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    • All HBS Web  (273)
      • Faculty Publications  (40)

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      • June 2015
      • Supplement

      Generating Higher Value at IBM (A): EPS Forecasting Model

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Scott Mayfield
      This case analyzes IBM's financial performance and its capital allocation decisions over a 10-year period from 2004-2013, during which IBM returned more than $140B to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases. During this time, CEO Sam... View Details
      Keywords: Dividends; Share Repurchases; Earnings Guidance; Financial Statement Analysis; Financial Ratios; Payout Policy; Earnings Per Share (EPS); Earnings Management; Change Management; Leadership; Transformation; Financial Strategy
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Scott Mayfield. "Generating Higher Value at IBM (A): EPS Forecasting Model." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 215-711, June 2015.
      • June 2015 (Revised September 2017)
      • Supplement

      Generating Higher Value at IBM

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Scott Mayfield
      This case analyzes IBM's financial performance and its capital allocation decisions over a 10-year period from 2004-2013, during which IBM returned more than $140B to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases. During this time, CEO Sam... View Details
      Keywords: Dividends; Share Repurchases; Earnings Guidance; Financial Statement Analysis; Financial Ratios; Payout Policy; Earnings Per Share (EPS); Earnings Management; Change Management; Leadership; Transformation; Financial Strategy
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Scott Mayfield. "Generating Higher Value at IBM." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 215-710, June 2015. (Revised September 2017.)
      • May 2015 (Revised September 2017)
      • Case

      Generating Higher Value at IBM (A)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and E. Scott Mayfield
      This case analyzes IBM's financial performance and its capital allocation decisions over a 10-year period from 2004-2013, during which IBM returned more than $140B to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases. During this time, CEO Sam... View Details
      Keywords: Dividends; Share Repurchases; Earnings Guidance; Financial Statement Analysis; Financial Ratios; Payout Policy; Earnings Per Share (EPS); Earnings Management; Change Management; Leadership; Transformation; Financial Strategy
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and E. Scott Mayfield. "Generating Higher Value at IBM (A)." Harvard Business School Case 215-058, May 2015. (Revised September 2017.)
      • August 2014 (Revised March 2015)
      • Case

      Molycorp: Issuing the 'Happy Meal' Securities (B)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and E. Scott Mayfield
      Molycorp, the Western hemisphere's only producer of rare earth minerals, was in the middle of a $1 billion capital expansion in its effort to become a vertically integrated supplier of rare earth minerals, oxides, and metals. After reporting lower than expected... View Details
      Keywords: Convertible Debt; Uncertainty; Startup; Growth; Rare Earth Minerals; Mining; Hedge Funds; Short Selling; Equity Capital; Capital Structure; Financial Strategy; Valuation; Metals and Minerals; Equity; Capital; Debt Securities; Stock Shares; Financial Management; Mining Industry; Industrial Products Industry; Canada; California
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and E. Scott Mayfield. "Molycorp: Issuing the 'Happy Meal' Securities (B)." Harvard Business School Case 215-014, August 2014. (Revised March 2015.)
      • June 2013
      • Case

      Ken Traub at American Bank Note Holographics

      By: Suraj Srinivasan and Michael Norris
      Ken Traub is hired as CFO for American Bank Note Holographics, the market-leading security holograph company in January 1999, but discovers on his first day that the company has misstated its financials and resigns. After consulting with the company for the next... View Details
      Keywords: Information Technology; Moral Sensibility; Earnings Management; Crime and Corruption; Personal Development and Career; Management Teams; Technology Industry; Service Industry; United States
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      Srinivasan, Suraj, and Michael Norris. "Ken Traub at American Bank Note Holographics." Harvard Business School Case 113-073, June 2013.
      • June 2013 (Revised September 2015)
      • Case

      Procter & Gamble

      By: Jay W. Lorsch and Kathleen Durante

      On July 12, 2012, Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management announced publicly that it had purchased about $2 billion of Procter and Gamble (P&G) stock. Shares in the company closed up 3.75% the day the disclosure was made public. Ackman told the New York... View Details

      Keywords: Ackman; P&G; Pershing Square Capital Managment; Disruption; Management Succession; Crisis Management; Acquisition; Consumer Products Industry; Financial Services Industry
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      Lorsch, Jay W., and Kathleen Durante. "Procter & Gamble." Harvard Business School Case 413-127, June 2013. (Revised September 2015.)
      • 2013
      • Article

      Learning and the Disappearing Association Between Governance and Returns

      By: Lucian A. Bebchuk, Alma Cohen and Charles C.Y. Wang
      The correlation between governance indices and abnormal returns documented for 1990–1999 subsequently disappeared. The correlation and its disappearance are both due to market participants' gradually learning to appreciate the difference between good-governance and... View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Governance; Investment Return; Operations; Performance; Value; Learning; Business Earnings; Behavioral Finance
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      Bebchuk, Lucian A., Alma Cohen, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Learning and the Disappearing Association Between Governance and Returns." Journal of Financial Economics 108, no. 2 (May 2013): 323–348. (2013 IRRCi Investor Research Award.)
      • June 2012
      • Article

      Decoding Inside Information

      By: Lauren Cohen, Christopher Malloy and Lukasz Pomorski
      Using a simple empirical strategy, we decode the information in insider trading. Exploiting the fact that insiders trade for a variety of reasons, we show that there is predictable, identifiable "routine" insider trading that is not informative for the future of firms.... View Details
      Keywords: Strategy; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Law Enforcement; Opportunities; Geographic Location; Business Earnings
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      Cohen, Lauren, Christopher Malloy, and Lukasz Pomorski. "Decoding Inside Information." Journal of Finance 67, no. 3 (June 2012): 1009–1043. (Winner of Chicago Quantitative Alliance Academic Paper Competition. First Prize presented by Chicago Quantitative Alliance.  Winner of Institute for Quantitative Investment Research (INQUIRE) Grant presented by Institute for Quantitative Investment Research.)
      • August 2012 (Revised September 2012)
      • Case

      JP Morgan Chase & the CIO Losses

      By: Clayton Rose
      On July 13, 2012, JP Morgan Chase & Co. announced a larger than expected loss for the quarter, $4.4 billion, from positions held in the Chief Investment Office (CIO), raising the total losses to $5.9 billion. Since the substantial risks in the CIO had first been... View Details
      Keywords: Banking; Governance; Finance; Risk Management; Corporate Governance; Business Earnings; Accounting; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Rose, Clayton. "JP Morgan Chase & the CIO Losses." Harvard Business School Case 313-033, August 2012. (Revised September 2012.)
      • Article

      Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements

      By: Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We consider measures of stock-picking skill of mutual fund managers based on the earnings announcement returns of the stocks that they hold and trade. Relative to standard approaches, this approach focuses on an especially informative subset of the returns data,... View Details
      Keywords: Competency and Skills; Stocks; Investment Return; Investment Funds; Earnings Management
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      Baker, Malcolm, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 45, no. 5 (October 2010): 1111 –1131.
      • November 2008
      • Journal Article

      Can Research Committees Add Value for Investors? An Analysis of Lehman Brothers' Ten Uncommon Values® Recommendations

      By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy and Yang Gui
      Since 1949 Lehman Brothers has used an investment committee to select the top ten recommendations made by its analysts each year. We examine the performance of this committee's recommendations and find that on average its selections generated abnormal returns of 2.7%... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Financial Markets; Investment; Investment Return; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Performance Expectations; Groups and Teams; Research; Value Creation
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      Groysberg, Boris, Paul M. Healy, and Yang Gui. "Can Research Committees Add Value for Investors? An Analysis of Lehman Brothers' Ten Uncommon Values® Recommendations." Journal of Financial Transformation 24 (November 2008): 123–130.
      • March 2008
      • Article

      Market Reactions to Export Subsidies

      By: M. A. Desai and James R. Hines Jr.
      This paper analyzes the economic impact of export subsidies by investigating stock price reactions to a critical event in 1997. On November 18, 1997, the European Union announced its intention to file a complaint before the World Trade Organization (WTO), arguing that... View Details
      Keywords: Economic Systems; Trade; Development Economics; Financial Markets; Profit; Taxation; Volume; Value Creation; Market Design; Business Subsidiaries; Utilities Industry; Financial Services Industry; Europe; North and Central America
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      Desai, M. A., and James R. Hines Jr. "Market Reactions to Export Subsidies." Journal of International Economics 74, no. 2 (March 2008).
      • October 2007
      • Background Note

      Price Formation

      By: Joshua D. Coval and Erik Stafford
      Investigates how prices are formed in competitive capital markets. Focuses on a single security called AOE. Students compete with computer traders and each other for market making and informed trading profits. Participants receive a variety of public news in the form... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Markets; Price; Profit; Corporate Disclosure; Newsletters; Industry Structures; Business Processes; Competitive Strategy
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      Coval, Joshua D., and Erik Stafford. "Price Formation." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-040, October 2007.
      • July 2007
      • Article

      Earnings Announcement Premia and Limits to Arbitrage

      By: Daniel Cohen, Aiyesha Dey, Thomas Lys and Shyam Sunder
      We examine the factors underlying the presence of earnings announcement premia. We find that the premia persist beyond the sample period examined in prior studies (ending in 1988), although they decline in magnitude after 1988. Further, premia are lower on the expected... View Details
      Keywords: Business Earnings; Announcements; Corporate Disclosure
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      Cohen, Daniel, Aiyesha Dey, Thomas Lys, and Shyam Sunder. "Earnings Announcement Premia and Limits to Arbitrage." Journal of Accounting & Economics 43, nos. 2-3 (July 2007): 153–180.
      • September 2005 (Revised January 2006)
      • Case

      Restating Revenues and Earnings at INVESTools, Inc. (A)

      By: Michael D. Kimbrough and F. Warren McFarlan
      Relates the events leading up to the announcement in February 2005 that INVESTools, a Utah-based provider of investor education services, would be restating prior-year financial statements due to inappropriate revenue recognition. View Details
      Keywords: Accounting; Accounting Audits; Financial Statements; Capital Markets; Currency Exchange Rate; Corporate Disclosure; Financial Services Industry; Education Industry; Utah
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      Kimbrough, Michael D., and F. Warren McFarlan. "Restating Revenues and Earnings at INVESTools, Inc. (A)." Harvard Business School Case 106-009, September 2005. (Revised January 2006.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements

      By: Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We consider measures of stock-picking skill of mutual fund managers based on the earnings announcement returns of the stocks that they hold and trade. Relative to standard approaches, this approach focuses on an especially informative subset of the returns data,... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Asset Management; Business Earnings; Forecasting and Prediction; Competency and Skills
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      Baker, Malcolm, Lubomir Litov, Jessica Wachter, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from Their Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10685, February 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • December 1996 (Revised October 1999)
      • Case

      Kidder, Peabody & Co.: Creating Elusive Profits

      By: Robert L. Simons and Antonio Davila
      On April 17, 1994, Kidder, Peabody & Co. announced a $350 million charge against earnings resulting from the discovery of false trading profits. That same day, the termination of Joseph Jett's employment with the company was made public. By illustrating the mechanics... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Governance Controls; Crime and Corruption; Financial Reporting; Profit; Financial Strategy
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      Simons, Robert L., and Antonio Davila. "Kidder, Peabody & Co.: Creating Elusive Profits." Harvard Business School Case 197-038, December 1996. (Revised October 1999.)
      • October 1995 (Revised June 1996)
      • Case

      ABN-AMRO Holding N.V. and Smit Transformatoren N.V. (A)

      By: Peter Tufano
      ABN-AMRO, the largest bank in the Netherlands, must decide whether to take any action in regard to the poor performance of Smit Transformatoren, a Dutch transformer manufacturer. ABN-AMRO acted as lead underwriter for the IPO of Smit, and also released a favorable... View Details
      Keywords: Initial Public Offering; Capital Markets; Investment Banking; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry; Netherlands
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      Tufano, Peter, and Cameron Poetzscher. "ABN-AMRO Holding N.V. and Smit Transformatoren N.V. (A)." Harvard Business School Case 296-030, October 1995. (Revised June 1996.)
      • June 1991 (Revised December 1997)
      • Case

      Takeover of the Norton Co., The

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      After a decade of mediocre performance, the Norton Co. enters 1990 with the prospect of increased sales in the next few years. Yet Norton is pursuing slow growth industries, and a lower than expected earnings announcement at the beginning of 1990 has depressed earnings... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Business Conglomerates; Goals and Objectives; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation; Revenue; Bids and Bidding; Business Processes; Ownership Stake
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Takeover of the Norton Co., The ." Harvard Business School Case 291-002, June 1991. (Revised December 1997.)
      • Research Summary

      Corporate Governance

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang

      The characteristics and structure of boards of directors have important implications for firm performance. Professor Wang has found that firms with well-connected boards whose members have strong network connections provide economic benefits that are not immediately... View Details

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