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Publications

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      • Faculty Publications  (486)

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      • Research Summary

      Middle East Negotiation Initiative

      By: James K. Sebenius
      The Middle East Negotiation Initiative is a component of the Harvard Negotiation Project that seeks to analyze and develop grounded analysis and advice for complex negotiations in and around the Middle East.  Its current focus is on the intellectual and study questions... View Details
      • Teaching Interest

      Real Estate Management Program: Finance, Design, and Leadership

      By: Andy Wu
      How do you achieve short-term stability and long-term growth in the unpredictable real estate marketplace? This program explores how forward-thinking real estate leaders are positioning their firms to seize growth opportunities and maximize asset value. Equipped... View Details
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Street Earnings: Implications for Asset Pricing

      By: Sebastian Hillenbrand and Odhrain McCarthy
      To address the excess volatility puzzle – the excessive movements in stock prices – researchers often study movements in valuation ratios. However, we demonstrate that movements in valuation ratios based on fundamental measures with high transitory volatility, such as... View Details
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      Hillenbrand, Sebastian, and Odhrain McCarthy. "Street Earnings: Implications for Asset Pricing." Working Paper, June 2025.
      • April 2025
      • Article

      The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates

      By: Sebastian Hillenbrand
      In this paper I document a striking fact: a narrow window around Fed meetings fully captures the secular decline in U.S. Treasury yields since 1980. By contrast, yield movements outside this window are transitory and wash out over time. This is surprising because the... View Details
      Keywords: United States Treasury; Monetary Policy; Yield Curve
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      Hillenbrand, Sebastian. "The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates." Review of Financial Studies 38, no. 4 (April 2025). (Editor's Choice.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Trading Volume Manipulation and Competition Among Centralized Crypto Exchanges

      By: Dan Amiran, Evgeny Lyandres and Daniel Rabetti
      How competition affects manipulation by firms of information about important attributes of their products and how such information manipulation impacts firms’ short-term and long-term performance are open empirical questions. We use a setting that is especially... View Details
      Keywords: Cryptocurrency; Financial Markets; Performance; Competition
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      Amiran, Dan, Evgeny Lyandres, and Daniel Rabetti. "Trading Volume Manipulation and Competition Among Centralized Crypto Exchanges." Management Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online February 5, 2025.)
      • Research Summary

      War & Peace

      By: Deepak Malhotra
      A second stream of research looks at issues related to conflict resolution in the context of international and ethno-political conflict, and in particular, at the role of negotiation in ending armed conflicts.  I launched a new course at HBS entitled "War & Peace:... View Details
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