Kris Johnson Ferreira
Edgerley Family Associate Professor of Business Administration
Edgerley Family Associate Professor of Business Administration
Kris Ferreira is the Edgerley Family Associate Professor of Business Administration in the Technology and Operations Management (TOM) Unit. She teaches the Supply Chain Management course in the MBA elective curriculum and analytics in numerous Executive Education programs.
Much of Professor Ferreira’s research has focused on how retailers can use algorithms to make better revenue management decisions, including pricing, product display, and assortment planning. She has partnered with online retailers to design new machine learning and optimization algorithms to predict consumer demand and improve decision making, providing theoretical, numerical, and/or experimental evidence that each algorithm performs well in practice. Her work has been awarded or named a finalist for the M&SOM Best Paper Award (twice), M&SOM Best Operations Management Paper in Operations Research Award, M&SOM Practice-Based Research Award, INFORMS Revenue Management & Pricing Section Practice Award (twice), and INFORMS Innovative Applications in Analytics Award.
Through her research and experiences, Professor Ferreira has recognized that many algorithms are deployed as decision support tools, providing recommendations to employees to consider in their decision making. This is for good reason: often employees have some knowledge or intuition that the algorithm either doesn’t have access to or does a poor job of incorporating. Ideally, the employee could use their own knowledge to make improvements on the algorithm’s recommendation. However, in practice this has proven to be difficult. Employees equipped with algorithmic recommendations often make errors when trying to combine their intuition with the algorithm; they either discount or adhere to the algorithm too much. In her current line of research, Professor Ferreira seeks to understand the root causes underlying this poor use of algorithmic recommendations and provide advice to managers as to how the potential of this human-algorithm collaboration might be better realized. Her work has been awarded or named a finalist for the POMS Junior Scholar Paper Competition Prize from the College of Behavioral Operations as well as the INFORMS Best Working Paper Award from the Behavioral Operations Management Division.
Professor Ferreira earned her PhD in operations research at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and her BS in industrial and systems engineering at the Georgia Institute of Technology, where she was inducted into the Council of Outstanding Young Engineering Alumni in 2023. Before entering graduate school, she was a supply chain consultant for Alvarez & Marsal and a project manager for UPS Supply Chain Solutions.
- Journal Articles
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- Balakrishnan, Maya, Kris Ferreira, and Jordan Tong. "Human-Algorithm Collaboration with Private Information: Naïve Advice Weighting Behavior and Mitigation." Management Science (forthcoming). View Details
- Aouad, Ali, Adam Elmachtoub, Kris J. Ferreira, and Ryan McNellis. "Market Segmentation Trees." Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 25, no. 2 (March–April 2023): 648–667. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris, and Emily Mower. "Demand Learning and Pricing for Varying Assortments." Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 25, no. 4 (July–August 2023): 1227–1244. (Finalist, Practice-Based Research Competition, MSOM (2021) and Finalist, Revenue Management & Pricing Section Practice Award, INFORMS (2019).) View Details
- Ferreira, Kris, Sunanda Parthasarathy, and Shreyas Sekar. "Learning to Rank an Assortment of Products." Management Science 68, no. 3 (March 2022): 1828–1848. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris J., and Joel Goh. "Assortment Rotation and the Value of Concealment." Management Science 67, no. 3 (March 2021): 1489–1507. View Details
- Ngwe, Donald, Kris J. Ferreira, and Thales Teixeira. "The Impact of Increasing Search Frictions on Online Shopping Behavior: Evidence from a Field Experiment." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 56, no. 6 (December 2019): 944–959. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris J., David Simchi-Levi, and He Wang. "Online Network Revenue Management Using Thompson Sampling." Operations Research 66, no. 6 (November–December 2018): 1586–1602. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris J., Bin Hong Alex Lee, and David Simchi-Levi. "Analytics for an Online Retailer: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization." Manufacturing & Service Operations Management 18, no. 1 (Winter 2016): 69–88. View Details
- Johnson, Kris, David Simchi-Levi, and Peng Sun. "Analyzing Scrip Systems." Operations Research 62, no. 3 (May–June 2014): 524–534. View Details
- Working Papers
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- DosSantos DiSorbo, Matthew, and Kris Ferreira. "Warnings and Endorsements: Improving Human-AI Collaboration Under Covariate Shift." Working Paper, February 2024. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris J., Joel Goh, and Ehsan Valavi. "Intermediation in the Supply of Agricultural Products in Developing Economies." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 18-033, October 2017. View Details
- Cases and Teaching Materials
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- Ferreira, Kris, Christopher Thomas Ryan, and Sarah Mehta. "ReUp Education: Can AI Help Learners Return to College?" Harvard Business School Case 624-007, October 2023. (Revised June 2024.) View Details
- Ferreira, Kris. "JOANN: Joannalytics Inventory Allocation Tool." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 622-067, March 2022. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris. "Drizly: Managing Supply and Demand through Disruption." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 622-066, October 2021. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris, Joel Goh, and Dawn H. Lau. "GHN and AhaMove: Last-Mile Delivery in Vietnam." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 622-010, September 2021. (Revised March 2022.) View Details
- Ferreira, Kris. "Flashion: Art vs. Science in Fashion Retailing." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 622-006, July 2021. (Revised March 2022.) View Details
- Ferreira, Kris, Kym Lew Nelson, Carin-Isabel Knoop, and Sarah Mehta. "Diversifying P&G's Supplier Base (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 622-029, October 2021. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris, Kym Lew Nelson, Carin-Isabel Knoop, and Sarah Mehta. "Diversifying P&G's Supplier Base (A)." Harvard Business School Case 622-008, October 2021. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris. "Flashion: Art vs. Science in Fashion Retailing." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 621-712, June 2021. View Details
- Ferreira, Kris. "Drizly: Managing Supply and Demand through Disruption." Harvard Business School Case 621-097, February 2021. View Details
- Toffel, Michael W., Natalie Epstein, Kris Ferreira, and Yael Grushka-Cockayne. "Assessing Prediction Accuracy of Machine Learning Models." Harvard Business School Technical Note 621-045, August 2020. (Revised September 2020.) View Details
- Ferreira, Kris, and Srikanth Jagabathula. "JOANN: Joannalytics Inventory Allocation Tool." Harvard Business School Case 621-055, September 2020. (Revised March 2022.) View Details
- Ferreira, Kris, Joel Goh, Dawn Lau, and Tuan Phan. "GHN and AhaMove: Last-Mile Delivery in Vietnam." Harvard Business School Case 619-051, June 2019. (Revised September 2021.) View Details
- Ferreira, Kris, and Karim R. Lakhani. "Flashion: Art vs. Science in Fashion Retailing." Harvard Business School Case 617-059, March 2017. (Revised March 2022.) View Details
- Research Summary
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Professor Ferreira's research primarily focuses on how retailers can use algorithms to make better revenue management decisions, including pricing, product display, and assortment planning. In the retail industry, anticipating consumer demand is arguably one of the biggest challenges for a retailer's decision making. Errors in demand predictions typically lead to poor revenue management decisions, e.g., prices being set too high or too low, leading to lost profit from either excess inventory or stock-outs. Over the last decade, with the growing amount of data retailers capture, retailers are now considering how they can use these data to help predict demand and improve revenue management decisions. Professor Ferreira develops new machine learning and optimization algorithms to predict consumer demand and improve decision making, with theoretical, numerical, and/or experimental evidence that each algorithm performs well in practice. Taken together, her work demonstrates how retailers can achieve great benefits from using data and algorithms to help them make key revenue management decisions. In addition to her algorithmic work, Professor Ferreira also conducts research that develops and analyzes mathematical models that challenge the common belief held by managers at many e-commerce companies that they should make it as easy as possible for customers to search their catalog of products and make purchases. Her work has led to two key insights. First, online retailers may benefit from making it more difficult for customers to find their most preferred products. Second, limiting purchases in an online marketplace can improve system-wide customer experience and engagement. These findings offer insights for both retailers engaging in e-commerce as well as for digital platforms providing online marketplaces. By engaging with many managers across different industries, Professor Ferreira has been exposed to how they are thinking about using data and algorithms to drive decision making. Many managers recognize that algorithms are able to process significantly more data than humans, uncovering important relationships that drive predictions and making recommendations that would be difficult for humans to identify. That said, many managers also understand that data and algorithms cannot capture all of the nuances of a decision-making problem, and that employees often have additional information or contextual knowledge that they should consider in tandem with algorithmic recommendations when making decisions. In Professor Ferreira's newest line of research, she focuses on a critical challenge faced by many managers: employees equipped with algorithmic recommendations to aid their decision making often make errors by either discounting or adhering to algorithmic recommendations when they should not do so. This is a big problem: if users do not effectively incorporate data and algorithms in their decision making, the organization will not realize the algorithms' full potential or limitations. Professor Ferreira seeks to understand the root causes underlying this poor use of algorithmic recommendations and provide advice to managers as to how the potential of those algorithms might be better realized.
- Teaching
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The Supply Chain Management (SCM) course builds on aspects of the first-year Technology and Operations Management (RC TOM) course. However, whereas RC TOM focuses primarily on developing and producing products and services, SCM emphasizes managing product availability, especially in the context of rapid product proliferation, short product life cycles, and global networks of suppliers and customers. Hence, topics not examined in RC TOM such as distribution economics, inventory management, demand forecasting, and supply chain design are explored in depth in SCM.
SCM also differs from RC TOM in that RC TOM concentrates primarily on material and information flows within an organization, whereas SCM focuses on managing material and information flows across both functional and organizational boundaries. SCM emphasizes the "general manager’s perspective" in managing supply chains. Cases in the course illustrate that barriers to integrating supply chains often relate to managerial issues (e.g., misaligned incentives or change-management challenges) and operational execution problems (e.g., inaccurate inventory records) that fall squarely in the domain of the general manager. The course makes clear that suitable information technology and appropriate use of analytical tools are necessary, but by no means sufficient, requirements for effective supply chain management.
- Awards & Honors
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"Warnings and Endorsements: Improving Human-AI Collaboration Under Covariate Shift" with Matthew DosSantos DiSorbo was awarded the 2024 Junior Scholar Paper Competition Prize from the College of Behavioral Operations at the Production and Operations Management Society (POMS).Runner up for the 2023 Best Working Paper Award from the Behavioral Operations Management Division of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) for “Improving Human-Algorithm Collaboration: Causes and Mitigation of Over- and Under-Adherence” with Maya Balakrishnan and Jordan Tong.“Improving Human-Algorithm Collaboration: Causes and Mitigation of Over- and Under-Adherence” with Maya Balakrishnan and Jordan Tong was awarded the 2023 Junior Scholar Paper Competition Prize from the College of Behavioral Operations at the Production and Operations Management Society (POMS).Inducted into the 2023 Council of Outstanding Young Engineering Alumni.Winner of the 2021 MSOM Best Operations Management Paper in Operations Research from the Manufacturing & Service Operations Management Society (MSOM) with David Simchi-Levi and He Wang for "Online Network Revenue Management Using Thompson Sampling" (2018).Finalist in the 2021 Manufacturing & Service Operations Management Society (MSOM) Practice Based Research Competition with Emily Mower for "Demand Learning and Pricing for Varying Assortments."Finalist for the 2018 and 2019 Manufacturing & Service Operations Management (M&SOM) Best Paper Award with Bin Hong Alex Lee and David Simchi-Levi for "Analytics for an Online Retailer: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization."Finalist for the 2019 Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) Revenue Management and Pricing Section Practice Award with Matt Capizzi, Arthur Hong, and Emily Mower, for "Demand Learning and Dynamic Pricing for Varying Assortments: Algorithm Development and Implementation at Zenrez."Second Place Winner of the 2015 Innovative Applications in Analytics Award from the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) with Bin Hong Alex Lee, David Simchi-Levi, Murali Narayanaswamy, Philip Roizin, and Jonathan Waggoner for "Analytics for an Online Retailer: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization."Finalist for the 2015 IBM Service Science Best Student Paper Award from the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) for "Online Network Revenue Management Using Thompson Sampling" (HBS Working Paper 16-031, September 2015) with He Wang, David Simchi-Levi.Winner of the 2014 Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) Revenue Management and Pricing Section Practice Award with Murali Narayanaswamy, Philip Roizin, Jonathan Waggoner, Bin Hong Alex Lee, and David Simchi-Levi for "Analytics for an Online Retailer: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization."Recipient of a 2013 Graduate Student Award for Excellence in Engineering Systems Teaching Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).
- Additional Information
- Areas of Interest
- In The News
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