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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (586)
      • Faculty Publications  (63)

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      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      How to Choose Among Technologies with Learning Curves: Making Better Investment Decisions

      By: Christian Kaps and Arielle Anderer
      Learning curves, the fact that technologies improve as a function of cumulative experience or investment, are desirable-think inexpensive solar panels or higher performing semiconductors. But, for firms that need to pick one technology among several candidates, such as... View Details
      Keywords: Learning Curve; Technology; Innovation; Batteries; Energy Storage; Sequential Decision Making; TELCO; Exploration; Exploitation; Problems and Challenges; Cost vs Benefits; Technology Adoption; Battery Industry
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      Kaps, Christian, and Arielle Anderer. "How to Choose Among Technologies with Learning Curves: Making Better Investment Decisions." Working Paper, March 2025.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Dynamic Personalization with Multiple Customer Signals: Multi-Response State Representation in Reinforcement Learning

      By: Liangzong Ma, Ta-Wei Huang, Eva Ascarza and Ayelet Israeli
      Reinforcement learning (RL) offers potential for optimizing sequences of customer interactions by modeling the relationships between customer states, company actions, and long-term value. However, its practical implementation often faces significant challenges.... View Details
      Keywords: Dynamic Policy; Deep Reinforcement Learning; Representation Learning; Dynamic Difficulty Adjustment; Latent Variable Models; Customer Relationship Management; Customer Value and Value Chain; Foreign Direct Investment; Analytics and Data Science
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      Ma, Liangzong, Ta-Wei Huang, Eva Ascarza, and Ayelet Israeli. "Dynamic Personalization with Multiple Customer Signals: Multi-Response State Representation in Reinforcement Learning." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-037, February 2025.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Smaller than We Thought? The Effect of Automatic Savings Policies

      By: James J. Choi, David Laibson, Jordan Cammarota, Richard Lombardo and John Beshears
      Medium- and long-run dynamics undermine the effect of automatic enrollment and default savings-rate auto-escalation on retirement savings. Our analysis of 401(k) plans incorporates the facts that employees frequently leave firms (often before matching contributions... View Details
      Keywords: Personal Finance; Saving; Retirement; Behavioral Finance; Compensation and Benefits
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      Choi, James J., David Laibson, Jordan Cammarota, Richard Lombardo, and John Beshears. "Smaller than We Thought? The Effect of Automatic Savings Policies." Working Paper.
      • July 2024 (Revised January 2025)
      • Case

      Dynamic Pricing at Wendy's: Where's the Beef?

      By: Elie Ofek, Alicia Dadlani and Martha Hostetter
      In early 2024, Wendy’s new CEO announced on an earnings call that the company would install digital menus in its US locations so it could begin testing dynamic pricing—changing prices up or down in response to shifts in supply and demand – as well as allow engaging in... View Details
      Keywords: Dynamic Pricing; Marketing Strategy; Price; Technology Adoption; Consumer Behavior; AI and Machine Learning; Customer Focus and Relationships; Policy; Food and Beverage Industry
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      Ofek, Elie, Alicia Dadlani, and Martha Hostetter. "Dynamic Pricing at Wendy's: Where's the Beef?" Harvard Business School Case 525-010, July 2024. (Revised January 2025.)
      • March 2024
      • Article

      How Foes Become Allies: The Shifting Role of Business in Climate Politics

      By: Irja Vormedal and Jonas Meckling
      Firms often oppose costly public policy reforms—but under what conditions may they come to support such reforms? Previous scholarship has taken a predominantly static approach to the analysis of business positions. Here, we advance a dynamic theory of change in... View Details
      Keywords: Policy; Environmental Regulation; Business and Government Relations
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      Vormedal, Irja, and Jonas Meckling. "How Foes Become Allies: The Shifting Role of Business in Climate Politics." Policy Sciences 57, no. 1 (March 2024): 101–124.
      • February 2024
      • Supplement

      Dena Almansoori at e&: Fostering Culture Change at a UAE Telco Transforming to a Global Techco

      By: Emily Truelove, Michelle Zhang and Alpana Thapar
      Dena Almansoori, the first female and one of the youngest members of the United Arab Emirates-based e&’s leadership team, joined in 2020 just before e& began a strategic transition from being a regional telecommunications company to becoming a global technology... View Details
      Keywords: Technology; Telecommunications; Employee Mobility; Leading Change; Human Resources; Organizational Culture; Transformation; Talent and Talent Management; Change Management; Employee Relationship Management; Telecommunications Industry; Technology Industry; Middle East; United Arab Emirates
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      Truelove, Emily, Michelle Zhang, and Alpana Thapar. "Dena Almansoori at e&: Fostering Culture Change at a UAE Telco Transforming to a Global Techco." Harvard Business School Multimedia/Video Supplement 424-701, February 2024.
      • November 2023
      • Article

      Coalition Cascades: The Politics of Tipping Points in Clean Energy Transitions

      By: Jonas Meckling and Nicholas Goedeking
      Policy change often involves multiple policy subsystems, as in the case of clean energy transitions. We argue that trans- subsystem policy feedback is a central dynamic in policy change across subsystems. Policy in one subsystem creates ... View Details
      Keywords: Policy; Transition; Energy Sources; System
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      Meckling, Jonas, and Nicholas Goedeking. "Coalition Cascades: The Politics of Tipping Points in Clean Energy Transitions." Policy Studies Journal 51, no. 4 (November 2023): 715–739.
      • October 2023
      • Case

      Lasell University in 2023: Securing the Future

      By: John Jong-Hyun Kim and Mary C. Sauer
      In a groundbreaking move on September 20, 2022, Lasell University's President, Michael B. Alexander, announced an extraordinary 33% reduction in tuition, room, board, and fees, signaling a pivotal shift in higher education. Situated in an affluent Boston suburb,... View Details
      Keywords: Higher Education; Cost; Valuation; Competitive Advantage; Education Industry; United States; Massachusetts
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      Kim, John Jong-Hyun, and Mary C. Sauer. "Lasell University in 2023: Securing the Future." Harvard Business School Case 324-049, October 2023.
      • April 2023 (Revised July 2023)
      • Case

      Dena Almansoori at e&: Fostering Culture Change at a UAE Telco Transforming to a Global Techco

      By: Emily Truelove, Michelle Zhang and Alpana Thapar
      Dena Almansoori, the first female and one of the youngest members of the United Arab Emirates-based e&’s leadership team, joined in 2020 just before e& began a strategic transition from being a regional telecommunications company to becoming a global technology... View Details
      Keywords: Leadership; Culture; Transformation; Technology; Telecommunications; Employee Mobility; Talent; Leading Change; Human Resources; Telecommunications Industry; Technology Industry; Middle East; United Arab Emirates
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      Truelove, Emily, Michelle Zhang, and Alpana Thapar. "Dena Almansoori at e&: Fostering Culture Change at a UAE Telco Transforming to a Global Techco." Harvard Business School Case 423-040, April 2023. (Revised July 2023.)
      • April 2023 (Revised July 2023)
      • Case

      Dena Almansoori at e&: Fostering Culture Change at a UAE Telco Transforming to a Global Techco (Abridged)

      By: Emily Truelove, Michelle Zhang and Alpana Thapar
      Dena Almansoori, the first female and one of the youngest members of the United Arab Emirates-based e&’s leadership team, joined in 2020 just before e& began a strategic transition from being a regional telecommunications company to becoming a global technology... View Details
      Keywords: Technology; Telecommunications; Employee Mobility; Leading Change; Human Resources; Organizational Culture; Transformation; Change Management; Employee Relationship Management; Leadership; Talent and Talent Management; Telecommunications Industry; Technology Industry; Middle East; United Arab Emirates
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      Truelove, Emily, Michelle Zhang, and Alpana Thapar. "Dena Almansoori at e&: Fostering Culture Change at a UAE Telco Transforming to a Global Techco (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 423-059, April 2023. (Revised July 2023.)
      • December 8, 2022
      • Article

      The New China Shock: How Beijing’s Party-State Capitalism Is Changing the Global Economy

      By: Margaret M. Pearson, Meg Rithmire and Kellee S. Tsai
      In the wake of the global financial crisis of 2008, China began to move away from the market-based approach that had shaped its economic policies for three decades, and toward something that might be termed “party-state capitalism,” which involves a high degree of... View Details
      Keywords: International Relations; Globalized Economies and Regions; Economic Systems; Trade; China
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      Pearson, Margaret M., Meg Rithmire, and Kellee S. Tsai. "The New China Shock: How Beijing’s Party-State Capitalism Is Changing the Global Economy." ForeignAffairs.com (December 8, 2022).
      • 2022
      • Working Paper

      The Limits of Decentralized Administrative Data Collection: Experimental Evidence from Colombia

      By: Natalia Garbiras-Diaz and Tara Slough
      States collect vast amounts of data for use in policymaking and public administration. To do so, central governments frequently solicit data from decentralized bureaucrats. Because central governments use these data in policymaking, decentralized bureaucrats may face... View Details
      Keywords: Decentralization; Policy-making; Policy/economics; Policy Evaluation; Governance; Government Administration; Government and Politics; Government Legislation; Policy; Public Opinion; Analytics and Data Science; Latin America; South America; Colombia
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      Garbiras-Diaz, Natalia, and Tara Slough. "The Limits of Decentralized Administrative Data Collection: Experimental Evidence from Colombia." Working Paper, December 2022.
      • July 2022
      • Article

      Countercyclical Prudential Buffers and Bank Risk-taking

      By: Manuel Illueca, Lars Norden, Joseph Pacelli and Gregory F. Udell
      We investigate the effects of countercyclical prudential buffers on bank risk-taking. We exploit the introduction of dynamic loan loss provisioning in Spain, mandating that banks use historical average loss rates in their estimation of loan loss provisions. We find... View Details
      Keywords: Banks; Bank Regulation; Macroprudential Policies; Bank Lending; Loan Loss Provisioning; Risk Taking; Banks and Banking; Financing and Loans; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Illueca, Manuel, Lars Norden, Joseph Pacelli, and Gregory F. Udell. "Countercyclical Prudential Buffers and Bank Risk-taking." Art. 100961. Journal of Financial Intermediation 51 (July 2022).
      • 2022
      • Article

      Science-based Entrepreneurship in India: A Policy Glass (as yet) Quarter-Full

      By: Tarun Khanna
      India is celebrated for a resurgence of de novo entrepreneurship in recent decades. Entrants have engaged in creative risk-taking to provide market-based solutions for private or social needs despite not being scions of wealthy industrial or business families. In this... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Innovation and Invention; Science; Policy; Investment
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      Khanna, Tarun. "Science-based Entrepreneurship in India: A Policy Glass (as yet) Quarter-Full." India Policy Forum 19 (2022): 1–53.
      • Article

      How Much Should We Trust Staggered Difference-In-Differences Estimates?

      By: Andrew C. Baker, David F. Larcker and Charles C.Y. Wang
      We explain when and how staggered difference-in-differences regression estimators, commonly applied to assess the impact of policy changes, are biased. These biases are likely to be relevant for a large portion of research settings in finance, accounting, and law that... View Details
      Keywords: Difference In Differences; Staggered Difference-in-differences Designs; Generalized Difference-in-differences; Dynamic Treatment Effects; Mathematical Methods
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      Baker, Andrew C., David F. Larcker, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "How Much Should We Trust Staggered Difference-In-Differences Estimates?" Journal of Financial Economics 144, no. 2 (May 2022): 370–395. (Editor's Choice, May 2022; Jensen Prize, First Place, June 2023.)
      • 2022
      • Working Paper

      THEMIS: A Framework for Cost-Benefit Analysis of COVID-19 Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions

      By: Dimitris Bertsimas, Michael Lingzhi Li and Saksham Soni
      Since December 2019, the world has been ravaged by the COVID-19 pandemic, with over 150 million confirmed cases and 3 million confirmed deaths worldwide. To combat the spread of COVID-19, governments have issued unprecedented non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs),... View Details
      Keywords: COVID-19; Health Pandemics; Policy; Framework; Cost vs Benefits; Outcome or Result; United States; Germany; Brazil; Singapore; Spain
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      Bertsimas, Dimitris, Michael Lingzhi Li, and Saksham Soni. "THEMIS: A Framework for Cost-Benefit Analysis of COVID-19 Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions." Working Paper, April 2022.
      • Article

      Eliminating Unintended Bias in Personalized Policies Using Bias-Eliminating Adapted Trees (BEAT)

      By: Eva Ascarza and Ayelet Israeli

      An inherent risk of algorithmic personalization is disproportionate targeting of individuals from certain groups (or demographic characteristics such as gender or race), even when the decision maker does not intend to discriminate based on those “protected”... View Details

      Keywords: Algorithm Bias; Personalization; Targeting; Generalized Random Forests (GRF); Discrimination; Customization and Personalization; Decision Making; Fairness; Mathematical Methods
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      Ascarza, Eva, and Ayelet Israeli. "Eliminating Unintended Bias in Personalized Policies Using Bias-Eliminating Adapted Trees (BEAT)." e2115126119. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119, no. 11 (March 8, 2022).
      • March 2022
      • Article

      Loan Types and the Bank Lending Channel

      By: Victoria Ivashina, Luc Laeven and Enrique Moral-Benito
      Using credit-registry data for Spain and Peru, we document that four main types of commercial credit—asset-based loans, cash flow loans, trade finance and leasing—are easily identifiable and represent the bulk of corporate credit. We show that credit growth dynamics... View Details
      Keywords: Bank Credit; Loan Types; Bank Lending Channel; Credit Registry; Banks and Banking; Credit; Financing and Loans
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      Ivashina, Victoria, Luc Laeven, and Enrique Moral-Benito. "Loan Types and the Bank Lending Channel." Journal of Monetary Economics 126 (March 2022): 171–187.
      • 2022
      • Working Paper

      The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates

      By: Sebastian Hillenbrand
      In this paper I document a striking fact: a narrow window around Fed meetings fully captures the secular decline in U.S. Treasury yields since 1980. By contrast, yield movements outside this window are transitory and wash out over time. This is surprising because the... View Details
      Keywords: United States Treasury; Monetary Policy; Yield Curve; Central Banking; Interest Rates; Valuation
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      Hillenbrand, Sebastian. "The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates." Working Paper, January 2022.
      • November 2021
      • Article

      Making Industrial Policy Work for Decarbonization

      By: Jonas Meckling
      Industrial policy has begun to move into the center of debates on climate policy. This represents a shift away from climate policy as we know it—as classic environmental policy. Industrial policy and environmental policy differ in their policy goals, policy... View Details
      Keywords: Environmental Regulation; Policy; Government and Politics; Climate Change
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      Meckling, Jonas. "Making Industrial Policy Work for Decarbonization." Global Environmental Politics 21, no. 4 (November 2021): 134–147.
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