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    • All HBS Web  (112)
      • Faculty Publications  (19)

      Imperfect InformationRemove Imperfect Information →

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      • November 2024
      • Article

      Perceptions About Monetary Policy

      By: Michael D. Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam
      We estimate perceptions about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions varies substantially over time,... View Details
      Keywords: Monetary Policy; Policy; Interest Rates; Perception; Economy; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Bauer, Michael D., Carolin Pflueger, and Adi Sunderam. "Perceptions About Monetary Policy." Quarterly Journal of Economics 139, no. 4 (November 2024): 2227–2278.
      • 2021
      • Article

      To Thine Own Self Be True? Incentive Problems in Personalized Law

      By: Jordan M. Barry, John William Hatfield and Scott Duke Kominers
      Recent years have seen an explosion of scholarship on “personalized law.” Commentators foresee a world in which regulators armed with big data and machine learning techniques determine the optimal legal rule for every regulated party, then instantaneously disseminate... View Details
      Keywords: Personalized Law; Regulation; Regulatory Avoidance; Regulatory Arbitrage; Law And Economics; Law And Technology; Law And Artificial Intelligence; Futurism; Moral Hazard; Elicitation; Signaling; Privacy; Law; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Information Technology; AI and Machine Learning
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      Barry, Jordan M., John William Hatfield, and Scott Duke Kominers. "To Thine Own Self Be True? Incentive Problems in Personalized Law." Art. 2. William & Mary Law Review 62, no. 3 (2021).
      • March 2021
      • Article

      Assortment Rotation and the Value of Concealment

      By: Kris J. Ferreira and Joel Goh
      Assortment rotation—the retailing practice of changing the assortment of products offered to customers—has recently been used as a competitive advantage for both brick-and-mortar and online retailers. We focus on product categories where consumers may purchase multiple... View Details
      Keywords: Assortment Optimization; Retailing; Imperfect Information; Sales; Strategy; Consumer Behavior
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      Ferreira, Kris J., and Joel Goh. "Assortment Rotation and the Value of Concealment." Management Science 67, no. 3 (March 2021): 1489–1507.
      • Article

      Integrated Strategy: Residual Market and Exchange Imperfections as the Foundation of Sustainable Competitive Advantage

      By: Felix Oberholzer-Gee and Dennis Yao
      Market imperfections are central to understanding the mechanisms that permit firms to capture value. Many of these imperfections are competed away when firms struggle to attain and defend competitive advantages, making markets more efficient in the process. The... View Details
      Keywords: Integrated Strategy; Nonmarket Strategy; Market Imperfections; Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms
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      Oberholzer-Gee, Felix, and Dennis Yao. "Integrated Strategy: Residual Market and Exchange Imperfections as the Foundation of Sustainable Competitive Advantage." Special Issue on Strategy and the Institutional Environment edited by Gautam Ahuja, Laurence Capron, Michael Lenox, and Dennis A. Yao. Strategy Science 3, no. 2 (June 2018): 463–480.
      • November 2015
      • Article

      Modularity and Intellectual Property Protection

      By: Carliss Y. Baldwin and Joachim Henkel
      Modularity is a means of partitioning technical knowledge about a product or process. When state-sanctioned intellectual property (IP) rights are ineffective or costly to enforce, modularity can be used to hide information and thus protect IP. We investigate the impact... View Details
      Keywords: Modularity; Value Appropriation; Relational Contracts; Clans; Intellectual Property
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      Baldwin, Carliss Y., and Joachim Henkel. "Modularity and Intellectual Property Protection." Strategic Management Journal 36, no. 11 (November 2015): 1637–1655.
      • March 2015
      • Article

      Signaling to Partially Informed Investors in the Newsvendor Model

      By: William Schmidt, Vishal Gaur, Richard Lai and Ananth Raman
      We investigate a puzzling phenomenon in which firms make investment decisions that purposefully do not maximize expected profits. Using an extension to the newsvendor model, we focus on a relatively common scenario in which the firm's investor has imperfect information... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Investment
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      Schmidt, William, Vishal Gaur, Richard Lai, and Ananth Raman. "Signaling to Partially Informed Investors in the Newsvendor Model." Production and Operations Management 24, no. 3 (March 2015): 383–401.
      • Article

      Delayed-Response Strategies in Repeated Games with Observation Lags

      By: Drew Fudenberg, Yuhta Ishii and Scott Duke Kominers
      We extend the folk theorem of repeated games to two settings in which players' information about others' play arrives with stochastic lags. In our first model, signals are almost-perfect if and when they do arrive, that is, each player either observes an almost-perfect... View Details
      Keywords: "Repeated Games"; Folk Theorem; Private Monitoring; Observation Lag; Game Theory
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      Fudenberg, Drew, Yuhta Ishii, and Scott Duke Kominers. "Delayed-Response Strategies in Repeated Games with Observation Lags." Journal of Economic Theory 150 (March 2014): 487–514.
      • 2014
      • Working Paper

      Modularity and Intellectual Property Protection

      By: Carliss Y. Baldwin and Joachim Henkel
      Modularity is a means of partitioning technical knowledge about a product or process. When state-sanctioned intellectual property (IP) rights are ineffective or costly to enforce, modularity can be used to hide information and thus protect IP. We investigate the impact... View Details
      Keywords: Modularity; Value Appropriation; Relational Contracts; Clans; Rights; Complexity; Intellectual Property
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      Baldwin, Carliss Y., and Joachim Henkel. "Modularity and Intellectual Property Protection." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 14-046, December 2013. (Revised June 2014.)
      • Article

      Diasporas and Domestic Entrepreneurs: Evidence from the Indian Software Industry

      By: Ramana Nanda and Tarun Khanna
      This study explores the importance of cross-border social networks for entrepreneurs in developing countries by examining ties between the Indian expatriate community and local entrepreneurs in India's software industry. We find that local entrepreneurs who have... View Details
      Keywords: Diasporas; Entrepreneurship; Applications and Software; Information Technology Industry; India
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      Nanda, Ramana, and Tarun Khanna. "Diasporas and Domestic Entrepreneurs: Evidence from the Indian Software Industry." Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 19, no. 4 (Winter 2010): 991–1012.
      • January 2002 (Revised April 2015)
      • Background Note

      A Note on Maneuvering in War and Negotiation

      By: Michael Wheeler and Gillian Morris
      Military metaphors are commonplace in business writing about strategy, but they are rarely used in the negotiation literature. This case takes the Marine Corps philosophy of warfighting and compares it with the tactics and techniques of effective negotiators. Some of... View Details
      Keywords: Negotiation Tactics; Situation or Environment; Conflict and Resolution; War; Adaptation
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      Wheeler, Michael, and Gillian Morris. "A Note on Maneuvering in War and Negotiation." Harvard Business School Background Note 902-157, January 2002. (Revised April 2015.)
      • April 1995
      • Teaching Note

      Exercises on the Value of Imperfect Information TN

      By: David E. Bell
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      Bell, David E. "Exercises on the Value of Imperfect Information TN." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 895-065, April 1995.
      • November 1993 (Revised April 1995)
      • Background Note

      Orientation to the Subarctic Survival Situation

      By: Linda A. Hill
      An orientation to the "Subarctic Survival Situation" (designed by and available from Human Synergistics, Inc., Plymouth, MI, tel. 313-459-1030), an experiental exercise that gives students an opportunity to learn about their personal influence style and their... View Details
      Keywords: Leadership Style; Performance Effectiveness; Performance Evaluation; Decisions; Power and Influence; Groups and Teams; Decision Choices and Conditions
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      Hill, Linda A. "Orientation to the Subarctic Survival Situation." Harvard Business School Background Note 494-073, November 1993. (Revised April 1995.)
      • February 1991 (Revised April 1994)
      • Background Note

      Value of Information

      By: David E. Bell
      Gives some simple examples to illustrate the concept of the value of information in decision making. Both perfect and imperfect information are considered. View Details
      Keywords: Knowledge; Value; Decision Making
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      Bell, David E. "Value of Information." Harvard Business School Background Note 191-138, February 1991. (Revised April 1994.)
      • August 1988 (Revised October 1994)
      • Exercise

      Exercises on the Value of Imperfect Information

      By: David E. Bell
      Keywords: Information
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      Bell, David E. "Exercises on the Value of Imperfect Information." Harvard Business School Exercise 189-048, August 1988. (Revised October 1994.)
      • Article

      Beyond the Reach of the Invisible Hand: Impediments to Economic Activity, Market Failures, and Profitability

      By: Dennis Yao
      In this paper it is argued that failures of the competitive market are necessary conditions for supranormal profitability. Three fundamental causes of these market failures-production economies and sunk costs, transactions costs, and imperfect information-are developed... View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Markets; Failure; Profit; Cost; Information; Market Transactions; Competition; Strategy; Production
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      Yao, Dennis. "Beyond the Reach of the Invisible Hand: Impediments to Economic Activity, Market Failures, and Profitability." Strategic Management Journal 9 (Summer 1988): 59–70. (Harvard users click here for full text.)
      • Article

      Imperfect Personal Information and the Demand Revealing Process: A Sampling Approach

      By: Jerry R. Green and Jean-Jacques Laffont
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      Green, Jerry R., and Jean-Jacques Laffont. "Imperfect Personal Information and the Demand Revealing Process: A Sampling Approach." Special Issue on The Demand-Revealing Process. Public Choice 29, Suppl. (Spring 1977): 79–94.
      • spring 1969
      • Article

      Optimal Investigation Strategies with Imperfect Information

      By: Robert S. Kaplan
      Keywords: Strategy; Information; Research
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      Kaplan, Robert S. "Optimal Investigation Strategies with Imperfect Information." Journal of Accounting Research 7 (spring 1969): 32–43.
      • Teaching Interest

      Finance II (MBA Required Curriculum)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty

      This course builds on the foundation developed in Finance I, focusing on three sets of managerial decisions:

      • How to evaluate complex investments.
      • How to set and execute financial policies within a firm.
      • How to integrate... View Details
      Keywords: Finance
      • Research Summary

      Selective Attention and Learning

      By: Joshua R. Schwartzstein

      What do we notice, and how does this affect what we learn? Standard economic models of learning ignore memory by assuming that we remember everything. But there is growing recognition that memory is imperfect. Further, memory imperfections do not stem from limited... View Details

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