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  • 27 May 2011
  • Working Paper Summaries

An Empirical Decomposition of Risk and Liquidity in Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Government Bonds

Keywords: by Carolin E. Pflueger & Luis M. Viceira
  • 18 Oct 2013
  • Working Paper Summaries

Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks

Keywords: by John Y. Campbell, Carolin E. Pflueger & Luis M. Viceira
  • 18 Jun 2018
  • Working Paper Summaries

A Measure of Risk Appetite for the Macroeconomy

Keywords: by Carolin E. Pflueger, Emil Siriwardane, and Adi Sunderam
  • 07 Oct 2016
  • Working Paper Summaries

Sovereign Debt Portfolios, Bond Risks, and the Credibility of Monetary Policy

Keywords: by Wenxin Du, Carolin E. Pflueger, and Jesse Schreger
  • 30 Jun 2015
  • First Look

First Look: June 30, 2015

social auditors and for auditing firms. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=49303   Working Papers Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks By: Campbell, John Y., Carolin View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 08 Sep 2015
  • First Look

September 8, 2015

in press Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America Compared to Men, Women View Professional Advancement as Equally Attainable, but Less Desirable By: Gino, Francesca, Caroline A. Wilmuth, and Alison... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • August 2020
  • Article

Financial Market Risk Perceptions and the Macroeconomy

By: Carolin E. Pflueger, Emil Siriwardane and Adi Sunderam
We propose a novel measure of risk perceptions: the price of volatile stocks (PVS), defined as the book-to-market ratio of low-volatility stocks minus the book-to-market ratio of high-volatility stocks. PVS is high when perceived risk directly measured from surveys and... View Details
Keywords: Risk-centric Business Cycles; Cross-section Of Equities; Real Risk-free Rate; Real Investment; Financial Markets; Risk and Uncertainty; Perception; Investment
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  • 19 May 2015
  • First Look

First Look: May 19

Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks By: Campbell, John Y., Carolin E. Pflueger, and Luis M. Viceira Abstract—The exposure of U.S. Treasury bonds to the stock market has moved considerably over time. While it... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 25 Mar 2014
  • First Look

First Look: March 25

on those less familiar with the reporting standards. Publisher's link: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1430589   Working Papers Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks By: Campbell, John Y., Carolin View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 22 Mar 2011
  • First Look

First Look: March 22

explicitly considering counterfactual histories had the innovations never been invented or adopted. Download the paper: http://papers.nber.org/papers/w16780 An Empirical Decomposition of Risk and Liquidity in Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Government Bonds... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • Forthcoming
  • Article

Perceptions about Monetary Policy

By: Michael D. Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam
We estimate perceptions about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions varies substantially over time,... View Details
Keywords: Monetary Policy; Policy; Interest Rates; Perception; Economy; Forecasting and Prediction
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  • 10 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: January 10

person in need, which, in turn, increased intentions to help. Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis Authors:Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira Publication:Annual Review of Financial... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Sep 2016
  • First Look

September 20, 2016

of Monetary Policy By: Du, Wenxin, Carolin E. Pflueger, and Jesse Schreger Abstract—Nominal debt provides consumption-smoothing benefits if it can be inflated away during recessions. However, we document... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 8

such joins do and do not increase welfare. Download working paper: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1535448 Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks By: Campbell, John Y., Carolin E. Pflueger, and Luis M.... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Dec 2015
  • First Look

December 15, 2015

monetary rewards are at stake (Study 3). The tendency to infer dislike from dissimilarity is driven by a belief that others have a narrow and homogeneous range of preferences (Study 5). Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 2016
  • Chapter

Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity

By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
Keywords: Investment Return; Bonds; Forecasting and Prediction; Inflation and Deflation
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  • 2013
  • Working Paper

Appendix to 'Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity'

By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
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  • 2013
  • Working Paper

Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity

By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence... View Details
Keywords: Expectations Hypothesis; Term Structure; Real Interest Rate Risk; Inflation Risk; Inflation-Indexed Bonds; Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Liquidity; Bonds; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; United Kingdom; United States
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  • Article

Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis

By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
This paper empirically analyzes the Expectations Hypothesis (EH) in inflation-indexed (or real) bonds and in nominal bonds in the U.S. and in the U.K. We strongly reject the EH in inflation-indexed bonds and also confirm and update the existing evidence rejecting the... View Details
Keywords: TIPS; Breakeven Inflation; Return Predictability; Bond Risk Premia; Risk Management; Bonds; Financial Liquidity; Inflation and Deflation; United Kingdom; United States
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  • 11 Sep 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, September 11, 2018

for a broad array of service domains where operations are hidden and levels of consumer trust and engagement are faltering. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=45842 Macroeconomic Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks By: Campbell, John... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

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