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Publications

Publications

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    • Faculty Publications  (257)

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    • All HBS Web  (1,077)
      • Faculty Publications  (257)

      Likelihood Of DefaultRemove Likelihood Of Default →

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      • Research Summary

      Anonymity and Identity

      By: John A. Deighton
      In most consumer markets, consumers are accustomed to operating in relative anonymity. A complex social adjustment is occurring as people realize that anonymity is often no longer their default condition - it must be sought and in some cases bought. New conceptions of... View Details
      Keywords: Privacy; Anonymity
      • 2018
      • Chapter

      Are Licensing Markets Local? An Analysis of the Geography of Vertical Licensing Agreements in Bio-Pharmaceuticals

      By: Juan Alcacer, John Cantwell and Michelle Gittelman
      As the value chain of the pharmaceutical industry disaggregates, upstream discovery is increasingly carried out by small research-specialized firms while downstream development, testing and marketing is conducted by global pharmaceutical firms. Licensing plays an... View Details
      Keywords: Geographic Location; Local Range; Rights; Research and Development; Biotechnology Industry; Pharmaceutical Industry
      Citation
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      Alcacer, Juan, John Cantwell, and Michelle Gittelman. "Are Licensing Markets Local? An Analysis of the Geography of Vertical Licensing Agreements in Bio-Pharmaceuticals." In Location of Biopharmaceutical Activity, edited by Iain M. Cockburn and Matthew J. Slaughter. National Bureau of Economic Research, forthcoming.
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Beefing IT Up for Your Investor? Engagement with Open Source Communities, Innovation, and Startup Funding: Evidence from GitHub

      By: Annamaria Conti, Christian Peukert and Maria P. Roche
      We study the engagement of nascent firms with open source communities and its implications for innovation and attracting funding. To do so, we link data on 160,065 U.S. startups from Crunchbase to their activities on the open source software development platform... View Details
      Keywords: Startups; Knowledge; Open Source Communities; GitHub; Machine Learning; Innovation; Business Startups; Venture Capital; Information Technology; Strategy
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      Conti, Annamaria, Christian Peukert, and Maria P. Roche. "Beefing IT Up for Your Investor? Engagement with Open Source Communities, Innovation, and Startup Funding: Evidence from GitHub." Organization Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online March 7, 2025.)
      • Research Summary

      Business Leaders and Corporate Responsibility

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      Thomas R. Piper is trying to establish an appropriate sense of ethics and corporate responsibility for future business leaders. Earlier research provided compelling evidence that many future leaders seriously doubt that their interpersonal ethics can be brought into... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Concentrated Capital Losses and the Pricing of Corporate Credit Risk

      By: Emil N. Siriwardane

      In studying the U.S. credit default swap (CDS) market, Professor Siriwardane has discovered that the selling of CDS protection is extremely concentrated, with five sellers accounting for nearly half the market. Further, in contrast to what neoclassical theory... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Consumer Decision Making and Behavioral Research

      By: John T. Gourville

      John Gourville’s research focuses on consumer behavior, especially in the areas of pricing and consumer decision making. In the area of pricing, for instance, he has looked at the role of time on how consumers interpret and react to product costs and prices.... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Corporate Governance

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang

      The characteristics and structure of boards of directors have important implications for firm performance. Professor Wang has found that firms with well-connected boards whose members have strong network connections provide economic benefits that are not immediately... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Corporate Restructuring and Business Insolvency: Economic Impact and Best Practices

      By: Stuart C. Gilson
      Stuart C. Gilson is studying how severe financial distress impacts corporate policies and economic resource allocation. He is also studying how managers can best respond to financial distress in order to preserve and grow value. He is undertaking this research... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Debt Maturity: Is Long-Term Debt Optimal? (with Fabio Kanczuk)

      By: Laura Alfaro
      We model and calibrate the arguments in favor and against short-term and long-term debt. These arguments broadly include: maturity-term premium, tax smoothing, rolling over risk and the cost from defaulting. We use a dynamic equilibrium model with tax distortion,... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Divergent change in organizations

      By: Julie Battilana

      The first stream of research in Professor Battilana’s work aims to identify the conditions that enable individual actors to initiate divergent change within organizations as well as the conditions enabling successful implementation of such change. It combines... View Details

      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      FinTech Lending and Cashless Payments

      By: Pulak Ghosh, Boris Vallée and Yao Zeng
      Borrower's use of cashless payments both improves their access to capital from FinTech lenders and predicts a lower probability of default. These relationships are stronger for cashless technologies providing more precise information, and for outflows. Cashless payment... View Details
      Keywords: Fintech; Lending; Payments; Data Sharing; Financing and Loans; Information Technology; Banks and Banking; Business Model
      Citation
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      Ghosh, Pulak, Boris Vallée, and Yao Zeng. "FinTech Lending and Cashless Payments." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race (joint with Fabio Kanczuk)

      By: Laura Alfaro
      There are different arguments in favor and against nominal and indexed debt which broadly include the incentive to default through inflation versus hedging against unforeseen shocks. We model these arguments and calibrate the model to assess the quantitative importance... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Julian J. Zlatev
      First, Professor Zlatev studies how people make decisions that reinforce a sense that they are good or moral. He studies the psychology behind dual motive behaviors—actions that incorporate self-interested and prosocial motives—and the structure of moral identity. For... View Details
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Reflexivity in Credit Markets

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Lawrence J. Jin
      Reflexivity is the idea that investors' biased beliefs affect market outcomes and that market outcomes in turn affect investors’ future biases. We develop a dynamic behavioral model of the credit cycle featuring this two-way feedback loop. Investors form beliefs about... View Details
      Keywords: Reflexivity; Attitudes; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment; Credit
      Citation
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      Related
      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Lawrence J. Jin. "Reflexivity in Credit Markets." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Sovereign Debt as a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach (joint with Fabio Kanczuk)

      By: Laura Alfaro
      We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide parameter, the only equilibrium is one in which... View Details
      • Research Summary

      The Location Component of Pricing Strategies

      By: David E. Bell
      David E. Bell is examining retail pricing strategies in the context of location. He finds that customers' willingness to visit a particular store depends on their price expectations, the likelihood that a suitable item will be in stock, and the store's proximity to... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Undisclosed Debt Sustainability

      By: Laura Alfaro
      Over the past decade, non-Paris Club creditors, notably China, have become an important source of financing for low- and middle-income countries. In contrast with typical sovereign debt, these lending arrangements are not public, and other creditors have no information... View Details
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