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  • Web

Negotiation, Organizations & Markets - Faculty & Research

of the two in shaping beliefs. Keywords: Expectations ; Memory ; COVID-19 Pandemic ; Risk and Uncertainty ; Cognition and Thinking Citation Read Now Purchase Related Bordalo, Pedro, Giovanni Burro, Katherine... View Details
  • Web

Students on the Job Market - Doctoral

complexity measures predict choice errors, choice inconsistency, and cognitive uncertainty in binary choice data across all three domains. Second, we document that manipulations of comparison complexity can... View Details
  • Web

Technology & Innovation - Faculty & Research

access pushes decisions down, as it allows for superior decentralized decision making without an undue cognitive burden on those lower in the hierarchy. Better communication pushes decisions up, as it allows employees to rely on those... View Details
  • Web

Topics - HBS Working Knowledge

Stakeholder Relations (4) Business or Company Management (19) COVID-19 (127) Capital Markets (13) Capital Structure (1) Capital (65) Cash Flow (1) Cash (2) Central Banking (2) Change Management (67) Change (116) Civil Society or Community (7) View Details
  • Web

Human Behavior & Decision-Making - Faculty & Research

event help account for experience effects, priming effects, and the interaction of the two in shaping beliefs. Keywords: Expectations ; Memory ; COVID-19 Pandemic ; Risk and Uncertainty ; Cognition and... View Details
  • 06 Jun 2008
  • What Do You Think?

Why Don’t Managers Think Deeply?

(deep thinking) needs to be learned." This raises the question of whether it can be taught. Frances Pratt comments, "To get deep we must be deep." The issue is complicated by uncertainties about just what "deep... View Details
Keywords: by Jim Heskett
  • 28 Feb 2023
  • Blog Post

Celebrating Socioeconomic Diversity and Inclusion at HBS (Part 1)

than 99% of the others students born into poverty and addiction that didn’t make it here? I doubt it. But that’s harder to hear. We like hearing the success stories. It validates our own work and affirms the meritocracy myth. It helps us feel deserving. View Details
  • 21 Apr 2021
  • Research & Ideas

The Pandemic Conversations That Leaders Need to Have Now

end of a call may be having a dramatic experience during this crisis is an important subtext for how they are navigating the conversation with me.” LEADING IN TIMES OF UNCERTAINTY More Stories in This Series Pandemic Self-Care for CEOs:... View Details
Keywords: by Boris Groysberg, Robin Abrahams, and Katherine Connolly Baden
  • May 2025
  • Article

Imagining the Future: Memory, Simulation and Beliefs

By: Pedro Bordalo, Giovanni Burro, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
How do people form beliefs about novel risks, with which they have little or no experience? Motivated by survey data on beliefs about Covid we collected in 2020, we build a model based on the psychology of selective memory. When a person thinks about an event,... View Details
Keywords: Expectations; Memory; COVID-19 Pandemic; Risk and Uncertainty; Cognition and Thinking
Related
  • 12 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 12

Preannouncements under Market Uncertainty Authors:Ofek, Elie, and Ozge Turut Publication:Marketing Science Abstract A firm may want to preannounce its plans to develop a new product in order to stimulate future demand. But given that such... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 09 May 2017
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, May 9

so as to encompass a wider range of emotionally resonate capabilities in the context of innovative change. For incumbent firms, we argue that the way the TMT cognitively thinks about, and emotionally frames, non-incremental innovation and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 02 Apr 2018
  • Research & Ideas

Is 'Gut Feel' a Good Reason to Invest in a Startup?

deliberate, using higher cognitive processing. While we might be likely to relegate gut feel to Type 1 thinking, Huang has found that what investors mean by the term is actually a combination of Type 1 and Type 2 decision making. “When... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Financial Services
  • 05 Sep 2007
  • First Look

First Look: September 5, 2007

critical action phase. We draw on the research on behavioral forecasting, ethical fading, and cognitive distortions to gain insight into the forces driving these faulty perceptions and, noting how these misperceptions can lead to... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 27 Oct 2009
  • First Look

First Look: October 27

Working Papers Money or Knowledge? What Drives Demand for Financial Services in Emerging Markets? (revised) Authors: Shawn Cole, Thomas Sampson, and Bilal Zia Abstract Why is demand for formal financial services low in emerging markets? One view argues that limited... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 27 Mar 2012
  • First Look

First Look: March 27

where the firm chooses capacities in two technologies in stage one, demand uncertainty resolves between stages (as does emissions price uncertainty under cap-and-trade), and then the firm chooses production... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 20 Dec 2011
  • First Look

First Look: December 20

  PublicationsUnconscious Thought Works Bottom-up and Conscious Thought Works Top-down When Forming an Impression Authors:Maarten W. Bos and Ap Dijksterhuis Publication:Social Cognition 29, no. 6 (2011) Abstract We tested and found... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 22 Feb 2022
  • News

Case Study: Welcome Aboard

culture that’s best cultivated in person, as well as the kind of collaboration that’s unlocked when people gather around a whiteboard with their best ideas. Even so, there are continued uncertainties around the pandemic and what the... View Details
Keywords: Jen McFarland Flint
  • 16 Feb 2023
  • Blog Post

The Rituals of Case Method Teaching

paying a lot of attention to what students are saying—I want to connect points and orchestrate the conversation towards a learning point. That cognitive capacity is more complex—I need to really concentrate my attention, so all of my... View Details
  • 27 Feb 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, February 27, 2018

opportunity—and how they cognitively and emotionally reframe investment risk into a compelling narrative that transcends avoidance behavior and leads investors to invest. These findings expand our overall understanding of the complex ways... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Dec 2013
  • First Look

First Look: December 17

influence their everyday work life, but to date, little is known about how weather affects individual productivity. Contrary to conventional wisdom, we predict and find that bad weather increases individual productivity and that it does so by eliminating potential... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel