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  • 24 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 24

Colgate. Policy Bundling to Overcome Risk Aversion: A Method for Improving Legislative Outcomes Authors:Katherine L. Milkman, Mary Carol Mazza, Lisa L. Shu, Chia-Jung Tsay, and Max H. Bazerman Publication:Organizational Behavior and Human... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • October 2008 (Revised February 2014)
  • Case

The Northwest Passage

By: Herman B. Leonard and Peter Brannen
Following dozens of failed expeditions to "discover" the NW passage, a Norwegian adventurer employs a new approach that emphasizes rigorous preparation, a lighter, quicker style, and a willingness to adapt to the inhospitable Arctic environment and its people. The case... View Details
Keywords: Independent Innovation and Invention; Planning; Problems and Challenges; Risk and Uncertainty; Decision Choices and Conditions; Leadership Style; Adaptation; Canada
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  • 14 May 2008
  • Research & Ideas

Getting Down to the Business of Creativity

individual. Of course it does. But it also depends on creative thinking as a skill that involves qualities such as the propensity to take risks and to turn a problem on its head to get a new perspective. That can be learned." “Our... View Details
Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Retail; Apparel & Accessories; Fashion; Entertainment & Recreation
  • Research Summary

Overview

Over the last decade, technology companies like Amazon, Google, and Netflix have pioneered data-driven research and development processes centered on massive experimentation. However, as companies increase the breadth and scale of their experiments to millions of... View Details
  • January–February 2023
  • Article

Data-Driven COVID-19 Vaccine Development for Janssen

By: Dimitris Bertsimas, Michael Lingzhi Li, Xinggang Liu, Jennings Xu and Najat Khan
The COVID-19 pandemic has spurred extensive vaccine research worldwide. One crucial part of vaccine development is the phase III clinical trial that assesses the vaccine for safety and efficacy in the prevention of COVID-19. In this work, we enumerate the first... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19; Health Testing and Trials; Forecasting and Prediction; AI and Machine Learning; Research; Pharmaceutical Industry
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  • Research Summary

Overview

By: Iavor I. Bojinov
Over the last decade, technology companies like Amazon, Google, and Netflix have pioneered data-driven research and development processes centered on massive experimentation. However, as companies increase the breadth and scale of their experiments to millions of... View Details
  • Forthcoming
  • Article

Imagining the Future: Memory, Simulation and Beliefs

By: Pedro Bordalo, Giovanni Burro, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
How do people form beliefs about novel risks, with which they have little or no experience? Motivated by survey data on beliefs about Covid we collected in 2020, we build a model based on the psychology of selective memory. When a person thinks about an event,... View Details
Keywords: Expectations; Memory; COVID-19 Pandemic; Risk and Uncertainty; Cognition and Thinking
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  • 29 Jan 2014
  • Working Paper Summaries

The Rising Cost of Consumer Attention: Why You Should Care, and What You Can Do about It

Keywords: by Thales S. Teixeira
  • 30 Oct 2007
  • First Look

First Look: October 30, 2007

  Working PapersRecognizing the New: A Multi-Agent Model of Analogy in Strategic Decision-Making Authors:Giovanni Gavetti and Massimo Warglien Abstract In novel environments, strategic decision-making is often premised on analogy, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Jun 2007
  • First Look

First Look: June 19, 2007

launched the highly successful Go Red For Women campaign to help women understand their risk for heart disease. But Go Red became more than a fundraising vehicle. It energized the AHA and its 22 million volunteers, and potentially sparked... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 16 Feb 2024
  • Research & Ideas

Is Your Workplace Biased Against Introverts?

conducted five studies to explore differences in how extroverts and introverts express, perceive, and experience passion on the job. To extract data from subjective expressions of passion, the team created a novel “passion experiences and... View Details
Keywords: by Ben Rand
  • 2017
  • Working Paper

Economic Uncertainty and Earnings Management

By: Luke C.D. Stein and Charles C.Y. Wang
In the presence of managerial short-termism and asymmetric information about skill and effort provision, firms may opportunistically shift earnings from uncertain to more certain times. We document empirically that when financial markets are less certain about a firm's... View Details
Keywords: Discretionary Accruals; Uncertainty; Implied Volatility; Earnings Response Coefficient; Risk and Uncertainty; Earnings Management; Financial Markets
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  • 13 Jan 2012
  • Working Paper Summaries

Intermediaries for the IP Market

Keywords: by Andrei Hagiu & David Yoffie
  • 20 Nov 2006
  • Research & Ideas

Open Source Science: A New Model for Innovation

of knowledge, but in practice that doesn't happen much at all. Some scientists, however, are pushing back and many say they need to rethink how they conduct science. Q: What are the risks of opening problems to outsiders? A: For firms,... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • 27 Jan 2009
  • First Look

First Look: January 27, 2009

strategic choices that affect both the expected profits of the firm and their riskiness. Even if competition at first pushes the manager towards profit maximization as commonly argued, I show that further increases in competitive forces might as well lead him to take... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 08 Aug 2017
  • First Look

First Look at Research and Ideas, August 8, 2017

management themes and maternal outcomes. Results: Proactive management of unit culture and nursing was associated with a significantly higher risk of primary cesarean delivery in low-risk patients (relative View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Sep 2023
  • Book

Thriving After Failing: How to Turn Your Setbacks Into Triumphs

even the most thoughtful failed experiments, so they can focus their energy on developing new solutions. In one case, a graduate student frustratingly cycled through several wrong ways to isolate a particular kind of RNA before coming across a View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding
  • 2020
  • Working Paper

Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty

By: J. Peter Scoblic
This paper proposes to treat strategic foresight as a dynamic capability, providing a new theoretical lens on managerial judgment. Formulating strategy under uncertainty is a central challenge facing the modern firm. Analogy is thought to help managers make sense of... View Details
Keywords: Foresight; Dynamic Capabilities; Managerial Judgment; Risk and Uncertainty; Management; Strategy
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  • Web

Behavioral Finance & Financial Stability

fluctuations. The authors introduce a novel measure of risk perceptions: the price of volatile stocks. They show that high perceived risk is associated with low risk-free... View Details
  • 1 Mar 2013 - 2 Mar 2013
  • Conference Presentation

The Value of Flexibility in Baseball Roster Construction

By: Timothy Chan and Douglas S. Fearing
Drawing inspiration from the theory of production flexibility in manufacturing networks, we provide the first optimization-based analysis of the value of positional flexibility (the ability of a player to play multiple positions) for a major league baseball team in the... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Design; Production; Resource Allocation; Groups and Teams; Adaptation; Sports
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