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  • 02 Apr 2013
  • First Look

First Look: April 2

ratio and ROE. Applying the model to the cross-section of firms, we find that expected returns and expected profitability are highly persistent and time varying. Our fundamentals-implied estimates of expected returns across time horizons exhibit strong return View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 07 Feb 2012
  • First Look

First Look: February 7

hypothesis predicts that these different organizational forms will produce products with distinctly different architectures. Specifically, loosely coupled organizations will develop more modular designs than tightly coupled organizations.... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Jun 2007
  • First Look

First Look: June 19, 2007

rental customers over a period of four months. We predict and find that people are more likely to rent DVDs in one order and return them in the reverse order when should DVDs (e.g., documentaries) are rented before want DVDs (e.g., action... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Dec 2018
  • News

Averting Crisis

time, researchers would be able to predict financial vulnerability. Enter the BFFS project, which focuses on five areas: regulation and monetary policy, measuring bubbles, extrapolation and neglected risks, the size and structure of the... View Details
  • 01 Jun 2016
  • News

Alumni and Faculty Books for June 2016

Alumni Books The Founder’s Mentality: How to Overcome the Predictable Crises of Growth by James Allen (MBA 1989) and Chris Zook (Harvard Business Review Press) Based on their decade-long study of companies in more than 40 countries, the... View Details
  • 20 Nov 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, November 20, 2018

the relevance of adjustments increases with issuers' default risk, as evidenced by adjustments being more predictive of issuer default and offering yields and an increased market reaction to adjustment changes. For defaulting issuers,... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 27 May 2014
  • First Look

First Look: May 27

forecasts of holding period returns strongly predict the cross section of future returns up to three years ahead. We document a highly significant predictive pooled regression slope for future quarterly... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • April 2012
  • Article

Bouncing Out of the Banking System: An Empirical Analysis of Involuntary Bank Account Closures

By: Dennis Campbell, F. Asis Martinez-Jerez and Peter Tufano
Using a new database, we document the factors that relate to the extent of involuntary consumer bank account closure resulting from excessive overdraft activity. Consumers who have accounts involuntarily closed for overdraft activity may have limited or no access to... View Details
Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Customers; Social Issues; Outcome or Result; Budgets and Budgeting; Forecasting and Prediction; Competition; Banks and Banking; Policy; Personal Characteristics; Credit; Employment; United States
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  • September 2011
  • Supplement

TopCoder (B)

By: Karim R. Lakhani, Eric Lonstein and Stephanie Pokrywa
Metrology plays a key role in the manufacture of mechanical components. Traditionally it is used extensively in a pre-process stage where a manufacturer does process planning, design, and ramp-up, and in post-process off-line inspection to establish proof of quality.... View Details
Keywords: Industry Growth; Forecasting and Prediction; Change Management; Production; Machinery and Machining; Planning; Quality; Competition; Diversification; Technology Adoption; Measurement and Metrics; Product Design; Manufacturing Industry
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  • 26 Jan 2016
  • First Look

January 26, 2016

Political corruption governs the efficiency with which tax revenues are translated into infrastructure. The model predicts an inverted-U relationship between taxation and growth, with corruption reducing the optimal taxation level. We... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • April 1993 (Revised June 1994)
  • Supplement

MathSoft, Inc. (B)

By: V. Kasturi Rangan
Describes the president's decision regarding MathSoft's marketing channels and communications methods, and the company's sales results during the next five quarters. The (A) case market response model is also updated. View Details
Keywords: Communication Technology; Forecasting and Prediction; Curriculum and Courses; Learning; Knowledge Sharing; Growth and Development Strategy; Marketing Channels; Education Industry
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  • 2016
  • Book

Innovation Equity: Assessing and Managing the Monetary Value of New Products and Services

By: Elie Ofek, Eitan Muller and Barak Libai
This book bridges the gap between what academics know, and what innovation stakeholders—from managers, to investors, to analysts, to consumers—need to know about how new products and services are expected to perform in the marketplace. The book develops a compelling... View Details
Keywords: Innovation; Technology Diffusion; New Products; Customer Lifetime Value; Monetization Strategy; Social Influence; Innovation Adoption; Forecasting Demand; Commercialization; Marketing Strategy; Practice; Customer Value and Value Chain; Research; Innovation and Management; Technology Adoption; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Development
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  • Fast Answer

Sustainability in the Transportation Industry

converging with dramatic technological advances. Although these changes – including shared mobility and automation – are rapidly altering the mobility landscape, predictions about the future of transportation are complex,... View Details
  • 01 Dec 1997
  • News

Fall Reunions Stimulate and Revitalize

Reunion giving. In addition to attending panels such as "Managing Marketspace Interfaces on the Internet and Beyond," "Social Entrepreneurs in Action," and "The Power of Predictability in Creating Your Future," reunion classes also got a... View Details
  • 20 Oct 2015
  • Blog Post

Alumni: Where Are They Now? Featuring Bryan Guerra...

disruption, and specifically, how these concepts can help businesses and industries grow and evolve. Looking back at where I was when I started at HBS, just three years ago, versus where I am today, I never would have predicted that I'd... View Details
Keywords: Technology
  • 16 Nov 2016
  • Blog Post

My HBS Journey

gave the class day speech at graduation in front of thousands of people. Most surprisingly, I learnt how to be truly happy, after realizing that many times happiness is a choice that only depends on you—and not on how perfectly everything is turning out to be in your... View Details
  • February 2024
  • Teaching Note

Accelerating with Caution: Forecasting and Managing birddogs' Growth (A) and (B)

By: Mark Egan
Teaching Note for HBS Case Nos. 224-023 and 224-024. As 2017 was drawing to a close, birddogs’ founder and CEO, Peter Baldwin, was working with his CFO Jack Sullivan to prepare for 2018. A nascent direct-to-consumer apparel brand, birddogs had carved its niche in men’s... View Details
Keywords: Inventory Management; Forecasting Demand; Financial Constraints; Apparel; Startups; Corporate Finance; Forecasting and Prediction; Working Capital; Financing and Loans; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Demand and Consumers; Apparel and Accessories Industry; United States
Related
  • 01 Mar 2004
  • What Do You Think?

Are Customer Loyalty Initiatives Worth the Investment?

concludes that even though many customer loyalty initiatives are poorly thought out or implemented: 1) "Some customers are inherently predictable and loyal, no matter what company they're doing business with. They simply prefer... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 12 Dec 2022
  • Research & Ideas

Buy-In from Black Patients Suffers When Drug Trials Don’t Include Them

model for how doctors and their patients decide whether to adopt new medical technology. A key insight of that model Schwartzstein developed is “similarity-based extrapolation”—the notion that people take away more information from data that looks like them. The model... View Details
Keywords: by Scott Van Voorhis; Pharmaceutical; Health
  • 01 Sep 2017
  • News

Read All About It: Journalism Can Be Profitable

predicted the demise of books with the advent of e-readers, but people are still buying printed books. Print isn’t going to disappear in the near future. + ONLINE web-only content Why didn’t newspaper groups innovate more rapidly in the... View Details
Keywords: April White; New York Times; newspapers; Google; Wirecutter; social media; Facebook; News, Library, Internet, and Other Services; Information