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  • 27 Apr 2021
  • Research & Ideas

New Research: Surviving Bankruptcy, Useful Economics, and Retirement

Published Papers Do the Right Firms Survive Bankruptcy? Journal of Financial Economics Samuel Antill “In United States, Chapter 11 bankruptcy cases, firms are either reorganized, acquired, or liquidated. I show that decisions to liquidate... View Details
  • 25 Oct 2017
  • Research & Ideas

Will Machine Learning Make You a Better Manager?

good,” says Teodorescu. Much of the earliest applications of machine learning concerned language. At the birth of the field in the 1940s, British mathematician Alan Turing conceived the abstract grammars to analyze texts and describe reasoning. Since then, the field of... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Information Technology
  • 24 Mar 2022
  • Research & Ideas

Why Cutting Jobless Aid Isn't the Answer to Worker Shortages

factors play into workers’ decisions to go back to work.” The complex cost-benefit analysis for workers How much savings a person has or whether someone has children may be factors. Using more detailed and... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne
  • 27 Jul 2010
  • First Look

First Look: July 27

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=972044 Corporate Governance at the World Bank and the Dilemma of Global Governance Authors:Ashwin Kaja and Eric Werker Publication:The World Bank Economic Review, 2010 Abstract Most major View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • January 2025 (Revised March 2025)
  • Case

Thomas Müller: Mr. Bayern Munich

By: Boris Groysberg, Sascha L. Schmidt, Alexander Liebhart and Sarah Abbott
In 2024, FC Bayern Munich superstar Thomas Müller announced his retirement from German national football. His contract with Bayern Munich runs through the end of the 2024-25 season. In 2025, Müller reflects on his long career in football, on the skills that have driven... View Details
Keywords: Soccer; Football; Data Science And Analytics Management; Bundesliga; Sports Data; "Sports Organizations,; Career Changes And Transitions; Career Management; Retirement Transition; Skills Development; Analysis; Competency and Skills; Decision Making; Performance; Personal Development and Career; Retirement; Transition; Sports Industry; Germany
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Groysberg, Boris, Sascha L. Schmidt, Alexander Liebhart, and Sarah Abbott. "Thomas Müller: Mr. Bayern Munich." Harvard Business School Case 425-031, January 2025. (Revised March 2025.)
  • Article

Beacon and Warning: Sherman Kent, Scientific Hubris, and the CIA's Office of National Estimates

By: J. Peter Scoblic
Would-be forecasters have increasingly extolled the predictive potential of Big Data and artificial intelligence. This essay reviews the career of Sherman Kent, the Yale historian who directed the CIA’s Office of National Estimates from 1952 to 1967, with an eye toward... View Details
Keywords: National Security; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction; History
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Scoblic, J. Peter. "Beacon and Warning: Sherman Kent, Scientific Hubris, and the CIA's Office of National Estimates." Texas National Security Review 1, no. 4 (August 2018).
  • August 2018 (Revised September 2018)
  • Case

Predicting Purchasing Behavior at PriceMart (A)

By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
This case follows VP of Marketing, Jill Wehunt, and analyst Mark Morse as they tackle a predictive analytics project to increase sales in the Mom & Baby unit of a nationally recognized retailer, PriceMart. Wehunt observed that in the midst of the chaos that surrounded... View Details
Keywords: Data Science; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Consumer Behavior; Forecasting and Prediction
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Datar, Srikant M., and Caitlin N. Bowler. "Predicting Purchasing Behavior at PriceMart (A)." Harvard Business School Case 119-025, August 2018. (Revised September 2018.)
  • 24 Jun 2008
  • First Look

First Look: June 24, 2008

log variance of income per worker. This figure should be compared to the 42% success rate of the usual model. Download the paper from SSRN ($5): http://papers.nber.org/papers/w14060 Bounded Decision Making: From Description to Improvement... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 27 Aug 2012
  • Research & Ideas

Employee-Suggestion Programs That Work

fixing easy-to-solve problems had greater improvement in safety climate than those focused on identifying a bunch of hard-to-solve ones. "To our knowledge, this tradeoff between analysis and action in process improvement programs has not... View Details
Keywords: by Paul Guttry
  • 05 Dec 2012
  • What Do You Think?

Should Managers Bother Listening to Predictions?

Even predictions based on an analysis of trends can have a bad name. Beatrice Haurenson, commenting on trend analysis, said: "What did the analysis of 'Trends' pre-2007 tell us?" Tom Dolembo... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 22 Sep 2009
  • First Look

First Look: September 22

2003. An open-economy after-tax capital asset pricing model is used to derive the hypothesis that JGTRRA should lead to a portfolio reallocation by U.S. investors towards equities in tax-favored countries. A difference-in-difference View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 06 Oct 2015
  • First Look

October 6, 2015

2015 University of Chicago Press Economic Analysis of the Digital Economy By: Goldfarb, Avi, Shane Greenstein, and Catherine Tucker, eds. Abstract—As the cost of storing, sharing, and analyzing data has decreased, economic activity has... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 02 Apr 2018
  • Research & Ideas

Is 'Gut Feel' a Good Reason to Invest in a Startup?

overly risky.” Unlike most situations where making an important decision based on gut feel is seen as a negative, venture capitalists and angel investors often brag about the wisdom of their midsections. “They have a lot of pride in how... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Financial Services
  • 15 Nov 2016
  • First Look

November 15, 2016

will be critical to their success. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=51813 Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default By: Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk Abstract—We provide a quantitative analysis of fiscal rules... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 Jan 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research: January 24, 2017

selected through exit early in their careers, made time allocation decisions such as delayed marriage, and tended to migrate to places that were conducive to innovation. Father's income was positively correlated with becoming an inventor,... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Apr 2007
  • First Look

First Look: April 10, 2007

Taxes: An Analysis Perspective Harvard Business School Note 107-047 Provides an overview of accounting for deferred taxes. The primary objective is to provide external users with a basic understanding of deferred taxes. A simple... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 08 Mar 2016
  • First Look

March 8, 2016

search listings by about the same quantity. This effect appears to result from interactions between the design of search results and users' decisions about where and how to focus their attention: users who decide what to click based on... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Aug 2006
  • First Look

First Look: August 15, 2006

joint decision of holding sovereign debt and reserves, we construct a stochastic dynamic equilibrium model calibrated to a sample of emerging markets. We obtain that the optimal policy is not to hold reserves at all. This finding is... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 Dec 2001
  • Research & Ideas

Governance in India and Around the Globe

rather than a cause, of Infosys' decision to adopt world corporate governance standards. The proximate cause of the aspiration to good corporate governance at Infosys, in turn, is its need to attract talent with truly worldwide options,... View Details
Keywords: by Tarun Khanna & Krishna Palepu; Technology
  • 14 Jul 2009
  • First Look

First Look: July 14

participation in OS arises as the optimal decision of profit-maximizing firms, and (2) OS and P firms may (or may not) coexist in equilibrium. Firms decide their type and investment in R&D and sell packages composed of a primary good... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
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