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- All HBS Web (1,331)
- Faculty Publications (309)
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- October 2005
- Teaching Note
Exchange Rate Policy at the Monetary Authority of Singapore (TN)
By: Mihir A. Desai and Kathleen Luchs
- September 1987
- Article
Short-term and Long-term Expectations of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: Evidence from Survey Data
By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Asset Pricing; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Japan; United States
Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Short-term and Long-term Expectations of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: Evidence from Survey Data." Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 1 (September 1987): 249–274. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2216, April 1987.)
- 2013
- Working Paper
Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity
By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence... View Details
Keywords: Expectations Hypothesis; Term Structure; Real Interest Rate Risk; Inflation Risk; Inflation-Indexed Bonds; Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Liquidity; Bonds; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; United Kingdom; United States
Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-094, March 2011. (Revised September 2013.)
- 1988
- Chapter
Explaining the Demand for Dollars: International Rates of Return, and the Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists
By: Jeffrey A. Frankel and Kenneth A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Currency Exchange Rate; Asset Pricing; Macroeconomics
Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Kenneth A. Froot. "Explaining the Demand for Dollars: International Rates of Return, and the Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists." Chap. 2 in Macroeconomics, Agriculture, and Exchange Rates, edited by R. Chambers and P. Paarlberg, 25–80. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1988.
- Article
Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment: An Imperfect Capital Markets Approach
By: K. A. Froot and Jeremy Stein
Keywords: Corporate Finance; Market Imperfections; Foreign Direct Investment; Markets; Financial Instruments; Asset Pricing
Froot, K. A., and Jeremy Stein. "Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment: An Imperfect Capital Markets Approach." Quarterly Journal of Economics 106, no. 4 (November 1991): 1191–1217. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2914, March 1989.)
- June 2005
- Article
Inflation, Openness, and Exchange Rate Regimes: The Quest for Short-Term Commitment
By: Laura Alfaro
This paper further tests Romer's (1993) extension of Kydland and Prescott's (1977) predictions for dynamic-inconsistency problems in open economies. In a panel data set of developed and developing countries from 1973 to 1998, I find that openness does not play a role... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Economy; Currency Exchange Rate; Developing Countries and Economies; Inflation and Deflation
Alfaro, Laura. "Inflation, Openness, and Exchange Rate Regimes: The Quest for Short-Term Commitment." Journal of Development Economics 77, no. 1 (June 2005): 229–249.
- October 2014 (Revised February 2017)
- Case
A Currency We Can Call Our Own: Populism, Banking Crises, and Exchange Rate Crises in Argentina, 1946–2002
By: Rafael Di Tella
The case describes Argentina's struggle to establish a credible monetary system under populist pressures and the recurrent use of exchange rate stabilization plans. It focuses on two episodes where there was "too little money" in the economy: during the hyperinflation... View Details
Keywords: Debt Crisis; Hyperinflation; Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Currency Exchange Rate; Argentina
Di Tella, Rafael. "A Currency We Can Call Our Own: Populism, Banking Crises, and Exchange Rate Crises in Argentina, 1946–2002." Harvard Business School Case 715-019, October 2014. (Revised February 2017.)
- February 1986 (Revised March 1989)
- Background Note
Note on Foreign Exchange
Describes the operation of foreign exchange markets, including bid-offer spreads, cross rates, reciprocal rates, and forward rates. Provides several examples to demonstrate calculation of outright forward rates using discount and premium points quoted in the London... View Details
Mason, Scott P. "Note on Foreign Exchange." Harvard Business School Background Note 286-067, February 1986. (Revised March 1989.)
- October 1997
- Article
Real Interest Rates and Growth: Improving on Some Deflating Experiences
By: Huw Pill
Pill, Huw. "Real Interest Rates and Growth: Improving on Some Deflating Experiences." Journal of Development Studies 34, no. 1 (October 1997): 85–110.
- March 2006 (Revised April 2015)
- Case
China: To Float or Not To Float? (B)- Timeline of Changes Relevant to the Chinese Renminbi
By: Laura Alfaro and Rafael M. Di Tella
On July 21, 2005 China revalued its decade-long quasi-fixed exchange rate of approximately 8.28 yuan per U.S. dollar by 2.1% to 8.11% and, at the same time, introduced a more market-based exchange rate system. Many analysts and economists were disappointed with what... View Details
Keywords: Currency; Exchange Rate; China; Macroeconomics; Trade; Currency Exchange Rate; Governance Controls; Policy; China; United States
Alfaro, Laura, and Rafael M. Di Tella. "China: To Float or Not To Float? (B)- Timeline of Changes Relevant to the Chinese Renminbi." Harvard Business School Case 706-022, March 2006. (Revised April 2015.)
- June 2005
- Article
Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows
By: K. A. Froot and T. Ramadorai
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Purchasing Power Parity; Real Exchange Rate; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Asset Pricing; Financial Services Industry
Froot, K. A., and T. Ramadorai. "Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows." Journal of Finance 60, no. 3 (June 2005): 1535–1566. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9101, August 2002 and Harvard Business School Working Paper no. 04-036, December 2003.)
- 2022
- Working Paper
Markups to Financial Intermediation in Foreign Exchange Markets
By: Jonathan Wallen
On average from 2013 to 2020, foreign asset managers in net sold forward 1.1 trillion U.S. dollars. This forward sale of dollars hedges the currency mismatch of foreign investment in U.S. dollar assets. By accommodating this demand, U.S. and European banks earn an... View Details
Keywords: Foreign Exchange; Financial Intermediation; Arbitrage; Market Power; Regulations; Currency; Assets; Interest Rates; Banking Industry
Wallen, Jonathan. "Markups to Financial Intermediation in Foreign Exchange Markets." Working Paper, March 2022.
- October 2004 (Revised February 2007)
- Background Note
Foreign Exchange Markets and Transactions
By: Mihir A. Desai, Christina Pham, Kathleen Luchs and Yanjun Wang
Provides information on the foreign exchange market and exchange rate movements. Describes the different types of foreign exchange transactions, including spot transactions, forwards, swaps, futures, and options. Includes worked examples to help students understand the... View Details
Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate
Desai, Mihir A., Christina Pham, Kathleen Luchs, and Yanjun Wang. "Foreign Exchange Markets and Transactions." Harvard Business School Background Note 205-016, October 2004. (Revised February 2007.)
- 2016
- Working Paper
Credit Migration and Covered Interest Rate Parity
By: Gordon Y Liao
I document economically large and persistent discrepancies in the pricing of credit risk between corporate bonds denominated in different currencies. The discrepancies amount to 50-100 basis points on trillions of dollars of debt notional. I relate this violation of... View Details
Keywords: Market Segmentation; Debt Issuance; Covered Interest Rate Parity; Cross-currency Basis; Credit Risk; Financial Markets; Credit
Liao, Gordon Y. "Credit Migration and Covered Interest Rate Parity." Working Paper, October 2016.
- December 1979
- Article
An Empirical Analysis of the Interrelationships Among Equity Markets Under Changing Exchange Rate Systems
By: Marc L Bertoneche
Bertoneche, Marc L. "An Empirical Analysis of the Interrelationships Among Equity Markets Under Changing Exchange Rate Systems." Journal of Banking & Finance 3, no. 4 (December 1979).
- March 1997 (Revised May 2000)
- Background Note
Bretton Woods System of Exchange Rates, The
Describes the exchange rate system adopted at Bretton Woods in 1994. View Details
Wells, Louis T., Jr. "Bretton Woods System of Exchange Rates, The." Harvard Business School Background Note 797-093, March 1997. (Revised May 2000.)
- July 15, 2013
- Other Article
Pseudo-flexible Exchange-rate Regimes
By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
According to the IMF, last decade saw a number of countries actively managing their exchange rates. Is this a good way for emerging economies to protect themselves from the large swings of international markets? This column presents a new "pseudo-flexible" exchange... View Details
Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Pseudo-flexible Exchange-rate Regimes." Vox, CEPR Policy Portal (July 15, 2013).
- 1990
- Chapter
Rediscovering Functions in the MNC: The Role of Expertise in Firms' Response to Shifting Exchange Rates
By: D. Lessard and N. Nohria
Lessard, D., and N. Nohria. "Rediscovering Functions in the MNC: The Role of Expertise in Firms' Response to Shifting Exchange Rates." In Managing the Global Firm, edited by Christopher A. Bartlett, Y. Doz, and G. Hedlund. London: Routledge, 1990.
- 2024
- Working Paper
LASH Risk and Interest Rates
By: Laura Alfaro, Saleem Bahaj, Robert Czech, Jonathan Hazell and Ioana Neamtu
We introduce a framework to understand and quantify a form of liquidity risk that we dub Liquidity After Solvency Hedging or “LASH” risk. Financial institutions take LASH risk when they hedge against losses, using strategies that lead to liquidity needs when the value... View Details
Keywords: Liquidity; Monetary Policy; Non-bank Intermediaries; Hedging; Risk and Uncertainty; Investment Funds; Financial Condition; Interest Rates
Alfaro, Laura, Saleem Bahaj, Robert Czech, Jonathan Hazell, and Ioana Neamtu. "LASH Risk and Interest Rates." Bank of England Staff Working Papers, No. 1,073, May 2024. (NBER Working Paper Series, No. 33241, December 2024.)