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      • Faculty Publications  (1,058)

      Forecasting And PredictionRemove Forecasting And Prediction →

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      • July 2001
      • Technical Note

      Technical Note on LBO Valuation (A): LBO Structure and the Target IRR Method of Valuation

      By: Carliss Y. Baldwin
      Explains the equity cash flow method of valuation as it applies to leveraged buyouts. Also explains: 1) earnings and cash flow forecasts, 2) debt structure and the cash sweep, 3) the cashing out horizon and terminal valuation, and 4) the target IRR method of valuation. View Details
      Keywords: Valuation; Leveraged Buyouts; Capital Budgeting; Borrowing and Debt; Cash Flow; Equity; Profit; Price; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Technical Note on LBO Valuation (A): LBO Structure and the Target IRR Method of Valuation." Harvard Business School Technical Note 902-004, July 2001.
      • July 2001
      • Technical Note

      Technical Note on LBO Valuation (B): The Equity Cash Flow Method of Valuation using CAPM

      By: Carliss Y. Baldwin
      Explains the equity cash flow method of valuation as it applies to leveraged buyouts. Also explains how to implement the changing cost of equity method using the CAPM. View Details
      Keywords: Leveraged Buyouts; Forecasting and Prediction; Cash Flow; Cost of Capital; Equity; Valuation
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      Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Technical Note on LBO Valuation (B): The Equity Cash Flow Method of Valuation using CAPM." Harvard Business School Technical Note 902-005, July 2001.
      • June 2001 (Revised July 2001)
      • Case

      Amazon.com in the Year 2000

      By: Krishna G. Palepu and Jeremy Cott
      An analyst's critique of Amazon's prospectus from the perspective of its bond holders. View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Accounting Audits; Financial Reporting; Governing and Advisory Boards; Internet and the Web; Forecasting and Prediction; Retail Industry
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      Palepu, Krishna G., and Jeremy Cott. "Amazon.com in the Year 2000." Harvard Business School Case 101-045, June 2001. (Revised July 2001.)
      • April 2001
      • Supplement

      Acer America: Development of the Aspire

      By: Christopher A. Bartlett
      Consists of five segments. Segment 1 shows Culver and Pai discussing the tensions between Taiwan and the United States and the resulting performance problems with Aspire; Segment 2 features Culver and Shih describing the changes Acer made as a result of the problems... View Details
      Keywords: Digital Marketing; Transformation; Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing Strategy; Outcome or Result; Problems and Challenges; Information Infrastructure; Internet and the Web; Computer Industry; Taiwan; United States
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      Bartlett, Christopher A. "Acer America: Development of the Aspire." Harvard Business School Video Supplement 301-805, April 2001.
      • 2001
      • Working Paper

      The Malleability of Environmentalism

      By: Kimberly A. Wade-Benzoni, Min Li, Leigh L. Thompson and M. Bazerman
      In this paper, we predict and find that self-perceptions of environmentalism are changed by subtle manipulations of context and, in turn, affect environmental behavior. In Study 1, we found that people exhibit greater positive assessments of their environmental... View Details
      Keywords: Perspective; Behavior; Identity; Environmental Sustainability
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      Wade-Benzoni, Kimberly A., Min Li, Leigh L. Thompson, and M. Bazerman. "The Malleability of Environmentalism." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 01-066, April 2001. (Revised August 2007.)
      • February 2001 (Revised June 2001)
      • Case

      ClubTools, Inc.

      By: Paul W. Marshall and Kristin Perry
      Discusses the development of an Internet start-up by a recent HBS graduate. Details the company's business plan, incubation, technology development, marketing strategy, and search for funding. View Details
      Keywords: Business Startups; Business Plan; Cash Flow; Marketing Strategy; Financing and Loans; Technological Innovation; Internet and the Web; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Marshall, Paul W., and Kristin Perry. "ClubTools, Inc." Harvard Business School Case 801-164, February 2001. (Revised June 2001.)
      • February 2001
      • Case

      BarnesandNoble.com (B)

      By: Jeffrey F. Rayport, Dickson Louie and William A. Sahlman
      At the end of 1998, Jonathan Bulkeley, the newly-named CEO of barnesandnoble.com, is faced with a challenge. As the second leading online bookseller behind Amazon.com, barnesandnoble.com must build its market share. With Forrester Research predicting that the online... View Details
      Keywords: Internet and the Web; Marketing Strategy; Publishing Industry
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      Rayport, Jeffrey F., Dickson Louie, and William A. Sahlman. "BarnesandNoble.com (B)." Harvard Business School Case 901-023, February 2001.
      • February 2001
      • Case

      ALWAYSi

      By: Paul A. Gompers and Sergio Rattner
      Anthony Soohoo, COO at ALWAYSi, an independent film distributor, is preparing projections for the company. Soohoo must decide which revenue streams the company should pursue. The firm is faced with a variety of attractive opportunities. View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Business Strategy; Revenue; Film Entertainment; Strategic Planning; Business Startups; Entertainment and Recreation Industry
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      Gompers, Paul A., and Sergio Rattner. "ALWAYSi." Harvard Business School Case 201-075, February 2001.
      • February 2001
      • Article

      The Portfolio Flows of International Investors

      By: K. A. Froot, P. O'Connell and M. Seasholes
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Equity Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, K. A., P. O'Connell, and M. Seasholes. "The Portfolio Flows of International Investors." Journal of Financial Economics 59, no. 2 (February 2001): 151–193. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 6687 and HBS Working No. Paper 99-006, July 1998. Summarized in the NBER Reporter, 2000. Reprinted in International Capital Markets, R. Stulz and A. Karolyi, eds. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2003.)
      • January 2001 (Revised March 2002)
      • Case

      Ford Motor Company's Value Enhancement Plan

      By: Andre F. Perold
      In April 2000, Ford Motor Co. announced a shareholder Value Enhancement Plan (VEP) to significantly recapitalize the firm's ownership structure. Ford had accumulated $23 billion in cash reserves and under the VEP would return as much as $10 billion of this cash to... View Details
      Keywords: Restructuring; Forecasting and Prediction; Capital Structure; Cash; Financial Liquidity; Policy; Business and Shareholder Relations; Value; Auto Industry
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      Perold, Andre F. "Ford Motor Company's Value Enhancement Plan." Harvard Business School Case 201-079, January 2001. (Revised March 2002.)
      • January 2001 (Revised July 2003)
      • Case

      Pharmacyclics: Financing Research & Development

      By: Malcolm P. Baker, Richard S. Ruback and Aldo Sesia
      Pharmacyclics (NASDAQ: PCYC), a pharmaceutical company that manufactures products that will improve existing therapeutic treatments for cancer, arteriosclerosis, and retinal disease, was considering a $60 million private placement in February 2000. The company had more... View Details
      Keywords: Valuation; Cash Flow; Financing and Loans; Business Startups; Financial Strategy; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry
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      Baker, Malcolm P., Richard S. Ruback, and Aldo Sesia. "Pharmacyclics: Financing Research & Development." Harvard Business School Case 201-056, January 2001. (Revised July 2003.)
      • January 2001
      • Case

      Valuing Project Achieve

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Kathleen Luchs
      Project Achieve is a start-up providing information management solutions for schools. Its founders see a need for software both to manage the volumes of information necessary to administer a school and to connect parents, teachers, and students in a more effective way.... View Details
      Keywords: Business Startups; Valuation; Venture Capital; Cost of Capital; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Kathleen Luchs. "Valuing Project Achieve." Harvard Business School Case 201-080, January 2001.
      • November 2000 (Revised April 2004)
      • Case

      Airbus A3XX: Developing the World's Largest Commercial Jet (A)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Michael Kane
      In July 2000, Airbus Industries' supervisory board is on the verge of approving a $13 billion investment for the development of a new super jumbo jet known as the A3XX that would seat from 550 to 1,000 passengers. Having secured approximately 20 orders for the new jet,... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Capital Budgeting; Valuation; Government and Politics; Demand and Consumers; Product Development; Product Positioning; Air Transportation Industry; Manufacturing Industry
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Michael Kane. "Airbus A3XX: Developing the World's Largest Commercial Jet (A)." Harvard Business School Case 201-028, November 2000. (Revised April 2004.)
      • October 2000
      • Article

      The Equity Share in New Issues and Aggregate Stock Returns

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      The share of equity issues in total new equity and debt issues is a strong predictor of U.S. stock market returns between 1928 and 1997. In particular, firms issue more equity than debt just before periods of low market returns. The equity share in new issues has... View Details
      Keywords: Equity; Borrowing and Debt; Stocks; Markets; Debt Securities; Forecasting and Prediction; Accounting Industry; United States
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "The Equity Share in New Issues and Aggregate Stock Returns." Journal of Finance 55, no. 5 (October 2000): 2219–57.
      • June 2000 (Revised March 2002)
      • Teaching Note

      Iridium LLC TN

      By: Benjamin C. Esty
      Teaching Note for (9-200-039). View Details
      Keywords: Financing and Loans; Risk and Uncertainty; Information Technology; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Financial Strategy; Performance; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Demand and Consumers; Communications Industry
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      Esty, Benjamin C. "Iridium LLC TN." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 200-050, June 2000. (Revised March 2002.)
      • 2000
      • Other Unpublished Work

      New Trading Practices and the Short-run Predictability of the S&P 500: Market Volatility and Investor Confidence, Report to the Board of Directors of the New York Stock Exchange, Inc.

      By: André Perold
      Keywords: Stocks; Financial Markets; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Capital Markets; Volatility; Market Timing
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      Perold, André. "New Trading Practices and the Short-run Predictability of the S&P 500: Market Volatility and Investor Confidence, Report to the Board of Directors of the New York Stock Exchange, Inc." 2000.
      • April 2000
      • Case

      Financing of Project Achieve, The (A)

      By: Mihir A. Desai
      An entrepreneur is forced to analyze the tradeoffs between different equity providers through a detailed analysis of venture financing terms and cash flow forecasts. The founder of a Web-based IMS for schools must negotiate a term sheet, determine funding needs, value... View Details
      Keywords: Business Startups; Forecasting and Prediction; Venture Capital; Cash Flow; Equity; Negotiation Deal; Valuation
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      Desai, Mihir A. "Financing of Project Achieve, The (A)." Harvard Business School Case 200-042, April 2000.
      • April 2000
      • Case

      Financing of Project Achieve, The (B)

      By: Mihir A. Desai
      Supplements the (A) case. View Details
      Keywords: Business Startups; Forecasting and Prediction; Venture Capital; Cash Flow; Equity; Negotiation Deal; Valuation
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      Desai, Mihir A. "Financing of Project Achieve, The (B)." Harvard Business School Case 200-053, April 2000.
      • February 2000 (Revised October 2000)
      • Case

      Open Market, Inc.: The E-Commerce Wars

      By: James I. Cash Jr., Janis Lee Gogan, Michael Haselkorn and Mani Subramani
      Continues the story of Open Market, Inc., a company founded in 1994 to support electronic commerce on the Internet. Despite a very successful initial public offering, the firm had reached a growth plateau, and the management team was considering several strategic... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Technological Innovation; Management; Growth and Development Strategy; Marketing Channels; Product Marketing; Product Development; Competitive Strategy; Corporate Strategy; Information Technology Industry; Web Services Industry
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      Cash, James I., Jr., Janis Lee Gogan, Michael Haselkorn, and Mani Subramani. "Open Market, Inc.: The E-Commerce Wars." Harvard Business School Case 800-255, February 2000. (Revised October 2000.)
      • January 2000 (Revised May 2007)
      • Case

      Dressen

      By: Thomas R. Piper and Jeremy Cott
      Divisional management must decide whether to support a leveraged buyout by a private equity group and, if so, what percent of ownership should go to the various partners involved. The appropriateness of the financing structure and the value of the equity depend on the... View Details
      Keywords: Leveraged Buyouts; Capital Structure; Valuation; Ownership Stake; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Piper, Thomas R., and Jeremy Cott. "Dressen." Harvard Business School Case 200-041, January 2000. (Revised May 2007.)
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