish case. Intense polarization, political instability, and military interventions have propelled Turkey into crisis about once... View Details
Keywords: Ottoman Empire; Regime; State Secularism; Political Islam; Democracy; Autocracy; Religion; Government and Politics; Turkey
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  • 25 Apr 2004
  • Conference Presentation

Secular Changes in Testosterone over 17 Years: Results from the Massachusetts Male Aging Study

By: William B. Simpson, Andre B. Araujo, Christopher Longcope and John B. McKinlay
Keywords: Change; Health; Age Characteristics; Gender Characteristics; Massachusetts
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  • Teaching Interest

Overview

Globalization and Emerging Markets (Elective Course) The world order has changed significantly in the last two decades. The influence of western-style varieties of capitalism has been challenged by new forms of capitalism that rely less on private enterprise and on the... View Details
Keywords: Globalization; Strategy; Macroeconomics; State Capitalism; Political Economy; Emerging Markets; Multinational Firms and Management; Global Strategy; Economics; Energy Industry; Retail Industry; Mining Industry; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Banking Industry; China; Africa; Dubai; Pakistan; India; Brazil; Russia; Cuba; Argentina
  • Research Summary

Modernization Regimes

Professor Fabbe is currently conducting fieldwork for a book project that focuses on how societies respond to crisis and how states seek to use modernization initiatives to strengthen social resilience and cohesion. Towards this end, she is researching local... View Details

  • September 2017
  • Teaching Note

The Productivity Decline: Demographics, Robots, or Globalization?

By: Laura Alfaro and Hayley Pallan
In the early 21st century, there was a noticeable trend of declining productivity growth. Despite the persistent decline in productivity growth, a consensus on its explanation had not been reached. Some of the debate focused on the technicalities of productivity... View Details
Keywords: Performance Productivity; Measurement and Metrics; Technological Innovation; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Globalization; Business and Government Relations
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  • September 2017 (Revised August 2018)
  • Case

The Productivity Decline: Demographics, Robots, or Globalization?

By: Laura Alfaro, Hayley Pallan and Sarah Jeong
In the early 21st century, there was a noticeable trend of declining productivity growth. Despite the persistent decline in productivity growth, a consensus on its explanation had not been reached. Some of the debate focused on the technicalities of productivity... View Details
Keywords: Productivity; Performance Productivity; Measurement and Metrics; Technological Innovation; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Globalization; Business and Government Relations
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  • 2016
  • Working Paper

College Tuition, Public Finance and New Business Starts

By: Gareth Olds
A growing public discourse cites the rising cost of education and student debt overhang as a contributor to slow economic growth. A parallel discussion explores the causes of the secular decline in business dynamism and entrepreneurship rates in the United States over... View Details
Keywords: Cost; Higher Education; Entrepreneurship
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  • 07 Mar 2016
  • HBS Seminar

Scott Stern, MIT Sloan School of Management

  • 14 Oct 2015
  • HBS Seminar

Scott Stern, Professor, MIT Sloan School of Management

  • 2016
  • Working Paper

Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents

By: David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon H. Hanson, Pian Shu and Gary Pisano
Manufacturing is the locus of U.S. innovation, accounting for more than three quarters of U.S. corporate patents. The rise of import competition from China has represented a major competitive shock to the sector, which in theory could benefit or stifle innovation. In... View Details
Keywords: Patents; Competition; System Shocks; Trade; Innovation and Invention; Manufacturing Industry; China; United States
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  • 20 Dec 2016
  • First Look

December 20, 2016

contend with the fact that patenting is highly concentrated in certain product categories and that this concentration has been shifting over time. Accounting for secular trends in innovative activities, we find that the impact of the... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • Web

Behavioral Finance & Financial Stability

national banks from state laws against predatory lending by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) as a quasi-experiment to study the effect of deregulation and its interaction with competition on the supply of complex... View Details
  • 22 Apr 2014
  • First Look

First Look: April 22

decision-making is limited. Exploiting exogenous variation in state compulsory schooling laws in both standard and two-sample instrumental variable strategies, we show education increases financial market participation, measured by... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 31 May 2016
  • First Look

May 31, 2016

additively separable in its state variables, leading to conquering the curse of dimensionality and the opportunity to manage the supply chain using independently acting managers. We develop conditions under which myopic policies are... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • Web

Research - Behavioral Finance & Financial Stability

Amir Kermani & Sanket Korgaonkar FEB 2019 How does financial deregulation affect the use of complex loans features? How do regulated intermediaries react to the deregulation of other lenders? The authors exploit the preemption of national banks from View Details
  • 11 Mar 2019
  • Research & Ideas

Branding Sells Cereal, Handbags, and Vacations. Can It Sell a Country?

secularization after the death of dictator Francisco Franco. Relevant. Governments can’t sway the opinion of a disinterested audience. The imagery and associations of the place need to matter to the targeted audience. A branding campaign... View Details
Keywords: by Danielle Kost; Tourism
  • Web

2024 Reunion Presentations - Alumni

whole story. Real interest rates have also experienced a secular decline and a subsequent sharp reversal which cannot be attributed to inflation. Their evolution suggests that other important factors related to real economic activity,... View Details