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  • All HBS Web  (32)
    • Research  (24)
  • Faculty Publications  (13)

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  • All HBS Web  (32)
    • Research  (24)
  • Faculty Publications  (13)
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  • April 2004
  • Tutorial

Yield Curves and Bond Ratings Tutorial

By: William E. Fruhan Jr.
To preview this online product, Authorized Faculty can call our customer service department at 1-800-545-7685 or 617-783-7600. This online tutorial explains what drives the shape of the yield curve for traded debt securities. Also describes the metrics used by rating... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Investment Return; Financial Services Industry
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"Yield Curves and Bond Ratings Tutorial." Harvard Business School Tutorial 204-712, April 2004.
  • December 2023
  • Article

Intermediary Balance Sheets and the Treasury Yield Curve

By: Wenxin Du, Benjamin Hebert and Wenhao Li
We document a regime change in the Treasury market post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC): dealers switched from net short to net long Treasury bonds. We construct “net-long” and “net-short” curves that account for balance sheet and financing costs, and show that actual... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Financial Markets; Financial Crisis; Asset Pricing
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Du, Wenxin, Benjamin Hebert, and Wenhao Li. "Intermediary Balance Sheets and the Treasury Yield Curve." Art. 103722. Journal of Financial Economics 150, no. 3 (December 2023).
  • 2018
  • Working Paper

The Impact of Pensions and Insurance on Global Yield Curves

By: Robin Greenwood and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
We document a strong effect of pension and insurance company (P&I) assets on the long end of the yield curve. Using data from 26 countries, the yield spread between 30-year and 10-year government bond yields is negatively related to the ratio of pension assets (in... View Details
Keywords: Pension Funds; Investment Funds; Insurance; Assets; Interest Rates; Bonds
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Greenwood, Robin, and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen. "The Impact of Pensions and Insurance on Global Yield Curves." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 18-109, June 2018. (Revised December 2018.)
  • December 2004
  • Teaching Note

Yield Curves and Bond Ratings Tutorial (TN)

By: William E. Fruhan Jr.
Teaching Note to (9-204-712). View Details
Keywords: Internet and the Web; Education; Debt Securities; Service Operations; Measurement and Metrics; Performance Evaluation; Education Industry
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Fruhan, William E., Jr. "Yield Curves and Bond Ratings Tutorial (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 205-051, December 2004.
  • 26 Jun 2018
  • Working Paper Summaries

The Impact of Pensions and Insurance on Global Yield Curves

Keywords: by Robin Greenwood and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen; Insurance; Financial Services
  • 2022
  • Working Paper

The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates

By: Sebastian Hillenbrand
In this paper I document a striking fact: a narrow window around Fed meetings fully captures the secular decline in U.S. Treasury yields since 1980. By contrast, yield movements outside this window are transitory and wash out over time. This is surprising because the... View Details
Keywords: United States Treasury; Monetary Policy; Yield Curve; Central Banking; Interest Rates; Valuation
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Hillenbrand, Sebastian. "The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates." Working Paper, January 2022.
  • Article

New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: K. A. Froot
Keywords: Rational Expectations; Yield Curve; Interest Rates; Asset Pricing; Behavioral Finance
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Froot, K. A. "New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates." Journal of Finance 44, no. 2 (June 1989): 283–305. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2363, March 1990. Reprinted in Behavioral Finance, edited by H. Shefrin, part of the International Library of Critical Writings in Financial Economics, edited by R. Roll. London: Edward Elgar, 2000.)
  • 2016
  • Chapter

Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel Gregory Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos
We present a model of the yield curve in which the central bank can provide market participants with forward guidance on both future short rates and on future Quantitative Easing (QE) operations, which affect bond supply. Forward guidance on short rates works through... View Details
Keywords: Central Banking; Financial Markets
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Greenwood, Robin, Samuel Gregory Hanson, and Dimitri Vayanos. "Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply." In Monetary Policy through Asset Markets: Lessons from Unconventional Measures and Implications for an Integrated World, edited by Elias Albagli, Diego Saravia, and Michael Woodford, 11–62. Santiago: Banco Central de Chile, 2016. (Working Paper version: NBER Working Paper No. 21750 Here.)
  • November 2004 (Revised April 2005)
  • Case

Deutsche Bank: Finding Relative Value Trades

Deutsche Bank's Fixed Income Research Group is looking for yield curve trades to pitch to clients as well as for their proprietary trading desk. The group has data on recent bond trades and a proprietary term structure model, which they can use to develop trading... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Capital Markets; Investment Banking; Institutional Investing; Banking Industry; Germany
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Chacko, George C., Peter A. Hecht, Vincent Dessain, and Anders Sjoman. "Deutsche Bank: Finding Relative Value Trades." Harvard Business School Case 205-059, November 2004. (Revised April 2005.)
  • June 2012
  • Article

Comovement and Predictability Relationships Between Bonds and the Cross-Section of Stocks

By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
Government bonds comove more strongly with bond-like stocks: stocks of large, mature, low-volatility, profitable, dividend-paying firms that are neither high growth nor distressed. Variables derived from the yield curve that are already known to predict returns on... View Details
Keywords: Relationships; Bonds; Stocks; Investment Return; Cash Flow; Quality; Risk and Uncertainty; Forecasting and Prediction; Profit
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Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Comovement and Predictability Relationships Between Bonds and the Cross-Section of Stocks." Review of Asset Pricing Studies 2, no. 1 (June 2012): 57–87.
  • 08 Aug 2012
  • Working Paper Summaries

Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates

Keywords: by Samuel G. Hanson & Jeremy C. Stein
  • February 1986 (Revised September 1994)
  • Case

Travelers Mortgage Securities CMO

Describes a series of collateralized mortgage obligations offered by Travelers Insurance. Provides a general description of the life insurance business and the role of life insurance in the capital markets. Also describes a variety of mortgage related instruments,... View Details
Keywords: Insurance; Capital Markets; Mortgages; Insurance Industry; United States
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Mason, Scott P. "Travelers Mortgage Securities CMO." Harvard Business School Case 286-061, February 1986. (Revised September 1994.)
  • 2023
  • Article

Experimental Evaluation of Individualized Treatment Rules

By: Kosuke Imai and Michael Lingzhi Li
The increasing availability of individual-level data has led to numerous applications of individualized (or personalized) treatment rules (ITRs). Policy makers often wish to empirically evaluate ITRs and compare their relative performance before implementing them in a... View Details
Keywords: Causal Inference; Heterogeneous Treatment Effects; Precision Medicine; Uplift Modeling; Analytics and Data Science; AI and Machine Learning
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Imai, Kosuke, and Michael Lingzhi Li. "Experimental Evaluation of Individualized Treatment Rules." Journal of the American Statistical Association 118, no. 541 (2023): 242–256.
  • 23 Jan 2013
  • Working Paper Summaries

Cost of Capital Dynamics Implied by Firm Fundamentals

Keywords: by Matthew Lyle & Charles C.Y. Wang
  • 26 Jun 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, June 26, 2018

prevalent Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=47648 The Impact of Pensions and Insurance on Global Yield Curves By: Greenwood, Robin, and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 29 Jan 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, January 29, 2019

Our results have important implications for understanding how feedback shapes gender gaps in self-assessments. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55540 The Impact of Pensions and Insurance on Global View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 23 Feb 2015
  • Research & Ideas

How to Break the Expert’s Curse

brand-new doctors through life-or-death situations. "There's a huge learning curve in medicine, and teaching is highly variable in terms of training," Zhang says. "Some attending physicians really prioritize mentoring, while others think... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Education
  • 12 Jan 2016
  • First Look

January 12, 2016

theoretical and practical implications and suggest future directions. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50313 Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply By: Greenwood, Robin, Samuel... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 05 Aug 2015
  • What Do You Think?

What Happened to the ‘Innovation, Disruption, Technology’ Dividend?

expected productivity increases so critical to wage and economic growth haven't occurred, at least not in the US. We've waited for at least a decade for this new era of information innovation to yield dividends. Why haven't they? Which of... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett; Computer; Technology
  • 01 Sep 2009
  • First Look

First Look: September 1

forces. Download the paper from SSRN ($5): http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1413775 Repetition of Interaction and Learning: An Experimental Analysis Authors:Bradley R. Staats, Francesca Gino, and Gary P. Pisano Abstract The learning View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
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