Prediction - Publications - Faculty & Research

12 Nov 2014
Op-Ed

A Challenge to the New Congress: Pass Housing Finance Reform

(whatever its title) will also charge an unsubsidized fee to cover the catastrophic risk it assumes. What impact will these fees have? Understandably, with the best economic models, we will be unable to predict with certainty the impact,... View Details

Keywords: by Nicolas Retsinas & Rob Couch; Construction; Real Estate

05 Nov 2024
Research & Ideas

AI Can Help Leaders Communicate, But Can't Make Employees Listen

for AI acceptance: messages simply labeled as coming from AI were rated as less helpful than those that actually came from a chatbot. “My prediction is that every single employee one day will have their own communication bot, just like... View Details

Keywords: by Ben Rand; Information Technology; Technology

January 1999 (Revised June 2006)
Case

Advanced Technologies, Inc.

By: Thomas R. Piper

The CEO of a semiconductor equipment manufacturer is assessing the financial forecasts and financing plan prepared by the chief financial officer. Continued rapid growth will create substantial financing pressures, especially if profitability fails to recover and/or if... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Earnings Management; Financial Condition; Financial Reporting; Risk and Uncertainty; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Outcome or Result; Growth and Development; Crisis Management; Profit; Financial Strategy; Semiconductor Industry; Manufacturing Industry

Citation

Educators

Purchase

10 Oct 2007
First Look

First Look: First Look: October 10

purchases the same customers make when shopping without a coupon. The standard permanent income or lifecycle theory of consumption predicts that grocery spending will be unaffected by the use of a $10-off coupon, while a simple mental... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

02 Sep 2002
Research & Ideas

The Role of Government When All Else Fails

extremely powerful—function of government. Now, you also asked about the future. One thing I've learned is that historians very often get themselves into trouble when they start trying to predict the future. So I'm not going to try to do... View Details

Keywords: by Laura Linard

October 2024
Teaching Plan

Teamworks: Tackling a Forecasting Fumble

By: Lou Shipley and Stacy Straaberg

In late March 2018, Teamworks CEO Zach Maurides learned Q1 2018 sales were at risk for a large forecasting miss. Founded in 2004, Teamworks’s software application assisted support staff in messaging, scheduling, and sharing documents with collegiate and professional... View Details

Keywords: Acquisition; Business Growth and Maturation; Communication Strategy; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Business Cycles; Technological Innovation; Sports; Growth and Development Strategy; Resource Allocation; Marketing; Sales; Business Strategy; Expansion; Sports Industry; Technology Industry; United States; North Carolina

Citation

05 Sep 2012
First Look

First Look: September 5

Carliss Y. Baldwin Abstract Our paper tests a key prediction of property rights theory, specifically, that agents will respond to marginal incentives embedded in property rights when making non-contractible, revenue-enhancing investments... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

03 Mar 2008
First Look

First Look: March 4, 2008

the model, we find that (i) the supply of long- relative to short-term bonds is positively related to the term spread, (ii) supply predicts positively long-term bonds' excess returns even after controlling for the term spread and the... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

14 Mar 2011
Research & Ideas

Keeping Credit Flowing to Consumers in Need

Americans borrow to live. Weekly paychecks cannot cover the predictable but sporadic need for increased spending-for instance, medication for a sick child or new brakes for an old car. The challenge is to avoid the temptation of... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Financial Services; Construction; Real Estate

21 Jun 2021
Blog Post

Celebrating the Past, Crafting the Future Part 1: HBS/HKS Faculty Reflections

fortunate the HBS | HKS Joint Degree Program, which was given birth in a tumultuous year, has thrived to reach this milestone year. Although it is impossible to predict what the next decade will hold for us, the ongoing commitment and... View Details

09 Oct 2019
Research & Ideas

For Better Ideas, Bring the Right People to the Brainstorm

innovators conversing with extroverts generate much better ideas Open innovators collaborating with introverts generate worse ideas, on average The traits of both innovators and their collaborators matter in predicting who will generate... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding

15 Apr 2013
Research & Ideas

Solving the Search vs. Display Advertising Quandary

clicked on search ads and became customers—with an increase of 5 million display ad impressions resulting in an additional 20 checking account applications through search after about five weeks. Based on that finding, one might predict... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Advertising

28 Jan 2013
Research & Ideas

Helping Yelp Create More Accurate Reviews

Some reviewers are always critical and leave worse reviews on average; others might always be positive, fawning over every restaurant's spaghetti or tuna sub. Still others are erratic, showing little predictability in how they review.... View Details

Keywords: by Kim Girard; Food & Beverage

08 Jun 2011
Lessons from the Classroom

Twenty-first Century Skill: Trading Carbon Credits

Cap and trade has become an increasingly popular mechanism used by governments to induce green behavior among corporate polluters, with news emerging almost daily. Just recently New Jersey Governor Chris Christie withdrew his state from the Regional Greenhouse Gas... View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Energy; Utilities

07 Feb 2005
What Do You Think?

If You Blink, Will You Miss?

extensive research, observation, and practice. For example, a marriage counselor, by breaking down films of couples talking with each other, carefully categorizing behavior patterns, and doing this for years, has prepared himself (and trained others) to View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett

21 Jun 2004
Research & Ideas

Racial Diversity Pays Off

Two books helped to spark the trend. The first, Workforce 2000: Work and Workers for the Twenty-First Century, by William B. Johnstone and Arnold E. Packer, boldly predicted that by the year 2000 only 15 percent of the workforce would be... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace

16 Jun 2003
Research & Ideas

Researchers Contribute Globalization of Markets Papers

Twenty years has provided time to judge the success or failure of Theodore Levitt's predictions of a global economy populated by standardized products and marketing approaches. For the colloquium, a number of Harvard Business School and... View Details

Keywords: by Working Knowledge editors

21 Mar 2024
Blog Post

IFC India: Renewable Energy - CleanMax

cleanings per month to ensure optimal performance of its solar site. On other sites they perform four to five cleanings a month, dependent on the level of soiling and dusting on the location. They separate their maintenance activities into reactive, preventative, and... View Details

Student-Profile

Do Yoon Kim

of this was theoretical work on the convergence of beliefs, wisdom of the crowds, and predicting collective action, but it was exciting theoretical work! This is what initially got me interested in networks of people, especially how... View Details

Web

Marketing AI Guidelines | About

Marketing AI Guidelines Context Artificial Intelligence (AI) is having a significant impact on the marketing discipline in several areas including content creation, image generation/modification, chatbots, marketing automation, personalization, View Details

Publications