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      • Faculty Publications  (115)

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      • Article

      Experience Theory, or How Desserts Are Like Losses

      By: Jolie M. Martin, Martin Reimann and Michael I. Norton
      While many experiments have explored risk preferences for money, few have systematically assessed risk preferences for everyday experiences. We propose a conceptual model and provide convergent evidence from seven experiments that, in contrast to a typical “zero”... View Details
      Keywords: Experiences; Monetary Gambles; Risk Preferences; Experience Theory; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavior; Decision Choices and Conditions
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      Martin, Jolie M., Martin Reimann, and Michael I. Norton. "Experience Theory, or How Desserts Are Like Losses." Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 145, no. 11 (November 2016): 1460–1472.
      • Article

      Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates

      By: Peter R. Joos, Joseph D. Piotroski and Suraj Srinivasan
      We use a dataset of sell-side analysts' scenario-based valuation estimates to examine whether analysts reliably assess the risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' state-side contingent valuations captures the riskiness of... View Details
      Keywords: Analyst Forecasts; Scenarios; Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Joos, Peter R., Joseph D. Piotroski, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates." Journal of Financial Economics 121, no. 3 (September 2016): 645–663.
      • April 2015
      • Article

      Incentivizing Calculated Risk-Taking: Evidence from an Experiment with Commercial Bank Loan Officers

      By: Shawn Cole, Martin Kanz and Leora Klapper
      This paper uses a series of experiments with commercial bank loan officers to test the effect of performance incentives on risk assessment and lending decisions. We first show that while high-powered incentives lead to greater screening effort and more profitable... View Details
      Keywords: Banking; Management Processes; Credit Products; Experimental Economics; Risk Management; Motivation and Incentives; Management Practices and Processes; Financing and Loans; Banking Industry
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      Cole, Shawn, Martin Kanz, and Leora Klapper. "Incentivizing Calculated Risk-Taking: Evidence from an Experiment with Commercial Bank Loan Officers." Journal of Finance 70, no. 2 (April 2015): 537–575.
      • Article

      SOX after Ten Years: A Multidisciplinary Review

      By: Suraj Srinivasan and John C. Coates IV
      We review and assess research findings from 120+ papers in accounting, finance, and law to evaluate the impact of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. We describe significant developments in how the Act was implemented and find that despite severe criticism, the Act and... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Reporting; Laws and Statutes; United States
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      Srinivasan, Suraj, and John C. Coates IV. "SOX after Ten Years: A Multidisciplinary Review." Accounting Horizons 28, no. 3 (September 2014): 627–671.
      • July 2014 (Revised October 2014)
      • Case

      McKinsey & Co. - Protecting its Reputation (A)

      By: Jay Lorsch and Emily McTague
      On Tuesday March 15, 2011, all 1,200 global Partners of McKinsey & Co. gathered at the Gaylord National Hotel & Convention Center near Washington, DC for their annual Partners' conference. The atmosphere was tense as Partners, in addition to their normal agenda,... View Details
      Keywords: Board; McKinsey; Consulting Firms; Risk; Risk Assessment; Partnerships; Insider Trading; Confidentiality; Personal Investing; Reputation; Corporate Accountability; Corporate Governance; Management Practices and Processes; Risk Management; Consulting Industry; United States; California
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      Lorsch, Jay, and Emily McTague. "McKinsey & Co. - Protecting its Reputation (A)." Harvard Business School Case 415-021, July 2014. (Revised October 2014.)
      • July 2014 (Revised October 2014)
      • Supplement

      McKinsey & Co. - Protecting its Reputation (B)

      By: Jay Lorsch and Emily McTague
      On Tuesday March 15, 2011, all 1,200 global Partners of McKinsey & Co. gathered at the Gaylord National Hotel & Convention Center near Washington, DC for their annual Partners' conference. The atmosphere was tense as Partners, in addition to their normal agenda,... View Details
      Keywords: Board; McKinsey; CONSULTING Firms; Risk; Risk Assessment; Partnerships; Insider Trading; Confidentiality; Personal Investing; Reputation; Corporate Accountability; Corporate Governance; Management Practices and Processes; Risk Management; Construction Industry; United States; California
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      Lorsch, Jay, and Emily McTague. "McKinsey & Co. - Protecting its Reputation (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 415-022, July 2014. (Revised October 2014.)
      • July 2014
      • Case

      Paramount Equipment, Inc.

      By: Carliss Y. Baldwin and Wei Wang
      Paramount Equipment, Inc., based in Fort Wayne, Indiana, is a large manufacturer of cranes and compact construction equipment, aerial work platforms, and food service equipment. Founded in 1987, Paramount now had manufacturing operations in 24 countries. However, it... View Details
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      Baldwin, Carliss Y., and Wei Wang. "Paramount Equipment, Inc." Harvard Business School Brief Case 914-557, July 2014.
      • 2014
      • Working Paper

      SOX after Ten Years: A Multidisciplinary Review

      By: John C. Coates and Suraj Srinivasan
      We review and assess research findings from 120 papers in accounting, finance, and law to evaluate the impact of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. We describe significant developments in how the Act was implemented and find that despite severe criticism, the Act and institutions... View Details
      Keywords: Laws and Statutes
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      Coates, John C., and Suraj Srinivasan. "SOX after Ten Years: A Multidisciplinary Review." John M. Olin Center for Law, Economics, and Business Discussion Paper, No. 758, May 2014.
      • 2014
      • Article

      Psychological Safety: The History, Renaissance, and Future of an Interpersonal Construct

      By: Amy C. Edmondson and Zhike Lei
      Psychological safety describes people's perceptions of the consequences of taking interpersonal risks in a particular context such as a workplace. First explored by pioneering organizational scholars in the 1960s, psychological safety experienced a renaissance starting... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Safety; Groups and Teams
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      Edmondson, Amy C., and Zhike Lei. "Psychological Safety: The History, Renaissance, and Future of an Interpersonal Construct." Annual Review of Organizational Psychology and Organizational Behavior 1 (2014): 23–43.
      • February 2014
      • Article

      Gender Differences in Willingness to Guess

      By: Katherine Baldiga Coffman
      We present the results of an experiment that explores whether women are less willing than men to guess on multiple-choice tests. Our test consists of practice questions from SAT II subject tests; we vary whether a penalty is imposed for a wrong answer and the salience... View Details
      Keywords: Behavioral Decision Making; Microeconomic Behavior; Education Systems; Behavior; Decision Choices and Conditions; Gender; Economics
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      Coffman, Katherine Baldiga. "Gender Differences in Willingness to Guess." Management Science 60, no. 2 (February 2014): 434–448.
      • October 2013 (Revised April 2018)
      • Technical Note

      Non-Equity Financing for Entrepreneurial Ventures

      By: Joan Farre-Mensa, Ramana Nanda and Piyush Jain

      Young, and particularly high-growth ventures often need to raise significant external finance, since their internal cash flow is usually insufficient to support the investments needed to grow. Although raising equity from venture capital or angel investors is the... View Details

      Keywords: Entrepreneurial Finance; Entrepreneurship; Finance; Financial Services Industry
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      Farre-Mensa, Joan, Ramana Nanda, and Piyush Jain. "Non-Equity Financing for Entrepreneurial Ventures." Harvard Business School Technical Note 814-005, October 2013. (Revised April 2018.)
      • March–April 2013
      • Article

      Vaporware, Suddenware and Trueware: New Product Preannouncements under Market Uncertainty

      By: Elie Ofek and Ozge Turut
      A firm may want to preannounce its plans to develop a new product in order to stimulate future demand. But given that such communications can affect rivals' incentives to develop the same new product, a firm may decide to preannounce untruthfully in order to deter... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Announcements; Competition; Product Launch; Product Development
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      Ofek, Elie, and Ozge Turut. "Vaporware, Suddenware and Trueware: New Product Preannouncements under Market Uncertainty." Marketing Science 32, no. 2 (March–April 2013): 342–355.
      • January 2013 (Revised August 2013)
      • Case

      First Solar: CFRA's Accounting Quality Concerns

      By: Suraj Srinivasan and Ian McKown Cornell
      The case relates to accounting quality analysis conducted by the leading research firm Center for Financial Research and Analysis (CFRA) on companies in the solar industry with a focus on First Solar Inc. In 2009, CFRA was concerned that First Solar, like much of the... View Details
      Keywords: Accounting; Accounting Quality; Financial Accounting; Financial Statement Analysis; Accounting Fraud; Accounting Red Flags; Accounting Scandal; Risk and Uncertainty; Quality; Earnings Management; Valuation; Crime and Corruption; Financial Statements; Energy Sources; Green Technology Industry; Accounting Industry; Energy Industry
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      Srinivasan, Suraj, and Ian McKown Cornell. "First Solar: CFRA's Accounting Quality Concerns." Harvard Business School Case 113-044, January 2013. (Revised August 2013.)
      • Fall 2012
      • Article

      Innovation Strategy and Entry Deterrence

      By: Ozge Turut and Elie Ofek
      We model an incumbent's decision to pursue radical or incremental innovation when facing a rival entrant. The radical innovation may yield lucrative financial returns but entails significant technological and market-related uncertainties. It is also particularly... View Details
      Keywords: Competition; Innovation Strategy; Risk and Uncertainty; Markets; Mathematical Methods
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      Turut, Ozge, and Elie Ofek. "Innovation Strategy and Entry Deterrence." Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 12, no. 3 (Fall 2012).
      • March 2012
      • Article

      Managing Political Risk in Global Business: Beiersdorf 1914-1990

      By: Geoffrey Jones and Christina Lubinski
      This article is concerned with business strategies of political risk management during the twentieth century. It focuses especially on Beiersdorf, a pharmaceutical and skin care company in Germany. During World War I, the expropriation of its brands and trademarks... View Details
      Keywords: Business Strategy; Government and Politics; Risk Management; Brands and Branding; Problems and Challenges; Communication Technology; Cost; Trademarks; Strategy; Pharmaceutical Industry; Germany
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      Jones, Geoffrey, and Christina Lubinski. "Managing Political Risk in Global Business: Beiersdorf 1914-1990." Enterprise & Society 13, no. 1 (March 2012): 85–119.
      • October 2011 (Revised August 2017)
      • Case

      Veracity Worldwide in Syria: Assessing Political Risk in a Volatile Environment

      By: Aldo Musacchio and Sophus A. Reinert
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Government and Politics; Business and Government Relations; Syria
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      Musacchio, Aldo, and Sophus A. Reinert. "Veracity Worldwide in Syria: Assessing Political Risk in a Volatile Environment." Harvard Business School Case 712-009, October 2011. (Revised August 2017.)
      • 2011
      • Working Paper

      Managing Political Risk in Global Business: Beiersdorf 1914-1990

      By: Geoffrey Jones and Christina Lubinski
      This working paper examines corporate strategies of political risk management during the twentieth century. It focuses especially on Beiersdorf, a German-based pharmaceutical and skin care company. During World War I the expropriation of its brands and trademarks... View Details
      Keywords: History; Risk Management; Business History; Multinational Firms and Management; Corporate Strategy; Intellectual Property; Cooperation; Business and Government Relations; Germany
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      Jones, Geoffrey, and Christina Lubinski. "Managing Political Risk in Global Business: Beiersdorf 1914-1990." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 12-003, July 2011.
      • December 2010
      • Article

      Management and the Financial Crisis (We Have Met the Enemy and He Is Us...)

      By: William A. Sahlman
      The financial crisis of 2008-2009 has revealed that our broad model of corporate governance is broken, independent of the shortcomings in the regulatory system. Managers and boards of directors in scores of systemically important firms failed to protect employees,... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Management; Human Capital; Ethics; Policy; Corporate Governance; Financial Crisis; Finance; Business and Shareholder Relations
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      Sahlman, William A. "Management and the Financial Crisis (We Have Met the Enemy and He Is Us...)." Economics, Management, and Financial Markets 5, no. 4 (December 2010): 11–53.
      • December 2010
      • Article

      Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      The main arguments in favor of and against nominal and indexed debt are the incentive to default through inflation versus hedging against unforeseen shocks. We model and calibrate these arguments to assess their quantitative importance. We use a dynamic equilibrium... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Motivation and Incentives; Inflation and Deflation; System Shocks; Taxation; Risk and Uncertainty; Framework; Problems and Challenges; Interest Rates; Cost; Developing Countries and Economies; Service Operations
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race." Journal of International Money and Finance 29, no. 8 (December 2010): 1706–1726. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper No. 05-053 and NBER Working Paper No. 13131.)
      • May 2010 (Revised January 2014)
      • Case

      Water Shortage and Property Investing in Mexico City

      By: John D. Macomber, Regina Garcia-Cuellar and Griffin James
      A commercial property company evaluates water risks including the government's ability to remedy, the company's operating exposure and mitigation, and whether to relocate because of water risk. A real estate fund manager assesses investment prospects in Mexico City in... View Details
      Keywords: Private Equity; Investment; Risk Management; Infrastructure; Privatization; Business and Government Relations; Partners and Partnerships; Financial Services Industry; Real Estate Industry; Utilities Industry; Mexico City
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      Macomber, John D., Regina Garcia-Cuellar, and Griffin James. "Water Shortage and Property Investing in Mexico City." Harvard Business School Case 210-085, May 2010. (Revised January 2014.)
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