Prediction - Publications - Faculty & Research

20 Jun 2017
First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, June 20

“waver” over time in the relative weight they put on them. The model predicts that good news about fundamentals can trigger large price bubbles. We analyze the patterns of cash-flow news that generate the largest bubbles, the reasons why... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

05 Nov 2014
What Do You Think?

Are We Entering an Era of Neuromanagement?

businesses." The predominant view was that the practice at present has many limitations. Ann Romaine-Adelstein commented, "I doubt we can predict with validity from a scan yet who will work hard, be innovative or exercise great... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett

15 Sep 2016
Research & Ideas

Political Dysfunction Makes America Less Competitive

and 20 percent predict the situation won’t change. The Harvard researchers are hoping this report might help spur Washington to get its act together. “We think this is an American issue, not a Republican issue or a Democrat issue or a... View Details

Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman

09 Aug 2017
Blog Post

"A Balance Between Autonomy and Resources to Help Me Learn."

addition, Jon is responsible for two research projects, one that looks into emission-free hydrogen production through wind generation, and another that predicts corporate demand for renewable energy based on a variety of corporate goals... View Details

Keywords: Manufacturing

Student-Profile

Dafna Bearson

phenomena—and make meaningful predictions in rapidly changing global markets. In particular, Dafna gravitated toward questions related to the challenges new automation and digital technologies pose to job security and businesses.... View Details

28 Jan 2014
First Look

First Look: January 28

predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men who defined this first wave of economic fortune tellers, men such as Roger Babson, Irving Fisher, John Moody, C. J.... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

January 2025
Case

North Forty: Managing Liquidity Through Change

By: Luis M. Viceira and Brad Towne

This case explores the interaction between spending and investment decisions at a family office, specifically the family office of Jeff and Tricia Raikes, with special emphasis on the management of spending, portfolio investments, and asset liquidity in the presence of... View Details

Keywords: Family Office; Forecasting and Prediction; Asset Management; Financial Liquidity; Financial Strategy; Investment Portfolio; Spending; Planning

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February 2002 (Revised March 2003)
Case

Casuarinas Educational Corporation

By: Michael J. Roberts, Howard H. Stevenson and Matthew C. Leib

Casuarinas has developed a very successful elementary, now secondary, school based on excellence in teaching, service, and multilingual education. Peru lacks similar high-quality post-secondary institutions. This case focuses on the potential entry of Casuarinas into... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Higher Education; Entrepreneurship; Management; Market Entry and Exit; Planning; Competitive Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Education Industry; Peru

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June 2018
Supplement

Valuing Snap After the IPO Quiet Period (C)

By: Marco Di Maggio, Benjamin C. Esty and Gregory Saldutte

Analyzes Snap’s value and analyst recommendations following the events described in the (B) case. View Details

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2013
Chapter

Behavioral Corporate Finance: A Current Survey

By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler

We survey the theory and evidence of behavioral corporate finance, which generally takes one of two approaches. The market timing and catering approach views managerial financing and investment decisions as rational managerial responses to securities mispricing. The... View Details

Keywords: Managerial Roles; Theory; Corporate Finance; Financial Management; Investment; Market Timing; Behavioral Finance; Prejudice and Bias; Economics; Forecasting and Prediction

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April 2001
Supplement

Acer America: Development of the Aspire

By: Christopher A. Bartlett

Consists of five segments. Segment 1 shows Culver and Pai discussing the tensions between Taiwan and the United States and the resulting performance problems with Aspire; Segment 2 features Culver and Shih describing the changes Acer made as a result of the problems... View Details

Keywords: Digital Marketing; Transformation; Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing Strategy; Outcome or Result; Problems and Challenges; Information Infrastructure; Internet and the Web; Computer Industry; Taiwan; United States

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07 Aug 2012
First Look

First Look: August 7

research has consistently demonstrated the benefits of multicultural experience for individual-level creativity, its potential advantages for collective creativity in culturally diverse teams have yet to be explored. We predicted that... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

February 2024
Teaching Note

Accelerating with Caution: Forecasting and Managing birddogs' Growth (A) and (B)

By: Mark Egan

Teaching Note for HBS Case Nos. 224-023 and 224-024. As 2017 was drawing to a close, birddogs’ founder and CEO, Peter Baldwin, was working with his CFO Jack Sullivan to prepare for 2018. A nascent direct-to-consumer apparel brand, birddogs had carved its niche in men’s... View Details

Keywords: Inventory Management; Forecasting Demand; Financial Constraints; Apparel; Startups; Corporate Finance; Forecasting and Prediction; Working Capital; Financing and Loans; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Demand and Consumers; Apparel and Accessories Industry; United States

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24 Oct 2024
Research & Ideas

Charting the US-China Trade War: What Does 'Made in Vietnam' Mean?

Voters? Not Really, Except for One Election 2024: Why Demographics Won't Predict the Next President Feedback or ideas to share? Email the Working Knowledge team at hbswk@hbs.edu. Image credit: HBSWK, with assets from AdobeStock/moofushi... View Details

Keywords: by Ana Elena Azpúrua; Manufacturing; Shipping

06 Oct 2022
News

On the Road to Recovery

prosper,” Moreno recalls. He was right, but Moreno, who became part owner and CEO of Nightingale Nurses, could not have predicted the dramatic ups and downs of the industry, from the 2008 economic crisis to the passage of the Affordable... View Details

Keywords: Hospitals; Health, Social Assistance; Nursing and Residential Care Facilities; Health, Social Assistance

01 Dec 2020
News

Steady as She Goes

for the community was a profitable strategy: The company saw a 7.1 percent year-over-year increase in retail profits for the fiscal year that ended in June. Weckert isn’t going to predict that the coming year will bring the stability she... View Details

Keywords: April White; COVID-19; change management; leadership; women; grocery stores; Food and Beverage Stores; Retail Trade

01 Oct 2001
News

Calling the Tune: Negotiation as an Improvisational Dance

parties to improvise as they go along, reacting to each other's responses and actions. "The way the negotiation starts will drive the interaction throughout," she said. "If the parties are in sync with one another, the interaction evolves in a View Details

Keywords: Margie Kelley; Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools; Educational Services

11 Oct 2024
Research & Ideas

How AI Could Ease the Refugee Crisis and Bring New Talent to Businesses

algorithms dramatically outperformed existing assignment methods—improving on the status quo by up to 50 percent with respect to predicted employment—while the other successfully placed refugees in a balanced way across available host... View Details

Keywords: by Ben Rand; Technology; Information Technology

21 May 2019
News

Confronting the Future of Climate Change in the Midwest

availability in the Midwest and beyond. A shift in food production and water predictability On a regional level, an increase of warmer weather and the availability of fresh water from the Great Lakes has some debating the benefits, David... View Details

Keywords: Agriculture

June 2011
Case

Steering Monetary Policy Through Unprecedented Crises

By: David Moss and Cole Bolton

In early April 2008, economic conditions in Europe appeared to be deteriorating on almost all fronts: sales figures were falling, business and consumer confidence were slumping, forecasts for European growth were being revised downward, and inflation was rising. In... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Institutions; Interest Rates; Policy

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