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  • February 2005 (Revised November 2016)
  • Background Note

Forecasting the Adoption of a New Product

By: Elie Ofek
Provides tools and methodologies that allow forecasting demand for innovative new products. Highlights the Bass model—the theory behind it and ways to determine its parameters. Provides a detailed example of how to use the Bass model to forecast demand for satellite... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Innovation and Invention; Marketing; Demand and Consumers; Mathematical Methods; Competition
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Ofek, Elie. "Forecasting the Adoption of a New Product." Harvard Business School Background Note 505-062, February 2005. (Revised November 2016.)
  • November 2003 (Revised April 2004)
  • Background Note

Why Consumers Don't Buy: The Psychology of New Product Adoption

By: John T. Gourville
Looks at the consumer psychology of new product adoption. Identifies a key reason why consumers do not adopt innovations as quickly as developers think they should--an irrational resistance to behavioral change. Identifies strategies for firms to manage and overcome... View Details
Keywords: Product Launch; Consumer Behavior; Social Psychology
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Gourville, John T. "Why Consumers Don't Buy: The Psychology of New Product Adoption." Harvard Business School Background Note 504-056, November 2003. (Revised April 2004.)
  • 2018
  • Working Paper

Quantile Forecasts of Product Life Cycles Using Exponential Smoothing.

By: Xiaojia Guo, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr. and Yael Grushka-Cockayne
We introduce an exponential smoothing model that a manager can use to forecast the demand of a new product or service. The model has five features that make it suitable for accurately forecasting product life cycles at scale. First, the trend in our model follows the... View Details
Keywords: New Product Development; Demand Forecasting; Product Adoption; Innovation Diffusion; Product Development; Demand and Consumers; Forecasting and Prediction; Adoption
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Guo, Xiaojia, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., and Yael Grushka-Cockayne. "Quantile Forecasts of Product Life Cycles Using Exponential Smoothing." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-038, October 2018. (Darden Business School Working Paper, No. 2805244, July 2016.)
  • 2016
  • Book

Innovation Equity: Assessing and Managing the Monetary Value of New Products and Services

By: Elie Ofek, Eitan Muller and Barak Libai
This book bridges the gap between what academics know, and what innovation stakeholders—from managers, to investors, to analysts, to consumers—need to know about how new products and services are expected to perform in the marketplace. The book develops a compelling... View Details
Keywords: Innovation; Technology Diffusion; New Products; Customer Lifetime Value; Monetization Strategy; Social Influence; Innovation Adoption; Forecasting Demand; Commercialization; Marketing Strategy; Practice; Customer Value and Value Chain; Research; Innovation and Management; Technology Adoption; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Development
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Ofek, Elie, Eitan Muller, and Barak Libai. Innovation Equity: Assessing and Managing the Monetary Value of New Products and Services. University of Chicago Press, 2016.
  • April 2010 (Revised November 2011)
  • Case

Soren Chemical: Why Is the New Swimming Pool Product Sinking?

By: V. Kasturi Rangan and Sunru Yong
Topics include distribution channels, pricing, and new product marketing. Jen Moritz, the marketing manager for Soren Chemical Co. is struggling with the poor sales performance of Coracle, a new clarifier for residential swimming pools. The performance is puzzling... View Details
Keywords: Marketing Mix; New Product Marketing; Pricing; Branding; Price; Marketing Strategy; Marketing Channels; Product Launch; Brands and Branding; Communication Strategy; Chemical Industry
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Rangan, V. Kasturi, and Sunru Yong. "Soren Chemical: Why Is the New Swimming Pool Product Sinking?" Harvard Business School Brief Case 104-188, April 2010. (Revised November 2011.)
  • October 2022
  • Article

A Structural Model of Organizational Buying for Business-to-Business Markets: Innovation Adoption with Share-of-Wallet Contracts

By: Navid Mojir and K. Sudhir
The paper develops the first structural model of organizational buying to study innovation diffusion in a B2B market. Our model is particularly applicable for routinized exchange relationships, whereby centralized buyers periodically evaluate and choose contracts,... View Details
Keywords: Organizational Buying Behavior; Healthcare Marketing; B2B Markets; B2B Innovation; New Product Diffusion; New Product Adoption; Organizations; Acquisition; Behavior; Health Care and Treatment; Marketing; Innovation and Invention
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Mojir, Navid, and K. Sudhir. "A Structural Model of Organizational Buying for Business-to-Business Markets: Innovation Adoption with Share-of-Wallet Contracts." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 59, no. 5 (October 2022): 883–907.
  • 2022
  • Working Paper

Responding Strategically to Competitors' Failures: Evidence from Medical Device Recalls & New Product Submissions

By: George P. Ball, Jeffrey T. Macher and Ariel Dora Stern
Medical device firms operate at the frontiers of innovation. When functioning properly, innovative medical devices can prolong and improve lives; when malfunctioning, the same devices may harm patients and lead to product recalls. Product recalls create significant... View Details
Keywords: New Product Development; Recalls; Product Failures; Medical Devices; FDA; Health Care; Product Development; Product; Failure; Competition; Opportunities; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry
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Ball, George P., Jeffrey T. Macher, and Ariel Dora Stern. "Responding Strategically to Competitors' Failures: Evidence from Medical Device Recalls & New Product Submissions." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-028, September 2018. (Revised March 2022.)
  • 2025
  • Working Paper

New Product Diffusion Within Retailers: The Effect of Managerial Quality on Rollout

By: Tomomichi Amano and Jorge Tamayo
Retailers are key intermediaries through which consumers encounter innovation in the form of new products. How are these products rolled out within retailers? We observe significant variation in the availability of new products across stores in a large retail chain in... View Details
Keywords: Managerial Quality; Firm Performance; Diffusion Of Innovation; New Product Rollout; Retailing; Distribution Channels; Product Launch; Management Skills; Retail Industry; Colombia
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Amano, Tomomichi, and Jorge Tamayo. "New Product Diffusion Within Retailers: The Effect of Managerial Quality on Rollout." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-041, February 2025.
  • December 2002
  • Article

Something Old, Something New: A Longitudinal Study of Search Behavior and New Product Introduction

By: Riitta Katila and Gautam Ahuja
We examine how firms search, or solve problems, to create new products. According to organizational learning research, firms position themselves in a unidimensional search space that spans a spectrum from local to distant search. Our findings in the global robotics... View Details
Keywords: Problem Solving; New Products; Organizational Learning; Uncertainty; Organizational Research; Knowledge Management; Robotics; Organizational Behavior; Organizational Effectiveness; Innovation Adoption; Strategy; Product Design; Business Processes; Product Development
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Katila, Riitta, and Gautam Ahuja. "Something Old, Something New: A Longitudinal Study of Search Behavior and New Product Introduction." Academy of Management Journal 45, no. 6 (December 2002): 1183–1194.
  • Research Summary

Technology Adoption

How large are cross-country differences in technology adoption? How important are they to explain the large observed cross-country differences in per capita income? What factors accelerate of slowdown the adoption of technology? What factors affect the shape of the... View Details

  • April 2010 (Revised November 2011)
  • Teaching Note

Soren Chemical: Why is the New Swimming Pool Product Sinking (Brief Case)

By: V. Kasturi Rangan and Sunru Yong
Teaching Note for 4190 View Details
Keywords: Marketing Mix; New Product Marketing; Pricing; Branding; Marketing Strategy; Price; Marketing Channels; Product Launch; Brands and Branding; Communication Strategy
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Rangan, V. Kasturi, and Sunru Yong. "Soren Chemical: Why is the New Swimming Pool Product Sinking (Brief Case)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 104-190, April 2010. (Revised November 2011.)
  • 2019
  • Chapter

Technology Adoption

By: Chris Forman, Avi Goldfarb and Shane Greenstein
Using examples from information technology adoption, we emphasize the role of costs, benefits, communications channels and dynamic considerations in the decision to adopt new technology. We discuss differences between adoption by consumers and adoption by firms. We... View Details
Keywords: Technology Adoption
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Forman, Chris, Avi Goldfarb, and Shane Greenstein. "Technology Adoption." In The Palgrave Encyclopedia of Strategic Management. Continuously updated edition, edited by Mie Augier and David J. Teece. Palgrave Macmillan, 2017. Electronic.
  • Research Summary

Technology Adoption

Professor Ashraf's research in technology adoption addresses the puzzling question of why easy and accessible technology is not used, even when it has the potential to save lives or significantly increase income.

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  • April 2010 (Revised November 2011)
  • Supplement

Soren Chemical: Why is the New Swimming Pool Product Sinking? Spreadsheet Supplement (Brief Case)

By: V. Kasturi Rangan and Sunru Yong
Keywords: Marketing Mix; New Product Marketing; Pricing; Branding; Price; Marketing Strategy; Marketing Channels; Product Launch; Brands and Branding; Communication Strategy
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Rangan, V. Kasturi, and Sunru Yong. "Soren Chemical: Why is the New Swimming Pool Product Sinking? Spreadsheet Supplement (Brief Case)." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 104-191, April 2010. (Revised November 2011.)
  • July 1993 (Revised September 1994)
  • Case

Millipore New Product Commercialization: A Tale of Two New Products

By: V. Kasturi Rangan and Kevin Bartus
Millipore, the worldwide leader in separations technology, was in the process of launching two key new products: one a liquid chromatography/mass spectrometer and the other a virus separation membrane. The case documents the product development and commercialization... View Details
Keywords: Business or Company Management; Product Launch; Product Development; Commercialization
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Rangan, V. Kasturi, and Kevin Bartus. "Millipore New Product Commercialization: A Tale of Two New Products." Harvard Business School Case 594-010, July 1993. (Revised September 1994.)
  • November 1996 (Revised September 1997)
  • Case

BancZero New Product Development

By: Marco Iansiti and Alberto Moel
The Mexico City office of a large U.S. bank is asked by clients to develop currency swaps, a derivative financial product. This case deals with the new product development process in financial services, and the problems and issues that are raised in product development... View Details
Keywords: Product Development; Banks and Banking; Financial Instruments; Situation or Environment; Problems and Challenges; Risk and Uncertainty; Volatility; Banking Industry; Mexico City; United States
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Iansiti, Marco, and Alberto Moel. "BancZero New Product Development." Harvard Business School Case 697-044, November 1996. (Revised September 1997.)
  • 2016
  • Working Paper

Innovation Adoption and Organizational Identity: Identity Dynamism as a Strategic Resource for Top Management Team Decision Making

By: Ryan Raffaelli, Mary Ann Glynn and Michael Tushman
Organizations continuously face decisions about whether to adopt radical innovations. We examine the relationship between innovation adoption and identity, linking identity with firm strategy to explain innovation adoption over time. We conceptualize identity as... View Details
Keywords: Dynamic Managerial Capabilities; Organizational Identity; Innovation Adoption; Mission and Purpose; Organizational Culture; Innovation and Invention; Adoption
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Raffaelli, Ryan, Mary Ann Glynn, and Michael Tushman. "Innovation Adoption and Organizational Identity: Identity Dynamism as a Strategic Resource for Top Management Team Decision Making." Working Paper, 2016.
  • June 1994 (Revised March 1995)
  • Background Note

New Product Commercialization: Common Mistakes

By: V. Kasturi Rangan
Addresses the common mistakes made in new product development and launch. Many times customers' and suppliers' perceptions of the degree of product/market innovation do not match. One of them may view the innovations as a "breakthrough," but the other may view it only... View Details
Keywords: Product Development; Product Launch; Problems and Challenges
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Rangan, V. Kasturi. "New Product Commercialization: Common Mistakes." Harvard Business School Background Note 594-127, June 1994. (Revised March 1995.)
  • 13 Jun 2005
  • Research & Ideas

From Turf Wars to Learning Curves: How Hospitals Adopt New Technology

Harvard Business School professors are more likely to be found in the pages of the Academy of Management Review than the New England Journal of Medicine, but recently Gary Pisano and Robert Huckman used the latter to discuss their... View Details
Keywords: by Sara Grant; Health
  • March 1999 (Revised February 2001)
  • Background Note

New Product Development Imperative, The

By: Steven C. Wheelwright and Edward T Smith
Introduces students to the best practices for managing new product development projects. Includes concepts and tools related to structuring teams consistent with the project objectives as well as concepts and processes for improving project execution. View Details
Keywords: Management Practices and Processes; Product Development; Performance Improvement; Problems and Challenges; Groups and Teams
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Wheelwright, Steven C., and Edward T Smith. "New Product Development Imperative, The." Harvard Business School Background Note 699-152, March 1999. (Revised February 2001.)
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