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    • All HBS Web  (1,134)
      • Faculty Publications  (225)

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      • December 2014
      • Article

      The Discipline of Business Experimentation

      By: Stefan Thomke and Jim Manzi
      The data you already have can't tell you how customers will react to innovations. To discover if a truly novel concept will succeed, you must subject it to a rigorous experiment. In most companies, tests do not adhere to scientific and statistical principles. As a... View Details
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      Thomke, Stefan, and Jim Manzi. "The Discipline of Business Experimentation." Harvard Business Review 92, no. 12 (December 2014): 70–79.
      • Winter 2014
      • Article

      Retail Inventory: Managing the Canary in the Coal Mine!

      By: Vishal Gaur, Saravanan Kesavan and Ananth Raman
      Retail inventory is a statistic that is closely watched by retailers as well as their investors, lenders, and suppliers. Retailers not only benefit from inventory, but also bear the cost of excess inventory. Investors, lenders, and suppliers interpret this statistic... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Condition; Retail Industry
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      Gaur, Vishal, Saravanan Kesavan, and Ananth Raman. "Retail Inventory: Managing the Canary in the Coal Mine!" California Management Review 56, no. 2 (Winter 2014): 55–76.
      • October 2014
      • Article

      Sovereigns, Upstream Capital Flows and Global Imbalances

      By: Laura Alfaro, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Vadym Volosovych
      We construct measures of net private and public capital flows for a large cross-section of developing countries considering both creditor and debtor side of the international debt transactions. Using these measures, we demonstrate that sovereign-to-sovereign... View Details
      Keywords: Current Account; Aid/government Debt; Reserves; Puzzles; Productivity; Sovereign Finance; Developing Countries and Economies; Macroeconomics
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      Alfaro, Laura, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, and Vadym Volosovych. "Sovereigns, Upstream Capital Flows and Global Imbalances." Journal of the European Economic Association 12, no. 5 (October 2014): 1240–1284. (Also NBER Working Paper 17396. Online Appendix. See International capital flows database for the data on measures of net private and public capital flows for a large cross-section of developing countries.)
      • 2014
      • Teaching Note

      Fine Harvest Restaurant Group

      By: Clara X. Chen, Kenneth A. Merchant, Tatiana Sandino and Wim Van der Stede
      The Fine Harvest Restaurant Group cases A and B examine a company's design of a new system to evaluate the performance (and determine the bonuses) for its restaurant managers. Fine Harvest had traditionally evaluated restaurant managers based on store margins and had... View Details
      Keywords: Incentive Systems; Relative Performance Evaluation; Restaurant Industry; Accounting; Economics; Human Resources; Measurement and Metrics; Labor; Performance; Salesforce Management; Retail Industry; North and Central America
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      Chen, Clara X., Kenneth A. Merchant, Tatiana Sandino, and Wim Van der Stede. "Fine Harvest Restaurant Group." University of Southern California, Marshall School of Business Teaching Note, 2014.
      • June 2014
      • Simulation

      Balanced Scorecard Simulation

      By: V.G. Narayanan
      In this multi-player simulation, students experience the benefits and challenges of using a scorecard to implement strategic initiatives and monitor firm performance. Small teams of students work together to choose a strategy for their company, create a strategy map,... View Details
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      "Balanced Scorecard Simulation." Harvard Business School Simulation 114-701, June 2014.
      • June 2014 (Revised July 2014)
      • Background Note

      An Overview of Project Finance and Infrastructure Finance—2014 Update

      By: Benjamin C. Esty, Carla Chavich and Aldo Sesia
      Provides an introduction to the fields of project finance and infrastructure finance, and gives a statistical overview of project-financed investments over the years from 2009 to 2013. Examples of project-financed investments include the Kashagan oil field development... View Details
      Keywords: Globalization; Capital Expenditures; International Finance; Data; Financial History; Economic Development; Corporate Governance; Contracts; Industry Analysis; Banking; Capital Investments; Municipal Finance; Project Finance; Infrastructure; Investment; Projects; Trends
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      Esty, Benjamin C., Carla Chavich, and Aldo Sesia. "An Overview of Project Finance and Infrastructure Finance—2014 Update." Harvard Business School Background Note 214-083, June 2014. (Revised July 2014.)
      • 2013
      • Book

      Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First Economic Forecasters

      By: Walter A. Friedman
      The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic forecasters, pioneers who sought to use the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting And Prediction; Economic History; Economics; History; Risk and Uncertainty; United States
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      Friedman, Walter A. Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First Economic Forecasters. Princeton University Press, 2013.
      • September 2013
      • Article

      Testimonials Do Not Convert Patients from Brand to Generic Medication

      By: John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian and Gwendolyn Reynolds

      Objectives: To assess whether the addition of a peer testimonial to an informational mailing increases conversion rates from brand name prescription medications to lower-cost therapeutic equivalents, and whether the testimonial's efficacy increases when... View Details

      Keywords: Testimonial; Peer Information; Social Proximity; Communication; Generic Medication; Familiarity; Marketing Communications; Decision Choices and Conditions; Identity; Health Care and Treatment; Marketing Reference Programs; Power and Influence; Brands and Branding; Health Industry
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      Beshears, John, James J. Choi, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and Gwendolyn Reynolds. "Testimonials Do Not Convert Patients from Brand to Generic Medication." American Journal of Managed Care 19, no. 9 (September 2013): e314–e316.
      • July 2013 (Revised August 2017)
      • Case

      TaKaDu

      By: Elie Ofek and Matthew Preble
      In December 2012, Amir Peleg, founder and CEO of TaKaDu, reflected on how to position his young firm for the next fiscal year and beyond. The small Israeli startup had developed an innovative software system that used patented algorithms and statistical analysis to... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation; Customer Selection; Business Marketing; High-tech Marketing; Enterprise Resource Planning; Water Resources; Water Management; Utilities; Product Positioning; Expansion; Resource Allocation; Applications and Software; Entrepreneurship; Business Startups; Business Strategy; Innovation and Invention; Growth and Development Strategy; Utilities Industry; Australia; Israel
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      Ofek, Elie, and Matthew Preble. "TaKaDu." Harvard Business School Case 514-011, July 2013. (Revised August 2017.)
      • Article

      Fast Generalized Subset Scan for Anomalous Pattern Detection

      By: Edward McFowland III, Skyler Speakman and Daniel B. Neill
      We propose Fast Generalized Subset Scan (FGSS), a new method for detecting anomalous patterns in general categorical data sets. We frame the pattern detection problem as a search over subsets of data records and attributes, maximizing a nonparametric scan statistic... View Details
      Keywords: Pattern Detection; Anomaly Detection; Knowledge Discovery; Bayesian Networks; Scan Statistics; Analytics and Data Science
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      McFowland III, Edward, Skyler Speakman, and Daniel B. Neill. "Fast Generalized Subset Scan for Anomalous Pattern Detection." Art. 12. Journal of Machine Learning Research 14 (2013): 1533–1561.
      • Article

      Fast Subset Scan for Multivariate Spatial Biosurveillance

      By: Daniel B. Neill, Edward McFowland III and Huanian Zheng
      We present new subset scan methods for multivariate event detection in massive space-time datasets. We extend the recently proposed 'fast subset scan' framework from univariate to multivariate data, enabling computationally efficient detection of irregular space-time... View Details
      Keywords: Algorithms; Disease Surveillance; Event Detection; Scan Statistics; Spatial Scan
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      Neill, Daniel B., Edward McFowland III, and Huanian Zheng. "Fast Subset Scan for Multivariate Spatial Biosurveillance." Statistics in Medicine 32, no. 13 (June 15, 2013): 2185–2208.
      • May 2013 (Revised July 2014)
      • Background Note

      Private Equity Exits

      By: Paul A. Gompers and Timothy Dore
      This note presents statistics on private equity exits and discusses important issues relating to the most common exit routes. View Details
      Keywords: Private Equity
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      Gompers, Paul A., and Timothy Dore. "Private Equity Exits." Harvard Business School Background Note 213-112, May 2013. (Revised July 2014.)
      • 2015
      • Working Paper

      Online Word of Mouth and Product Review Disagreement

      By: Frank Nagle and Christoph Riedl
      Studies of online word of mouth have frequently posited―but never systematically conceptualized and explored―that the level of disagreement between existing product reviews can impact the volume and the valence of future reviews. In this study we develop a theoretical... View Details
      Keywords: Online Word Of Mouth; Online Communities; Viral Marketing; Online Product Reviews; Quality; Internet and the Web; Consumer Behavior; Marketing Reference Programs; Social and Collaborative Networks; Digital Marketing; Analytics and Data Science
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      Nagle, Frank, and Christoph Riedl. "Online Word of Mouth and Product Review Disagreement." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 13-091, May 2013. (Revised May 2015, selected for AOM Best Paper Proceedings.)
      • Article

      Online and Official Price Indexes: Measuring Argentina's Inflation

      By: Alberto Cavallo
      Prices collected from online retailers can be used to construct daily price indexes that complement official statistics. This paper studies their ability to match official inflation estimates in five Latin American countries, with a focus on Argentina, where official... View Details
      Keywords: Inflation; Online Price Index; Economics; Macroeconomics; Inflation and Deflation; Price; Latin America; Argentina
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      Cavallo, Alberto. "Online and Official Price Indexes: Measuring Argentina's Inflation." Journal of Monetary Economics 60, no. 2 (March 2013): 152–165.
      • June 2012 (Revised August 2013)
      • Case

      Driving Towards a Disruption?

      By: Willy Shih and William Noble
      As Clayton Christensen drove to the studio to deliver an online executive education class, he pondered the future of management education. How big a threat did online degree programs, corporate universities, and other innovations in the delivery of management training... View Details
      Keywords: Disruptive Technology; Performance Trajectories; Disruptive Innovations; Business Education; Business School; Internet And Online Services Industries; Disruptive Innovation; Higher Education; Corporate Strategy; Internet; Performance; Education Industry; Boston
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      Shih, Willy, and William Noble. "Driving Towards a Disruption?" Harvard Business School Case 612-101, June 2012. (Revised August 2013.)
      • 2012
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Measuring the Broadband Bonus in 20 OECD Countries

      By: Shane Greenstein and Ryan McDevitt
      This paper provides estimates of the economic value created by broadband Internet using measures of new gross domestic product and consumer surplus. The study finds that the economic value created in 30 OECD countries correlates roughly with the overall size of their... View Details
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      Greenstein, Shane, and Ryan McDevitt. "Measuring the Broadband Bonus in 20 OECD Countries." OECD Digital Economy Papers, No. 197, OECD Publishing, April 2012.
      • 2012
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Lost in the Clouds: The Impact of Copyright Scope on Investment in Cloud Computing Ventures

      By: Josh Lerner and Greg Rafert
      Our analysis seeks to understand the impact of changes in copyright scope on investment in new firms. We begin by analyzing the investment effects of the Cartoon Network, et al. v. Cablevision decision in the U.S. and court rulings in France and Germany on venture... View Details
      Keywords: Technological Innovation; Venture Capital; Internet and the Web; Investment; Business Startups; Copyright; France; Germany; United States; European Union
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      Lerner, Josh, and Greg Rafert. "Lost in the Clouds: The Impact of Copyright Scope on Investment in Cloud Computing Ventures." 2012.
      • 2014
      • Working Paper

      De Gustibus non est Taxandum: Heterogeneity in Preferences and Optimal Redistribution

      By: Benjamin B Lockwood and Matthew Weinzierl
      The prominent but unproven intuition that preference heterogeneity reduces redistribution in a standard optimal tax model is shown to hold under the plausible condition that the distribution of preferences for consumption relative to leisure rises, in terms of... View Details
      Keywords: Spending; Policy; Taxation; Theory; United States
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      Lockwood, Benjamin B., and Matthew Weinzierl. "De Gustibus non est Taxandum: Heterogeneity in Preferences and Optimal Redistribution." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-063, January 2012. (Updated September 2014. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 17784. Published in Journal of Public Economics.)
      • Article

      Entry into Platform-based Markets

      By: Feng Zhu and Marco Iansiti
      This paper examines the relative importance of platform quality, indirect network effects, and consumer expectations on the success of entrants in platform-based markets. We develop a theoretical model and find that an entrant's success depends on the strength of... View Details
      Keywords: Platform-based Markets; Winnter-take-all; First-mover Advantage; Indirect Network Effects; Video Game Industry; Quality; Network Effects; Market Entry and Exit; Digital Platforms; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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      Zhu, Feng, and Marco Iansiti. "Entry into Platform-based Markets." Strategic Management Journal 33, no. 1 (January 2012): 88–106.
      • December 2011 (Revised February 2019)
      • Case

      The Indian Removal Act and the 'Trail of Tears'

      By: Tom Nicholas, Ari Medoff, Raven Smith and Sam Subramanian
      Native Americans were subjected to a protracted and painful process of forced removal from their land. The case provides "first hand" evidence on the debate over Indian removal as it took place during the early nineteenth century. The first document is excerpted from... View Details
      Keywords: Native Americans; History; Laws and Statutes; United States
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      Nicholas, Tom, Ari Medoff, Raven Smith, and Sam Subramanian. "The Indian Removal Act and the 'Trail of Tears'." Harvard Business School Case 812-079, December 2011. (Revised February 2019.)
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