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  • 25 Jul 2016
  • Working Paper Summaries

Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts: Can Private Forecasts Help?

Keywords: by Jeffrey A. Frankel and Jesse Schreger
  • 12 Jul 2016
  • First Look

July 12, 2016

Calibrating the model to data from the Financial Accounts of the U.S., the optimal capital requirement is around 20%. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=51305 Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts: Can Private Forecasts Help? By:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 2016
  • Working Paper

Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts: Can Private Forecasts Help?

By: Jeffrey A. Frankel and Jesse Schreger
Government forecasts of GDP growth and budget balances are generally more over optimistic than private sector forecasts. When official forecasts are especially optimistic relative to private forecasts ex ante, they are more likely also to be over optimistic relative to... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Macroeconomics
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  • 11 Oct 2016
  • First Look

October 11, 2016

Wenxin, and Jesse Schreger Abstract—Nominal debt provides consumption-smoothing benefits if it can be inflated away during recessions. However, we document empirically that... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Sep 2016
  • First Look

September 20, 2016

of Monetary Policy By: Du, Wenxin, Carolin E. Pflueger, and Jesse Schreger Abstract—Nominal debt provides consumption-smoothing benefits if it can be inflated away during... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 28 Aug 2012
  • First Look

First Look: August 28

Link between Non-financial and Financial Performance in One Space Authors: Robert G. Eccles, Jess Schulschenk, and George Serafeim Publication: In Making Investment Grade: The... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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