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  • Article

Big Names or Big Ideas: Do Peer-Review Panels Select the Best Science Proposals?

By: Danielle Li and Leila Agha
This paper examines the success of peer-review panels in predicting the future quality of proposed research. We construct new data to track publication, citation, and patenting outcomes associated with more than 130,000 research project (R01) grants funded by the U.S.... View Details
Keywords: Patents; Research; Entrepreneurship; Forecasting and Prediction; Innovation and Invention; Business and Government Relations; United States
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Li, Danielle, and Leila Agha. "Big Names or Big Ideas: Do Peer-Review Panels Select the Best Science Proposals?" Science 348, no. 6233 (April 24, 2015): 434–438.
  • 15 Feb 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 15

experiments offer evidence that debates about the relative costs and benefits of self-deception are informed by adopting a temporal view that assesses the cumulative impact of self-deception over time. Download the paper:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Jul 2010
  • First Look

First Look: July 13

matching candidates are attractive by reducing the competition among agents on the same side of the market. An agent who sees fewer candidates knows that these candidates also see fewer potential matches, and so are more likely to accept... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 2019
  • Working Paper

Collusive Investments in Technological Compatibility: Lessons from U.S. Railroads in the Late 19th Century

By: Daniel P. Gross
Collusion is widely condemned for its negative effects on consumer welfare and market efficiency. In this paper, I show that collusion may also in some cases facilitate the creation of unexpected new sources of value. I bring this possibility into focus through the... View Details
Keywords: Collusion; Compatibility; Railroads; Rail Transportation; Standards; Integration; Trade; History; United States
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Gross, Daniel P. "Collusive Investments in Technological Compatibility: Lessons from U.S. Railroads in the Late 19th Century." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-044, December 2016. (Accepted at Management Science.)
  • May 2022
  • Article

Complex Disclosure

By: Ginger Zhe Jin, Michael Luca and Daniel Martin
We present evidence that unnecessarily complex disclosure can result from strategic incentives to shroud information. In our lab experiment, senders are required to report their private information truthfully, but can choose how complex to make their reports. We find... View Details
Keywords: Disclosure; Experiments; Naiveté; Overconfidence; Corporate Disclosure; Policy; Information; Complexity; Strategy; Consumer Behavior
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Jin, Ginger Zhe, Michael Luca, and Daniel Martin. "Complex Disclosure." Management Science 68, no. 5 (May 2022): 3236–3261.
  • 2010
  • Working Paper

Agency Revisited

By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Daniel F. Spulber
The article presents a comprehensive overview of the principal-agent model that emphasizes the role of trust in the agency relationship. The analysis demonstrates that the legal remedy for breach of duty can result in a full-information efficient outcome eliminating... View Details
Keywords: Ethics; Contracts; Agency Theory; Mathematical Methods; Behavior; Trust
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Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, and Daniel F. Spulber. "Agency Revisited." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-082, March 2010.
  • May 2021
  • Case

Roku 2021

By: David B. Yoffie and Daniel Fisher
This case is used to explore the strategic concept of "look forward, reason back." Roku in 2021 is trying to figure out the future of television and streaming media. Students are asked to provide a vision for television and streaming media (that is, Look Forward) by... View Details
Keywords: Television Entertainment; Forecasting and Prediction; Decision Choices and Conditions; Strategy; Strategic Planning; Media and Broadcasting Industry
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Yoffie, David B., and Daniel Fisher. "Roku 2021." Harvard Business School Case 721-480, May 2021.
  • April 2023 (Revised April 2025)
  • Case

Eike Batista: Making or Breaking Brazil

By: Geoffrey Jones, Pedro Magalhães, Daniel Tong and Marcel Anduiza
This case explores the meteoric rise and fall of Eike Batista, once Brazil’s richest person and the world’s seventh wealthiest in 2012. Batista began his career by investing in gold mining in the Amazon, using the network his father had built after years serving as... View Details
Keywords: Crime and Corruption; Entrepreneurship; Investment; Energy Industry; Mining Industry; Brazil
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Jones, Geoffrey, Pedro Magalhães, Daniel Tong, and Marcel Anduiza. "Eike Batista: Making or Breaking Brazil." Harvard Business School Case 323-111, April 2023. (Revised April 2025.)
  • 25 May 2010
  • First Look

First Look: May 25

  PublicationsHeterogeneity and Graceful Technology Retreats: A New Perspective on Responding to Dominant Technological Threats Authors:Ron Adner and Daniel Snow Publication:Industrial and Corporate Change (forthcoming) Abstract We... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 30 Jun 2009
  • First Look

First Look: June 30

theorists differ as to whether exploitation undermines or enhances exploration. The debate reflects a gap—the missing theoretical mechanism by which organizations break free of old routines and discover new ones. We propose that the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 2015
  • Article

Scalable Detection of Anomalous Patterns With Connectivity Constraints

By: Skyler Speakman, Edward McFowland III and Daniel B. Neill
We present GraphScan, a novel method for detecting arbitrarily shaped connected clusters in graph or network data. Given a graph structure, data observed at each node, and a score function defining the anomalousness of a set of nodes, GraphScan can efficiently and... View Details
Keywords: Biosurveillance; Event Detection; Graph Mining; Scan Statistics; Spatial Scan Statistic
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Speakman, Skyler, Edward McFowland III, and Daniel B. Neill. "Scalable Detection of Anomalous Patterns With Connectivity Constraints." Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 24, no. 4 (2015): 1014–1033.
  • January 2025 (Revised March 2025)
  • Case

DJI- Striving for Innovation Amid Contestation

By: William C. Kirby and Daniel Fu
DJI was founded in a college dorm room in Clear Water Bay, Hong Kong. By 2020, DJI, a company manufacturing drones, occupied a 77% share of consumer drone sales in the United States with a wide array of clients including law enforcement and government agencies. Its... View Details
Keywords: Drones; Hong Kong; China; Chinese Manufacturing; Chinese Dream; China's Political Economy
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Kirby, William C., and Daniel Fu. "DJI- Striving for Innovation Amid Contestation." Harvard Business School Case 325-069, January 2025. (Revised March 2025.)
  • 14 Mar 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, March 14

interest rates is driven by four state variables: the real interest rate, temporary and permanent components of expected inflation, the "nominal-real covariance" of inflation, and the real interest rate with the real economy. The last of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • November 2021
  • Article

Gaussian Process Subset Scanning for Anomalous Pattern Detection in Non-iid Data

By: William Herlands, Edward McFowland III, Andrew Gordon Wilson and Daniel B. Neill
Identifying anomalous patterns in real-world data is essential for understanding where, when, and how systems deviate from their expected dynamics. Yet methods that separately consider the anomalousness of each individual data point have low detection power for subtle,... View Details
Keywords: Pattern Detection; Subset Scanning; Gaussian Processes; Mathematical Methods
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Herlands, William, Edward McFowland III, Andrew Gordon Wilson, and Daniel B. Neill. "Gaussian Process Subset Scanning for Anomalous Pattern Detection in Non-iid Data." Proceedings of Machine Learning Research (PMLR) 84 (2018): 425–434. (Also presented at the 21st International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS), 2018.)
  • Forthcoming
  • Article

Trading Volume Manipulation and Competition Among Centralized Crypto Exchanges

By: Dan Amiran, Evgeny Lyandres and Daniel Rabetti
How competition affects manipulation by firms of information about important attributes of their products and how such information manipulation impacts firms’ short-term and long-term performance are open empirical questions. We use a setting that is especially... View Details
Keywords: Cryptocurrency; Financial Markets; Performance; Competition
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Amiran, Dan, Evgeny Lyandres, and Daniel Rabetti. "Trading Volume Manipulation and Competition Among Centralized Crypto Exchanges." Management Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online February 5, 2025.)
  • 2020
  • Working Paper

Why Do Firms Automate Production, and How Do They Adjust? Evidence from the Bell Telephone System over the 20th Century

By: Daniel P. Gross and James J. Feigenbaum
Over the course of the 20th century, AT&T's operating companies replaced telephone operators with mechanical switching and dial telephones. Yet it took AT&T 30 years from the invention of the technology to begin using it, and another 60 years to finish installing it... View Details
Keywords: Employment; Labor; Technology Adoption; Technology Networks; History; Telecommunications Industry; United States
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Gross, Daniel P., and James J. Feigenbaum. "Why Do Firms Automate Production, and How Do They Adjust? Evidence from the Bell Telephone System over the 20th Century." Working Paper, May 2020.
  • June 2000
  • Case

Rebirth of the Swiss Watch Industry, 1980-1992 (A)

By: Michael L. Tushman and Daniel Radov
The Swiss watch industry has been devastated by new entrants from Asia in the low- and mid-priced watch segments. Japanese and Hong Kong firms have used quartz technology to lower costs dramatically. Nicolas Hayek, president of a Swiss consulting firm, is asked to help... View Details
Keywords: Information Technology; Product Development; Organizational Structure; Change Management; Alignment; Product Positioning; Brands and Branding; Management Teams; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Consumer Products Industry; Switzerland
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Tushman, Michael L., and Daniel Radov. "Rebirth of the Swiss Watch Industry, 1980-1992 (A)." Harvard Business School Case 400-087, June 2000.
  • 2021
  • Other Unpublished Work

Computer-Implemented Methods and Systems for Measuring, Estimating, and Managing Economic Outcomes and Technical Debt in Software Systems and Projects: US Patent 11,126,427 B2

By: Daniel J. Sturtevant, Carliss Baldwin, Alan MacCormack, Sunny Ahn and Sean Gilliland
An interrelated set of tools and methods is disclosed for: (1) measuring the relationship between software source code attributes (such as code quality, design quality, test quality, and complexity metrics) and software economics outcome metrics (such as... View Details
Keywords: Technical Debt; Applications and Software; Economics; Measurement and Metrics; Patents
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Sturtevant, Daniel J., Carliss Baldwin, Alan MacCormack, Sunny Ahn, and Sean Gilliland. "Computer-Implemented Methods and Systems for Measuring, Estimating, and Managing Economic Outcomes and Technical Debt in Software Systems and Projects: US Patent 11,126,427 B2." Cambridge, MA, September 2021.
  • December 2012
  • Article

Bolstering and Restoring Feelings of Competence via the IKEA Effect

By: Daniel Mochon, Michael I. Norton and Dan Ariely
We examine the underlying process behind the IKEA effect, which is defined as consumers' willingness to pay more for self-created products than for identical products made by others, and explore the factors that influence both consumers' willingness to engage in... View Details
Keywords: Value; Consumer Behavior; Attitudes
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Mochon, Daniel, Michael I. Norton, and Dan Ariely. "Bolstering and Restoring Feelings of Competence via the IKEA Effect." International Journal of Research in Marketing 29, no. 4 (December 2012): 363–369.
  • 08 Jan 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, January 8, 2019

to deliver high-quality goods or services in a cost-effective manner. This concept has become increasingly relevant to cardiac catheterization laboratories, as insurers move away from fee-for-service reimbursement and toward payment determined View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
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