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  • All HBS Web  (35)
    • News  (7)
    • Research  (26)
  • Faculty Publications  (11)

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  • All HBS Web  (35)
    • News  (7)
    • Research  (26)
  • Faculty Publications  (11)
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  • October 2023
  • Article

Stock Market Stimulus

By: Robin Greenwood, Toomas Laarits and Jeffrey Wurgler
We study the stock market effects of the arrival of the three rounds of “stimulus checks” to U.S. taxpayers and the single round of direct payments to Hong Kong citizens. The first two rounds of U.S. checks appear to have increased retail buying and share prices of... View Details
Keywords: Stock Market; COVID-19 Pandemic; Fiscal Stimulus; Stimulus Payments; Impact; Stocks; System Shocks; Price; Spending; United States; Hong Kong
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Greenwood, Robin, Toomas Laarits, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Stock Market Stimulus." Review of Financial Studies 36, no. 10 (October 2023): 4082–4112. (Also NBER Working Paper Series, No. 29827, January 2023.)
  • 2022
  • Working Paper

Stock Market Stimulus

By: Robin Greenwood, Toomas Laarits and Jeffrey Wurgler
We study the stock market effects of the arrival of the three rounds of “stimulus checks” to U.S. taxpayers and the single round of direct payments to Hong Kong citizens. The first two rounds of U.S. checks appear to have increased retail buying and share prices of... View Details
Keywords: Stock Market; COVID-19 Pandemic; Fiscal Stimulus; Stimulus Payments; Impact; Stocks; System Shocks; Price; Spending; United States; Hong Kong; China
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Greenwood, Robin, Toomas Laarits, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Stock Market Stimulus." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 29827, March 2022. (Revised November 2022.)
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Fiscal Policy under Convex Supply Curves

By: Shlok Goyal, Avi Lipton and Borui Niklas Zhu
Recent empirical evidence suggests that supply curves are convex. Supply curve convexity is at odds with conventional Phillips curves, which rely on an infinitely elastic underlying supply curve. This paper explores the effect of supply curve convexity on the... View Details
Keywords: Fiscal Stimulus; Fiscal Policy; Inflation; Inflation and Deflation; Macroeconomics; Policy; Mathematical Methods; United States
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Goyal, Shlok, Avi Lipton, and Borui Niklas Zhu. "Fiscal Policy under Convex Supply Curves." Working Paper, August 2024.
  • 21 Jul 2022
  • Research & Ideas

Did Pandemic Stimulus Funds Spur the Rise of 'Meme Stocks'?

The US government set out to support consumers and jolt the economy when it issued federal stimulus checks during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic. But actually, that money helped propel questionable investments in “meme stocks,”... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne; Financial Services
  • April 2015 (Revised January 2020)
  • Case

Japan's Missing Arrow?

By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White
In late December 2014, Shinzo Abe was elected to another term as the prime minister of Japan. His re-election was largely interpreted as a vote of confidence for his economics policies, collectively referred to as "Abenomics." Comprised of three "arrows," including... View Details
Keywords: Currency; Bonds; Government Bonds; Government Debt; Public Finance; Quantitative Easing; Stimulus; Fiscal Policy; Fiscal Deficits; Debt Management; Debt Reduction; Abenomics; Exchange Rate; Exports; Reform; Economics; Macroeconomics; Policy; Government Legislation; Government and Politics; Asia; Japan
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Alfaro, Laura, and Hilary White. "Japan's Missing Arrow?" Harvard Business School Case 715-050, April 2015. (Revised January 2020.)
  • March 2010 (Revised May 2013)
  • Supplement

Chile's Copper Surplus: The Road Not Taken (B)

By: Laura Alfaro, Dante Roscini and Renee Kim
In 2009, Chile's Finance Minister Andres Velasco's fortunes had been reversed. His fiscal policy that had come under attack just a year ago had been used to finance a $4 billion fiscal stimulus package amid the global economic downturn. Velasco was now Chile's most... View Details
Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Financial Crisis; Financial Strategy; Financing and Loans; Policy; Government and Politics; Chile
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Alfaro, Laura, Dante Roscini, and Renee Kim. "Chile's Copper Surplus: The Road Not Taken (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 710-020, March 2010. (Revised May 2013.)
  • October 2011 (Revised October 2011)
  • Supplement

Barack Obama and the Bush Tax Cuts (B)

By: Matthew Weinzierl and Jacob Kuipers
President Obama signs a major fiscal stimulus package and then must debate whether to extend the Bush tax cuts.
Instructors may also obtain a Teaching Note, written by this case supplement's author, that provides suggestions for using this case supplement... View Details
Keywords: Taxation; Government and Politics; United States
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Weinzierl, Matthew, and Jacob Kuipers. "Barack Obama and the Bush Tax Cuts (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 712-012, October 2011. (Revised October 2011.)
  • January 2009 (Revised October 2011)
  • Case

Barack Obama and the Bush Tax Cuts (A)

By: Matthew C. Weinzierl and Eric D. Werker
As his inauguration approached, President-elect Obama faced a financial sector meltdown, a costly bailout, and massive government deficits. With the economy in recession, interest rates near zero, and joblessness on the rise, Obama needed to decide whether, and how... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Financial Crisis; Borrowing and Debt; Financial Management; Policy; Government Administration; Taxation; United States
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Weinzierl, Matthew C., and Eric D. Werker. "Barack Obama and the Bush Tax Cuts (A)." Harvard Business School Case 709-037, January 2009. (Revised October 2011.)
  • October 2013
  • Case

Japan: Abe's Three Arrows?

By: Richard H.K. Vietor
After the Koizumi government ended in 2006, Japan continued to struggle with slow growth, deflation and, in 2011, a tsunami and nuclear disaster. Following a series of several more unsuccessful prime ministers, Shinzo Abe again became the prime minister in 2012 and... View Details
Keywords: Economic Development; Quantitative Easing; Stagnation; National Strategy; Development Economics; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Strategy; Japan
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Vietor, Richard H.K. "Japan: Abe's Three Arrows?" Harvard Business School Case 714-017, October 2013.
  • March 2008 (Revised July 2009)
  • Case

U.S. Subprime Mortgage Crisis: Policy Reactions (A)

By: Laura Alfaro and Renee Kim
By March 2008, the U.S. Government and the U.S. Federal Reserve Board had taken various policy measures over the last few months to tackle the subprime mortgage crisis that threatened to drag the economy into a recession. The Bush administration approved a fiscal... View Details
Keywords: Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Central Banking; Mortgages; Policy; Business and Government Relations; United States
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Alfaro, Laura, and Renee Kim. "U.S. Subprime Mortgage Crisis: Policy Reactions (A)." Harvard Business School Case 708-036, March 2008. (Revised July 2009.)
  • 2023
  • Working Paper

Saving and Consumption Responses to Student Loan Forbearance

By: Justin Katz
How do households adjust savings and consumption in response to liquidity from debt relief? I study this question using policy variation induced by federal student loan forbearance in the 2020 CARES Act and an individual-level panel of daily financial transactions for... View Details
Keywords: Saving; Consumer Behavior; Borrowing and Debt; Interest Rates; Financial Liquidity; Personal Finance; Government Legislation
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Katz, Justin. "Saving and Consumption Responses to Student Loan Forbearance." SSRN Working Paper Series, January 2023.
  • 27 Apr 2010
  • First Look

First Look: April 27

expenditures. In doing so, we show that fiscal spending shocks appear to significantly dampen corporate sector investment and employment activity. These corporate reactions follow both Senate and House committee chair changes, are present... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 14 Dec 2010
  • Op-Ed

Tax US Companies to Spur Spending

Recent tax deal-making has relied on conventional instruments of fiscal stimulus. Yet, we live in unconventional times, and more novel approaches suited to the peculiarities of our current economy are required. In particular, the... View Details
Keywords: by Mihir A. Desai
  • 15 May 2007
  • Working Paper Summaries

How is Foreign Aid Spent? Evidence from a Compelling Natural Experiment

Keywords: by Eric Werker, Faisal Z. Ahmed & Charles Cohen
  • 2020
  • Working Paper

Bankruptcy and the COVID-19 Crisis

By: Jialan Wang, Jeyul Yang, Benjamin Iverson and Raymond Kluender
We examine the impact of the COVID-19 economic crisis on business and consumer bankruptcies in the United States using real-time data on the universe of filings. Historically, bankruptcies have closely tracked the business cycle and contemporaneous unemployment rates.... View Details
Keywords: Bankruptcy; Financial Distress; COVID-19; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Financial Crisis; Health Pandemics; United States
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Wang, Jialan, Jeyul Yang, Benjamin Iverson, and Raymond Kluender. "Bankruptcy and the COVID-19 Crisis." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-041, September 2020.
  • 17 Aug 2023
  • Research & Ideas

‘Not a Bunch of Weirdos’: Why Mainstream Investors Buy Crypto

$45,000 or less accounted for another 20 percent of the transactions. This shows, Di Maggio says, that the crypto market consists of “average US investors that are using crypto as an alternative asset class in their portfolio.” Impact of COVID-19 View Details
Keywords: by Ben Rand
  • 06 Nov 2008
  • Op-Ed

Selling Out The American Dream

to spend at the same level. Christmas retail sales will be an early indicator. But, not to worry, the Federal government promises to come to the rescue, with both parties supporting a fiscal stimulus in the... View Details
Keywords: by John Quelch
  • 10 Aug 2011
  • Research & Ideas

HBS Faculty Views on Debt Crisis

American families and businesses. Whether a new fiscal stimulus is merited or even possible is up for debate, but a fiscal retrenchment in the near term is likely to make... View Details
Keywords: by Staff
  • 31 Aug 2020
  • Research & Ideas

State and Local Governments Peer Into the Pandemic Abyss

Carlson School of Management, show how the link between sales tax dependence and layoffs sheds light on the growing fiscal crisis of state and local governments. The correlation between sales tax dependence and layoffs suggests that the... View Details
Keywords: by Kristen Senz
  • 01 Apr 2019
  • What Do You Think?

Does Our Bias Against Federal Deficits Need Rethinking?

ensure that, except during downturns, when new fiscal stimulus is required, new spending and tax cuts do not add to the deficit The risks associated with high debt levels are small relative to the harm... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
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