probability - Publications - Faculty & Research

21 Apr 2010
News

A better fail-safe than CoCo bonds

12 Feb 2013
News

Abraham Lincoln: A Man of Humility, Not Destiny

19 Sep 2018
News

Why CEOs Should Share Their Long-Term Plans with Investors

2022
Working Paper

Measuring the Tolerance of the State: Theory and Application to Protest

By: Veli Andirin, Yusuf Neggers, Mehdi Shadmehr and Jesse M. Shapiro

We develop a measure of a regime's tolerance for an action by its citizens. We ground our measure in an economic model and apply it to the setting of political protest. In the model, a regime anticipating a protest can take a costly action to repress it. We define the... View Details

Keywords: Political Protests; Modeling And Analysis; Government and Politics; Conflict and Resolution

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07 Feb 2017
Working Paper Summaries

Rainy Day Stocks

Keywords: by Niels Gormsen and Robin Greenwood

04 Sep 2012
News

P&G Directors Face Own Challenges While Keeping Tabs on McDonald

January 2005 (Revised March 2005)
Case

WorldCom, Inc.: Two Views

By: David F. Hawkins

Financial analysis is one way to detect WorldCom's fraudulent accounting. This case presents two perspectives of WorldCom: the company as viewed by security analysts and the inside view of the accounting fraud. Also looks at the company's acquisition accounting to... View Details

Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Risk Management; Crime and Corruption; Accounting

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10 Sep 2020
News

Using Systems Thinking to Stay on Goal

24 Jul 2014
Blog Post

Create a Content Marketing Strategy for your Talent Acquisitions Team

As a talent acquisitions manager or a marketing manager within a human resources team, you’ve probably asked yourself how to reach large quantities of high quality candidates in a thoughtful and meaningful way. You’ve leveraged various... View Details

January 2019
Article

Bubbles for Fama

By: Robin Greenwood, Andrei Shleifer and Yang You

We evaluate Eugene Fama's claim that stock prices do not exhibit price bubbles. Based on U.S. industry returns 1926–2014 and international sector returns 1985–2014, we present four findings: (1) Fama is correct in that a sharp price increase of an industry portfolio... View Details

Keywords: Bubble; Market Efficiency; Predictability; Price Bubble; Stocks; Price; Forecasting and Prediction

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June 2016
Article

Vaccination Rates Are Associated with Functional Proximity but Not Base Proximity of Vaccination Clinics

By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian and Gwendolyn I. Reynolds

Background: Routine annual influenza vaccinations are recommended for persons 6 months of age and older, but less than half of U.S. adults get vaccinated. Many employers offer employees free influenza vaccinations at workplace clinics, but even then take-up is... View Details

Keywords: Geographic Location; Employees; Health Care and Treatment

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28 Dec 2010
News

Five Best Business Books to Read for Your Career in 2011

07 Feb 2020
News

The Age of Mass Migration: Contrasting Economic and Political Effects

02 Nov 2016
News

Small Measures Can Liberate Employees to Contribute Their Best

08 Mar 2015
News

Apple Watch could 'win the wrist back'

2023
Article

Association Between Regulatory Submission Characteristics and Recalls of Medical Devices Receiving 510(k) Clearance

By: Alexander O. Everhart, Soumya Sen, Ariel D. Stern, Yi Zhu and Pinar Karaca-Mandic

Importance: Most regulated medical devices enter the U.S. market via the 510(k) regulatory submission pathway, wherein manufacturers demonstrate that applicant devices are “substantially equivalent” to 1 or more “predicate” devices (legally marketed medical devices... View Details

Keywords: Recalls; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry

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