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      • May 2017 (Revised March 2018)
      • Case

      Predicting Consumer Tastes with Big Data at Gap

      By: Ayelet Israeli and Jill Avery
      CEO Art Peck was eliminating his creative directors for The Gap, Old Navy, and Banana Republic brands and promoting a collective creative ecosystem fueled by the input of big data. Rather than relying on artistic vision, Peck wanted the company to use the mining of big... View Details
      Keywords: Retailing; Preference Elicitation; Big Data; Predictive Analytics; Artificial Intelligence; Fashion; Marketing; Marketing Strategy; Marketing Channels; Brands and Branding; Consumer Behavior; Demand and Consumers; Analytics and Data Science; Forecasting and Prediction; E-commerce; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Consumer Products Industry; Fashion Industry; Retail Industry; United States; Canada; North America
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      Israeli, Ayelet, and Jill Avery. "Predicting Consumer Tastes with Big Data at Gap." Harvard Business School Case 517-115, May 2017. (Revised March 2018.)
      • May 2017
      • Case

      Four Products: Predicting Diffusion (2017)

      By: John Gourville
      One job of product managers, marketers, strategic planners, and other corporate executives is to predict what the demand will be for a new product. This task is easier for certain classes of new products than for others. For new consumer package goods, for instance,... View Details
      Keywords: Diffusion Processes; Product Adoption; Forecasting and Prediction; Product; Product Launch; Marketing
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      Gourville, John. "Four Products: Predicting Diffusion (2017)." Harvard Business School Case 517-121, May 2017.
      • April 14, 2017
      • Article

      Companies Like United Need to Cultivate Good Judgment, and Free Their Employees to Use It

      By: John A. Deighton
      United Airlines has pledged to improve its training programs and empower its employees to put customers first in the wake of a video showing a passenger being dragged from a plane. Of all the U.S. air carriers, United should have known the power of social media and... View Details
      Keywords: Crisis Management; Customer Focus and Relationships; Employees; Training; Air Transportation Industry
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      Deighton, John A. "Companies Like United Need to Cultivate Good Judgment, and Free Their Employees to Use It." Harvard Business Review (website) (April 14, 2017).
      • April–May 2017
      • Article

      Career Concerns of Banking Analysts

      By: Joanne Horton, George Serafeim and Shan Wu
      We study how career concerns influence banking analysts' forecasts and how their forecasting behavior benefits both them and bank managers. We show that banking analysts issue early in the year relatively more optimistic and later in the year more pessimistic forecasts... View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Analyst Forecasts; Analysts; Investment Recommendations; Career Advancement; Career Management; Labor Mobility; Labor Market; Prejudice and Bias; Personal Development and Career; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Banking
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      Horton, Joanne, George Serafeim, and Shan Wu. "Career Concerns of Banking Analysts." Journal of Accounting & Economics 63, nos. 2-3 (April–May 2017): 231–252.
      • March 2017 (Revised February 2025)
      • Case

      Edwin Land: The Art and Science of Innovation

      By: Tom Nicholas, Christopher T. Stanton and Matthew G. Preble
      Throughout the second half of the 20th century, Polaroid first invented—and then continuously reinvented—the field of instant photography. Under the leadership of its mercurial founder Edwin Land, the company regularly released new instant cameras and films, often... View Details
      Keywords: Instant Photography; Company History; Change Management; Disruption; Forecasting and Prediction; Entrepreneurship; Business History; Innovation Strategy; Disruptive Innovation; Innovation and Management; Intellectual Property; Patents; Product Marketing; Brands and Branding; Product Launch; Product Development; Chemical Industry; Consumer Products Industry; United States
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      Nicholas, Tom, Christopher T. Stanton, and Matthew G. Preble. "Edwin Land: The Art and Science of Innovation." Harvard Business School Case 817-107, March 2017. (Revised February 2025.)
      • March 2017 (Revised March 2022)
      • Case

      Flashion: Art vs. Science in Fashion Retailing

      By: Kris Ferreira and Karim R. Lakhani
      Kate Wilson, retail analytics manager at Flashion, a fashion flash-sale site, is tasked with developing analytics to optimize pricing for first-exposure products on the site. Many in the industry have relied on years of experience and intuition to determine pricing—can... View Details
      Keywords: Analytics; Pricing; Data; Service Operations; Forecasting and Prediction; Internet and the Web; Technology Adoption; Mathematical Methods; Decision Making; E-commerce; Retail Industry; Fashion Industry; United States
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      Ferreira, Kris, and Karim R. Lakhani. "Flashion: Art vs. Science in Fashion Retailing." Harvard Business School Case 617-059, March 2017. (Revised March 2022.)
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      Learning by Doing: The Value of Experience and the Origins of Skill for Mutual Fund Managers

      By: Elisabeth Kempf, Alberto Manconi and Oliver Spalt
      Learning by doing matters for professional investors. We develop a new methodology to show that mutual fund managers outperform in industries where they have obtained experience on the job. The key to our identification strategy is that we look "inside" funds and... View Details
      Keywords: Fund Managers; Experience and Expertise; Performance; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Kempf, Elisabeth, Alberto Manconi, and Oliver Spalt. "Learning by Doing: The Value of Experience and the Origins of Skill for Mutual Fund Managers." SSRN Working Paper Series, No. 2124896, May 2017.
      • March–April 2017
      • Article

      Sink or Swim: The Role of Workplace Context in Shaping Career Advancement and Human-Capital Development

      By: Shinjinee Chattopadhyay and Prithwiraj Choudhury
      We develop and test predictions on how early-career challenges arising from the workplace context affect short- and long-term career advancement of individuals. Typically an organization’s decision to deploy a manager to one of several possible contexts is endogenous... View Details
      Keywords: Workplace Context; Career Advancement; Context; Situation or Environment; Human Capital; Personal Development and Career; Performance
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      Chattopadhyay, Shinjinee, and Prithwiraj Choudhury. "Sink or Swim: The Role of Workplace Context in Shaping Career Advancement and Human-Capital Development." Organization Science 28, no. 2 (March–April 2017): 211–227.
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      Exploring the Relationship between Architecture Coupling and Software Vulnerabilities: A Google Chrome Case

      By: Robert Lagerstrom, Carliss Y. Baldwin, Alan MacCormack, Dan Sturtevant and Lee Doolan
      Employing software metrics, such as size and complexity, for predicting defects has been given a lot of attention over the years and has proven very useful. However, the few studies looking at software architecture and vulnerabilities are limited in scope and findings.... View Details
      Keywords: Software; Architecture; Coupling; Vulnerabilities; Applications and Software; Complexity; Measurement and Metrics
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      Lagerstrom, Robert, Carliss Y. Baldwin, Alan MacCormack, Dan Sturtevant, and Lee Doolan. "Exploring the Relationship between Architecture Coupling and Software Vulnerabilities: A Google Chrome Case." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-078, February 2017.
      • February 2017 (Revised June 2017)
      • Case

      ExxonMobil: Business as Usual? (A)

      By: George Serafeim, Shiva Rajgopal and David Freiberg
      Climate change was becoming an important societal and business issue as more governments were introducing climate change related regulations and investors became increasibly worried about stranded assets within oil and gas firms. In September 2016, the U.S. Securities... View Details
      Keywords: Oil & Gas; Oil Prices; Oil Companies; Asset Impairment; Predictive Analytics; Sustainability; Environmental Impact; Innovation; Disclosure; Accounting; Valuation; Climate Change; Renewable Energy; Environmental Sustainability; Financial Reporting; Energy Industry
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      Serafeim, George, Shiva Rajgopal, and David Freiberg. "ExxonMobil: Business as Usual? (A)." Harvard Business School Case 117-046, February 2017. (Revised June 2017.)
      • February 2017 (Revised June 2017)
      • Supplement

      ExxonMobil: Business as Usual? (B)

      By: George Serafeim, Shiva Rajgopal and David Freiberg
      The case presents ExxonMobil's response to growing pressure to disclose how climate change will impact their business. This includes multiple asset impairments and losing a proxy vote to shareholders to increase climate change related reporting. Supplements the (B)... View Details
      Keywords: Oil & Gas; Oil Prices; Oil Companies; Asset Impairment; Predictive Analytics; Sustainability; Environmental Impact; Innovation; Disclosure; Accounting; Valuation; Energy Sources; Ethics; Corporate Disclosure; Governance Compliance; Climate Change; Financial Reporting; Energy Industry; United States
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      Serafeim, George, Shiva Rajgopal, and David Freiberg. "ExxonMobil: Business as Usual? (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 117-047, February 2017. (Revised June 2017.)
      • Article

      Does 'Liking' Lead to Loving? The Impact of Joining a Brand's Social Network on Marketing Outcomes

      By: Leslie K. John, Oliver Emrich, Sunil Gupta and Michael I. Norton
      Does “liking” a brand on Facebook cause a person to view it more favorably? Or is “liking” simply a symptom of being fond of a brand? We disentangle these possibilities and find evidence for the latter: brand attitudes and purchasing are predicted by consumers’... View Details
      Keywords: Brands; Marketing Effectiveness; Brand Evaluation; Peer Influence; Brands and Branding; Social and Collaborative Networks; Social Media
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      John, Leslie K., Oliver Emrich, Sunil Gupta, and Michael I. Norton. "Does 'Liking' Lead to Loving? The Impact of Joining a Brand's Social Network on Marketing Outcomes." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 54, no. 1 (February 2017): 144–155.
      • January 2017 (Revised August 2017)
      • Case

      Weathernews

      By: Karim R. Lakhani and Akiko Kanno
      Tomohiro Ishibashi (Bashi), chief executive officer for B to S, and Julia Foote LeStage, chief innovation officer of Weathernews Inc., were addressing a panel at the HBS Digital Summit on creative uses of big data. They told the summit attendees about how the Sakura... View Details
      Keywords: Crowdsourcing; Operations; Globalization; Weather; Forecasting and Prediction; Global Strategy
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      Lakhani, Karim R., and Akiko Kanno. "Weathernews." Harvard Business School Case 617-053, January 2017. (Revised August 2017.)
      • 9 Dec 2016
      • Conference Presentation

      Discovering Unknown Unknowns of Predictive Models

      By: Himabindu Lakkaraju, Ece Kamar, Rich Caruana and Eric Horvitz
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      Lakkaraju, Himabindu, Ece Kamar, Rich Caruana, and Eric Horvitz. "Discovering Unknown Unknowns of Predictive Models." Paper presented at the 30th Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS), Workshop on Reliable Machine Learning in the Wild, Barcelona, Spain, December 9, 2016.
      • December 2016
      • Article

      Social Network Utilization and the Impact of Academic Research in Marketing

      By: Stav Rosenzweig, Amir Grinstein and Elie Ofek
      The forces that drive the impact of academic research articles in the marketing discipline are of great interests to authors, editors, and the discipline’s policy makers. A key understudied driver is social network utilization by academic researchers. In this paper, we... View Details
      Keywords: Social Networks; Academic Reserach; Human Capital; Country Of Origin; Scientometrics; Social and Collaborative Networks; Research; Marketing; Gender; Human Resources; Social Media
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      Rosenzweig, Stav, Amir Grinstein, and Elie Ofek. "Social Network Utilization and the Impact of Academic Research in Marketing." International Journal of Research in Marketing 33, no. 4 (December 2016): 818–839.
      • November 2016 (Revised April 2018)
      • Case

      reMarkable: e-Writing the Future

      By: Elie Ofek and Curtis Hsu
      Magnus Wanberg is the creator of reMarkable, a breakthrough e-writer device set apart from similar products on the market by having solved the frustrating “slow ink” problem typically experienced on pen-based electronic devices, thus providing a “pen and paper” like... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurial Marketing; Innovation Management; Go To Market Strategy; Marketing Plan; Target Market; Digital Devices; Consumer Electronics; Forecasting; Information Technology; Marketing Strategy; Innovation and Management; Marketing Channels; Entrepreneurship; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Marketing; Product Development; Electronics Industry
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      Ofek, Elie, and Curtis Hsu. "reMarkable: e-Writing the Future." Harvard Business School Case 517-018, November 2016. (Revised April 2018.)
      • November 15, 2016
      • Article

      Prediction Markets Didn't Call Trump's Win, Either

      By: Scott Duke Kominers
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      Kominers, Scott Duke. "Prediction Markets Didn't Call Trump's Win, Either." Bloomberg View (November 15, 2016).
      • 2016
      • Working Paper

      Innovation Network

      By: Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit and William Kerr
      Technological progress builds upon itself, with the expansion of invention in one domain propelling future work in linked fields. Our analysis uses 1.8 million U.S. patents and their citation properties to map the innovation network and its strength. Past innovation... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation; Growth; Networks; Patents; Industry Growth; Technology Industry
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      Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, and William Kerr. "Innovation Network." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-033, October 2016.
      • October 11, 2016
      • Article

      Innovation Network

      By: Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit and William R. Kerr
      Technological progress builds upon itself, with the expansion of invention in one domain propelling future work in linked fields. Our analysis uses 1.8 million U.S. patents and their citation properties to map the innovation network and its strength. Past innovation... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation and Invention; Networks; Patents
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      Acemoglu, Daron, Ufuk Akcigit, and William R. Kerr. "Innovation Network." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113, no. 41 (October 11, 2016).
      • October 2016 (Revised April 2018)
      • Case

      DataXu: Selling Ad Tech

      By: Frank V. Cespedes, John Deighton, Lisa Cox and Olivia Hull
      DataXu served marketers by buying digital advertising for brands using its demand-side platform. It sought a way to build a more predictable revenue stream in the very transactional media marketplace, and hoped that two new marketing analytics products would give it a... View Details
      Keywords: Sales Management; Pricing; Programmatic Ad Buying; "Marketing Analytics"; Advertising Technology; Sales; Digital Marketing; Marketing Strategy; Advertising Campaigns; Product Launch; Product Positioning; Media; Technology Industry; Advertising Industry; Boston; Massachusetts
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      Cespedes, Frank V., John Deighton, Lisa Cox, and Olivia Hull. "DataXu: Selling Ad Tech." Harvard Business School Case 817-012, October 2016. (Revised April 2018.)
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