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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (703)
      • Faculty Publications  (357)

      Josh LernerRemove Josh Lerner →

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      Faculty

      Josh Lerner

      Josh Lerner is the Jacob H. Schiff Professor at Harvard Business School and Co-Director of the HBS Private Capital Project.  Much of his research focuses on venture capital and private equity organizations and innovation policy. He has been recently recognized as among the forty most influential economists worldwide by ScholarGPS and research.com. He has co-directed the National Bureau of...
      Faculty

      Josh Baron

      Dr. Josh Baron is a Senior Lecturer of Business Administration at Harvard Business School and a part of the Strategy Unit. In the MBA program, he teaches in the Required Core Strategy course as well as elective courses on Ownership and Leading a Family Business. He also teaches in several executive education programs, including Owner/President Management, Family Office Wealth Management, and...

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      • May 2025
      • Article

      The Diffusion of New Technologies

      By: Aakash Kalyani, Marcela Carvalho, Nicholas Bloom, Tarek Hassan, Josh Lerner and Ahmed Tahoun
      We identify phrases associated with novel technologies using textual analysis of patents, job postings, and earnings calls, enabling us to identify four stylized facts on the diffusion of jobs relating to new technologies. First, the development of economically... View Details
      Keywords: Technology; Geography; Innovation; R&D; Technological Innovation; Research and Development; Employment; Geographic Location
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      Kalyani, Aakash, Marcela Carvalho, Nicholas Bloom, Tarek Hassan, Josh Lerner, and Ahmed Tahoun. "The Diffusion of New Technologies." Quarterly Journal of Economics 140, no. 2 (May 2025): 1299–1365. (Earlier version distributed as National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 28999 and Harvard Business School Working Paper No. 21-114. Related discussion published as “How Disruptive Technologies Diffuse,” VoxEU, 2021.)
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Case Studies of the Emulation of Chinese Entrepreneurial Business Models

      By: Josh Lerner, Junxi Liu, Jacob Moscona and David Yang
      This working paper presents four short case studies of emerging market businesses whose founders emulated Chinese firms. These examples are part of a more systematic pattern, documented extensively in Lerner et al. (2024), in which businesses developed in China were... View Details
      Keywords: Emerging Markets; Business Ventures
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      Lerner, Josh, Junxi Liu, Jacob Moscona, and David Yang. "Case Studies of the Emulation of Chinese Entrepreneurial Business Models." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-017, September 2024.
      • July 2024
      • Teaching Note

      The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-Making in a Time of Uncertainty

      By: Shai Bernstein, Josh Lerner and Sabrina T. Howell
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 824-198. View Details
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      Bernstein, Shai, Josh Lerner, and Sabrina T. Howell. "The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-Making in a Time of Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 825-052, July 2024.
      • April 2024 (Revised August 2024)
      • Case

      The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-making in a Time of Uncertainty

      By: Shai Bernstein, Sabrina Howell and Josh Lerner
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      Bernstein, Shai, Sabrina Howell, and Josh Lerner. "The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-making in a Time of Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Case 824-198, April 2024. (Revised August 2024.)
      • Second Quarter 2024
      • Article

      Venture Capital in a Time of Turmoil

      By: Josh Lerner
      One area of consensus among academic economists and policymakers is the need for greater innovation. This concern is rooted in worries about the lagging rate of productivity growth in many Western nations. In the U.S., for instance, the productivity growth rate... View Details
      Keywords: Productivity Growth; Economic Growth; Innovation and Invention; United States; Europe
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      Lerner, Josh. "Venture Capital in a Time of Turmoil." Economía Industrial 432 (Second Quarter 2024): 15–19.
      • July 2023
      • Article

      Takahashi-Alexander Revisited: Modeling Private Equity Portfolio Outcomes Using Historical Simulations

      By: Dawson Beutler, Alex Billias, Sam Holt, Josh Lerner and TzuHwan Seet
      In 2001, Dean Takahashi and Seth Alexander of the Yale University Investments Office developed a deterministic model for estimating future cash flows and valuations for the Yale endowment’s private equity portfolio. Their model, which is simple and intuitive, is still... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Portfolio; Analytics and Data Science
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      Beutler, Dawson, Alex Billias, Sam Holt, Josh Lerner, and TzuHwan Seet. "Takahashi-Alexander Revisited: Modeling Private Equity Portfolio Outcomes Using Historical Simulations." Journal of Portfolio Management 49, no. 7 (July 2023): 144–158.
      • September 2022
      • Teaching Note

      Yinglan Tan: Scaling a Venture Capital Firm in Southeast Asia

      By: Josh Lerner
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 823-025. View Details
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      Lerner, Josh. "Yinglan Tan: Scaling a Venture Capital Firm in Southeast Asia." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 823-053, September 2022.
      • 2022
      • Working Paper

      Racial Diversity in Private Capital Fundraising

      By: Johan Cassel, Josh Lerner and Emmanuel Yimfor
      Black- and Hispanic-owned funds control a very modest share of assets in the private capital industry. We find that the sensitivity of follow-on fundraising to fund performance is greater for minority-owned groups, particularly for underperforming groups. We... View Details
      Keywords: Buyouts; Capital Formation; Minorities; Venture Capital; Minority-owned Businesses; Race; Diversity; Investment Funds; Financial Services Industry
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      Cassel, Johan, Josh Lerner, and Emmanuel Yimfor. "Racial Diversity in Private Capital Fundraising." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-020, September 2022. (Revise and resubmit, Journal of Financial Economics.)
      • August 2022
      • Teaching Note

      In-Q-Tel: Innovation On A Mission

      By: Josh Lerner and Joshua Lev Krieger
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 823-031. View Details
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      Lerner, Josh, and Joshua Lev Krieger. "In-Q-Tel: Innovation On A Mission." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 823-042, August 2022.
      • August 2022
      • Case

      In-Q-Tel: Innovation On A Mission

      By: Joshua Lev Krieger and Josh Lerner
      In 2022, the leaders of In-Q-Tel (IQT) considered what was next for the unique mission-driven organization. Since 1999, IQT had one mission: to be the most sophisticated source of strategic technical knowledge and capabilities to the U.S. government and its allies. IQT... View Details
      Keywords: Mission and Purpose; National Security; Technological Innovation; Research; Geopolitical Units; Risk Management; Recruitment; Growth and Development Strategy; Venture Capital; Knowledge Management; Information Industry; Banking Industry
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      Krieger, Joshua Lev, and Josh Lerner. "In-Q-Tel: Innovation On A Mission." Harvard Business School Case 823-031, August 2022.
      • July 2022
      • Case

      Yinglan Tan: Scaling a Venture Capital Firm in Southeast Asia

      By: Josh Lerner and Richard Zhu
      Yinglan Tan considered the future of his young Singapore-based venture capital firm. On the one hand, the intuition that was behind the initial creation of Insignia in 2017 had been proven correct. The venture capital market in Southeast Asia had grown rapidly, driven... View Details
      Keywords: E-commerce; Scalability; Globalized Markets and Industries; Venture Capital; International Finance; Growth and Development; Expansion
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      Lerner, Josh, and Richard Zhu. "Yinglan Tan: Scaling a Venture Capital Firm in Southeast Asia." Harvard Business School Case 823-025, July 2022.
      • June 2022
      • Article

      The Use and Misuse of Patent Data: Issues for Finance and Beyond

      By: Josh Lerner and Amit Seru
      Patents and citations are powerful tools for understanding innovation increasingly used in financial economics (and management research more broadly). Biases may result, however, from the interactions between the truncation of patents and citations and the changing... View Details
      Keywords: Patents; Analytics and Data Science; Corporate Finance; Research
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      Lerner, Josh, and Amit Seru. "The Use and Misuse of Patent Data: Issues for Finance and Beyond." Review of Financial Studies 35, no. 6 (June 2022): 2667–2704.
      • April 2022
      • Teaching Note

      Shanghai Pudong Science and Technology Investment Co., Ltd.: December 2014

      By: Josh Lerner
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 822-111. View Details
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      Lerner, Josh. "Shanghai Pudong Science and Technology Investment Co., Ltd.: December 2014 ." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 822-123, April 2022.
      • March 2022
      • Teaching Note

      Hollie Haynes: An Unanticipated Crossroads

      By: Josh Lerner
      Keywords: Private Equity
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      Lerner, Josh. "Hollie Haynes: An Unanticipated Crossroads." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 822-085, March 2022.
      • February 2022
      • Teaching Note

      Altoona State Investment Board & Bain Capital Fund XI

      By: Josh Lerner
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 218-022. View Details
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      Lerner, Josh. "Altoona State Investment Board & Bain Capital Fund XI." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 222-059, February 2022.
      • 2022
      • Book

      The Role of Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Economic Growth

      By: Michael J. Andrews, Aaron Chatterji, Josh Lerner and Scott Stern
      We live in an era in which innovation and entrepreneurship seem ubiquitous, particularly in regions like Silicon Valley, Boston, and the Research Triangle Park. But many metrics of economic growth, such as productivity growth and business dynamism, have been at best... View Details
      Keywords: Productivity Growth; Production Technologies; Innovation and Invention; Entrepreneurship; Economic Growth; Competition; Organizational Design; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation
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      Andrews, Michael J., Aaron Chatterji, Josh Lerner, and Scott Stern, eds. The Role of Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Economic Growth. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2022.
      • October 2021
      • Teaching Note

      Apax Partners and Duck Creek Technologies

      By: Josh Lerner
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 221-075. View Details
      Keywords: Private Equity
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      Lerner, Josh. "Apax Partners and Duck Creek Technologies." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 822-029, October 2021.
      • September 2021
      • Teaching Note

      The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPP Investments): April 2021

      By: Josh Lerner
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 821-125. View Details
      Keywords: Pension Funds; Investment Strategy; Capital Markets
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      Lerner, Josh. "The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPP Investments): April 2021." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 822-036, September 2021.
      • September 2021
      • Teaching Note

      CPE and SUS Environmental: You've Got to Know When to Hold 'Em (A) and (B)

      By: Josh Lerner
      Keywords: Venture Capital; Private Equity
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      Lerner, Josh. "CPE and SUS Environmental: You've Got to Know When to Hold 'Em (A) and (B)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 822-030, September 2021.
      • Fall 2021
      • Article

      When to Go and How to Go? Founder and Leader Transitions in Private Equity Firms

      By: Josh Lerner and Diana Noble
      Leadership transition in private equity firms is an understudied field, despite the important, albeit controversial, role such firms play in developed economies. We analyzed 260 firms in an empirical study, supplemented by qualitative interviews with a small sample of... View Details
      Keywords: Leadership Transition; Private Equity; Leadership; Management Succession; Analysis
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      Lerner, Josh, and Diana Noble. "When to Go and How to Go? Founder and Leader Transitions in Private Equity Firms." Journal of Alternative Investments 24, no. 2 (Fall 2021): 9–30.
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