by Nicolas Retsinas - Publications - Faculty & Research - Harvard Business School

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2021
Working Paper

Salience

By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

We review the fast-growing work on salience and economic behavior. Psychological research shows that salient stimuli attract human attention “bottom up” due to their high contrast with surroundings, their surprising nature relative to recalled experiences, or their... View Details

Keywords: Salience; Economic Behavior; Bottom Up Attention; Microeconomics; Decision Making; Behavior

January 2008
Teaching Note

Pacifica Residencial S.A. (TN)

By: Nicolas Retsinas

Teaching Note for [207094]. View Details

Keywords: Real Estate Industry; Financial Services Industry; Brazil

September 2021
Article

Diagnostic Bubbles

By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Spencer Yongwook Kwon and Andrei Shleifer

We introduce diagnostic expectations into a standard setting of price formation in which investors learn about the fundamental value of an asset and trade it. We study the interaction of diagnostic expectations with two well-known mechanisms: learning from prices and... View Details

Keywords: Bubble; Speculation; Diagnostic Expectations; Price Bubble; Mathematical Methods

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May 2025
Article

Imagining the Future: Memory, Simulation and Beliefs

By: Pedro Bordalo, Giovanni Burro, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

How do people form beliefs about novel risks, with which they have little or no experience? Motivated by survey data on beliefs about Covid we collected in 2020, we build a model based on the psychology of selective memory. When a person thinks about an event,... View Details

Keywords: Expectations; Memory; COVID-19 Pandemic; Risk and Uncertainty; Cognition and Thinking

November 2006 (Revised January 2007)
Case

Habitat for Humanity International in South Africa

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas, Arthur I Segel and Nelson Hioe

In March 2006, Larry English, Director of Program Design and Innovation for Habitat for Humanity International Africa and the Middle East, was reflecting on a large development project in Durbin that had stalled. Notwithstanding global attention led by former President... View Details

Keywords: Partners and Partnerships; Investment; Innovation Strategy; Emerging Markets; Social Entrepreneurship; Poverty; Property; Projects; South Africa; Middle East

November 2016
Article

Stereotypes

By: Pedro Bordalo, Katherine Baldiga Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer

We present a model of stereotypes based on Kahneman and Tversky's representativeness heuristic. A decision maker assesses a target group by overweighting its representative types, which we formally define to be the types that occur more frequently in that group than in... View Details

Keywords: Prejudice and Bias

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Article

Memory and Representativeness

By: Pedro Bordalo, Katherine Baldiga Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, Frederik Schwerter and Andrei Shleifer

We explore the idea that judgment by representativeness reflects the workings of episodic memory, especially interference. In a new laboratory experiment on cued recall, participants are shown two groups of images with different distributions of colors. We find that i)... View Details

Keywords: Cued Recall; Interference; Similarity; Probabilistic Judgments; Heuristics And Biases

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30 Sep 2008
First Look

First Look: September 30, 2008

Working PapersParallel Search, Incentives and Problem Type: Revisiting the Competition and Innovation Link Authors:Kevin J. Boudreau, Nicola Lacetera, and Karim R. Lakhani Abstract This paper presents econometric evidence of two... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

2024
Working Paper

How Inflation Expectations De-Anchor: The Role of Selective Memory Cues

By: Nicola Gennaioli, Marta Leva, Raphael Schoenle and Andrei Shleifer

In a model of memory and selective recall, household inflation expectations remain rigid when inflation is anchored but exhibit sharp instability during inflation surges, as similarity prompts retrieval of forgotten high-inflation experiences. Using data from the New... View Details

Keywords: Cognition and Thinking; Inflation and Deflation; Personal Finance

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2025
Working Paper

A Cognitive Theory of Reasoning and Choice

By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Giacomo Lanzani and Andrei Shleifer

We present a theory of decisions in which attention to the features of choice options is determined by the decision maker's categorization of the current choice problem in a set of problems she solved in the past. Categorization depends on goal-relevant as well as... View Details

Keywords: Cognition and Thinking; Perception; Decision Choices and Conditions

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23 Oct 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, October 23, 2018

researchers to test and build new theories at a more granular level. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55151 forthcoming American Economic Review Beliefs about Gender By: Bordalo, Pedro, Katherine Baldiga Coffman, View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

2023
Working Paper

The Customer Journey as a Source of Information

By: Nicolas Padilla, Eva Ascarza and Oded Netzer

In the face of heightened data privacy concerns and diminishing third-party data access, firms are placing increased emphasis on first-party data (1PD) for marketing decisions. However, in environments with infrequent purchases, reliance on past purchases 1PD... View Details

Keywords: Customer Journey; Privacy; Consumer Behavior; Analytics and Data Science; AI and Machine Learning; Customer Focus and Relationships

September 2012
Teaching Plan

Making Lemonade in Chicago's Troubled Neighborhoods (TP)

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas and Lisa Strope

September 2012
Teaching Plan

Sino-Ocean Responding to Change (TP)

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas and Lisa Strope

Teaching Plan for HBS Case, "Sino-Ocean Land: Responding to Change" View Details

September 2012
Teaching Plan

Pioneers in Colombia (TP)

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas and Lisa Strope

Teaching Plan: Pioneers in Colombia View Details

February 2008
Teaching Note

The Big Easy, Not So Easy (TN)

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas and Ben Creo

Teaching Note for [208068]. View Details

Keywords: Projects; Risk Management; Partners and Partnerships; Natural Disasters; Contracts; Buildings and Facilities; Housing; New Orleans

February 2008
Teaching Note

Chiaphua Group Vietnam (TN)

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas and Ben Creo

Teaching Note for [207090]. View Details

Keywords: Expansion; Diversification; Investment; Emerging Markets; Globalization; Market Entry and Exit; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Private Ownership; Real Estate Industry; Viet Nam; Hong Kong; Singapore; Malaysia; Indonesia

February 2014
Teaching Note

Generator Hostels: The Way Out

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas and Lisa Strope

Teaching Note to Generator Hostels: The Way Out, HBS Case No. 213-069. View Details

Keywords: Real Estate; Property; Financial Services Industry; European Union

January 2012 (Revised June 2013)
Case

Pioneers in Colombia

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas and Lisa Strope

In 2011, Equity International made a $75 million equity investment in Bogota-based real estate company, Terranum Development and became the first institutional real estate investor in Colombia. View Details

Keywords: International Investment; Real Estate; International Finance; Private Equity; Emerging Markets; Investment; Developing Countries and Economies; Real Estate Industry; Colombia

May 2010
Teaching Note

Toward Golden Pond (TN) (A) and (B)

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas and Griffin James

Teaching Note for [210045] and [210046]. View Details

Keywords: Age; Risk and Uncertainty; Decision Choices and Conditions; Demand and Consumers; Real Estate Industry; China

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