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- 2017
- Article
Blunted Ambiguity Aversion During Cost-Benefit Decisions in Antisocial Individuals
By: Joshua W. Buckholtz, Uma R. Karmarkar, Shengxuan Ye, Grace M. Brennan and Arielle Baskin-Sommers
Antisocial behavior is often assumed to reflect aberrant risk processing. However, many of the most significant forms of antisocial behavior, including crime, reflect the outcomes of decisions made under conditions of ambiguity rather than risk. While risk and... View Details
Keywords: Ambiguity; Neuroscience; Neuroeconomics; Choice; Psychology; Decision Choice And Uncertainty; Behavior; Decision Choices and Conditions; Cost vs Benefits; Health Disorders
Buckholtz, Joshua W., Uma R. Karmarkar, Shengxuan Ye, Grace M. Brennan, and Arielle Baskin-Sommers. "Blunted Ambiguity Aversion During Cost-Benefit Decisions in Antisocial Individuals." Art. 2030. Scientific Reports 7 (2017).
- May 2000
- Article
Maxmin Expected Utility over Savage Acts with a Set of Priors
By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell, Peter Klibanoff and Emre Ozdenoren
This paper provides an axiomatic foundation for a maxmin expected utility over a set of priors (MMEU) decision rule in an environment where the elements of choice are Savage acts. This characterization complements the original axiomatizations of MMEU developed in a... View Details
Keywords: Uncertainty Aversion; Ambiguity; Expected Utility; Set Of Priors; Knightian Uncertainty; Decision Making; Game Theory; Risk and Uncertainty; Mathematical Methods
Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, Peter Klibanoff, and Emre Ozdenoren. "Maxmin Expected Utility over Savage Acts with a Set of Priors." Journal of Economic Theory 92, no. 1 (May 2000): 35–65.
- Article
Risk Aversion in Bargaining: An Experimental Study
By: J. K. Murnighan, A. E. Roth and F. Schoumaker
Murnighan, J. K., A. E. Roth, and F. Schoumaker. "Risk Aversion in Bargaining: An Experimental Study." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 1, no. 1 (March 1988): 101–124.
- November 2022
- Article
Opportunity Neglect: An Aversion to Low-probability Gains
By: Emily Prinsloo, Kate Barasz, Leslie K. John and Michael I. Norton
Seven preregistered studies (N = 2,890) conducted in the field, lab, and online document opportunity neglect: a tendency to reject opportunities with low probability of success, even when they come with little or no objective cost (e.g., time, money,... View Details
Prinsloo, Emily, Kate Barasz, Leslie K. John, and Michael I. Norton. "Opportunity Neglect: An Aversion to Low-probability Gains." Psychological Science 33, no. 11 (November 2022): 1857–1866.
- 2010
- Working Paper
On the Descriptive Value of Loss Aversion in Decisions under Risk
By: Eyal Ert and Ido Erev
Five studies are presented that explore the assertion that losses loom larger than gains. The first two studies reveal equal sensitivity to gains and losses. For example, half of the participants preferred the gamble "1000 with probability 0.5; -1000 otherwise"... View Details
Ert, Eyal, and Ido Erev. "On the Descriptive Value of Loss Aversion in Decisions under Risk." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-056, January 2010.
- 1981
- Chapter
Risk Aversion and Solutions to Nash's Bargaining Problem
By: R. Kihlstrom, A. E. Roth and D. Schmeidler
- September 1982
- Article
Risk Aversion and the Negotiation of Insurance Contracts
By: R. Kihlstrom and A. E. Roth
Kihlstrom, R., and A. E. Roth. "Risk Aversion and the Negotiation of Insurance Contracts." Journal of Risk and Insurance 49 (September 1982): 372–387.
- 2010
- Working Paper
Preference Intensities and Risk Aversion in School Choice: A Laboratory Experiment
By: Flip Klijn, Joana Pais and Marc Vorsatz
We experimentally investigate in the laboratory two prominent mechanisms that are employed in school choice programs to assign students to public schools. We study how individual behavior is influenced by preference intensities and risk aversion. Our main results show... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Education; Marketplace Matching; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavior; Personal Characteristics
Klijn, Flip, Joana Pais, and Marc Vorsatz. "Preference Intensities and Risk Aversion in School Choice: A Laboratory Experiment." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-093, April 2010.
- 1990
- Article
The Role of Arbitration Costs and Risk Aversion on Dispute Outcomes
By: H. S. Farber, M. A. Neale and M. H. Bazerman
Farber, H. S., M. A. Neale, and M. H. Bazerman. "The Role of Arbitration Costs and Risk Aversion on Dispute Outcomes." Industrial Relations 29 (1990): 361–384.
- Research Summary
Self-environment relationship and its effect on decisions under risk and uncertainty
My research seek to better understand the main cognitive and social abilities that guide our judgments, and the ways they interact with aspects of the situation to shape humans' decisions. It is currently comprised of three related... View Details
- May 1982
- Article
Risk Aversion and Nash's Solution for Bargaining Games with Risky Outcomes
By: A. E. Roth and U. Rothblum
Roth, A. E., and U. Rothblum. "Risk Aversion and Nash's Solution for Bargaining Games with Risky Outcomes." Econometrica 50, no. 3 (May 1982): 639–647.
- January 1985
- Article
A Note on Risk Aversion in a Perfect Equilibrium Model of Bargaining
By: A. E. Roth
Roth, A. E. "A Note on Risk Aversion in a Perfect Equilibrium Model of Bargaining." Econometrica 53, no. 1 (January 1985): 207–211.
- December 1989
- Article
Risk Aversion and the Relationship between Nash's Solution and Subgame Perfect Equilibrium of Sequential Bargaining
By: A. E. Roth
Roth, A. E. "Risk Aversion and the Relationship between Nash's Solution and Subgame Perfect Equilibrium of Sequential Bargaining." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 2, no. 4 (December 1989): 353–365.
- 2003
- Working Paper
The Risk Tolerance of International Investors
By: Kenneth A. Froot and Paul G. J. O'Connell
- 1990
- Working Paper
Short Rates and Expected Asset Returns
By: K. A. Froot
Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; Risk and Uncertainty; International Finance; Asset Pricing; Behavioral Finance
Froot, K. A. "Short Rates and Expected Asset Returns." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 3247, May 1990.
- 1987
- Working Paper
Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets
By: K. A. Froot
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over... View Details
- March 1995
- Article
Tests of Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market
By: C. Engel, J. Frankel, Kenneth A. Froot and T. Rodrigues
Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; CAPM; Capital Asset Pricing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Foreign Direct Investment; Behavioral Finance; United States
Engel, C., J. Frankel, Kenneth A. Froot, and T. Rodrigues. "Tests of Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market." Journal of Empirical Finance 2 (March 1995). (Revised from NBER Working Paper Nos. 2890, March 1989 and 4292, March 1993, "Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market," March 1993.)
- Article
Choice Architects Reveal a Bias Toward Positivity and Certainty
By: David P. Daniels and Julian Zlatev
Biases influence important decisions, but little is known about whether and how individuals try to exploit others’ biases in strategic interactions. Choice architects—that is, people who present choices to others—must often decide between presenting choice sets with... View Details
Keywords: Nudges; Biases; Strategic Decision Making; Social Influence; Choice Architects; Choice Architecture; Reflection Effect; Certainty Effect; Loss Aversion; Decision Making; Risk and Uncertainty; Power and Influence
Daniels, David P., and Julian Zlatev. "Choice Architects Reveal a Bias Toward Positivity and Certainty." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 151 (March 2019): 132–149.
- December 2010
- Article
Social Preferences and Strategic Uncertainty: An Experiment on Markets and Contracts
This paper reports a three-phase experiment on a stylized labor market. In the first two phases, agents face simple games, which we use to estimate subjects' social and reciprocity concerns. In the last phase, four principals compete by offering agents a contract from... View Details
Keywords: Strategy; Risk and Uncertainty; Markets; Contracts; Decisions; Distribution; Labor; Game Theory
Cabrales, Antonio, Raffaele Miniaci, Marco Piovesan, and Giovanni Ponti. "Social Preferences and Strategic Uncertainty: An Experiment on Markets and Contracts." American Economic Review 100, no. 5 (December 2010): 2261–2278.
- August 2016
- Article
Asymmetric Effects of Favorable and Unfavorable Information on Decision-making Under Ambiguity
By: Alexander Peysakhovich and Uma R. Karmarkar
Most daily decisions involve uncertainty about outcome probabilities arising from incomplete knowledge, i.e., ambiguity. We explore how the addition of partial information affects these types of choices using theoretical and empirical methods. Our experiments in both... View Details
Keywords: Ambiguity; Decision Making; Outcomes; Information; Decision Choices and Conditions; Outcome or Result
Peysakhovich, Alexander, and Uma R. Karmarkar. "Asymmetric Effects of Favorable and Unfavorable Information on Decision-making Under Ambiguity." Management Science 62, no. 8 (August 2016).