Prediction - Publications - Faculty & Research

February 2024
Teaching Note

AB InBev: Brewing Up Forecasts during COVID-19

Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 224-020. In July 2021, the CEO of AB InBev's European operations and his team strategized to position the company for success post-pandemic. As the world's largest beer company, boasting over 500 brands, revenue of $46 billion, and a... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting; Investor Relations; Beverage Industry; Corporate Finance; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Health Pandemics; Analytics and Data Science; Digital Transformation; Crisis Management; Business Model; Food and Beverage Industry; United States; Europe

Citation

Purchase

June 2018 (Revised October 2018)
Teaching Note

Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (A), (B), and (C)

By: Marco Di Maggio and Benjamin C. Esty

Teaching Note for HBS Nos. 218-095, 218-096, and 218-116. View Details

Citation

Purchase

07 Aug 2012
First Look

First Look: August 7

research has consistently demonstrated the benefits of multicultural experience for individual-level creativity, its potential advantages for collective creativity in culturally diverse teams have yet to be explored. We predicted that... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

April 2005
Article

The Geography of Equity Analysis

By: Christopher J. Malloy

I provide evidence that geographically proximate analysts are more accurate than other analysts. Stock returns immediately surrounding forecast revisions suggest that local analysts impact prices more than other analysts. These effects are strongest for firms located... View Details

Keywords: Geographic Location; Stocks; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Price; Performance; Equity; Information; Prejudice and Bias; Agency Theory

Citation

Find at Harvard

Read Now

June 2000 (Revised March 2002)
Teaching Note

Iridium LLC TN

By: Benjamin C. Esty

Teaching Note for (9-200-039). View Details

Keywords: Financing and Loans; Risk and Uncertainty; Information Technology; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Financial Strategy; Performance; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Demand and Consumers; Communications Industry

Citation

Purchase

April 1998
Case

Jim Sharpe: Extrusion Technology, Inc. (C)

By: H. Kent Bowen and Barbara Feinberg

Jim Sharpe, president of Extrusion Technology, describes the first five years at the aluminum extrusion company he purchased. He begins with day one as he introduced himself to the employees in 1987 and assured them of the company's continuity. Over the next two years,... View Details

Keywords: Acquisition; Forecasting and Prediction; Cost Management; Profit; Innovation Strategy; Marketing Strategy; Problems and Challenges; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Mining Industry

Citation

Educators

Purchase

15 May 2020
Research & Ideas

Find Your Pragmatic Path through Radical Uncertainty

willing to bear to reopen the economy. No one can predict with any certainty how shopping patterns and consumer tastes will change. No one can be sure when people will feel safe enough to travel so that the hotels, airlines, restaurants,... View Details

Keywords: by Howard Stevenson, Eugene B. Kogan, and Shirley Spence

16 Jun 2015
First Look

First Look: June 16, 2015

Abstract—Under fairly general assumptions, expected stock returns are a linear combination of two firm fundamentals-book-to-market ratio and return on equity. This parsimonious relation is pervasive, producing expected return proxies (ERP) that View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

27 Dec 2015
Research & Ideas

The Most Popular Stories and Research Papers of 2015

Strategy, Especially in a Job Interview (25,829) While humblebragging runs rampant on Twitter, it's a lousy self-promotion tactic that usually backfires according to recent research by Ovul Sezer, Francesca Gino, and Michael Norton. How to View Details

22 Nov 2011
First Look

First Look: November 22

entrepreneurship relative to male entrepreneurship. We find evidence of agglomeration economies in both sectors, where higher female ownership among incumbent businesses within a district-industry predicts that a greater share of... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

05 May 2009
First Look

First Look: May 5, 2009

foreign countries, the model predicts growth in the number of source-country firms engaging in foreign direct investment, growth in the size of affiliates that are active in reforming countries both before and after the tariff reduction,... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

21 Jul 2009
First Look

First Look: July 21

9001 Quality Management System standard predicts changes in organizational outcomes such as profits. This is the first large-scale study to explore how employee outcomes such as employment, earnings, and health and safety change when... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

12 May 2003
Research & Ideas

How Hot is the “Hot Spot” Business?

profits later" pitch. Dayton said venture money would flow once the business opportunities become apparent, but deals will be for hundreds of thousands of dollars, not millions. Predictions For Broadband: 2008 In another panel... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne & Martha Lagace; Technology; Communications; Telecommunications

April 1991 (Revised December 1997)
Case

Southland Corp. (A)

By: Richard S. Ruback

Examines the Thompson's $4.9 billion leveraged buyout of the Southland Corp. in 1987. As the original founders of Southland, the Thompsons were concerned about losing control over the company upon learning of the Belzberg family's acquiring interest. The teaching... View Details

Keywords: Leveraged Buyouts; Governance Controls; Corporate Governance; Bids and Bidding; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Strategy; Cash Flow

Citation

Educators

Purchase

12 Oct 1999
Research & Ideas

The Intellectual Underpinnings of Entrepreneurial Management

only discern the psychological profile of an entrepreneur and then hold an individual up against that profile, one could predict whether that individual has the pontential to become an entrepreneur, or is one already. Yet none of the... View Details

Keywords: by Howard H. Stevenson & Teresa M. Amabile

13 Jul 2015
Research & Ideas

‘Humblebragging’ is a Bad Strategy, Especially in a Job Interview

negative actions? In the final study, the researchers investigated whether people treat humblebraggers worse than they treat braggers. "We predicted that people would allocate less money to humblebraggers than to braggers when given $5 to... View Details

Keywords: by Carmen Nobel

26 Aug 2014
First Look

First Look: August 26

dancing. One hundred and fifty nine middle-class children from diverse backgrounds in a northeastern USA metropolitan area completed the study in 2011. The development of ToM is associated with decreases in self-esteem, which in turn View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

24 Sep 2007
Research & Ideas

The FDA: What Will the Next 100 Years Bring?

and complicated than it is today. So I would say the primary impact of the FDA over the past century has been to make predictable the safety of food, drugs, cosmetics, and other products regulated by the agency. As consumers we don't have... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Biotechnology; Consumer Products; Food & Beverage; Health

11 Mar 2014
First Look

First Look: March 11

predicted support for raising the minimum wage, suggesting that attitudes toward inequality may not translate into preferences for redistributive policies. Publisher's link:... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne