Risk And Uncertainty - Publications - Faculty & Research

Macroeconomic Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks

How do monetary policy rules, monetary policy uncertainty, and macroeconomic shocks affect the risk properties of US Treasury bonds? The exposure of US Treasury bonds to the stock market has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average... View Details

June 1992
Article

The Strategic Management of Uncertainty

By: David J. Collis

Keywords: Strategy; Management; Risk and Uncertainty

Citation

Find at Harvard

1996
Chapter

Upside Opportunity and Downside Risk

By: Richard F. Meyer

Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty

Citation

24 Aug 2016
News

Emerging Markets: Opportunity and Risk

Investing in Growth Through Uncertainty

When faced with disruptions and downturns, many leaders and companies instinctively focus on cutting costs to maintain profitability. But some identify opportunities and then take thoughtful action to emerge from crisis even stronger. That means not only planning... View Details

05 Jun 2009
Research Event

Business Summit: Niall Ferguson and the Certainty of Uncertainty

Editor's Note: This is a summary of an HBS Business Summit presentation. View a full summary and video of the event on the HBS Centennial Web site linked below. Date of Event: October 13, 2008 Speakers: Niall Ferguson, HBS facultyJohn... View Details

Keywords: Re: John A. Quelch

January 2009
Supplement

KPMG (B): Risk and Reform

By: Robert G. Eccles and Eliot Sherman

Under the leadership of Tim Flynn, Chairman and CEO of KPMG, the firm made a number of changes in compensation, governance, and culture in order to address the underlying reasons for actions that occurred prior to him becoming CEO that led to the accounting giant... View Details

Keywords: Communication Strategy; Ethics; Corporate Governance; Governance Compliance; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Governing and Advisory Boards; Compensation and Benefits; Employee Relationship Management; Organizational Change and Adaptation

Citation

Purchase

2023
Working Paper

Interest-Rate Risk and Household Portfolios

By: Sylvain Catherine, Max Miller, James Paron and Natasha Sarin

How are households exposed to interest-rate risk? When rates fall, households face lower future expected returns but those holding long-term assets—disproportionately the wealthy and middle-aged—experience capital gains. We study the hedging demand for long-term assets... View Details

Keywords: Portfolio Choice; Social Security; Interest Rates; Investment Portfolio; Equality and Inequality; Welfare

Citation

Read Now

Research Summary

Risk Measurement, Management, and Disclosure

Jorgensen's main research investigates managers' choices of measurement, management and disclosure of risk.

View Details

Other Unpublished Work

Risk Aversion, Risk Premium and the Choice of Capital Projects

By: S. Datar, R. Banker and B. Gopi

Keywords: Risk Management; Cost vs Benefits; Infrastructure

Citation

2003
Working Paper

Risk Management and Corporate Value-at-Risk

By: Marc L Bertoneche and F. Maurer

Citation

May 2014
Case

Sasol: U.S. Growth Program

By: Richard H. K. Vietor

Sasol, the world's largest producer of synthetic oil from coal and gas, has announced plans to build a huge Catalytic cracker and gas-to-liquids plant in Lake Charles, Louisiana. This $21 billion venture will be the single largest foreign direct investment in US... View Details

Keywords: Oil ＆ Gas; Risk; Risk And Uncertainty; Petroleum; Synthesis; Diesel; Foreign Direct Investment; Chemicals; Strategy; Energy Industry; United States

Citation

Educators

Purchase

2015
Working Paper

Risk Preferences and Misconduct: Evidence from Politicians

By: Dylan Minor

When seeking new leaders, business and government organizations alike often need individuals that are less risk averse, or even risk-seeking, in order to improve performance. However, individuals amenable to increased risk-taking may be more likely to engage in... View Details

Keywords: Risk Management; Behavior; Ethics; Government and Politics; United States

Citation

SSRN

Read Now

07 Jul 2020
Podcast

Uncovering and Pricing Climate Risk

How do managers within the different sectors of financial services identify and value climate risk? Professor George Serafeim talks with an asset manager, an insurer, a hedge fund manager, and an investment banker about their approaches to identifying and valuing... View Details

09 Jul 2009
News

Systemic Risk and the Fed

2024
Conference Paper

Quantifying Uncertainty in Natural Language Explanations of Large Language Models

By: Himabindu Lakkaraju, Sree Harsha Tanneru and Chirag Agarwal

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used as powerful tools for several high-stakes natural language processing (NLP) applications. Recent prompting works claim to elicit intermediate reasoning steps and key tokens that serve as proxy explanations for LLM... View Details

Keywords: Large Language Model; AI and Machine Learning

Citation

Read Now

01 Oct 2009
Working Paper Summaries

Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

Keywords: by Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton; Construction; Real Estate

March 2001
Background Note

Real Options Valuation when Multiple Sources of Uncertainty Exist

This case describes how multiple sources of uncertainty can be incorporated into a real-options-based analysis. It works through an example of a two-stage problem where a company has both an option to explore and an option to develop oil reserves. View Details

Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Opportunities; Valuation

Citation

Educators

Purchase