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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (1,459)
      • Faculty Publications  (244)

      Economic MeasurementRemove Economic Measurement →

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      • 2013
      • Working Paper

      Digital Dark Matter and the Economics of Apache

      By: Shane Greenstein and Frank Nagle
      Researchers have long hypothesized that spillovers from government, university, and private company R&D contribute to economic growth, but these contributions may be difficult to measure when they take a non-pecuniary form. The growth of networking devices and the... View Details
      Keywords: Measurement and Metrics; Internet and the Web; Performance Productivity; Applications and Software; Economic Growth; Research and Development
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      Greenstein, Shane, and Frank Nagle. "Digital Dark Matter and the Economics of Apache." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 19507, October 2013.
      • Article

      Consumers' Misunderstanding of Health Insurance

      By: George Loewenstein, Joelle Y. Friedman, Barbara McGill, Sarah Ahmad, Suzanne Linck, Stacey Sinkula, John Beshears, James J. Choi, Jonathan Kolstad, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, John A. List and Kevin G. Volpp
      We report results from two surveys of representative samples of Americans with private health insurance. The first examines how well Americans understand, and believe they understand, traditional health insurance coverage. The second examines whether those insured... View Details
      Keywords: Behavioral Economics; Simplification; Insurance; Consumer Behavior; Health Care and Treatment; Cognition and Thinking; Insurance Industry; Health Industry; United States
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      Loewenstein, George, Joelle Y. Friedman, Barbara McGill, Sarah Ahmad, Suzanne Linck, Stacey Sinkula, John Beshears, James J. Choi, Jonathan Kolstad, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, John A. List, and Kevin G. Volpp. "Consumers' Misunderstanding of Health Insurance." Journal of Health Economics 32, no. 5 (September 2013): 850–862.
      • 2013
      • Working Paper

      Adjusting National Accounting for Health: Is the Business Cycle Countercyclical?

      By: Mark Egan, Casey B. Mulligan and Tomas J. Philipson
      Many national accounts of economic output and prosperity, such as gross domestic product (GDP) or net domestic product (NDP), offer an incomplete picture by ignoring, for example, the value of leisure, home production, and the value of health. Previous discussed... View Details
      Keywords: Health; Valuation; Accounting; United States
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      Egan, Mark, Casey B. Mulligan, and Tomas J. Philipson. "Adjusting National Accounting for Health: Is the Business Cycle Countercyclical?" NBER Working Paper Series, No. 19058, May 2013.
      • 11 Apr 2013
      • Panel Discussion

      From Per Capita to Pro Capita: Launch of the Social Progress Imperative

      By: Michael E. Porter, Michael Green, Heather Hancock, Judith Rodin, Madhav Chavan and Ngaire Woods
      What is a successful country? The global debate about development has, for decades, been focused on a single, economic measure of success: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Per Capita. But this tells us little about the real wellbeing of a nation or its sustainability. What... View Details
      Keywords: Social Progress Index; Country; Measurement and Metrics; Social Issues
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      Porter, Michael E., Michael Green, Heather Hancock, Judith Rodin, Madhav Chavan, and Ngaire Woods. "From Per Capita to Pro Capita: Launch of the Social Progress Imperative." Skoll World Forum on Social Entrepreneurship, Skoll Foundation, United Kingdom, April 11, 2013.
      • Article

      Online and Official Price Indexes: Measuring Argentina's Inflation

      By: Alberto Cavallo
      Prices collected from online retailers can be used to construct daily price indexes that complement official statistics. This paper studies their ability to match official inflation estimates in five Latin American countries, with a focus on Argentina, where official... View Details
      Keywords: Inflation; Online Price Index; Economics; Macroeconomics; Inflation and Deflation; Price; Latin America; Argentina
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      Cavallo, Alberto. "Online and Official Price Indexes: Measuring Argentina's Inflation." Journal of Monetary Economics 60, no. 2 (March 2013): 152–165.
      • February 2013
      • Article

      Digitization, Innovation, and Copyright: What Is the Agenda?

      By: Shane Greenstein, Josh Lerner and Scott Stern
      This essay discusses the need for research on the consequences of digitization, as well as the impact of alternative policies governing the creation and use of digital information. This agenda focuses on the development of research to investigate the economics of... View Details
      Keywords: Information Technology; Research; Copyright; Information Management; Innovation and Invention
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      Greenstein, Shane, Josh Lerner, and Scott Stern. "Digitization, Innovation, and Copyright: What Is the Agenda?" Strategic Organization 11, no. 1 (February 2013): 110–121.
      • 2013
      • Book

      Business Analysis and Valuation: Using Financial Statements, Text and Cases

      By: Krishna G. Palepu and Paul M. Healy
      This book provides a framework for business analysis and has been used by business schools throughout the world. It provides a foundation for analysis using four key steps: 1) Strategy analysis: Identifying a firm's strategy and understanding sources of its competitive... View Details
      Keywords: Governance; Debt Securities; Valuation; Performance Evaluation; Financial Statements; Credit; Business Ventures; Strategy; Financial Condition; Mergers and Acquisitions; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Palepu, Krishna G., and Paul M. Healy. Business Analysis and Valuation: Using Financial Statements, Text and Cases. 5th ed. Cengage Learning, 2013.
      • October 2012
      • Case

      Brazil 2003: Inflation Targeting and Debt Dynamics (Abridged)

      By: Laura Alfaro and Rafael Di Tella
      In October 2002, Brazilians elected a left-wing president, Luis Inacio Lula da Silva, for the first time in that country's history. As markets faltered in response, Lula sought to reaffirm his commitment to fiscal discipline, a floating exchange rate, and inflation... View Details
      Keywords: Brazil; Inflation; Emerging Markets; Inflation and Deflation; Brazil
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Rafael Di Tella. "Brazil 2003: Inflation Targeting and Debt Dynamics (Abridged) ." Harvard Business School Case 713-041, October 2012.
      • September 2012 (Revised July 2013)
      • Case

      Can the Eurozone Survive?

      By: Dante Roscini and Jonathan Schlefer
      The sovereign debt crisis that took Greece by storm in 2010 began to spread to other European markets. Within a few months Ireland and Portugal had also lost access to the sovereign debt markets and had to rely on supranational loans for their financing. The risk of... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Debt Crisis; Currency Areas; Financial Crisis; Borrowing and Debt; Currency Exchange Rate; International Relations; Banking Industry; European Union; Germany; France; Italy; Spain; Greece; Portugal
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      Roscini, Dante, and Jonathan Schlefer. "Can the Eurozone Survive?" Harvard Business School Case 713-034, September 2012. (Revised July 2013.)
      • September 2012
      • Article

      The Relationship Between Economic Preferences and Psychological Personality Measures

      By: Anke Becker, Thomas Deckers, Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk and Fabian Kosse
      Although both economists and psychologists seek to identify determinants of heterogeneity in behavior, they use different concepts to capture them. In this review, we first analyze the extent to which economic preferences and psychological concepts of personality, such... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Preference; Time Preference; Social Preferences; Locus Of Control; Big Five; Economics; Behavior; Personal Characteristics
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      Becker, Anke, Thomas Deckers, Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, and Fabian Kosse. "The Relationship Between Economic Preferences and Psychological Personality Measures." Annual Review of Economics 4 (September 2012): 453–478.
      • 2012
      • Working Paper

      The Determinants of National Competitiveness

      By: Mercedes Delgado, Christian Ketels, Michael E. Porter and Scott Stern
      We define foundational competitiveness as the expected level of output per working-age individual that is supported by the overall quality of a country as a place to do business. The focus on output per potential worker, a broader measure of national productivity than... View Details
      Keywords: Country; Competition; Microeconomics; Macroeconomics
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      Delgado, Mercedes, Christian Ketels, Michael E. Porter, and Scott Stern. "The Determinants of National Competitiveness." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 18249, July 2012.
      • July 2012
      • Article

      The Real Consequences of Market Segmentation

      By: Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam
      We study the real effects of market segmentation due to credit ratings using a matched sample of firms just above and just below the investment-grade cutoff. These firms have similar observables, including average investment rates. However, flows into high-yield mutual... View Details
      Keywords: Segmentation; Credit; Investment; Investment Funds; Quality; Markets; Measurement and Metrics; Business Ventures
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      Chernenko, Sergey, and Adi Sunderam. "The Real Consequences of Market Segmentation." Review of Financial Studies 25, no. 7 (July 2012): 2041–2069. (Winner of the RFS Young Researcher Prize 2012.)
      • 2012
      • Discussion Paper

      Labor Productivity and Quality Change in Singapore: Achievements in 1974-2011 and Prospects for the Next Two Decades

      By: Koji Nomura and Tomomichi Amano
      Labor productivity growth in Singapore that has grown at a rate of over 3.0 percent per year since 1970s considerably slowed down to 0.5 percent on average per annum in the latter half of the 2000s. The purpose of this paper is to ask, first, to what extent Singapore’s... View Details
      Keywords: Labor; Performance Productivity; Quality; Economic Growth; Singapore
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      Nomura, Koji, and Tomomichi Amano. "Labor Productivity and Quality Change in Singapore: Achievements in 1974-2011 and Prospects for the Next Two Decades." Discussion Paper, Keio Economic Observatory, 2012.
      • 2012
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Measuring the Broadband Bonus in 20 OECD Countries

      By: Shane Greenstein and Ryan McDevitt
      This paper provides estimates of the economic value created by broadband Internet using measures of new gross domestic product and consumer surplus. The study finds that the economic value created in 30 OECD countries correlates roughly with the overall size of their... View Details
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      Greenstein, Shane, and Ryan McDevitt. "Measuring the Broadband Bonus in 20 OECD Countries." OECD Digital Economy Papers, No. 197, OECD Publishing, April 2012.
      • March 2012
      • Article

      How to Make Finance Work

      By: Robin Greenwood and David S. Scharfstein
      Once a sleepy old boys' club, the U.S. financial sector is now a dynamic and growing business that attracts the best and the brightest. It is tempting to declare the industry a roaring success. But its purpose is to serve the needs of U.S. households and firms, and by... View Details
      Keywords: Business Ventures; Value; Competitive Advantage; Investment; Performance Evaluation; Household; Financial Crisis; Finance; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Greenwood, Robin, and David S. Scharfstein. "How to Make Finance Work." Harvard Business Review 90, no. 3 (March 2012).
      • March 2012
      • Article

      The Incentive Bubble

      By: Mihir Desai
      The past three decades have seen American capitalism quietly transformed by a single, powerful idea—that financial markets are a suitable tool for measuring performance and structuring compensation. Stock instruments for managers, high-powered incentive contracts for... View Details
      Keywords: Economic Systems; Financial Markets; Executive Compensation; Motivation and Incentives; Corporate Governance; Equality and Inequality; Human Capital; United States
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      Desai, Mihir. "The Incentive Bubble." Harvard Business Review 90, no. 3 (March 2012).
      • January – March 2012
      • Article

      Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

      By: Luis M. Viceira
      This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Interest Rates; Inflation and Deflation; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash Flow; Stocks
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      Viceira, Luis M. "Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1 (January–March 2012): 97–117.
      • 2012
      • Case

      ChemChina

      By: F. Warren McFarlan, Donghong Li, Lei Li and Hong Zhang
      ChemChina is China's largest basic chemical manufacturing firm. It was included in Fortune Global 500 in 2011 and 2012, ranked No. 475 and 402. Its sales revenue in 2011 was 179 billion yuan, and profit was 600 million yuan. The year-end total assets were 254.2 billion... View Details
      Keywords: Reorganization; Strategy; China; China
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      McFarlan, F. Warren, Donghong Li, Lei Li, and Hong Zhang. "ChemChina." Tsinghua University Case, 2012.
      • 2012
      • Teaching Note

      ChemChina (TN)

      By: F. Warren McFarlan, Donghong Li, Lei Li and Hong Zhang
      ChemChina is China's largest basic chemical manufacturing firm. It was included in Fortune Global 500 in 2011 and 2012, ranked No. 475 and 402. Its sales revenue in 2011 was 179 billion yuan, and profit was 600 million yuan. The year-end total assets were 254.2 billion... View Details
      Keywords: Reorganization; Strategy; China; China
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      McFarlan, F. Warren, Donghong Li, Lei Li, and Hong Zhang. "ChemChina (TN)." Tsinghua University Teaching Note, 2012.
      • 2012
      • Article

      The Excess Burden of Government Indecision

      By: Francisco J. Gomes, Laurence J. Kotlikoff and Luis M. Viceira
      Governments are known for procrastinating when it comes to resolving painful policy problems. Whatever the political motives for waiting to decide, procrastination distorts economic decisions relative to what would arise with early policy resolution. In so doing, it... View Details
      Keywords: Saving; Risk and Uncertainty; Investment Portfolio; Decision Choices and Conditions; Retirement; Policy; Government and Politics
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      Gomes, Francisco J., Laurence J. Kotlikoff, and Luis M. Viceira. "The Excess Burden of Government Indecision." Tax Policy and the Economy 26 (2012): 125–163.
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