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    • All HBS Web  (3,163)
      • Faculty Publications  (597)

      Stock Market ExpectationsRemove Stock Market Expectations →

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      • 2002
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeremy Stein
      We build a model that helps to explain why increases in liquidity—such as lower bid–ask spreads, a lower price impact of trade, or higher turnover—predict lower subsequent returns in both firm-level and aggregate data. The model features a class of irrational... View Details
      Keywords: Price; Financial Liquidity; Trade; Valuation; Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Equity; Stock Shares; Investment Return
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeremy Stein. "Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator." NBER Working Paper Series, 2002. (First draft in 2001.)
      • January 2002 (Revised January 2003)
      • Case

      Finova Group, Inc. (A), The

      By: Stuart C. Gilson and Perry Fagan
      Finova Group, a $14 billion commercial finance company, filed for Chapter 11 in early March 2001, in what was one of the largest U.S. bankruptcy filings of all time and the largest corporate bond default since the Great Depression. While in Chapter 11, Finova became... View Details
      Keywords: Acquisition; Business Startups; Borrowing and Debt; Equity; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Debt Securities; Price; Crisis Management; Bids and Bidding; Partners and Partnerships; Strategy; Valuation; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Gilson, Stuart C., and Perry Fagan. "Finova Group, Inc. (A), The." Harvard Business School Case 202-095, January 2002. (Revised January 2003.)
      • January 2002
      • Background Note

      The Major Global Stock Exchanges

      By: Ashish Nanda, Thomas J. DeLong and Lynn Villadolid Roy
      Describes the major global stock exchanges. View Details
      Keywords: Globalization; Financial Markets
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      Nanda, Ashish, Thomas J. DeLong, and Lynn Villadolid Roy. "The Major Global Stock Exchanges." Harvard Business School Background Note 902-169, January 2002.
      • January 2002 (Revised October 2007)
      • Case

      Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., 2001

      By: Joshua Musher and Andre F. Perold
      Asset manager GMO underperforms the market during the 1996-2000 stock market bubble because of the focus on absolute risk. After suffering significant client withdrawals, performance again shines when the bubble collapses. Did they win the battle only to lose the war?... View Details
      Keywords: Customers; Asset Management; Stocks; Investment; Price Bubble; Mathematical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Musher, Joshua, and Andre F. Perold. "Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., 2001." Harvard Business School Case 202-049, January 2002. (Revised October 2007.)
      • 2001
      • Working Paper

      When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity Dependent Firms

      By: Malcolm Baker, Jeremy Stein and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We use a simple model of corporate investment to determine when investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is that stock prices will have a stronger impact on the investment of firms that... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Equity; Stocks; Price; Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Baker, Malcolm, Jeremy Stein, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity Dependent Firms." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 8750, December 2001. (First draft in 2001.)
      • October 2001 (Revised January 2002)
      • Case

      OAO YUKOS Oil Company

      By: Malcolm S. Salter and Joshua N. Rosenbaum
      This case presents the history and current position of Russia's second-largest oil company, YUKOS, as it seeks listing on the NYSE as an ADR and attempts to rid itself from a punishing "governance discount" by the capital markets. This is a company with a history of... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Capital Markets; Corporate Governance; Developing Countries and Economies; Energy Sources; Energy Industry; Russia
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      Salter, Malcolm S., and Joshua N. Rosenbaum. "OAO YUKOS Oil Company." Harvard Business School Case 902-021, October 2001. (Revised January 2002.)
      • October 2001 (Revised June 2004)
      • Case

      Harrah's Entertainment Inc.

      By: Rajiv Lal and Patricia Carrolo
      Describes a situation facing Philip Satre, chairman and CEO of Harrah's Entertainment, Inc. Satre was reading a May 2000 Wall Street Journal story that discussed the company's marketing success in targeting low rollers, the 100% growth in stock price and profits in the... View Details
      Keywords: Budgets and Budgeting; Marketing; Marketing Reference Programs; Performance Evaluation; Motivation and Incentives; Competitive Strategy
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      Lal, Rajiv, and Patricia Carrolo. "Harrah's Entertainment Inc." Harvard Business School Case 502-011, October 2001. (Revised June 2004.)
      • August 2001
      • Technical Note

      Technical Note on Expectations

      By: Carliss Y. Baldwin
      Reviews the mathematics of expectations embedded in a company's current stock price and the related (whole) enterprise value. Begins by showing how the current stock price can be compounded forward to arrive at an expectation one or more years in the future. Describes... View Details
      Keywords: Performance Expectations; Price; Stocks
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      Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Technical Note on Expectations." Harvard Business School Technical Note 902-055, August 2001.
      • August 2001 (Revised April 2002)
      • Case

      Strategic Capital Management, LLC (A)

      By: Mark L. Mitchell, Erik Stafford and Todd Pulvino
      Strategic Capital Management, LLC, is a hedge fund that is planning to make financial investments in Creative Computers and Ubid. Creative Computers recently sold approximately 20% of its Internet auction subsidiary, Ubid, to the public at $15 per share. Ubid's stock... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Business Subsidiaries; Internet and the Web; Investment Funds; Price; Performance Efficiency; Capital Markets; Auctions; Investment Return; Equity; Planning; Financial Services Industry
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      Mitchell, Mark L., Erik Stafford, and Todd Pulvino. "Strategic Capital Management, LLC (A)." Harvard Business School Case 202-024, August 2001. (Revised April 2002.)
      • July 2001 (Revised March 2002)
      • Case

      Nasdaq Stock Market, Inc., The

      By: Andre F. Perold and Austin K Scee
      NASDAQ's mission "to facilitate capital formation" is threatened by the emergence of Electronic Communication Networks, which are not as heavily regulated by the SEC. This case reviews the development of NASDAQ and its evolution from a loose network of broker-dealers... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Markets; Stocks; Financial Markets; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Innovation Strategy; Performance Efficiency; Perspective
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      Perold, Andre F., and Austin K Scee. "Nasdaq Stock Market, Inc., The." Harvard Business School Case 202-008, July 2001. (Revised March 2002.)
      • June 2001 (Revised December 2006)
      • Case

      Role of Capital Market Intermediaries in the Dot-Com Crash of 2000, The

      By: Krishna G. Palepu and Gillian D Elcock
      Set in the context of the rise and fall of the Internet stocks in the United States. View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Price Bubble; Capital Markets; Investment Banking; Information Technology Industry; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Palepu, Krishna G., and Gillian D Elcock. "Role of Capital Market Intermediaries in the Dot-Com Crash of 2000, The." Harvard Business School Case 101-110, June 2001. (Revised December 2006.)
      • May 2001 (Revised February 2005)
      • Case

      KONE: The MonoSpace Launch in Germany

      By: Das Narayandas and Gordon Swartz
      Focuses on the launch of a new elevator product in Germany. In 1996, global construction slumps and low differentiation among competitive offerings has led to significant price competition and margin erosion in the elevator industry. In these circumstances, KONE, one... View Details
      Keywords: Machinery and Machining; Product Launch; Product Development; Construction Industry; Germany
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      Narayandas, Das, and Gordon Swartz. "KONE: The MonoSpace Launch in Germany." Harvard Business School Case 501-070, May 2001. (Revised February 2005.)
      • May 2001
      • Supplement

      Korea Stock Exchange

      By: Tarun Khanna
      Features a presentation by In-Kie Hong of Korea Stock Exchange discussing the depth of the crisis, its origin, and its possible resolution in the end. In-Kie Hong addresses a class of MBA students at the Harvard Business School. View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Financial Markets; Stocks; Financial Services Industry; Korean Peninsula
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      Khanna, Tarun. "Korea Stock Exchange." Harvard Business School Video Supplement 701-806, May 2001.
      • March 2001 (Revised November 2001)
      • Case

      Merrill Lynch HOLDRS

      By: Andre F. Perold and Simon E. Brown
      Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and HOLDRS (Holding Company Depositary Receipts) represent recent and highly successful capital market innovations. HOLDRS closely approximates a buy-and-hold strategy, and Merrill Lynch believes the product has significantly lower taxes... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Markets; Cost; Stocks; Financial Strategy; Investment Funds; Taxation; Innovation and Invention; Product; Success; Expansion
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      Perold, Andre F., and Simon E. Brown. "Merrill Lynch HOLDRS." Harvard Business School Case 201-059, March 2001. (Revised November 2001.)
      • March 2001 (Revised April 2003)
      • Case

      Chase's Strategy for Syndicating the Hong Kong Disneyland Loan (A)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Michael Kane
      In late 1999, the Walt Disney Co. and the Hong Kong government agreed to develop Hong Kong Disneyland, a HK$28 (U.S.$3.6) billion theme park and resort complex planned to open in late 2005. As part of the total financing package, the sponsors decided to raise HK$3.3... View Details
      Keywords: Working Capital; Project Finance; Relationships; Financing and Loans; Financial Strategy; Tourism Industry; Hong Kong
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Michael Kane. "Chase's Strategy for Syndicating the Hong Kong Disneyland Loan (A)." Harvard Business School Case 201-072, March 2001. (Revised April 2003.)
      • February 2001 (Revised March 2003)
      • Case

      ICICI (A)

      By: Bharat N. Anand, Nitin Nohria and John Pegg
      ICICI was the first Indian company to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange. This case is set in 1998, when the company had to decide whether to enter the retail credit segment of the Indian financial market. Although the retail credit sector presents attractive... View Details
      Keywords: Growth and Development Strategy; Diversification; Expansion; Strategic Planning; Competition; Competitive Strategy; Growth Management; Markets; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry; India
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      Anand, Bharat N., Nitin Nohria, and John Pegg. "ICICI (A)." Harvard Business School Case 701-064, February 2001. (Revised March 2003.)
      • February 2001
      • Article

      The Portfolio Flows of International Investors

      By: K. A. Froot, P. O'Connell and M. Seasholes
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Equity Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, K. A., P. O'Connell, and M. Seasholes. "The Portfolio Flows of International Investors." Journal of Financial Economics 59, no. 2 (February 2001): 151–193. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 6687 and HBS Working No. Paper 99-006, July 1998. Summarized in the NBER Reporter, 2000. Reprinted in International Capital Markets, R. Stulz and A. Karolyi, eds. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2003.)
      • January 2001 (Revised July 2003)
      • Case

      Pharmacyclics: Financing Research & Development

      By: Malcolm P. Baker, Richard S. Ruback and Aldo Sesia
      Pharmacyclics (NASDAQ: PCYC), a pharmaceutical company that manufactures products that will improve existing therapeutic treatments for cancer, arteriosclerosis, and retinal disease, was considering a $60 million private placement in February 2000. The company had more... View Details
      Keywords: Valuation; Cash Flow; Financing and Loans; Business Startups; Financial Strategy; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry; Pharmaceutical Industry; Health Industry
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      Baker, Malcolm P., Richard S. Ruback, and Aldo Sesia. "Pharmacyclics: Financing Research & Development." Harvard Business School Case 201-056, January 2001. (Revised July 2003.)
      • Article

      Stock Market Mean Reversion and the Optimal Equity Allocation of a Long-Lived Investor

      By: Luis M. Viceira, John Y. Campbell, Francisco Gomes and Pascal J. Maenhout
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      Viceira, Luis M., John Y. Campbell, Francisco Gomes, and Pascal J. Maenhout. "Stock Market Mean Reversion and the Optimal Equity Allocation of a Long-Lived Investor." European Finance Review 5, no. 3 (2001).
      • November 2000 (Revised July 2001)
      • Case

      Intuit QuickBooks

      By: Rajiv Lal and Punima P Kochikar
      Internet QuickBooks, a successful product with a strong brand and an 85% share of retail sales, was faced with the challenge of meeting market growth expectations in a mature, slowing market segment. Generating recurring revenues by providing value-added online... View Details
      Keywords: Budgets and Budgeting; Decisions; Growth and Development; Brands and Branding; Market Participation; Problems and Challenges; Internet and the Web; Value; Web Services Industry
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      Lal, Rajiv, and Punima P Kochikar. "Intuit QuickBooks." Harvard Business School Case 501-054, November 2000. (Revised July 2001.)
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