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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (1,089)
      • Faculty Publications  (429)

      Supervised Machine LearningRemove Supervised Machine Learning →

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      • August 2024
      • Background Note

      Mitigating Climate Change with Machine Learning

      By: Michael W. Toffel, Kelsey Carter, Amy Chambers, Avery Park and Susan Pinckney
      This note highlights how machine learning is being used to decarbonize (reduce GHG emissions) several key sectors including electricity, transportation, building, industrial processes, and agriculture -- and how machine learning is being used to accelerate efforts to... View Details
      Keywords: Climate; Artificial Intelligence; Adaptation; Climate Change; AI and Machine Learning; Innovation and Invention
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      Toffel, Michael W., Kelsey Carter, Amy Chambers, Avery Park, and Susan Pinckney. "Mitigating Climate Change with Machine Learning." Harvard Business School Background Note 625-014, August 2024.
      • August 13, 2024
      • Editorial

      Can AI Save Physicians from Burnout?

      By: Susanna Gallani, Lidia Moura and Katie Sonnefeldt
      Keywords: Well-being; AI and Machine Learning; Work-Life Balance; Health Industry
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      Gallani, Susanna, Lidia Moura, and Katie Sonnefeldt. "Can AI Save Physicians from Burnout?" Harvard Business School Working Knowledge (August 13, 2024).
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Narrative AI and the Human-AI Oversight Paradox in Evaluating Early-Stage Innovations

      By: Jacqueline N. Lane, Léonard Boussioux, Charles Ayoubi, Ying Hao Chen, Camila Lin, Rebecca Spens, Pooja Wagh and Pei-Hsin Wang
      Do AI-generated narrative explanations enhance human oversight or diminish it? We investigate this question through a field experiment with 228 evaluators screening 48 early-stage innovations under three conditions: human-only, black-box AI recommendations without... View Details
      Keywords: Large Language Models; AI and Machine Learning; Innovation and Invention; Decision Making
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      Lane, Jacqueline N., Léonard Boussioux, Charles Ayoubi, Ying Hao Chen, Camila Lin, Rebecca Spens, Pooja Wagh, and Pei-Hsin Wang. "Narrative AI and the Human-AI Oversight Paradox in Evaluating Early-Stage Innovations." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-001, August 2024. (Revised May 2025.)
      • 2024
      • Book

      Fintech, Small Business & the American Dream: How Technology Is Transforming Lending and Shaping a New Era of Small Business Opportunity

      By: Karen G. Mills
      The second edition of Fintech, Small Business & the American Dream, builds on the groundbreaking 2019 book with new insights on how technology and artificial intelligence are transforming small business lending. This ambitious view covers the significance of... View Details
      Keywords: Fintech; AI; AI and Machine Learning; Small Business; Economy; Technology Adoption; Credit; Financing and Loans; Analytics and Data Science
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      Mills, Karen G. Fintech, Small Business & the American Dream: How Technology Is Transforming Lending and Shaping a New Era of Small Business Opportunity. 2nd Edition, NY: Palgrave Macmillan, 2024.
      • 2024
      • Article

      Neyman Meets Causal Machine Learning: Experimental Evaluation of Individualized Treatment Rules

      By: Michael Lingzhi Li and Kosuke Imai
      A century ago, Neyman showed how to evaluate the efficacy of treatment using a randomized experiment under a minimal set of assumptions. This classical repeated sampling framework serves as a basis of routine experimental analyses conducted by today’s scientists across... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Research
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      Li, Michael Lingzhi, and Kosuke Imai. "Neyman Meets Causal Machine Learning: Experimental Evaluation of Individualized Treatment Rules." Journal of Causal Inference 12, no. 1 (2024).
      • July 2024 (Revised January 2025)
      • Case

      Dynamic Pricing at Wendy's: Where's the Beef?

      By: Elie Ofek, Alicia Dadlani and Martha Hostetter
      In early 2024, Wendy’s new CEO announced on an earnings call that the company would install digital menus in its US locations so it could begin testing dynamic pricing—changing prices up or down in response to shifts in supply and demand – as well as allow engaging in... View Details
      Keywords: Dynamic Pricing; Marketing Strategy; Price; Technology Adoption; Consumer Behavior; AI and Machine Learning; Customer Focus and Relationships; Policy; Food and Beverage Industry
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      Ofek, Elie, Alicia Dadlani, and Martha Hostetter. "Dynamic Pricing at Wendy's: Where's the Beef?" Harvard Business School Case 525-010, July 2024. (Revised January 2025.)
      • July 2024
      • Case

      The Voice Wars Continues 2024: Hey Google vs. Alexa vs. Siri vs. ChatGPT

      By: David B. Yoffie and Sarah von Bargen
      In 2024, the Voice War was transforming from a relatively simple index-based technology system, which relied on a list of commands and answers, to a generative AI system, which offered the promise to enable free flowing conversations between people and machines. The... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Competition; Technological Innovation; Technology Industry
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      Yoffie, David B., and Sarah von Bargen. "The Voice Wars Continues 2024: Hey Google vs. Alexa vs. Siri vs. ChatGPT." Harvard Business School Case 725-352, July 2024.
      • July 2024
      • Technical Note

      What Is AI?

      By: Michael Parzen and Jo Ellery
      This note discusses definitions of artificial intelligence and covers the broad types of learning used in training AI, as well as explaining in detail how neural networks are built, trained, and used. View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning
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      Parzen, Michael, and Jo Ellery. "What Is AI?" Harvard Business School Technical Note 625-010, July 2024.
      • July 2024 (Revised December 2024)
      • Case

      Compass Ethics: Governing Through Ethical Principles at WeCorp Industries

      By: Elisabeth Kempf and Jesse M. Shapiro
      Andrew Hill is Chief Information Officer at WeCorp, a UK-based defense technology startup specializing in drone technology. WeCorp faces decisions about international licensing and AI integration in its drones. In partnership with Compass Ethics, Hill aims to establish... View Details
      Keywords: Business Startups; Decision Making; Ethics; Entrepreneurial Finance; AI and Machine Learning; Technology Industry; United Kingdom
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      Kempf, Elisabeth, and Jesse M. Shapiro. "Compass Ethics: Governing Through Ethical Principles at WeCorp Industries." Harvard Business School Case 224-105, July 2024. (Revised December 2024.)
      • July 2024
      • Case

      Knowledge-Enabled Financial Advice: Digital Transformation at Edward Jones

      By: Lauren Cohen, Richard Ryffel, Grace Headinger and Sophia Pan
      Edward Jones, a wealth management advisory firm that prided itself on its interpersonal connections and face-to-face interactions, was eager to augment their services with AI capabilities. Built on 1-to-1 close-knit relationships, the firm had more than 15,000 offices... View Details
      Keywords: Fintech; Innovation And Strategy; Financial Advisors; Big Data; Artificial Intelligence; Digitization; Financial Institutions; Business Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Technology Adoption; Business Plan; Technological Innovation; Interpersonal Communication; Communication Intention and Meaning; Communication Strategy; Transformation; Employee Stock Ownership Plan; Disruptive Innovation; Innovation Strategy; Innovation and Management; Innovation Leadership; Knowledge Acquisition; Knowledge Use and Leverage; Customer Relationship Management; AI and Machine Learning; Digital Strategy; Financial Services Industry; St. Louis; Missouri; United States; Canada
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      Cohen, Lauren, Richard Ryffel, Grace Headinger, and Sophia Pan. "Knowledge-Enabled Financial Advice: Digital Transformation at Edward Jones." Harvard Business School Case 225-009, July 2024.
      • July 2024
      • Article

      AI, ROI, and Sales Productivity

      By: Frank V. Cespedes
      Artificial intelligence (AI) is now a loose term for many different things and at the peak of its hype curve. So managers hitch-their-pitch to the term in arguing for resources. But like any technology, its business value depends upon actionable use cases embraced by... View Details
      Keywords: ROI; AI and Machine Learning; Sales; Investment Return
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      Cespedes, Frank V. "AI, ROI, and Sales Productivity." Top Sales Magazine (July 2024), 12–13.
      • July 2024
      • Article

      Chatbots and Mental Health: Insights into the Safety of Generative AI

      By: Julian De Freitas, Ahmet Kaan Uğuralp, Zeliha Uğuralp and Stefano Puntoni
      Chatbots are now able to engage in sophisticated conversations with consumers. Due to the ‘black box’ nature of the algorithms, it is impossible to predict in advance how these conversations will unfold. Behavioral research provides little insight into potential safety... View Details
      Keywords: Autonomy; Chatbots; New Technology; Brand Crises; Mental Health; Large Language Model; AI and Machine Learning; Behavior; Well-being; Technological Innovation; Ethics
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      De Freitas, Julian, Ahmet Kaan Uğuralp, Zeliha Uğuralp, and Stefano Puntoni. "Chatbots and Mental Health: Insights into the Safety of Generative AI." Journal of Consumer Psychology 34, no. 3 (July 2024): 481–491.
      • July–August 2024
      • Article

      Doing More with Less: Overcoming Ineffective Long-Term Targeting Using Short-Term Signals

      By: Ta-Wei Huang and Eva Ascarza
      Firms are increasingly interested in developing targeted interventions for customers with the best response, which requires identifying differences in customer sensitivity, typically through the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation. In theory, to... View Details
      Keywords: Long-run Targeting; Heterogeneous Treatment Effect; Statistical Surrogacy; Customer Churn; Field Experiments; Consumer Behavior; Customer Focus and Relationships; AI and Machine Learning; Marketing Strategy
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      Huang, Ta-Wei, and Eva Ascarza. "Doing More with Less: Overcoming Ineffective Long-Term Targeting Using Short-Term Signals." Marketing Science 43, no. 4 (July–August 2024): 863–884.
      • July 2024
      • Article

      How Artificial Intelligence Constrains Human Experience

      By: A. Valenzuela, S. Puntoni, D. Hoffman, N. Castelo, J. De Freitas, B. Dietvorst, C. Hildebrand, Y.E. Huh, R. Meyer, M. Sweeney, S. Talaifar, G. Tomaino and K. Wertenbroch
      Many consumption decisions and experiences are digitally mediated. As a consequence, consumer behavior is increasingly the joint product of human psychology and ubiquitous algorithms (Braun et al. 2024; cf. Melumad et al. 2020). The coming of age of Large Language... View Details
      Keywords: Large Language Model; User Experience; AI and Machine Learning; Consumer Behavior; Technology Adoption; Risk and Uncertainty; Cost vs Benefits
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      Valenzuela, A., S. Puntoni, D. Hoffman, N. Castelo, J. De Freitas, B. Dietvorst, C. Hildebrand, Y.E. Huh, R. Meyer, M. Sweeney, S. Talaifar, G. Tomaino, and K. Wertenbroch. "How Artificial Intelligence Constrains Human Experience." Journal of the Association for Consumer Research 9, no. 3 (July 2024): 241–256.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Learning to Cover: Online Learning and Optimization with Irreversible Decisions

      By: Alexander Jacquillat and Michael Lingzhi Li
      Keywords: Buildings and Facilities; AI and Machine Learning; Geographic Location; Strategic Planning
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      Jacquillat, Alexander, and Michael Lingzhi Li. "Learning to Cover: Online Learning and Optimization with Irreversible Decisions." Working Paper, June 2024.
      • July 2024
      • Case

      Replika AI: Alleviating Loneliness (A)

      By: Shikhar Ghosh and Shweta Bagai
      Eugenia Kuyda launched Replika AI in 2017 as an empathetic digital companion to combat loneliness and provide emotional support. The platform surged in popularity during the COVID-19 pandemic, offering non-judgmental support to isolated users. By 2023, Replika boasted... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Ethics; Health Pandemics; AI and Machine Learning; Well-being; Technology Industry
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      Ghosh, Shikhar, and Shweta Bagai. "Replika AI: Alleviating Loneliness (A)." Harvard Business School Case 824-088, July 2024.
      • June 2024
      • Teaching Note

      Numenta in 2020: The Future of AI

      By: David B. Yoffie
      In 2020, Numenta’s co-founder, Jeff Hawkins, completed his pathbreaking research on artificial intelligence. His co-founder and CEO, Donna Dubinsky, had to find a business model to monetize the technology. This teaching note explores the challenges of building a... View Details
      Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; Monetization; Strategy; Intellectual Property; AI and Machine Learning; Business Model; Entrepreneurship; Technology Industry
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      Yoffie, David B. "Numenta in 2020: The Future of AI." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 724-496, June 2024.
      • June 2024
      • Teaching Note

      Beamery: Using Skills and AI to Modernize HR

      By: Boris Groysberg, David Lane, Susan Pinckney and Alexis Lefort
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 424-004. Unicorn human relationships startup Beamery evaluates it growth versus depth strategy as its strategic partners and customers could become future competitors in a quickly changing AI based human resources and talent management... View Details
      Keywords: Analysis; Business Growth and Maturation; Business Model; Business Startups; Business Plan; Disruption; Transformation; Talent and Talent Management; Decisions; Diversity; Ethnicity; Gender; Nationality; Race; Residency; Higher Education; Learning; Entrepreneurship; Fairness; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Global Strategy; Growth and Development; AI and Machine Learning; Digital Platforms; Disruptive Innovation; Technological Innovation; Job Offer; Job Search; Knowledge Acquisition; Knowledge Use and Leverage; Product; Mission and Purpose; Strategic Planning; Problems and Challenges; Corporate Strategy; Equality and Inequality; Valuation; Value Creation; Employment Industry; United Kingdom
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      Groysberg, Boris, David Lane, Susan Pinckney, and Alexis Lefort. "Beamery: Using Skills and AI to Modernize HR." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 424-072, June 2024.
      • June 2024 (Revised September 2024)
      • Case

      Driving Scale with Otto

      By: Rebecca Karp, David Allen and Annelena Lobb
      This case asks how startup founders make scaling decisions in light of their priorities for their business and for themselves. Otto was a technology company that applied artificial intelligence technology to sales. It deployed natural language processing to find sales... View Details
      Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; Natural Language Processing; B2B; B2B Innovation; Scaling; Scaling Tech Ventures; Business Startups; AI and Machine Learning; Finance; Sales; Business Strategy; Growth and Development Strategy; Entrepreneurship; Information Technology Industry; United States; Cambridge; New York (city, NY); Spain
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      Karp, Rebecca, David Allen, and Annelena Lobb. "Driving Scale with Otto." Harvard Business School Case 724-407, June 2024. (Revised September 2024.)
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Advancing Personalization: How to Experiment, Learn & Optimize

      By: Aurelie Lemmens, Jason M.T. Roos, Sebastian Gabel, Eva Ascarza, Hernan Bruno, Elea McDonnell Feit, Brett Gordon, Ayelet Israeli, Carl F. Mela and Oded Netzer
      Personalization has become the heartbeat of modern marketing. Advances in causal inference and machine learning enable companies to understand how the same marketing action can impact the choices of individual customers differently. This article provides an academic... View Details
      Keywords: Personalization; Targeting; Experiments; Observational Studies; Policy Implementation; Policy Evaluation; Customization and Personalization; Marketing Strategy; AI and Machine Learning
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      Lemmens, Aurelie, Jason M.T. Roos, Sebastian Gabel, Eva Ascarza, Hernan Bruno, Elea McDonnell Feit, Brett Gordon, Ayelet Israeli, Carl F. Mela, and Oded Netzer. "Advancing Personalization: How to Experiment, Learn & Optimize." Working Paper, July 2024. (Revised March 2025.)
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