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    • All HBS Web  (478)
      • Faculty Publications  (142)

      Sovereign Debt CrisisRemove Sovereign Debt Crisis →

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      • April 2017 (Revised February 2020)
      • Case

      Restructuring Ukraine

      By: Kristin Mugford, Seema Amble and Tian Feng
      In June 2015, Ukraine found itself struggling with a volatile and devalued currency, dramatically diminished foreign reserves, and a projected financing shortfall of $40 billion. Ukraine’s new government sought to return the nation to stability following political... View Details
      Keywords: Exchange Rates; Politics; Macroeconomics; Financial Crisis; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Restructuring; Economy; Currency Exchange Rate; Banks and Banking; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Bonds; Sovereign Finance; Capital Markets; Credit; Debt Securities; Financial Liquidity; Financial Markets; Government and Politics; Ukraine
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      Mugford, Kristin, Seema Amble, and Tian Feng. "Restructuring Ukraine." Harvard Business School Case 217-049, April 2017. (Revised February 2020.)
      • Article

      Market Reactions to Sovereign Litigation

      By: Faisal Z. Ahmed and Laura Alfaro
      Recent rulings in the ongoing litigation over the pari passu clause in Argentinian sovereign debt instruments have generated considerable controversy. Some official-sector participants and academic articles have suggested that the rulings will disrupt or impede... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Debt; Litigation; Vulture Funds; Argentina; Sovereign Finance; Lawsuits and Litigation; Markets; Argentina
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      Ahmed, Faisal Z., and Laura Alfaro. "Market Reactions to Sovereign Litigation." Capital Markets Law Journal 12, no. 2 (April 2017): 141–163.
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      Recurrent concerns over debt sustainability in emerging and developed nations have prompted renewed debate on the role of fiscal rules. Their optimality, however, remains unclear. We provide a quantitative analysis of fiscal rules in a standard model of sovereign debt... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Debt; Hyperbolic Discounting; Fiscal Rules; Sovereign Finance
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-134, June 2016. (Also NBER Working Paper w23370. Revised January 2019.)
      • February 2016
      • Case

      Debt and Democracy: The New York Constitutional Convention of 1846

      By: David Moss and Dean Grodzins
      On September 23, 1846, delegates to New York State's constitutional convention prepared to vote on a proposal that its principal proponent, Michael Hoffman, conceded would be “a serious change in our form of government.” The proposal would place tight restrictions on... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Governance; Laws and Statutes; Government and Politics; History; New York (state, US)
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      Moss, David, and Dean Grodzins. "Debt and Democracy: The New York Constitutional Convention of 1846." Harvard Business School Case 716-049, February 2016.
      • December 2015
      • Article

      Introduction: New Perspectives on Corporate Capital Structure

      By: Viral Acharya, Heitor Almeida and Malcolm Baker
      The National Bureau of Economic Research held a symposium titled "New Perspectives on Corporate Capital Structures" on April 5–6, 2013 in Cambridge, Massachusetts. In its call for the submission of theoretical and empirical papers for the symposium, the NBER noted that... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Structure; Economic Growth; Financial Crisis; Corporate Finance
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      Acharya, Viral, Heitor Almeida, and Malcolm Baker. "Introduction: New Perspectives on Corporate Capital Structure." Journal of Financial Economics 118, no. 3 (December 2015): 551–552.
      • 2015
      • Case

      Advanced Leadership Pathways: Robert Whelan and the Student Loan Crisis (B)

      By: Rosabeth M. Kanter, Grace Sza-Hua Chen and Ai-Ling Jamila Malone
      Bob Whelan developed an idea with partners that was a seed before his fellowship year and addressed a significant national challenge - college financing - with a creative concept and experience from his years in investment banking. His nonprofit was called 13th Avenue... View Details
      Keywords: Social Enterprise; Higher Education; Financing and Loans; Borrowing and Debt; Leading Change; Education Industry; Financial Services Industry
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      Kanter, Rosabeth M., Grace Sza-Hua Chen, and Ai-Ling Jamila Malone. "Advanced Leadership Pathways: Robert Whelan and the Student Loan Crisis (B)." Harvard Business Publishing Case 316-049, 2015. (Advanced Leadership Pathways.)
      • August 2015
      • Article

      A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein
      We study optimal government debt maturity in a model where investors derive monetary services from holding riskless short-term securities. In a setting where the government is the only issuer of such riskless paper, it trades off the monetary premium associated with... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Debt Securities
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      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Jeremy C. Stein. "A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity." Journal of Finance 70, no. 4 (August 2015): 1683–1722. (2015 Brattle Group Distinguished Paper for an outstanding corporate finance paper published in the Journal of Finance. Internet Appendix Here.)
      • June 2015 (Revised January 2017)
      • Case

      Greece's Debt: Sustainable?

      By: George Serafeim
      The case "Greece's Debt: Sustainable?" describes the Greek economic crisis, bailout from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the debt restructuring that followed. Because of a lack of trust in Greece's ability to repay its debt, two... View Details
      Keywords: Debt Crisis; Accounting; Debt Sustainability; Austerity; Solvency Opinions; Borrowing and Debt; Restructuring; Valuation; Accrual Accounting; Fair Value Accounting; Economy; Greece
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      Serafeim, George. "Greece's Debt: Sustainable?" Harvard Business School Case 115-063, June 2015. (Revised January 2017.)
      • May–June 2015
      • Article

      Dead Weight: How Greece Wound up Trapped in the European Union

      By: Debora L. Spar
      In the early 1990s, Greece fell far afield of the economic criteria laid out by the Maastricht Treaty, the EU's founding document. In 1999, when the European monetary union was launched, Greece failed to meet the criteria again, but managed to squeeze into the body two... View Details
      Keywords: EU; Geopolitics; Economic Conditions; Economy; Financial Crisis; Greece; European Union
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      Spar, Debora L. "Dead Weight: How Greece Wound up Trapped in the European Union." Foreign Policy 212 (May–June 2015).
      • April 2015 (Revised April 2022)
      • Case

      Bankruptcy in the City of Detroit

      By: Stuart Gilson, Kristin Mugford and Annelena Lobb
      The June 2013 bankruptcy of the city of Detroit, Michigan was, at the time, the largest municipal bankruptcy in American history. Detroit had struggled for years with a weakening tax base, high unemployment, a heavy debt load and increasing retiree costs. These... View Details
      Keywords: Chapter 9; Chapter 11; Bankruptcy; Municipal Finance; Restructuring; Financial Liquidity; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; City; Government Administration; Public Sector; Financial Crisis; Financial Management; Failure; Labor Unions; Urban Development; Budgets and Budgeting; Decision Making; Demographics; Economics; Finance; Public Administration Industry; Michigan; Detroit
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      Gilson, Stuart, Kristin Mugford, and Annelena Lobb. "Bankruptcy in the City of Detroit." Harvard Business School Case 215-070, April 2015. (Revised April 2022.)
      • Spring 2015
      • Article

      Sovereign Debt Restructuring: Evaluating the Impact of the Argentina Ruling

      By: Laura Alfaro
      Recent rulings in the ongoing litigation over the pari passu clause in Argentinian sovereign debt instruments have generated considerable controversy. Some official-sector participants and academic articles have suggested that the rulings will disrupt or impede... View Details
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      Alfaro, Laura. "Sovereign Debt Restructuring: Evaluating the Impact of the Argentina Ruling." Harvard Business Law Review 5, no. 1 (Spring 2015): 47–71.
      • March 2015
      • Article

      Vulnerable Banks

      By: Robin Greenwood, Augustin Landier and David Thesmar
      We present a model in which fire sales propagate shocks across bank balance sheets. When a bank experiences a negative shock to its equity, a natural way to return to target leverage is to sell assets. If potential buyers are limited, then asset sales depress prices,... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Financial Crisis; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry; Europe
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      Greenwood, Robin, Augustin Landier, and David Thesmar. "Vulnerable Banks." Journal of Financial Economics 115, no. 3 (March 2015): 471–485.
      • 2014
      • Working Paper

      The Rise and Fall of Demand for Securitizations

      By: Sergey Chernenko, Samuel G. Hanson and Adi Sunderam
      Collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and private-label mortgage-backed securities (MBS) backed by nonprime loans played a central role in the recent financial crisis. Little is known, however, about the underlying forces that drove investor demand for these... View Details
      Keywords: Debt Securities; Financial Markets; Financial Crisis
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      Chernenko, Sergey, Samuel G. Hanson, and Adi Sunderam. "The Rise and Fall of Demand for Securitizations." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 20777, December 2014.
      • October 2014 (Revised February 2017)
      • Case

      A Currency We Can Call Our Own: Populism, Banking Crises, and Exchange Rate Crises in Argentina, 1946–2002

      By: Rafael Di Tella
      The case describes Argentina's struggle to establish a credible monetary system under populist pressures and the recurrent use of exchange rate stabilization plans. It focuses on two episodes where there was "too little money" in the economy: during the hyperinflation... View Details
      Keywords: Debt Crisis; Hyperinflation; Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Currency Exchange Rate; Argentina
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      Di Tella, Rafael. "A Currency We Can Call Our Own: Populism, Banking Crises, and Exchange Rate Crises in Argentina, 1946–2002." Harvard Business School Case 715-019, October 2014. (Revised February 2017.)
      • October 2014 (Revised April 2018)
      • Supplement

      Creditor Activism in Sovereign Debt: Argentina vs. Holdout Investors (B)

      By: Laura Alfaro, Gaurav Toshniwal and Hilary White
      Keywords: Argentina; Debt; Debt Crisis; Debt Markets; Debt Repayment; Debt Restructuring; Government Bonds; Government Debt; Law; Default; Sovereign Debt; Sovereign Debt Crisis; Hedge Fund; Hedge Funds; Strategy; Bonds; Bond Risk; Debt Management; Borrowing and Debt; Governance; Macroeconomics; Economics; Economy; Government Legislation; Argentina; Latin America; United States
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      Alfaro, Laura, Gaurav Toshniwal, and Hilary White. "Creditor Activism in Sovereign Debt: Argentina vs. Holdout Investors (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 715-017, October 2014. (Revised April 2018.)
      • October 2014
      • Article

      Sovereigns, Upstream Capital Flows and Global Imbalances

      By: Laura Alfaro, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Vadym Volosovych
      We construct measures of net private and public capital flows for a large cross-section of developing countries considering both creditor and debtor side of the international debt transactions. Using these measures, we demonstrate that sovereign-to-sovereign... View Details
      Keywords: Current Account; Aid/government Debt; Reserves; Puzzles; Productivity; Sovereign Finance; Developing Countries and Economies; Macroeconomics
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      Alfaro, Laura, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, and Vadym Volosovych. "Sovereigns, Upstream Capital Flows and Global Imbalances." Journal of the European Economic Association 12, no. 5 (October 2014): 1240–1284. (Also NBER Working Paper 17396. Online Appendix. See International capital flows database for the data on measures of net private and public capital flows for a large cross-section of developing countries.)
      • August 2014 (Revised March 2016)
      • Case

      Thomas Cook Group on the Brink (A)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty, Stuart C. Gilson and Aldo Sesia
      Harriett Green, the newly appointed CEO of Thomas Cook Group, faces a daunting set of business and financial challenges at the 171-year old UK travel services company. The company has lost almost £600 million in the last three quarters; has seen its stock price fall... View Details
      Keywords: Turnaround; Corporate Restructuring; Change Leadership; Female Ceo; Change Management; Communication Strategy; Borrowing and Debt; Cash Flow; Cost Management; Financial Liquidity; Financial Management; Executive Compensation; Leading Change; Crisis Management; Value Creation; Travel Industry; United Kingdom
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      Esty, Benjamin C., Stuart C. Gilson, and Aldo Sesia. "Thomas Cook Group on the Brink (A)." Harvard Business School Case 215-008, August 2014. (Revised March 2016.)
      • June 2014
      • Article

      Frictions in Shadow Banking: Evidence from the Lending Behavior of Money Market Funds

      By: Sergey Chernenko and Adi Sunderam
      We document the consequences of money market fund risk taking during the European sovereign debt crisis. Using a novel data set of security-level holdings of prime money market funds, we show that funds with large exposures to risky Eurozone banks suffered significant... View Details
      Keywords: Money Market Mutual Funds; European Sovereign Debt Crisis; Runs; Contagion; Risk Taking; Investment Funds; Financial Crisis; Europe
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      Chernenko, Sergey, and Adi Sunderam. "Frictions in Shadow Banking: Evidence from the Lending Behavior of Money Market Funds." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 6 (June 2014): 1717–1750.
      • 2014
      • Working Paper

      Financial Repression in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

      By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
      By the end of 2013, the share of government debt held by the domestic banking sectors of Eurozone countries was more than twice its 2007 level. We show that this type of increasing reliance on the domestic banking sector for absorbing government bonds generates a... View Details
      Keywords: Credit Cycles; Sovereign Debt; Financial Repression; Sovereign Finance; Greece
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      Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Financial Repression in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis." Working Paper, April 2014.
      • Winter 2013
      • Article

      Fear of Rejection? Tiered Certification and Transparency

      By: Emmanuel Farhi, Josh Lerner and Jean Tirole
      The sub-prime crisis has shone a harsh spotlight on the practices of securities underwriters, which provided too many complex securities that proved to ultimately have little value. This uproar calls attention to the fact that the literature on intermediaries has... View Details
      Keywords: Debt Securities; Corporate Disclosure; Corporate Governance
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      Farhi, Emmanuel, Josh Lerner, and Jean Tirole. "Fear of Rejection? Tiered Certification and Transparency." RAND Journal of Economics 44, no. 4 (Winter 2013): 610–631.
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