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Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (1,275)
    • News  (115)
    • Research  (1,049)
    • Events  (3)
    • Multimedia  (6)
  • Faculty Publications  (800)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (1,275)
    • News  (115)
    • Research  (1,049)
    • Events  (3)
    • Multimedia  (6)
  • Faculty Publications  (800)
← Page 35 of 1,275 Results →
  • 17 Apr 2020
  • News

Decreasing the Wealth Gap

Ray Dalio Ray Dalio As founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, Ray Dalio (MBA 1973) is well known for his ability to forecast the future. Dalio—whose foundation has committed millions of dollars to improving... View Details
  • 29 Aug 2006
  • First Look

First Look: August 29, 2006

Using Judgmental Forecasts Authors:Vishal Gaur, Saravanan Kesavan, Ananth Raman, and Marshall L. Fisher Periodical:Manufacturing and Service Operations Management (forthcoming) Abstract Measuring demand uncertainty is a key activity in... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 02 Jun 2010
  • First Look

First Look: June 2

norton ariely.pdf Do Inventory and Gross Margin Data Improve Sales Forecasts for U.S. Public Retailers? Authors:Saravanan Kesavan, Vishal Gaur, and Ananth Raman Publication:Management Science (forthcoming) Abstract Firm-level sales View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 06 May 2015
  • What Do You Think?

Are You Ready for Personalized Predictive Analytics?

individuals. All forecasting is a case in point. When the application becomes personal, it raises many questions that will have to be addressed. In this case, should we be careful what we wish for? What do you think? Original Article In... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 12 Jul 2010
  • Research & Ideas

Rocket Science Retailing: A Practical Guide

Demand With total revenue likely to fluctuate much more than in the past, managers must be ready to take anticipatory action. Consequently, they should improve their ability to forecast aggregate demand. Supply chains during the last few... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Retail; Auto
  • Article

Learning and Equilibrium as Useful Approximations: Accuracy of Prediction on Randomly Selected Constant Sum Games

By: Ido Erev, Alvin E. Roth, R. Slonim and Greg Barron
Keywords: Learning; Forecasting and Prediction; Outcome or Result
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Erev, Ido, Alvin E. Roth, R. Slonim, and Greg Barron. "Learning and Equilibrium as Useful Approximations: Accuracy of Prediction on Randomly Selected Constant Sum Games." Special Issue on Behavioral Game Theory. Economic Theory 33, no. 1 (October 2007): 29–51.
  • 12 Dec 2019
  • Research & Ideas

How to Turn Down the Boil on Group Conflict

Psychology Mina Cikara. “If you forecast that no matter what you propose, the other side will hate it, then you are going to say compromise is a waste of time,” Lees says. “People not only have stereotypes of what other people are like,... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding
  • 20 Mar 2007
  • First Look

First Look: March 20, 2007

  Working PapersIncorporating Price and Inventory Endogeneity in Firm-Level Sales Forecasting Authors:Saravanan Kesavan, Vishal Gaur, and Ananth Raman Abstract As numerous papers have argued, sales, inventory, and gross margin for a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • December 1990 (Revised December 1993)
  • Supplement

Australian Paper Manufacturers (B)

By: David M. Upton and Joshua D. Margolis
Describes events that occur after the decision point in Australian Paper Manufacturers (A). With these facts and more detailed market projections, this case intensifies the long-term financial, strategic, and ethical decisions confronting the invader. View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Finance; Strategy; Ethics; Pulp and Paper Industry; Australia
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Upton, David M., and Joshua D. Margolis. "Australian Paper Manufacturers (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 691-043, December 1990. (Revised December 1993.)
  • 1996
  • Chapter

The Power of Predictability

By: H. H. Stevenson and Mihnea Moldoveanu
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
Citation
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Stevenson, H. H., and Mihnea Moldoveanu. "The Power of Predictability." In The Quest for Loyalty: Creating Value Through Partnership, edited by Fred Reichheld. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1996.
  • July–August 1995
  • Article

The Power of Predictability

By: H. H. Stevenson and M. C. Moldoveanu
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
Citation
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Stevenson, H. H., and M. C. Moldoveanu. "The Power of Predictability." Harvard Business Review 73, no. 4 (July–August 1995).
  • 01 Dec 1999
  • News

Water, Water Everywhere

course, weather patterns. How those factors played out, she recalled, "determined whether we got to buy our clothes or make our clothes that year." Mark noted that she never expected to find herself again in a business where the bottom line can rise and fall with the... View Details
  • 12 Feb 2008
  • First Look

First Look: February 12, 2007

but all share a belief in the importance of understanding change over time. Publisher's site: http://www.oup.com/us/catalog/general/subject/Business/History/ The Effect of Macro Information Environment Change on the Quality of Management Earnings View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • Fast Answer

HBS Course: Real Estate Private Equity - Research Resources

LSEG Workspace
PE data includes investments, portfolio company and firm profiles, exits and fundraising information. Moody’s Analytics CRE Search millions of real estate data points that cover every commercially zoned property in the U.S. Provides... View Details
  • Article

The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential

By: Daniella Kupor, Zakary L. Tormala and Michael I. Norton
Influence practitioners often highlight a target's achievements (e.g., "she is the city's top-rated chef"), but recent research reveals that highlighting a target's potential (e.g., "she could become the city's top-rated chef") can be more effective. We examine whether... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation
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Kupor, Daniella, Zakary L. Tormala, and Michael I. Norton. "The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential." Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 55 (November 2014): 210–216.
  • 01 Jan 1977
  • Conference Presentation

Short Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasts: Optimal Use of National Weather Service Data

By: James K. Sebenius and Richard Lehman
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Research; Business and Government Relations; Energy Industry
Citation
Related
Sebenius, James K., and Richard Lehman. "Short Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasts: Optimal Use of National Weather Service Data." Paper presented at the American Geophysical Union Annual Meeting, American Geophysical Union, January 01, 1977.
  • 1989
  • Chapter

The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry

By: Jerry A. Hausman and Elon Kohlberg
Keywords: Innovation and Invention; Communication Technology; Forecasting and Prediction; Telecommunications Industry
Citation
Related
Hausman, Jerry A., and Elon Kohlberg. "The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry." In Future Competition in Telecommunications, edited by Stephen P. Bradley and Jerry A. Hausman. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press, 1989.
  • August 2015 (Revised January 2017)
  • Technical Note

From Correlation to Causation

By: Feng Zhu and Karim R. Lakhani
To make sound business decisions, managers must be comfortable with the concepts of correlation and causation. This background note provides an overview of correlation and causation using examples and explains why the former does not imply the latter. It also describes... View Details
Keywords: Statistics; Regression; Data Analytics; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Judgments
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Zhu, Feng, and Karim R. Lakhani. "From Correlation to Causation." Harvard Business School Technical Note 616-009, August 2015. (Revised January 2017.)
  • January 2011
  • Article

Good Intentions, Optimistic Self-Predictions, and Missed Opportunities

By: Derek Koehler, Rebecca White and Leslie K. John
Self-predictions are highly sensitive to current intentions but often largely insensitive to factors influencing the readiness with which those intentions are translated into future behavior. When such factors are under a person's control, they could be used to... View Details
Keywords: Planning; Saving; Behavior; Forecasting and Prediction
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Koehler, Derek, Rebecca White, and Leslie K. John. "Good Intentions, Optimistic Self-Predictions, and Missed Opportunities." Social Psychological & Personality Science 2, no. 1 (January 2011): 90–96.
  • February 2004 (Revised April 2004)
  • Case

Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company, Inc., The

By: David F. Hawkins and Jacob Cohen
Analysts believe bankruptcy is a distinct possibility for A&P in the future. The company believes otherwise. View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Consumer Products Industry; Food and Beverage Industry
Citation
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Hawkins, David F., and Jacob Cohen. "Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Company, Inc., The." Harvard Business School Case 104-070, February 2004. (Revised April 2004.)
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