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      • January 2025
      • Technical Note

      AI vs Human: Analyzing Acceptable Error Rates Using the Confusion Matrix

      By: Tsedal Neeley and Tim Englehart
      This technical note introduces the confusion matrix as a foundational tool in artificial intelligence (AI) and large language models (LLMs) for assessing the performance of classification models, focusing on their reliability for decision-making. A confusion matrix... View Details
      Keywords: Reliability; Confusion Matrix; AI and Machine Learning; Decision Making; Measurement and Metrics; Performance
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      Neeley, Tsedal, and Tim Englehart. "AI vs Human: Analyzing Acceptable Error Rates Using the Confusion Matrix." Harvard Business School Technical Note 425-049, January 2025.
      • January 2025
      • Case

      Davivienda Bank's Upskilling and Reskilling Strategy in Colombia (Abridged)

      By: Jorge Tamayo, Raffaella Sadun and Jenyfeer Martinez Buitrago
      Set in 2022, this abridged case examines the digital transformation strategy of Davivienda—a leading player in Colombia’s commercial banking sector and one of the companies belonging to Grupo Bolívar, a major Colombian conglomerate—and the bank’s upskilling and... View Details
      Keywords: Change Management; Transformation; Decision Choices and Conditions; Digital Strategy; Digital Transformation; Internet and the Web; Mobile and Wireless Technology; Innovation and Management; Innovation Strategy; Growth and Development Strategy; Business Strategy; Corporate Strategy; Talent and Talent Management; Training; Organizational Culture; Banking Industry; Latin America; Central America; South America; Colombia
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      Tamayo, Jorge, Raffaella Sadun, and Jenyfeer Martinez Buitrago. "Davivienda Bank's Upskilling and Reskilling Strategy in Colombia (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 725-428, January 2025.
      • January 2025
      • Case

      Untapped Global: Financing Africa's Missing Middle

      By: Raymond Kluender and Emanuele Colonnelli
      In November 2024, Jim Chu, founder and CEO of Untapped Global, faced mounting internal tensions over the company’s strategic direction. Untapped had developed a data-driven revenue-based financing (RBF) model to address the “missing middle” problem—the $5.2 trillion... View Details
      Keywords: Social Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Working Capital; Private Equity; Financial Strategy; Microfinance; International Finance; Currency Exchange Rate; Profit Sharing; Revenue; Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Growth; Emerging Markets; Mission and Purpose; Small Business; Entrepreneurial Finance; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry; Information Technology Industry; Technology Industry; Africa; Nigeria; South Africa; Kenya; Uganda; California; San Francisco
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      Kluender, Raymond, and Emanuele Colonnelli. "Untapped Global: Financing Africa's Missing Middle." Harvard Business School Case 825-056, January 2025.
      • January 2025 (Revised March 2025)
      • Case

      Hunter Point Capital

      By: Josh Lerner, John D. Dionne and Srimayi Mylavarapu
      In the spring of 2023, Hunter Point Capital faced a pivotal decision that could define its trajectory as a new player in the growing GP stakes business. As the firm neared completion of three high-profile GP stakes investments, consuming nearly a third of its initial... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Funds; Business Strategy; Diversification; Expansion; Growth and Development Strategy; Opportunities
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      Lerner, Josh, John D. Dionne, and Srimayi Mylavarapu. "Hunter Point Capital." Harvard Business School Case 225-058, January 2025. (Revised March 2025.)
      • January 2025
      • Supplement

      Hippo: Weathering the Storm of the Home Insurance Crisis (B)

      By: Lauren Cohen, Grace Headinger and Sophia Pan
      Rick McCathron, CEO of Hippo, was optimistic about the InsurTech's path to profitability after navigating the financial uncertainties of 2022. By bundling their home insurance services with third-parties and established insurance incumbents, Hippo was adopting a... View Details
      Keywords: Fintech; Underwriters; Big Data; Homeowners' Insurance; Catastrophe Risk; Global Warming; Environment; Business Economics; Vertical Specialization; Bundling; Economies Of Scale; Business Model; Forecasting and Prediction; Climate Change; Environmental Sustainability; Green Technology; Technological Innovation; Natural Environment; Natural Disasters; Weather; Business Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Business Earnings; Insurance; Social Issues; Profit; Growth and Development Strategy; Insurance Industry; California; United States
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      Cohen, Lauren, Grace Headinger, and Sophia Pan. "Hippo: Weathering the Storm of the Home Insurance Crisis (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 225-051, January 2025.
      • January 2025
      • Case

      Uncovering Questionable Behavior

      By: David Fubini, Patrick Sanguineti, Amy Chambers and William Fubini
      In this short vignette on the boundaries of professionalism, Alex Harding, recently promoted to Team Leader, faces a difficult decision regarding his client. While serving the CFO of the client company in preparation for an upcoming merger, he and his team uncover... View Details
      Keywords: Ethics; Decision Choices and Conditions; Leadership
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      Fubini, David, Patrick Sanguineti, Amy Chambers, and William Fubini. "Uncovering Questionable Behavior." Harvard Business School Case 425-050, January 2025.
      • January 2025
      • Case

      Netflix: Takedown Troubles

      By: Clayton S. Rose, Tom Quinn and Maxim Pike Harrell
      In October 2021, Netflix Co-CEO Ted Sarandos sent an all-staff email addressing backlash to comedian Dave Chappelle’s new stand-up special, The Closer. Released on October 5, the comedian’s depiction of the transgender community and other LGBTQ+ groups prompted... View Details
      Keywords: Disruption; Talent and Talent Management; Customer Satisfaction; Cost vs Benefits; Demographics; Ethics; Corporate Accountability; Employees; Recruitment; Retention; Leadership; Crisis Management; Risk Management; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Mission and Purpose; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Organizational Culture; Civil Society or Community; Social Issues; Strategic Planning; Adaptation; Decisions; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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      Rose, Clayton S., Tom Quinn, and Maxim Pike Harrell. "Netflix: Takedown Troubles." Harvard Business School Case 325-021, January 2025.
      • January 2025
      • Case

      AI Meets VC: The Data-Driven Revolution at Quantum Light Capital

      By: Lauren Cohen, Grace Headinger and Sophia Pan
      Ilya Kondrashov, CEO of Quantum Light Capital, was driven to harness AI for identifying high-potential scale-ups. Collaborating with Nik Storonsky, founder of Revolut, the duo observed that most venture capital (VC) decisions were heavily influenced by emotion, with... View Details
      Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; Business Finance; Data Analysis; Angel Investors; Cognitive Biases; Scale; Venture Capital; Investment; Business Model; Forecasting and Prediction; Technological Innovation; Innovation Strategy; Behavior; Cognition and Thinking; Public Opinion; Private Sector; Business Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Business Earnings; Behavioral Finance; AI and Machine Learning; Analytics and Data Science; Business Startups; Financial Services Industry; London; United Kingdom
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      Cohen, Lauren, Grace Headinger, and Sophia Pan. "AI Meets VC: The Data-Driven Revolution at Quantum Light Capital." Harvard Business School Case 225-053, January 2025.
      • January 2025
      • Supplement

      Martin Luther King, Jr.: A Young Minister Confronts the Challenges of Montgomery (B)

      By: Nien-hê Hsieh and Derek C. M. van Bever
      Recounts a pivotal moment in Martin Luther King Jr.'s life during the Montgomery Bus Boycott, where a profound prayer amidst threats to his life renewed his faith and resolve to lead the movement. This transformative experience marked the beginning of his lifelong... View Details
      Keywords: Spirituality; Civil Rights; Manging Uncertainty; Leadership; Decision Making; Values and Beliefs; Civil Society or Community; Social Issues; Power and Influence; Alabama
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      Hsieh, Nien-hê, and Derek C. M. van Bever. "Martin Luther King, Jr.: A Young Minister Confronts the Challenges of Montgomery (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 425-074, January 2025.
      • January 2025
      • Case

      Index and Active Investing: Vanguard and the New Frontier of Active ETFs

      By: Marco Sammon, Luis M. Viceira and Jonathan Kanagasabai
      This case explores Vanguard’s strategic decision-making process as it considers entering the growing market for actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Set in 2024, the case places students in the position of Rodney Comegys, Vanguard’s global head of the Equity... View Details
      Keywords: Asset Management; Financial Strategy; Investment Funds; Investment Portfolio; Financial Services Industry
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      Sammon, Marco, Luis M. Viceira, and Jonathan Kanagasabai. "Index and Active Investing: Vanguard and the New Frontier of Active ETFs." Harvard Business School Case 225-056, January 2025.
      • January 2025
      • Case

      A Tiger in the Tank: Exxon Sues Investors

      By: Clayton S. Rose, Sarah Sasso and James Weber
      In June 2024, investors were trying to make sense of ExxonMobil’s (Exxon) lawsuit against two impact investors, Arjuna Capital (Arjuna) and Follow This, that had just been dismissed by the U.S. District Court of Northern Texas. Exxon’s suit challenged the rights of two... View Details
      Keywords: Disruption; Talent and Talent Management; Customer Satisfaction; Decision Making; Demographics; Ethics; Corporate Accountability; Employees; Recruitment; Retention; Leadership; Crisis Management; Risk Management; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Mission and Purpose; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Civil Society or Community; Social Issues; Adaptation; Investment Activism; Lawsuits and Litigation; Business and Shareholder Relations; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry; Health Industry; Energy Industry; United States; Netherlands; Norway
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      Rose, Clayton S., Sarah Sasso, and James Weber. "A Tiger in the Tank: Exxon Sues Investors." Harvard Business School Case 325-015, January 2025.
      • January 8, 2025
      • Article

      Why Retailers Are Turning to Third-Party Marketplaces

      By: Antonio Moreno
      Some traditional retailers—including Walmart, Target, and Best Buy—are adopting third-party marketplaces, which connect customers with external sellers and thereby offer customers a much broader selection. Many other traditional retailers are considering whether to... View Details
      Keywords: Marketplace Matching; Distribution Channels; Customer Focus and Relationships; Cost vs Benefits; Retail Industry
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      Moreno, Antonio. "Why Retailers Are Turning to Third-Party Marketplaces." Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (January 8, 2025).
      • January 2025 (Revised April 2025)
      • Supplement

      Food for Thought: Exiting Russia? (B)

      By: Clayton S. Rose, Hugo Etchegoyhen and Lena Duchene
      The (B) case examines the actions of Bonduelle and Danone as they responded to ongoing pressure to reevaluate their presence in Russia. While the (A) case explored the ethical and strategic dilemmas both companies faced after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the (B) case... View Details
      Keywords: Public Opinion; Ethics; War; Food and Beverage Industry; Europe; France; Russia
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      Rose, Clayton S., Hugo Etchegoyhen, and Lena Duchene. "Food for Thought: Exiting Russia? (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 325-085, January 2025. (Revised April 2025.)
      • January 2025
      • Case

      North Forty: Managing Liquidity Through Change

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Brad Towne
      This case explores the interaction between spending and investment decisions at a family office, specifically the family office of Jeff and Tricia Raikes, with special emphasis on the management of spending, portfolio investments, and asset liquidity in the presence of... View Details
      Keywords: Family Office; Forecasting and Prediction; Asset Management; Financial Liquidity; Financial Strategy; Investment Portfolio; Spending; Planning
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Brad Towne. "North Forty: Managing Liquidity Through Change." Harvard Business School Case 225-061, January 2025.
      • January 2025
      • Article

      Automatic Enrollment with a 12% Default Contribution Rate

      By: John Beshears, Ruofei Guo, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian and James J. Choi
      We study a retirement savings plan with a default contribution rate of 12% of income, which is much higher than previously studied defaults. Twenty-five percent of employees had not opted out of this default 12 months after hire; a literature review finds that the... View Details
      Keywords: Retirement Savings; Defined Contribution Retirement Plan; Automatic Enrollment; Retirement; Saving; Income; Decision Choices and Conditions
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      Beshears, John, Ruofei Guo, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, and James J. Choi. "Automatic Enrollment with a 12% Default Contribution Rate." Journal of Pension Economics & Finance 24, no. 1 (January 2025): 152–182. (20th Anniversary Special Issue.)
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Causes and Extent of Increasing Partisan Segregation in the U.S. – Evidence from Migration Patterns of 212 Million Voters

      By: Jacob R. Brown, Enrico Cantoni, Vincent Pons and Emilie Sartre
      Using data on the residential location and migration for every voter in U.S. states recording partisan registration between 2008–2020, we find that residential segregation between Democrats and Republicans has increased year over year at all geographic levels, from... View Details
      Keywords: Voting; Political Elections; Geographic Location; Demographics
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      Brown, Jacob R., Enrico Cantoni, Vincent Pons, and Emilie Sartre. "Causes and Extent of Increasing Partisan Segregation in the U.S. – Evidence from Migration Patterns of 212 Million Voters." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 33422, January 2025.
      • December 2024
      • Case

      Tencent Games

      By: Rebecca Karp, Billy Chan and Nancy Hua Dai
      For years, Tencent Games, a division of China’s largest internet company, had taken the lion’s share of revenue in the global gaming market with blockbuster titles such as “League of Legends” and “PUBG: Battlegrounds.” These games defined the game genres that they... View Details
      Keywords: Decisions; Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Collaborative Innovation and Invention; Innovation and Management; Innovation Strategy; Growth and Development Strategy; Product Development; Organizational Culture; Business Strategy; Investment; Competitive Strategy; Video Game Industry; Europe; China
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      Karp, Rebecca, Billy Chan, and Nancy Hua Dai. "Tencent Games." Harvard Business School Case 725-411, December 2024.
      • December 2024 (Revised July 2025)
      • Case

      Arcor Group: Navigating Agribusiness Challenges in Argentina

      By: Alberto Cavallo, Jenyfeer Martinez Buitrago and Mariana Cal
      In 2016, Arcor Group, Argentina's leading food company, faced a pivotal decision regarding its newly formed Agribusiness division. CEO Luis Alejandro Pagani and Modesto Magadán, General Manager of the Agribusiness division, evaluated whether to increase investments in... View Details
      Keywords: Factories, Labs, and Plants; Market Entry and Exit; Production; Business Strategy; Growth and Development Strategy; Food and Beverage Industry; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Argentina
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      Cavallo, Alberto, Jenyfeer Martinez Buitrago, and Mariana Cal. "Arcor Group: Navigating Agribusiness Challenges in Argentina." Harvard Business School Case 725-022, December 2024. (Revised July 2025.)
      • December 2024
      • Case

      Xtalic

      By: Joshua Lev Krieger and Jim Matheson
      This case study examines the commercialization efforts of Xtalic, a startup founded by MIT scientists based on their discovery of a novel material science method to protect metal substrates. The case focuses on the strategic decisions involved in bringing this... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation & Entrepreneurship; Innovation and Management; Entrepreneurial Finance; Entrepreneurship; Business Model; Business Startups; Agreements and Arrangements; Science-Based Business; Commercialization
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      Krieger, Joshua Lev, and Jim Matheson. "Xtalic." Harvard Business School Case 825-103, December 2024.
      • December 2024
      • Case

      Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan (BCBSM): The AI Journey

      By: Shikhar Ghosh
      In early 2024, Bill Fandrich, Executive VP and CIO of Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan (BCBSM), faced a critical decision about AI adoption within the organization. Fandrich had championed AI implementation at BCBSM. After successfully developing three AI... View Details
      Keywords: Blue Cross; Automation; Generative Ai; Health Insurance; Insurance Companies; Innovation; IT Strategy; Organizational Transformations; Technology; Non-profit; AI and Machine Learning; Health; Digital Strategy; Digital Transformation; Leadership; Technology Adoption; Job Cuts and Outsourcing; Innovation Strategy; Health Industry; Insurance Industry; Michigan
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      Ghosh, Shikhar. "Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan (BCBSM): The AI Journey." Harvard Business School Case 825-082, December 2024.
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