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  • 19 Dec 2008
  • News

WHBS, 820 on Your Dial

case discussions by faculty, “Job Market,” “Mystery Melody” (an audience call-in program), and such services as weather forecasts and the morning menus at Kresge. Students had their own disk-jockey programs of pop, folk, and classical... View Details
Keywords: Keith Larson; Business Schools & Computer & Management Training; Educational Services; Broadcasting (except Internet); Information
  • 2023
  • Working Paper

The Limits of Algorithmic Measures of Race in Studies of Outcome Disparities

By: David S. Scharfstein and Sergey Chernenko
We show that the use of algorithms to predict race has significant limitations in measuring and understanding the sources of racial disparities in finance, economics, and other contexts. First, we derive theoretically the direction and magnitude of measurement bias in... View Details
Keywords: Racial Disparity; Paycheck Protection Program; Measurement Error; AI and Machine Learning; Race; Measurement and Metrics; Equality and Inequality; Prejudice and Bias; Forecasting and Prediction; Outcome or Result
Related
  • August 2008
  • Article

Economic Links and Predictable Returns

By: Lauren Cohen and Andrea Frazzini
This paper finds evidence of return predictability across economically linked firms. We test the hypothesis that in the presence of investors subject to attention constraints, stock prices do not promptly incorporate news about economically related firms, generating... View Details
Keywords: Economics; Price; Assets; Analytics and Data Science; Customers; Stocks; Equity; Strategy; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction
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  • January–February 2023
  • Article

Data-Driven COVID-19 Vaccine Development for Janssen

By: Dimitris Bertsimas, Michael Lingzhi Li, Xinggang Liu, Jennings Xu and Najat Khan
The COVID-19 pandemic has spurred extensive vaccine research worldwide. One crucial part of vaccine development is the phase III clinical trial that assesses the vaccine for safety and efficacy in the prevention of COVID-19. In this work, we enumerate the first... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19; Health Testing and Trials; Forecasting and Prediction; AI and Machine Learning; Research; Pharmaceutical Industry
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  • July 2019
  • Article

I Know Why You Voted for Trump: (Over)inferring Motives Based on Choice

By: Kate Barasz, Tami Kim and Ioannis Evangelidis
People often speculate about why others make the choices they do. This paper investigates how such inferences are formed as a function of what is chosen. Specifically, when observers encounter someone else's choice (e.g., of political candidate), they use the chosen... View Details
Keywords: Self-other Difference; Social Perception; Inference-making; Preferences; Consumer Behavior; Prediction; Prediction Error; Decision Choices and Conditions; Perception; Behavior; Forecasting and Prediction
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  • October 2013
  • Article

How Much to Make and How Much to Buy? An Analysis of Optimal Plural Sourcing Strategies

By: Phanish Puranam, Ranjay Gulati and Sourav Bhattacharya
While many theories of the firm seek to explain when firms make rather than buy, in practice, firms often make and buy the same input—they engage in plural sourcing. We argue that explaining the mix of external procurement and internal sourcing for the same input... View Details
Keywords: Supply Chain; Forecasting and Prediction; Framework; Prejudice and Bias; Mathematical Methods
Related
  • May 2006
  • Case

Nokia in 2003

By: Paul M. Healy
Examines the challenges facing a money manager who owns stock in Nokia, the leading wireless handset provider. Two analysts covering the stock make very different predictions about the economies of the industry, Nokia's future performance, and stock recommendations.... View Details
Keywords: Financial Reporting; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Effectiveness; Performance Evaluation; Problems and Challenges; Electronics Industry
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  • January 2010
  • Article

The Role of Experience in the Gambler's Fallacy

By: Greg Barron and Stephen Leider
Recent papers have demonstrated that the way people acquire information about a decision problem, by experience or by abstract description, can affect their behavior. We examined the role of experience over time in the emergence of the Gambler's Fallacy in binary... View Details
Keywords: Experience and Expertise; Decision Making; Forecasting and Prediction; Knowledge Acquisition; Outcome or Result; Game Theory; Prejudice and Bias
Related
  • 20 Dec 2011
  • First Look

First Look: December 20

The Wall Street Journal. We find no evidence that compensation is related to earnings forecast accuracy. But consistent with prior studies, we find analyst turnover to be related to forecast accuracy,... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • Web

HBS - Financials | From the Chief Financial Officer

strengthen the community, and charted an aspirational course for the future, demonstrating the resilience of the School’s faculty, staff, and students and the strength of the HBS economic model. Total revenues increased to a record level in fiscal 2022, exceeding our... View Details
  • January 2025
  • Supplement

Hippo: Weathering the Storm of the Home Insurance Crisis (B)

By: Lauren Cohen, Grace Headinger and Sophia Pan
Rick McCathron, CEO of Hippo, was optimistic about the InsurTech's path to profitability after navigating the financial uncertainties of 2022. By bundling their home insurance services with third-parties and established insurance incumbents, Hippo was adopting a... View Details
Keywords: Fintech; Underwriters; Big Data; Homeowners' Insurance; Catastrophe Risk; Global Warming; Environment; Business Economics; Vertical Specialization; Bundling; Economies Of Scale; Business Model; Forecasting and Prediction; Climate Change; Environmental Sustainability; Green Technology; Technological Innovation; Natural Environment; Natural Disasters; Weather; Business Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Business Earnings; Insurance; Social Issues; Profit; Growth and Development Strategy; Insurance Industry; California; United States
Related
  • 2011
  • Chapter

Regional Trade Integration and Multinational Firm Strategies

By: Pol Antras and C. Fritz Foley
This paper analyzes the effects of the formation of a regional trade agreement on the level and nature of multinational firm activity. We examine aggregate data that captures the response of U.S. multinational firms to the formation of the ASEAN free trade agreement.... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Trade; Foreign Direct Investment; Multinational Firms and Management; Globalized Markets and Industries; Analytics and Data Science; Agreements and Arrangements; United States
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  • 03 Dec 2015
  • Op-Ed

How "New Nuclear" Power Could Save the Planet—If Regulators Would Allow It

Leaders from some 150 nations have convened in Paris this week for the COP21 conference with a singular goal: to fight the global threat of climate change. Each of them have brought to Paris their own national plan for reducing greenhouse gas emissions that drive... View Details
Keywords: by Joseph Lassiter; Energy
  • 05 Aug 2015
  • What Do You Think?

What Happened to the ‘Innovation, Disruption, Technology’ Dividend?

use of new information technologies in medicine is a favorite piece of evidence cited in support of this argument. Brynjolfsson and McAfee cite the importance of changes in the workforce alongside the introduction of new technologies if the potential they View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett; Computer; Technology
  • 09 May 2011
  • Research & Ideas

Moving From Bean Counter to Game Changer

and consumer lending. The researchers chose to study risk-management experts because their role has risen in importance with demands for improved corporate governance and the need for better forecasting and modeling. After the financial... View Details
Keywords: by Kim Girard; Banking
  • Web

Related Resources - The High Art of Photographic Advertising - Baker Library | Bloomberg Center

addition to course related materials, faculty papers from pioneers and leaders in the fields of marketing and advertising education include Malcolm P. McNair Papers Malcolm Perrine McNair was a pioneer in marketing, retailing and View Details
  • 01 Mar 2016
  • First Look

March 1, 2016

credit-market sentiment in year t – 2 also forecasts a change in the composition of external finance: net debt issuance falls in year t, while net equity issuance increases, patterns consistent with the reversal in credit-market... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Oct 2004
  • Research & Ideas

Start to Measure Your E-commerce Success

potential payoffs of e-commerce investments. Measuring returns on e-commerce projects can be a daunting challenge. Predicting customer behavior is difficult, because using the Web to do business is still relatively new to many businesses and thus View Details
Keywords: by Marc J. Epstein
  • 16 May 2018
  • News

ALUMNI NVC Finals and Regional Roundup

(HBSAHK) recently held its Sixth Annual Signature Conference, attracting more than 350 participants to network, explore and discuss business trends and forecasts both regionally and globally. “With this annual conference, we aim to... View Details
Keywords: Margie Kelley
  • 20 Mar 2020
  • Research & Ideas

How Small Businesses Can Survive the Coronavirus Outbreak

businesses often have less than 20 days’ worth. While forecasts vary, many public health experts don’t expect the coronavirus outbreak to subside for at least eight weeks, assuming that social distancing and other mitigation efforts can... View Details
Keywords: by Danielle Kost; Service; Food & Beverage