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  • June 2012
  • Article

Decoding Inside Information

By: Lauren Cohen, Christopher Malloy and Lukasz Pomorski
Using a simple empirical strategy, we decode the information in insider trading. Exploiting the fact that insiders trade for a variety of reasons, we show that there is predictable, identifiable "routine" insider trading that is not informative for the future of firms.... View Details
Keywords: Strategy; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Law Enforcement; Opportunities; Geographic Location; Business Earnings
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  • 12 Aug 2014
  • First Look

First Look: August 12

in entrepreneurship despite earning low risk-adjusted returns. This has lead to attempts to provide explanations-using both standard economic theory and behavioral economics-for why certain individuals may be attracted to such an... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 23 Jan 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, January 23, 2018

features a regime-switching short-rate model. We evaluate the out-of-sample performance of our model in terms of forecasting ability and coverage properties and find that it improves on the standard Diebold and Li model. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 16 Oct 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, October 16, 2018

methods, such as multiple-case inductive studies and traditional methods of causal inference. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55043 Quantile Forecasts of Product Life Cycles Using Exponential... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • August 2013
  • Article

The Price of Diversifiable Risk in Venture Capital and Private Equity

By: Michael Ewens, Charles Jones and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf
This paper explores the private equity and venture capital (VC) markets and extends the standard principal-agent problem between the investors and venture capitalist to show how it alters the interaction between the venture capitalist and the entrepreneur. Since the... View Details
Keywords: Price; Risk and Uncertainty; Venture Capital; Private Equity; Contracts; Investment; Competition; Agency Theory; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Theory; Diversification
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  • 20 Aug 2013
  • First Look

First Look: August 20

too volatile given the mean reversion in earnings. We show that high current ship earnings are associated with high secondhand ship prices and heightened industry investment in fleet capacity but forecast... View Details
Keywords: Anna Secino
  • 14 Mar 2023
  • In Practice

What Does the Failure of Silicon Valley Bank Say About the State of Finance?

exhaustion after several years of dealing with surprises ranging from shortages and runs on basic goods to the Fed’s limited ability to control or even forecast inflation. Something will also have to be said eventually about the... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman; Financial Services; Banking
  • 01 Oct 2001
  • Research & Ideas

How To Make Restructuring Work for Your Company

expensive legal battle was waged in several courts. FAG Kugelfischer also faced a major battle with its employees over the division of value. Kugelfischer's high labor costs—the average German worker earned over 40 percent more than... View Details
Keywords: by Stuart C. Gilson
  • 04 Jun 2024
  • Cold Call Podcast

How One Insurtech Firm Formulated a Strategy for Climate Change

Keywords: Re: Lauren H. Cohen; Insurance
  • 16 Jul 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Understanding the ‘Want’ vs. ’Should’ Decision

choice to vote. Katy is also pursuing a study of the earnings forecasts made by sell-side stock analysts. Along with John, she is examining biases in the way analysts update their View Details
Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert; Retail; Entertainment & Recreation
  • 12 Jun 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, June 12, 2018

capital-market or product-market benefits from inclusion. Status incentives contributed to the observed performance improvement. Back-of-the-envelope estimates suggest that JPX400 inclusion incentives accounted for 16% (20%) of the growth in aggregate View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 21 Aug 2019
  • Research & Ideas

What Machine Learning Teaches Us about CEO Leadership Style

such as the mobile phone and Internet of Things explosions across many fast-growing Asian economies. Beyond academic questions, business analysts could use these machine-learning techniques, which the researchers say are relatively simple and easy-to-use, to analyze... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding
  • 25 Jan 2010
  • Research & Ideas

A Macroeconomic View of the Current Economy

country) are consuming, or spending, more than you actually produce. Think about a household. If you earn $100,000 a year and spend $106,000, you're going to have to borrow $6,000 (or draw down your assets) to make up the difference. The... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 18 Jun 2024
  • Research & Ideas

Industrial Decarbonization: Confronting the Hard Challenges of Cement

Cities like Cairo; Chongqing, China; Delhi; and Kinshasa, Congo are experiencing population explosions accompanied by unprecedented demand for homes, offices, factories, and infrastructure. In the United States, the Biden Administration’s policy-driven infrastructure... View Details
Keywords: by by Janelle Conaway; Green Technology; Energy; Industrial Products; Manufacturing
  • 26 Jun 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, June 26, 2018

significant capital-market or product-market benefits from inclusion. Status incentives contributed to the observed performance improvement. Back-of-the-envelope estimates suggest that JPX400-inclusion incentives accounted for 16% (20%) of the growth in aggregate View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 15 Jul 2019
  • Book

Many Executives Are Afraid of Finance. Here's How They Can Gain Confidence

disproportionate stock price hit to an earnings miss reflects that informational problem. The promise of private equity involves solving that gap between owners and managers. Buybacks must be interpreted in that context as either... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
  • 26 Nov 2001
  • Op-Ed

Why Corporate Budgeting Needs To Be Fixed

exceeding. But the price for his little white lie was extremely high: The company based its demand planning on his sales forecast and consequently ran out of its core product in one of its largest markets at the height of the holiday... View Details
Keywords: by Michael C. Jensen
  • 16 May 2000
  • Research & Ideas

Getting the Message: How the Internet is Changing Advertising

that marketers began to think of the Web as an advertising medium, U.S. Internet advertisers spent $940 million; a year later, that number had almost doubled, and some put it as high as $4 billion in 1999. Forecasts on what lies ahead are... View Details
Keywords: by Susan Young
  • March 2024 (Revised January 2025)
  • Case

Hippo: Weathering the Storm of the Home Insurance Crisis

By: Lauren Cohen, Grace Headinger and Sophia Pan
Rick McCathron, CEO of Hippo, considered how the firm’s underwriting model could account for the effects of climate change. Along with providing smart home packages, targeting risk-friendly customers, and using data-driven pricing, the Insurtech used technologically... View Details
Keywords: Fintech; Underwriters; Big Data; Insurance Companies; Business Model Design; Weather Insurance; Business Model; Forecasting and Prediction; Climate Change; Environmental Sustainability; Green Technology; Technological Innovation; Natural Environment; Natural Disasters; Weather; Business Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Business Earnings; Insurance; Social Issues; Insurance Industry; United States; California
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  • 11 Apr 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, April 11

banking analysts issue early in the year relatively more optimistic and later in the year more pessimistic forecasts for banks that could be their future employers. This pattern is not observed when the same analysts View Details

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