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  • 12 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 12

Preannouncements under Market Uncertainty Authors:Ofek, Elie, and Ozge Turut Publication:Marketing Science Abstract A firm may want to preannounce its plans to develop a new product in order to stimulate future demand. But given that such... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 09 May 2017
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, May 9

so as to encompass a wider range of emotionally resonate capabilities in the context of innovative change. For incumbent firms, we argue that the way the TMT cognitively thinks about, and emotionally frames, non-incremental innovation and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • May 2025
  • Article

Imagining the Future: Memory, Simulation and Beliefs

By: Pedro Bordalo, Giovanni Burro, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
How do people form beliefs about novel risks, with which they have little or no experience? Motivated by survey data on beliefs about Covid we collected in 2020, we build a model based on the psychology of selective memory. When a person thinks about an event,... View Details
Keywords: Expectations; Memory; COVID-19 Pandemic; Risk and Uncertainty; Cognition and Thinking
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  • 05 Sep 2007
  • First Look

First Look: September 5, 2007

critical action phase. We draw on the research on behavioral forecasting, ethical fading, and cognitive distortions to gain insight into the forces driving these faulty perceptions and, noting how these misperceptions can lead to... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 02 Apr 2018
  • Research & Ideas

Is 'Gut Feel' a Good Reason to Invest in a Startup?

deliberate, using higher cognitive processing. While we might be likely to relegate gut feel to Type 1 thinking, Huang has found that what investors mean by the term is actually a combination of Type 1 and Type 2 decision making. “When... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Financial Services
  • August 2023 (Revised December 2023)
  • Case

Automating Morality: Ethics for Intelligent Machines

By: Joseph L. Badaracco Jr. and Tom Quinn
As autonomy became a more significant part of modern life – most notably in autonomous vehicles (AVs), such as Teslas – ethical debates about whether and how to impart ethics to machines heated up. Utilitarians pointed out that autonomous vehicles crashed much less... View Details
Keywords: Cost vs Benefits; Judgments; Fairness; Moral Sensibility; Values and Beliefs; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Disruptive Innovation; Technology Adoption; Risk and Uncertainty; Cognition and Thinking; Technological Innovation; Auto Industry; Technology Industry; Africa; Asia; Europe; North and Central America; Oceania; South America
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  • 23 Jun 2015
  • First Look

First Look: June 23, 2015

Abstract—Sarcasm is ubiquitous in organizations. Despite its prevalence, we know surprisingly little about the cognitive experiences of sarcastic expressers and recipients or their behavioral implications. The current research proposes... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 03 Aug 2010
  • First Look

First Look: August 3

substantial information about GMO products, they positively affect approval rates of GMOs by threatening the reputation of the regulatory agency. Our study further shows that firm and product uncertainty increases the impact of the social... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 05 Oct 2010
  • First Look

First Look: October 5, 2010

However, most work has examined hiring for entry and mid-level positions, not senior management. Management positions differ in terms of the amount of uncertainty in identifying candidates qualified for the job, in the intensity of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 27 Feb 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, February 27, 2018

opportunity—and how they cognitively and emotionally reframe investment risk into a compelling narrative that transcends avoidance behavior and leads investors to invest. These findings expand our overall understanding of the complex ways... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 18 Sep 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, September 18, 2018

multiple assortments rotated throughout the season—as opposed to selling all products in a single, fixed assortment—the retailer effectively conceals a portion of its full product catalog from consumers, injecting uncertainty into the... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • October 2018 (Revised August 2019)
  • Case

Everybody Knows: Russia and the Election

By: Rawi Abdelal, Rafael Di Tella and Galit Goldstein
Following a contentious presidential race, Donald Trump’s 2016 election destabilized America’s status quo. Academics, journalists, politicians and the public at large examined why Trump had won. Many Americans, inside and outside the government, asserted that a... View Details
Keywords: Strategic Industry; Strategic Alliances (Business); Business And Government; Business And Public Policy; Business And Society; Media Businesses; Media Content; Media Slant; Media Regulation; Internet Of Everything; Government Policy; Politics; Political Campaigns; Political Strategy; Political Turmoil; Government; Government Regulation; Security; International Business; International Relations; National Security; Political Elections; News; Media; Internet and the Web; Rights; Problems and Challenges; Globalization; Business and Community Relations; Business and Government Relations; Government Legislation; Risk and Uncertainty; Cognition and Thinking; Conflict and Resolution; Identity; Civil Society or Community; Culture; Public Opinion; Social Issues; War; Social Media; Public Administration Industry; United States; Russia
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  • 27 Mar 2012
  • First Look

First Look: March 27

where the firm chooses capacities in two technologies in stage one, demand uncertainty resolves between stages (as does emissions price uncertainty under cap-and-trade), and then the firm chooses production... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 27 Oct 2009
  • First Look

First Look: October 27

Working Papers Money or Knowledge? What Drives Demand for Financial Services in Emerging Markets? (revised) Authors: Shawn Cole, Thomas Sampson, and Bilal Zia Abstract Why is demand for formal financial services low in emerging markets? One view argues that limited... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 20 Dec 2011
  • First Look

First Look: December 20

  PublicationsUnconscious Thought Works Bottom-up and Conscious Thought Works Top-down When Forming an Impression Authors:Maarten W. Bos and Ap Dijksterhuis Publication:Social Cognition 29, no. 6 (2011) Abstract We tested and found... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 17 Dec 2013
  • First Look

First Look: December 17

influence their everyday work life, but to date, little is known about how weather affects individual productivity. Contrary to conventional wisdom, we predict and find that bad weather increases individual productivity and that it does so by eliminating potential... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 10 May 2011
  • First Look

First Look: May 10

shifts from the corporate team to lower organizational levels when the new business initiative reaches economic and cognitive legitimacy. We use these insights to revise the organizational ambidexterity concept, considering the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Sep 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, September 4, 2018

2018 Individual Creativity in the Workplace An Integrated Model of Dynamic Problem Solving within Organizational Constraints By: Cromwell, Johnathan R., Teresa M. Amabile, and Jean-François Harvey Abstract—Rapid technological change, global competition, and economic... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 04 Dec 2012
  • First Look

First Look: December 4

are incompatible mediated the relationship between ambient cultural disharmony and creativity. Alternative mechanisms such as negative affect and cognitive disruption were not viable mediators. Although ambient cultural disharmony... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 24 Feb 2009
  • First Look

First Look: February 24, 2009

social scientific work on entrepreneurship and weigh their value to business history research. First, we consider how scholars can employ research on entrepreneurial cognition to understand the historical ownership advantages of... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace

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