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Publications

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      • Faculty Publications  (92)

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      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Extractive Taxation and the French Revolution

      By: Tommaso Giommoni, Gabriel Loumeau and Marco Tabellini
      We study the fiscal determinants of the French Revolution, exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in the salt tax—a large source of royal revenues and one of the most extractive forms of taxation of the Ancien Régime. Implementing a Regression Discontinuity... View Details
      Keywords: Extractive Taxation; Regime Change; French Revolution; State Capacity; Taxation; History; Government Administration; Attitudes; Public Opinion
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      Giommoni, Tommaso, Gabriel Loumeau, and Marco Tabellini. "Extractive Taxation and the French Revolution." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-047, April 2025. (Featured at VoxEU.)
      • December 2023
      • Article

      Intermediary Balance Sheets and the Treasury Yield Curve

      By: Wenxin Du, Benjamin Hebert and Wenhao Li
      We document a regime change in the Treasury market post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC): dealers switched from net short to net long Treasury bonds. We construct “net-long” and “net-short” curves that account for balance sheet and financing costs, and show that actual... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Financial Markets; Financial Crisis; Asset Pricing
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      Du, Wenxin, Benjamin Hebert, and Wenhao Li. "Intermediary Balance Sheets and the Treasury Yield Curve." Art. 103722. Journal of Financial Economics 150, no. 3 (December 2023).
      • 2023
      • Article

      Which Models Have Perceptually-Aligned Gradients? An Explanation via Off-Manifold Robustness

      By: Suraj Srinivas, Sebastian Bordt and Himabindu Lakkaraju
      One of the remarkable properties of robust computer vision models is that their input-gradients are often aligned with human perception, referred to in the literature as perceptually-aligned gradients (PAGs). Despite only being trained for classification, PAGs cause... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Mathematical Methods
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      Srinivas, Suraj, Sebastian Bordt, and Himabindu Lakkaraju. "Which Models Have Perceptually-Aligned Gradients? An Explanation via Off-Manifold Robustness." Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) (2023).
      • 2023
      • Book

      Precarious Ties: Business and the State in Authoritarian Asia

      By: Meg Rithmire
      Developing Asia has been the site of some of the last century's fastest growing economies as well as some of the world's most durable authoritarian regimes. Many accounts of rapid growth alongside monopolies on political power have focused on crony relationships... View Details
      Keywords: Business and Government Relations; Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Systems; Crime and Corruption; China; Indonesia; Malaysia
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      Rithmire, Meg. Precarious Ties: Business and the State in Authoritarian Asia. Oxford University Press, 2023.
      • 2023
      • Book

      Suharto's Cold War: Indonesia, Southeast Asia, and the World

      By: Mattias Fibiger
      After the murder of senior generals in the Indonesian army by elements of the country's communist party in 1965, General Suharto orchestrated the mass killing of some half a million leftists and fellow travelers. But his ambitions spanned far beyond perpetrating a... View Details
      Keywords: Indonesia; Cold War; Political Economy; Foreign Aid; International Investment; International Relations; International Finance; History; War; Economic Systems; Government and Politics; Indonesia; Southeast Asia
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      Fibiger, Mattias. Suharto's Cold War: Indonesia, Southeast Asia, and the World. New York: Oxford University Press, 2023.
      • June 2023
      • Article

      Regulatory Limits to Risk Management

      By: Ishita Sen
      Variable annuities, the largest liability of U.S. life insurers, are investment products containing long-dated minimum return guarantees. I show that guarantees with similar economic risks are treated differently by regulation and these differences impact insurers’... View Details
      Keywords: Interest Rate Risk; Variable Annuities; Capital Regulation; Reinsurance; Derivatives; Risk Management; Interest Rates; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms
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      Sen, Ishita. "Regulatory Limits to Risk Management." Review of Financial Studies 36, no. 6 (June 2023): 2175–2223. (Lead Article and Editor's Choice, Winner of the RFS Rising Scholar Award 2024.)
      • February 2023 (Revised June 2023)
      • Case

      Doing Business in Santiago, Chile

      By: Willis Emmons, Leonard A. Schlesinger and Ruth Costas
      The case uses the example of the opening of the first IKEA furniture store in Chile – which is operated by Chilean group Falabella – to discuss the opportunities and challenges of doing business in the country. It gives readers an overview of Chile’s economic... View Details
      Keywords: Business Cycles; Development Economics; Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Growth; Economic Sectors; Economy; Macroeconomics; Business History; Chile; Latin America
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      Emmons, Willis, Leonard A. Schlesinger, and Ruth Costas. "Doing Business in Santiago, Chile." Harvard Business School Case 323-085, February 2023. (Revised June 2023.)
      • January 2023
      • Article

      Inequality Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa from Precolonial Times to the Present

      By: Ewout Frankema, Michiel de Haas and Marlous van Waijenburg
      While current levels of economic inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa receive ample attention from academics and policymakers, we know little about the long-run evolution of inequality in the region. Even the new and influential ‘global inequality literature’ that is... View Details
      Keywords: Economic Inequalty; Equality and Inequality; History; Africa
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      Frankema, Ewout, Michiel de Haas, and Marlous van Waijenburg. "Inequality Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa from Precolonial Times to the Present." African Affairs 122, no. 486 (January 2023): 57–94.
      • 2022
      • Working Paper

      The Limits of Decentralized Administrative Data Collection: Experimental Evidence from Colombia

      By: Natalia Garbiras-Diaz and Tara Slough
      States collect vast amounts of data for use in policymaking and public administration. To do so, central governments frequently solicit data from decentralized bureaucrats. Because central governments use these data in policymaking, decentralized bureaucrats may face... View Details
      Keywords: Decentralization; Policy-making; Policy/economics; Policy Evaluation; Governance; Government Administration; Government and Politics; Government Legislation; Policy; Public Opinion; Analytics and Data Science; Latin America; South America; Colombia
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      Garbiras-Diaz, Natalia, and Tara Slough. "The Limits of Decentralized Administrative Data Collection: Experimental Evidence from Colombia." Working Paper, December 2022.
      • November 2022
      • Background Note

      Regimes of Political Economy

      By: Rawi Abdelal and Sophus A. Reinert
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      Abdelal, Rawi, and Sophus A. Reinert. "Regimes of Political Economy." Harvard Business School Background Note 723-027, November 2022.
      • 2022
      • Chapter

      Buying Time? The Vietnam War and Southeast Asia

      By: Mattias Fibiger
      This article examines the “buying time thesis”—the idea that the American war in Vietnam bought time for the rest of Southeast Asia to build up political, economic, military, and diplomatic defenses against communism. It finds that there is some truth to claims that... View Details
      Keywords: Vietnam War; Impact; Legacy; Geopolitics; War; History; Government and Politics; Southeast Asia
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      Fibiger, Mattias. "Buying Time? The Vietnam War and Southeast Asia." In The Vietnam War in the Pacific World, edited by Brian Cuddy and Fredrik Logevall, 231–256. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 2022.
      • October 2022
      • Background Note

      Note on Cyberattacks and Regulatory Regimes

      By: Frank Nagle, George A. Riedel, William R. Kerr and David Lane
      Describes common types of cyberattacks on enterprises and their costs, as well as the fragmentary regulatory regimes through which U.S. states and regulatory agencies at the start of 2021 attempted to encourage disclosure of cyberattacks and to pursue enforcement... View Details
      Keywords: Regulations; Regulatory Agencies; Cyberattacks; Governance; Corporate Disclosure; Cybersecurity; Information Industry; Information Technology Industry; Health Industry; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Nagle, Frank, George A. Riedel, William R. Kerr, and David Lane. "Note on Cyberattacks and Regulatory Regimes." Harvard Business School Background Note 723-392, October 2022.
      • 2022
      • Article

      Indonesia and the Third Indochina War: The End of Containment

      By: Mattias Fibiger
      The Third Indochina War called forth dramatic changes in the international relations of Southeast Asia. Foremost among these changes was a shift in the geopolitical orientation of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). The organization’s founders... View Details
      Keywords: Cold War; War; National Security; Southeast Asia; Indonesia; China
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      Fibiger, Mattias. "Indonesia and the Third Indochina War: The End of Containment." Journal of American-East Asian Relations 29, no. 3 (2022): 240–270.
      • Fall 2022
      • Article

      China's Political Economy and International Backlash: From Interdependence to Security Dilemma Dynamics

      By: Margaret Pearson, Meg Rithmire and Kellee Tsai
      Contrary to expectations that economic interdependence might lessen security conflict between China and the U.S. and its allies, much of the contestation between China and several OECD countries has focused on firms and economic links. This paper explains the... View Details
      Keywords: Globalized Markets and Industries; Government and Politics; Information Technology; China
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      Pearson, Margaret, Meg Rithmire, and Kellee Tsai. "China's Political Economy and International Backlash: From Interdependence to Security Dilemma Dynamics." International Security 47, no. 2 (Fall 2022): 135–176.
      • 2022
      • Working Paper

      Measuring the Tolerance of the State: Theory and Application to Protest

      By: Veli Andirin, Yusuf Neggers, Mehdi Shadmehr and Jesse M. Shapiro
      We develop a measure of a regime's tolerance for an action by its citizens. We ground our measure in an economic model and apply it to the setting of political protest. In the model, a regime anticipating a protest can take a costly action to repress it. We define the... View Details
      Keywords: Political Protests; Modeling And Analysis; Government and Politics; Conflict and Resolution
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      Andirin, Veli, Yusuf Neggers, Mehdi Shadmehr, and Jesse M. Shapiro. "Measuring the Tolerance of the State: Theory and Application to Protest." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 30167, June 2022.
      • March 2022 (Revised April 2022)
      • Case

      In Search of Global Regulation

      By: Geoffrey Jones and Mona Rahmani
      The history of the international regulation of global capitalism is surveyed, addressing the challenges facing firms confronting international, national, and regional regulation. Follows the history of global regulation after 1914, from the League of Nations;... View Details
      Keywords: History; Multinational Firms and Management; International Relations; Laws and Statutes; Corporate Governance; Business and Government Relations
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      Jones, Geoffrey, and Mona Rahmani. "In Search of Global Regulation." Harvard Business School Case 822-122, March 2022. (Revised April 2022.)
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      Capitalism, Slavery, and the Legacy of Cesare Beccaria

      By: Sophus A. Reinert
      The Milanese Marquis Cesare Beccaria (1738-1794) dedicated his life first to theorizing a more just and equal society grounded in individual rights, anchored in secular political economy rather than in religious dogma, then to realizing this bold vision... View Details
      Keywords: Slavery; Racism; Capitalism; History; Society
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      Reinert, Sophus A. "Capitalism, Slavery, and the Legacy of Cesare Beccaria." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-034, December 2021. (Revised January 2022.)
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      COVID-19, Government Performance, and Democracy: Survey Experimental Evidence from 12 Countries

      By: Michael Becher, Nicholas Longuet Marx, Vincent Pons, Sylvain Brouard, Martial Foucault, Vincenzo Galasso, Eric Kerrouche, Sandra León Alfonso and Daniel Stegmueller
      Beyond its immediate impact on public health and the economy, the COVID-19 pandemic has put democracy under stress. While a common view is that people should blame the government rather than the political system for bad crisis management, an opposing view is that... View Details
      Keywords: COVID-19 Pandemic; Government Performance; Democracy; Health Pandemics; Government and Politics; Crisis Management; Public Opinion
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      Becher, Michael, Nicholas Longuet Marx, Vincent Pons, Sylvain Brouard, Martial Foucault, Vincenzo Galasso, Eric Kerrouche, Sandra León Alfonso, and Daniel Stegmueller. "COVID-19, Government Performance, and Democracy: Survey Experimental Evidence from 12 Countries." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 29514, November 2021. (Revise and resubmit requested, The Journal of Politics.)
      • April 2021
      • Case

      Glass-Shattering Leaders: Ana Paula Pessoa

      By: Boris Groysberg and Colleen Ammerman
      Ana Paula Pessoa built a career at the largest media conglomerate in Latin America, combining a passion for digital transformation with a commitment to doing work that had a positive impact on society. Having grown up during a dictatorial military regime in Brazil, the... View Details
      Keywords: Glass Ceiling; Leadership; Gender; Power and Influence
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      Groysberg, Boris, and Colleen Ammerman. "Glass-Shattering Leaders: Ana Paula Pessoa." Harvard Business School Case 421-071, April 2021.
      • April 2021 (Revised December 2022)
      • Case

      Capitalism, Slavery, and Reparations

      By: Sophus A. Reinert and Cary Williams
      The birth of “Modern Economic Growth” constituted a watershed in human history, allowing societies to escape the Malthusian impasse and permanently raise living standards. While the new growth regime had lifted billions of people out of extreme poverty over the last... View Details
      Keywords: Reparations; Living Standards; Poverty; Social Issues; Economic Growth; Equality and Inequality; Globalized Economies and Regions; Human Needs
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      Reinert, Sophus A., and Cary Williams. "Capitalism, Slavery, and Reparations." Harvard Business School Case 721-044, April 2021. (Revised December 2022.)
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