Predictability - Publications - Faculty & Research

23 Feb 2011
First Look

First Look: Feb. 23

measures of national political instability—Alesina and Perotti's (1996) well-known index of instability, a subsequent index derived from Banks' (2005) work, and two indices of managerial perceptions of nation-by-nation political instability—persistently View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

26 Jan 2010
First Look

First Look: Jan. 26

-1,000 otherwise" over "0 with certainty." Studies 3, 4, and 5 address the apparent discrepancy between these results and the evidence for loss aversion documented in previous research. The results reveal that only under very specific conditions does the... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

14 Nov 2017
First Look

New Research and Ideas: November 14, 2017

1926–2014 and international sector returns 1985–2014, we present four findings: (1) Fama is correct in that a sharp price increase of an industry portfolio does not, on average, predict unusually low returns going forward; (2) such sharp... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

25 Apr 2017
First Look

First Look at New Research, April 25

Ramanna Abstract—SEC oversight of publicly listed firms ranges from comment letter (CL) reviews of firms’ reporting compliance to pursuing enforcement actions against violators. Prior literature finds that firm political connections (PC) negatively View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

13 Jul 2010
First Look

First Look: July 13

Ramanna, and Douglas J. Skinner Abstract Based on extant literature, we review the positive theory of GAAP. The theory predicts that GAAP's principal focus is on control (performance measurement and stewardship) and that verifiability and... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

02 Sep 2014
First Look

First Look: September 2

related to affect generate distinguishable appetitive and consummatory signals, and that these signals can be used to predict choice and subsequent consumption. Review of the literature surprisingly suggests that appetitive rather than... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

21 Jan 2020
Research & Ideas

Lessons for Retailers from the Rebirth of Indie Bookstores

business,” he says. “I embed myself into an industry for multiple years to understand the nuances of what’s happening, and I try to uncover unexpected patterns that can be difficult to predict using traditional statistical models.” Three... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Entertainment & Recreation

05 Aug 2015
What Do You Think?

What Happened to the ‘Innovation, Disruption, Technology’ Dividend?

even brighter future. Others predict that "disruption," perhaps the most overworked term in business English today, will foster competition, make long-term strategic planning a questionable management activity, and bring new... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett; Computer; Technology

28 May 2014
Research & Ideas

Building Histories of Emerging Economies One Interview at a Time

"Every capitalist economy has its ups, downs, and shocks," says Jones. "But there's a due process and greater predictability to business in the United States and Europe, which these people haven't experienced in the 30 or 40 years of... View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna

17 Feb 2010
First Look

First Look: Feb. 17

Management (forthcoming) Abstract Consumers who buy a product intending to use an accompanying mail-in rebate often do not redeem the rebate. To explain this behavior, we argue that consumers use an anchoring and adjustment approach to View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

02 Jun 2009
First Look

First Look: June 2, 2009

Working PapersTruth in Giving: Experimental Evidence on the Welfare Effects of Informed Giving to the Poor Authors:Christina Fong and Felix Oberholzer-Gee Abstract It is often difficult for donors to predict the value of charitable... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

18 Feb 2002
Research & Ideas

Wrap-up: Software, Telecom, and Recovery

exists doesn't make it any easier for investors to predict if and when an investment will pan out. If you hesitate, will all be lost? As William Quigley, managing director of Clearstone Venture Partners, put it, "Venture capitalism... View Details

Keywords: by Wendy Guild & Martha Lagace; Financial Services; Technology; Communications; Telecommunications

Web

The True Costs of Gig Work | Working Knowledge

money, exhibit very different spending behavior. The gig economy exploded with the COVID-19 pandemic, technological advances, and the rise of remote work. With inflation predicted to rise amid a turbulent economy, some people might opt to... View Details

January 2021
Supplement

Aster DM Healthcare: Budget Exercise

By: V.G. Narayanan and Amy Klopfenstein

In April 2020, Alisha Moopen, Deputy Managing Director of Aster DM Healthcare, a network of clinics, hospitals, and pharmacies in the Middle East and India, must create her company’s budget for the 2021 fiscal year in light of the onset of Covid-19. The pandemic had... View Details

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03 Feb 2015
First Look

First Look: February 3

Dennis A. Yao Abstract—This article examines how antitrust law and policy can benefit from ideas developed in the academic strategy field. Because accurate assessment and prediction of the effects of firm conduct depend in part on... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

19 Jul 2011
First Look

First Look: July 19

leaves a set of information-rich trades by "opportunistic" insiders that contain all the predictive power in the insider trading universe. A portfolio strategy that focuses solely on opportunistic traders yields value-weighted... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

12 May 2003
Research & Ideas

How Hot is the “Hot Spot” Business?

profits later" pitch. Dayton said venture money would flow once the business opportunities become apparent, but deals will be for hundreds of thousands of dollars, not millions. Predictions For Broadband: 2008 In another panel... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne & Martha Lagace; Technology; Communications; Telecommunications

March 2024
Case

Teamworks: Tackling a Forecasting Fumble (A)

By: N. Louis Shipley and Stacy Straaberg

In late March 2018, Teamworks CEO Zach Maurides learned Q1 2018 sales were at risk for a large forecasting miss. Founded in 2004, Teamworks’s software application assisted support staff in messaging, scheduling, and sharing documents with collegiate and professional... View Details

Keywords: Acquisition; Business Growth and Maturation; Communication Strategy; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Business Cycles; Technological Innovation; Sports; Growth and Development Strategy; Resource Allocation; Marketing; Sales; Business Strategy; Expansion; Sports Industry; Technology Industry; United States; North Carolina

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June 2018
Supplement

Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (C)

By: Marco Di Maggio, Benjamin C. Esty and Gregory Saldutte

Analyzes Snap’s value and analyst recommendations following the events described in the (B) case. View Details

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2013
Chapter

Behavioral Corporate Finance: A Current Survey

By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler

We survey the theory and evidence of behavioral corporate finance, which generally takes one of two approaches. The market timing and catering approach views managerial financing and investment decisions as rational managerial responses to securities mispricing. The... View Details