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      • March 1981 (Revised October 1984)
      • Case

      Corning Glass Works: Indonesia

      By: Michael Y. Yoshino
      Evaluates the market opportunities and risks by Corning and International Finance Corporation in Indonesia. View Details
      Keywords: Globalized Markets and Industries; Risk and Uncertainty; Opportunities; Financial Services Industry; Indonesia
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      Yoshino, Michael Y. "Corning Glass Works: Indonesia." Harvard Business School Case 381-119, March 1981. (Revised October 1984.)
      • 1981
      • Article

      Marine Resources Management under Uncertainty: The Case of Eastern Spinner Dolphin Depletion

      By: James K. Sebenius
      Keywords: Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Information
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      Sebenius, James K. "Marine Resources Management under Uncertainty: The Case of Eastern Spinner Dolphin Depletion." Marine Fisheries Review 43 (1981): 1–4.
      • December 1980 (Revised January 1994)
      • Case

      International Foodstuffs

      By: David E. Bell
      Describes three fairly routine instances in which considerations of risk exposure in foreign exchange are necessary. The three are a delayed payment for a grain shipment, a foreign subsidiary facing devaluation of its domestic currency, and a foreign acquisition. The... View Details
      Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate; Risk and Uncertainty; International Relations; Mergers and Acquisitions; Money; International Finance; Financial Services Industry
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      Bell, David E. "International Foodstuffs." Harvard Business School Case 181-049, December 1980. (Revised January 1994.)
      • winter 1980
      • Article

      Evolving Terms of Mineral Agreements: Risk, Reward, and Participation in Deep Seabed Mining

      By: James K. Sebenius and Mati Pal
      Keywords: Metals and Minerals; Risk and Uncertainty; Motivation and Incentives; Mining Industry
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      Sebenius, James K., and Mati Pal. "Evolving Terms of Mineral Agreements: Risk, Reward, and Participation in Deep Seabed Mining." Columbia Journal of World Business 15, no. 4 (winter 1980): 75–83.
      • January 1980 (Revised April 1994)
      • Case

      New Balance Athletic Shoes

      By: Kim B. Clark
      Faced with growth exceeding 100% per year, James Davis, president of New Balance, must decide how to meet the need for additional capacity. Several factors contribute to a climate of extreme uncertainty. Several options are considered, ranging from a second shift to... View Details
      Keywords: Factories, Labs, and Plants; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Strategy; Information; Growth Management; Organizational Design; Performance Capacity; Risk and Uncertainty; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Republic of Ireland
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      Clark, Kim B. "New Balance Athletic Shoes." Harvard Business School Case 680-110, January 1980. (Revised April 1994.)
      • December 1979
      • Article

      Liquidity Preference under Uncertainty

      By: Carliss Y. Baldwin and Richard F. Meyer
      Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Baldwin, Carliss Y., and Richard F. Meyer. "Liquidity Preference under Uncertainty." Journal of Financial Economics 7, no. 4 (December 1979).
      • April 1978
      • Article

      The Returns and Risk of Alternative Call Option Portfolio Investment Strategies

      By: Robert C. Merton, Myron S. Scholes and Matthew L. Gladstein
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Investment; Strategy
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      Merton, Robert C., Myron S. Scholes, and Matthew L. Gladstein. "The Returns and Risk of Alternative Call Option Portfolio Investment Strategies." Journal of Business 51 (April 1978): 183–242.
      • 1977
      • Working Paper

      Mitigating Demographic Risk Through Social Insurance

      By: Jerry R. Green
      A two-period lifetime overlapping generations growth model is used to evaluate the possibility that social insurance can effectively offset economic risks associated with uncertainty about the rate of population growth. Crude measures of the seriousness of this type of... View Details
      Keywords: Social Insurance; Econometric Models; Public Sector; Government Administration; Policy; Human Needs; Social Issues; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Green, Jerry R. "Mitigating Demographic Risk Through Social Insurance." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 215, November 1977.
      • July 1975
      • Article

      An Asymptotic Theory of Growth Under Uncertainty

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Theory; Growth and Development; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Merton, Robert C. "An Asymptotic Theory of Growth Under Uncertainty." Review of Economic Studies 42, no. 3 (July 1975): 375–393. (Chapter 17 in Continuous-Time Finance.)
      • April 1975 (Revised November 1984)
      • Case

      Enzone Petroleum Corp.

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      A large integrated oil company is debating whether to switch from a single hurdle rate to multiple hurdle rates for project analysis purposes. Raises questions on: 1) determination of the cost of equity; 2) the usefulness of multiple hurdle rates to adjust for project... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Cost; Investment Return; Equity; Capital Budgeting; Energy Industry
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Enzone Petroleum Corp." Harvard Business School Case 275-113, April 1975. (Revised November 1984.)
      • November 1974 (Revised May 1994)
      • Case

      Science Technology Co.

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      The president of a medium-sized electronics company is evaluating the financial forecasts and proposed financing program submitted by the chief financial officer. The forecasts are prepared in constant dollars, on which basis the proposed financing plan seems... View Details
      Keywords: Currency; Financial Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Inflation and Deflation; Risk and Uncertainty; Outcome or Result; Technology Industry; Electronics Industry
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Science Technology Co." Harvard Business School Case 275-058, November 1974. (Revised May 1994.)
      • May 1974
      • Article

      On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Price; Borrowing and Debt; Risk and Uncertainty; Interest Rates
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      Merton, Robert C. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates." Journal of Finance 29, no. 2 (May 1974): 449–470. (Chapter 12 in Continuous-Time Finance.)
      • Article

      Temporary General Equilibrium in a Sequential Trading Model with Spot and Futures Transactions

      By: Jerry R. Green
      The existence of an equilibrium is proven for a two-period model in which there are spot transactions and futures transactions in the first period and spot markets in the second period. Prices at that date are viewed with subjective uncertainty by all traders. This... View Details
      Keywords: Equilibrium; Sequential Trading; Econometric Models
      Citation
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      Green, Jerry R. "Temporary General Equilibrium in a Sequential Trading Model with Spot and Futures Transactions." Econometrica 41, no. 6 (November 1973): 1103–1123.
      • Article

      Risk and the Value Line Contest

      By: Robert S. Kaplan and Roman L. Weil
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Value
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      Kaplan, Robert S., and Roman L. Weil. "Risk and the Value Line Contest." Financial Analysts Journal (July–August 1973): 48–53.
      • spring 1973
      • Article

      Management of Commercial Bank Government Security Portfolios: An Optimization Approach Under Uncertainty

      By: D. B. Crane and Stephen P. Bradley
      Keywords: Management; Banks and Banking; Government and Politics; Investment; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Crane, D. B., and Stephen P. Bradley. "Management of Commercial Bank Government Security Portfolios: An Optimization Approach Under Uncertainty." Journal of Bank Research 4, no. 1 (spring 1973).
      • January 1973 (Revised September 1990)
      • Case

      Carrefour S.A.

      By: William E. Fruhan Jr.
      Involves a very rapidly growing retail chain that is financing itself in an unusual (and at first glance) risky fashion. View Details
      Keywords: Growth and Development Strategy; Financing and Loans; Risk and Uncertainty; Retail Industry
      Citation
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      Fruhan, William E., Jr. "Carrefour S.A." Harvard Business School Case 273-099, January 1973. (Revised September 1990.)
      • Article

      Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Investment
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case." Review of Economics and Statistics 51, no. 3 (August 1969): 247–257. (Chapter II of Ph.D. dissertation; Chapter 4 in Continuous-Time Finance.)
      • March 1968 (Revised July 2010)
      • Case

      Basic Industries

      By: Joseph L. Bower and John W. Rosenblum
      Policy problems, mainly organizational issues, face a young middle manager in the context of capital budgeting in a highly technological conglomerate firm with high market uncertainty. View Details
      Keywords: Business Conglomerates; Capital Budgeting; Policy; Managerial Roles; Risk and Uncertainty
      Citation
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      Bower, Joseph L., and John W. Rosenblum. "Basic Industries." Harvard Business School Case 313-121, March 1968. (Revised July 2010.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath

      By: Antonio Falato, Giovanni Favara and David Scharfstein
      We present evidence that pressure to maximize short-term stock prices and earnings leads banks to increase risk. We start by showing that banks increase risk when they transition from private to public ownership through a public listing or an acquisition. The increase... View Details
      Keywords: Ownership Type; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Markets; Banks and Banking; Transition; Price
      Citation
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      Falato, Antonio, Giovanni Favara, and David Scharfstein. "Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath." Review of Financial Studies (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Come Together: Firm Boundaries and Delegation

      By: Laura Alfaro
      We develop an incomplete-contracts model to jointly study firm boundaries and the allocation of decision rights within them. Integration has an option value: it gives firm owners authority to delegate or centralize decision rights, depending on who can best solve... View Details
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