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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(1,275)
- News (115)
- Research (1,049)
- Events (3)
- Multimedia (6)
- Faculty Publications (800)
- 17 Apr 2020
- News
Decreasing the Wealth Gap
Ray Dalio Ray Dalio As founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, Ray Dalio (MBA 1973) is well known for his ability to forecast the future. Dalio—whose foundation has committed millions of dollars to improving... View Details
- 29 Aug 2006
- First Look
First Look: August 29, 2006
Using Judgmental Forecasts Authors:Vishal Gaur, Saravanan Kesavan, Ananth Raman, and Marshall L. Fisher Periodical:Manufacturing and Service Operations Management (forthcoming) Abstract Measuring demand uncertainty is a key activity in... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 02 Jun 2010
- First Look
First Look: June 2
norton ariely.pdf Do Inventory and Gross Margin Data Improve Sales Forecasts for U.S. Public Retailers? Authors:Saravanan Kesavan, Vishal Gaur, and Ananth Raman Publication:Management Science (forthcoming) Abstract Firm-level sales View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 06 May 2015
- What Do You Think?
Are You Ready for Personalized Predictive Analytics?
individuals. All forecasting is a case in point. When the application becomes personal, it raises many questions that will have to be addressed. In this case, should we be careful what we wish for? What do you think? Original Article In... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
- 12 Jul 2010
- Research & Ideas
Rocket Science Retailing: A Practical Guide
Demand With total revenue likely to fluctuate much more than in the past, managers must be ready to take anticipatory action. Consequently, they should improve their ability to forecast aggregate demand. Supply chains during the last few... View Details
- Article
Learning and Equilibrium as Useful Approximations: Accuracy of Prediction on Randomly Selected Constant Sum Games
By: Ido Erev, Alvin E. Roth, R. Slonim and Greg Barron
Erev, Ido, Alvin E. Roth, R. Slonim, and Greg Barron. "Learning and Equilibrium as Useful Approximations: Accuracy of Prediction on Randomly Selected Constant Sum Games." Special Issue on Behavioral Game Theory. Economic Theory 33, no. 1 (October 2007): 29–51.
- 12 Dec 2019
- Research & Ideas
How to Turn Down the Boil on Group Conflict
Psychology Mina Cikara. “If you forecast that no matter what you propose, the other side will hate it, then you are going to say compromise is a waste of time,” Lees says. “People not only have stereotypes of what other people are like,... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding
- 20 Mar 2007
- First Look
First Look: March 20, 2007
Working PapersIncorporating Price and Inventory Endogeneity in Firm-Level Sales Forecasting Authors:Saravanan Kesavan, Vishal Gaur, and Ananth Raman Abstract As numerous papers have argued, sales, inventory, and gross margin for a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- December 1990 (Revised December 1993)
- Supplement
Australian Paper Manufacturers (B)
By: David M. Upton and Joshua D. Margolis
Describes events that occur after the decision point in Australian Paper Manufacturers (A). With these facts and more detailed market projections, this case intensifies the long-term financial, strategic, and ethical decisions confronting the invader. View Details
Upton, David M., and Joshua D. Margolis. "Australian Paper Manufacturers (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 691-043, December 1990. (Revised December 1993.)
- 1996
- Chapter
The Power of Predictability
By: H. H. Stevenson and Mihnea Moldoveanu
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
- July–August 1995
- Article
The Power of Predictability
By: H. H. Stevenson and M. C. Moldoveanu
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
Stevenson, H. H., and M. C. Moldoveanu. "The Power of Predictability." Harvard Business Review 73, no. 4 (July–August 1995).
- 01 Dec 1999
- News
Water, Water Everywhere
course, weather patterns. How those factors played out, she recalled, "determined whether we got to buy our clothes or make our clothes that year." Mark noted that she never expected to find herself again in a business where the bottom line can rise and fall with the... View Details
- 12 Feb 2008
- First Look
First Look: February 12, 2007
but all share a belief in the importance of understanding change over time. Publisher's site: http://www.oup.com/us/catalog/general/subject/Business/History/ The Effect of Macro Information Environment Change on the Quality of Management Earnings View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- Fast Answer
HBS Course: Real Estate Private Equity - Research Resources
LSEG Workspace
PE data includes investments, portfolio company and firm profiles, exits and fundraising information. Moody’s Analytics CRE Search millions of real estate data points that cover every commercially zoned property in the U.S. Provides... View Details
PE data includes investments, portfolio company and firm profiles, exits and fundraising information. Moody’s Analytics CRE Search millions of real estate data points that cover every commercially zoned property in the U.S. Provides... View Details
- Article
The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential
By: Daniella Kupor, Zakary L. Tormala and Michael I. Norton
Influence practitioners often highlight a target's achievements (e.g., "she is the city's top-rated chef"), but recent research reveals that highlighting a target's potential (e.g., "she could become the city's top-rated chef") can be more effective. We examine whether... View Details
Kupor, Daniella, Zakary L. Tormala, and Michael I. Norton. "The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential." Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 55 (November 2014): 210–216.
- 01 Jan 1977
- Conference Presentation
Short Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasts: Optimal Use of National Weather Service Data
By: James K. Sebenius and Richard Lehman
- 1989
- Chapter
The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry
By: Jerry A. Hausman and Elon Kohlberg
Keywords: Innovation and Invention; Communication Technology; Forecasting and Prediction; Telecommunications Industry
Hausman, Jerry A., and Elon Kohlberg. "The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry." In Future Competition in Telecommunications, edited by Stephen P. Bradley and Jerry A. Hausman. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press, 1989.
- August 2015 (Revised January 2017)
- Technical Note
From Correlation to Causation
By: Feng Zhu and Karim R. Lakhani
To make sound business decisions, managers must be comfortable with the concepts of correlation and causation. This background note provides an overview of correlation and causation using examples and explains why the former does not imply the latter. It also describes... View Details
Zhu, Feng, and Karim R. Lakhani. "From Correlation to Causation." Harvard Business School Technical Note 616-009, August 2015. (Revised January 2017.)
- January 2011
- Article
Good Intentions, Optimistic Self-Predictions, and Missed Opportunities
By: Derek Koehler, Rebecca White and Leslie K. John
Self-predictions are highly sensitive to current intentions but often largely insensitive to factors influencing the readiness with which those intentions are translated into future behavior. When such factors are under a person's control, they could be used to... View Details
Koehler, Derek, Rebecca White, and Leslie K. John. "Good Intentions, Optimistic Self-Predictions, and Missed Opportunities." Social Psychological & Personality Science 2, no. 1 (January 2011): 90–96.
- February 2004 (Revised April 2004)
- Case
Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company, Inc., The
By: David F. Hawkins and Jacob Cohen
Analysts believe bankruptcy is a distinct possibility for A&P in the future. The company believes otherwise. View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Consumer Products Industry; Food and Beverage Industry
Hawkins, David F., and Jacob Cohen. "Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company, Inc., The." Harvard Business School Case 104-070, February 2004. (Revised April 2004.)