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      Stock Market ExpectationsRemove Stock Market Expectations →

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      • June 2014 (Revised October 2015)
      • Case

      Molycorp: Financing the Production of Rare Earth Minerals (A)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and E. Scott Mayfield
      Molycorp, the western hemisphere's only producer of rare earth minerals, was in the middle of a $1 billion capital expenditure project in its effort to become a vertically integrated supplier of rare earth minerals, oxides, and metals. Yet it had just reported lower... View Details
      Keywords: Convertible Debt; Uncertainty; Competition; Startup; China; Supply & Demand; Growth; Rare Earth Minerals; Discounted Cash Flows; Mining; Payoff Diagrams; Option Pricing; Capital Budgeting; Capital Structure; Cash Flow; Financial Strategy; Market Entry and Exit; Vertical Integration; Valuation; Metals and Minerals; Mining Industry; Industrial Products Industry; Canada; California
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and E. Scott Mayfield. "Molycorp: Financing the Production of Rare Earth Minerals (A)." Harvard Business School Case 214-054, June 2014. (Revised October 2015.)
      • April 2014 (Revised July 2015)
      • Case

      Sanofi Pasteur: The Dengue Vaccine Dilemma

      By: V. Kasturi Rangan, David E. Bloom, Vincent Dessain and Emilie Billaud
      In 2012, Sanofi Pasteur was racing to develop a vaccine against dengue, a mosquito-borne disease, and was evaluating this product in a Phase IIb trial conducted with school children in Thailand. But while the candidate vaccine met the high safety expectations and a... View Details
      Keywords: Health Testing and Trials; Product Launch; Market Entry and Exit; Emerging Markets; Pharmaceutical Industry; France
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      Rangan, V. Kasturi, David E. Bloom, Vincent Dessain, and Emilie Billaud. "Sanofi Pasteur: The Dengue Vaccine Dilemma." Harvard Business School Case 514-074, April 2014. (Revised July 2015.)
      • April 2014
      • Supplement

      Managing Change at Axis Bank (B)

      By: Paul Healy and Rachna Tahilyani
      Axis Bank is India's third largest private sector bank. In April 2009, Shikha Sharma, an outsider was appointed as its CEO. She took over from a person who had overseen ten years of rapid growth at the bank. The selection of an outsider as the new CEO surprised many... View Details
      Keywords: Change Management; Transformation; Organizational Culture; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Leadership Style; Leading Change; Valuation; Finance; Banks and Banking; Financial Services Industry; Banking Industry; India
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      Healy, Paul, and Rachna Tahilyani. "Managing Change at Axis Bank (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 114-083, April 2014.
      • 2014
      • Article

      Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns

      By: Robin Greenwood and Andrei Shleifer
      We analyze time-series of investor expectations of future stock market returns from six data sources between 1963 and 2011. The six measures of expectations are highly positively correlated with each other, as well as with past stock returns and with the level of the... View Details
      Keywords: Performance Expectations; Investment Return
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      Greenwood, Robin, and Andrei Shleifer. "Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns." Review of Financial Studies 27, no. 3 (March 2014): 714–746. (Internet Appendix Here.)
      • April 2014
      • Article

      Golden Parachutes and the Wealth of Shareholders

      By: Lucian A. Bebchuk, Alma Cohen and Charles C.Y. Wang
      Golden parachutes (GPs) have attracted substantial attention from investors and public officials for more than two decades. We find that GPs are associated with higher expected acquisition premiums and that this association is at least partly due to the effect of GPs... View Details
      Keywords: Golden Parachute; Acquisitions; Takeovers; Acquisition Takeover; Acquisition Likelihood; Acquisition Premiums; Agency Costs; Managerial Slack; Dodd-Frank; Executive Compensation; Acquisition; Corporate Governance; Business and Shareholder Relations
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      Bebchuk, Lucian A., Alma Cohen, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Golden Parachutes and the Wealth of Shareholders." Journal of Corporate Finance 25 (April 2014): 140–154.
      • March 2014
      • Case

      Managing Change at Axis Bank (A)

      By: Paul Healy and Rachna Tahilyani
      Axis Bank is India's third largest private sector bank. In April 2009, Shikha Sharma, an outsider, was appointed as its CEO. She took over from a person who had overseen ten years of rapid growth at the bank. The selection of an outsider as the new CEO surprised many... View Details
      Keywords: Change Management; Transformation; Organizational Culture; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Leadership Style; Leading Change; Valuation; Finance; Banks and Banking; Financial Services Industry; Banking Industry; India
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      Healy, Paul, and Rachna Tahilyani. "Managing Change at Axis Bank (A)." Harvard Business School Case 114-082, March 2014.
      • March–April 2014
      • Article

      The Low-Risk Anomaly: A Decomposition into Micro and Macro Effects

      By: Malcolm Baker, Brendan Bradley and Ryan Taliaferro
      Low beta stocks have offered a combination of low risk and high returns. We decompose the anomaly into micro and macro components. The micro component comes from the selection of low beta stocks. The macro component comes from the selection of low beta countries or... View Details
      Keywords: Low Volatility; Beta; Portfolio Construction; Market Efficiency; Capital Asset Pricing Model; Asset Management
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      Baker, Malcolm, Brendan Bradley, and Ryan Taliaferro. "The Low-Risk Anomaly: A Decomposition into Micro and Macro Effects." Financial Analysts Journal 70, no. 2 (March–April 2014): 43–58.
      • February 2014 (Revised March 2014)
      • Case

      Red Star Furniture Group Co. Ltd.

      By: Krishna G. Palepu and Pedro Nueno
      Founded in 1986, Red Star had become the leading department store in China for furniture and home equipment products (bathroom, lamps, textiles complements, etc.). The business model of Red Star was to provide adequate space for vendors (that rented the space) in good... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship In Emerging Markets; Growth Strategy And Execution; Growth and Development Strategy; Retail Industry; China
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      Palepu, Krishna G., and Pedro Nueno. "Red Star Furniture Group Co. Ltd." Harvard Business School Case 114-053, February 2014. (Revised March 2014.)
      • January 2014
      • Case

      Newfield Energy

      By: William E. Fruhan and Wei Wang
      In September 2013, Miles Griffin, CEO and chairman of the board of Newfield Energy, prepares to present financial proposals to the board of directors for approval. Newfield (based in Houston, Texas) was a large independent energy company primarily engaged in the... View Details
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      Fruhan, William E., and Wei Wang. "Newfield Energy." Harvard Business School Brief Case 914-541, January 2014.
      • December 2013
      • Article

      Legislating Stock Prices

      By: Lauren Cohen, Karl Diether and Christopher Malloy
      We demonstrate that legislation has a simple, yet previously undetected impact on stock prices. Exploiting the voting record of legislators whose constituents are the affected industries, we show that the votes of these "interested" legislators capture important... View Details
      Keywords: Legislator Incentives; Voting; Return Predictability; Lobbying; Motivation and Incentives; Government Legislation; Stocks
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      Cohen, Lauren, Karl Diether, and Christopher Malloy. "Legislating Stock Prices." Journal of Financial Economics 110, no. 3 (December 2013): 574–595. (Winner of Fama-DFA Prize for the Best Paper Published in the Journal of Financial Economics in Asset Pricing (Distinguished Paper) 2013.)
      • November 2013 (Revised May 2023)
      • Case

      Valuing Yahoo! in 2013

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Atul Khosla
      In late July 2013, Danielle Engle, Managing Director of Clairemont Capital, was contemplating what to do about a large investment her fund had in the stock of Yahoo! Inc. In mid-2012, Clairemont had invested nearly $75M in Yahoo! after the tech company settled a highly... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Decision Making; Investment Activism; Business Model; Growth and Development Strategy; Valuation
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Atul Khosla. "Valuing Yahoo! in 2013." Harvard Business School Case 214-048, November 2013. (Revised May 2023.)
      • October 2013
      • Supplement

      Alcoa's Bid for Alcan (B)

      By: Paul Healy and Penelope Rossano
      In spring 2007, Alcoa CEO Alain Belda was concerned about the company's market position in light of increased competition from developing markets. China's recent entry into the aluminum market was affecting both supply and demand. Furthermore, downstream and upstream... View Details
      Keywords: Strategy; Acquisitions; Alcoa; Alcan; Rio Tinto; Aluminum Industry; Accounting; Financial Analysis; Consolidation; Market Participation; Financial Statements; Acquisition; Mining; Mining Industry; Canada; United States
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      Healy, Paul, and Penelope Rossano. "Alcoa's Bid for Alcan (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 114-030, October 2013.
      • October 2013 (Revised December 2015)
      • Case

      Alcoa's Bid for Alcan (A)

      By: Paul Healy and Penelope Rossano
      In spring 2007, Alcoa CEO Alain Belda was concerned about the company's market position in light of increased competition from developing markets. China's recent entry into the aluminum market was affecting both supply and demand. Furthermore, downstream and upstream... View Details
      Keywords: Acquisitions; Strategy; Aluminum; Accounting; Financials; Alcoa; Rio Tinto; Alcan; Metals and Minerals; Competition; Consolidation; Emerging Markets; Acquisition; Financial Statements; Manufacturing Industry; Canada; China; Russia
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      Healy, Paul, and Penelope Rossano. "Alcoa's Bid for Alcan (A)." Harvard Business School Case 114-029, October 2013. (Revised December 2015.)
      • October 2013 (Revised January 2014)
      • Supplement

      Fred Khosravi and AccessClosure (B)

      By: Richard G. Hamermesh and Lauren Barley
      It was January 2013, and Fred Khosravi, chairman of the board of AccessClosure Inc., wondered what the new year had in store for him and AccessClosure, the company he founded in late 2002. Khosravi was cautiously optimistic—the Mountain View, California-based medical... View Details
      Keywords: Medical Devices; Vascular Closure Device; Patent Litigation; Patenting; Biomedical Research; Biotechnology; Biotech; Technological Innovation; Patents; Health Care and Treatment; Biotechnology Industry; United States; California
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      Hamermesh, Richard G., and Lauren Barley. "Fred Khosravi and AccessClosure (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 814-038, October 2013. (Revised January 2014.)
      • October 2013
      • Article

      Ad Revenue and Content Commercialization: Evidence from Blogs

      By: Monic Sun and Feng Zhu
      Many scholars argue that when incentivized by ad revenue, content providers are more likely to tailor their content to attract "eyeballs," and as a result, popular content may be excessively supplied. We empirically test this prediction by taking advantage of the... View Details
      Keywords: Ad-sponsored Business Models; Media Content; Blog; Revenue Sharing; User-generated Content; Platform-based Markets; Blogs; Business Model; Digital Platforms; Commercialization; Digital Marketing
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      Sun, Monic, and Feng Zhu. "Ad Revenue and Content Commercialization: Evidence from Blogs." Management Science 59, no. 10 (October 2013): 2314–2331.
      • October 2013
      • Article

      Corporate Venturing

      By: Josh Lerner
      For decades, large companies have been wary of corporate venturing. But as R&D organizations face pressure to rein in costs and produce results, companies are investing in promising start-ups to gain knowledge and agility. The logic of corporate venturing is... View Details
      Keywords: Venture Capital; Knowledge Acquisition; Corporate Strategy; Research and Development; Business Startups; Innovation and Invention
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      Lerner, Josh. "Corporate Venturing." Harvard Business Review 91, no. 10 (October 2013): 86–94.
      • September 2013 (Revised June 2016)
      • Case

      The Morning Star Company: Self-Management at Work

      By: Francesca Gino, Bradley R. Staats, Brian J. Hall and Tiffany Y. Chang

      Morning Star, a collection of affiliated companies, had grown steadily since 1970 when Chris Rufer, president and founder, started the business hauling tomatoes to processing plants in a truck. The company's main products continued to be tomato-based, including a... View Details

      Keywords: Business or Company Management; Motivation and Incentives; Working Conditions; Plant-Based Agribusiness; Food; Management Practices and Processes; Compensation and Benefits; Manufacturing Industry; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry
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      Gino, Francesca, Bradley R. Staats, Brian J. Hall, and Tiffany Y. Chang. "The Morning Star Company: Self-Management at Work." Harvard Business School Case 914-013, September 2013. (Revised June 2016.)
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Managing Churn to Maximize Profits

      By: Aurelie Lemmens and Sunil Gupta
      Customer defection threatens many industries, prompting companies to deploy targeted, proactive customer retention programs and offers. A conventional approach has been to target customers either based on their predicted churn probability, or their responsiveness to a... View Details
      Keywords: Churn Management; Defection Prediction; Loss Function; Stochastic Gradient Boosting; Customer Relationship Management; Consumer Behavior; Profit
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      Lemmens, Aurelie, and Sunil Gupta. "Managing Churn to Maximize Profits." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 14-020, September 2013. (Revised December 2019. Forthcoming at Marketing Science.)
      • September–October 2013
      • Article

      The Role of Organizational Scope and Governance in Strengthening Private Monitoring

      By: Lamar Pierce and Michael W. Toffel
      Governments and other organizations often outsource activities to achieve cost savings from market competition. Yet such benefits are often accompanied by poor quality resulting from moral hazard, which can be particularly onerous when outsourcing the monitoring and... View Details
      Keywords: Crime and Corruption; Decision Choices and Conditions; Corporate Accountability; Governance Compliance; Policy; Management Practices and Processes; Demand and Consumers; Market Design; Market Entry and Exit; Market Transactions; Service Delivery; Service Operations; Business Processes; Organizational Structure; Performance Effectiveness; Performance Expectations; Practice; Transportation; Transportation Industry; Service Industry; United States; New York (state, US)
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      Pierce, Lamar, and Michael W. Toffel. "The Role of Organizational Scope and Governance in Strengthening Private Monitoring." Organization Science 24, no. 5 (September–October 2013): 1558–1584. (Winner of the NBS Research Impact on Practice Award from the Academy of Management (AOM) and Network for Business Sustainability (NBS))
      • 2013
      • Book

      Wall Street Research: Past, Present, and Future

      By: Boris Groysberg and Paul M. Healy
      Wall Street equity analysts provide research products and services on publicly-traded companies to institutional and retail investors to help them make more profitable investment decisions. During the last ten years Wall Street research has been battered by a series of... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Analysts; Investment Banks; Conflicts Of Interest; Accounting; Financial Institutions; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Groysberg, Boris, and Paul M. Healy. Wall Street Research: Past, Present, and Future. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press, 2013.
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