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      • Faculty Publications  (13)

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      • November 2023
      • Article

      A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam
      We develop a model in which specialized bond investors must absorb shocks to the supply and demand for long-term bonds in two currencies. Since long-term bonds and foreign exchange are both exposed to unexpected movements in short-term interest rates, a shift in the... View Details
      Keywords: Term Premium; Exchange Rate; Currency Exchange Rate; Bonds
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      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam. "A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 138, no. 4 (November 2023): 2327–2389.
      • August 2021
      • Article

      Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates

      By: Samuel G. Hanson, David O. Lucca and Jonathan H. Wright
      Long-term nominal interest rates are surprisingly sensitive to high-frequency (daily or monthly) movements in short-term rates. Since 2000, this high-frequency sensitivity has grown even stronger in U.S. data. By contrast, the association between low-frequency changes... View Details
      Keywords: Conundrum; Investor Demand; Monetary Policy Transmission; Interest Rates
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      Hanson, Samuel G., David O. Lucca, and Jonathan H. Wright. "Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 136, no. 3 (August 2021): 1719–1781.
      • October 2020 (Revised July 2023)
      • Case

      UCK Partners: Gong Cha

      By: Victoria Ivashina and Sangyun Lee
      In the Spring of 2017, Soomin Kim, Founding Partner of UCK Partners, and his team were debating the potential exit of UCK Partner’s investment in Gong Cha Korea, the sole local franchisor of the premium milk tea brand that they proprietarily sourced three years ago.... View Details
      Keywords: Exit; Strategic Decision Making; Private Equity; Investment; Strategy; Investment Return; Decision Making; Bids and Bidding
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      Ivashina, Victoria, and Sangyun Lee. "UCK Partners: Gong Cha." Harvard Business School Case 221-040, October 2020. (Revised July 2023.)
      • October 2019
      • Article

      Does Political Uncertainty Increase External Financing Costs? Measuring the Electoral Premium in Syndicated Lending

      By: Olivia S. Kim
      This article investigates the impact of political uncertainty on contractual lending terms using a large sample of syndicated loans and a within-firm estimation approach to achieve identification. Firms pay 7 basis points (bps) more on loans originated when their... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Political Elections; Financing and Loans; Developing Countries and Economies
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      Kim, Olivia S. "Does Political Uncertainty Increase External Financing Costs? Measuring the Electoral Premium in Syndicated Lending." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 54, no. 5 (October 2019): 2141–2178.
      • June 2018
      • Article

      The Fed, the Bond Market, and Gradualism in Monetary Policy

      By: Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam
      We develop a model of monetary policy with two key features: (i) the central bank has some private information about its long-run target for the policy rate, and (ii) the central bank is averse to bond-market volatility. In this setting, discretionary monetary policy... View Details
      Keywords: Central Banking; Interest Rates; Policy; Bonds; Financial Markets
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      Stein, Jeremy C., and Adi Sunderam. "The Fed, the Bond Market, and Gradualism in Monetary Policy." Journal of Finance 73, no. 3 (June 2018): 1015–1060.
      • November 2015 (Revised March 2018)
      • Case

      Air Products' Pursuit of Airgas (A)

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang, Paul M. Healy, Penelope Rossano and Kyle Thomas
      This case centers around the Air Products' hostile takeover attempt of Airgas in 2010. Air Products argued that its offer of a 38% premium is generous given Airgas' poor performance, which Air Products attributed to underperforming and entrenched managers at Airgas. On... View Details
      Keywords: Acquisition; Business and Shareholder Relations; Industrial Products Industry; Energy Industry; Chemical Industry
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      Wang, Charles C.Y., Paul M. Healy, Penelope Rossano, and Kyle Thomas. "Air Products' Pursuit of Airgas (A)." Harvard Business School Case 116-024, November 2015. (Revised March 2018.)
      • October 2015
      • Case

      Clearwater Seafoods

      By: Forest L. Reinhardt
      Clearwater sought to market value-added shellfish products in a traditionally commodities based industry, while facing supply uncertainties and regulatory, environmental, and foreign exchange challenges. Clearwater harvested lobsters, clams, scallops, shrimp, and other... View Details
      Keywords: Agribusiness; Profit; Goods and Commodities; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Product Marketing; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Environmental Sustainability; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Canada
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      Reinhardt, Forest L. "Clearwater Seafoods." Harvard Business School Case 716-023, October 2015.
      • June 2013
      • Case

      Olympic Rent-A-Car U.S.: Customer Loyalty Battles

      By: John Deighton and James T. Kindley
      The marketing and operations managers for Olympic Rent-A-Car meet to decide how to respond to changes in the loyalty rewards program at the market-leading competitor. The competitor's program gives awards based on dollars spent instead of days rented and eliminates... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Competitive Strategy; Marketing; Operations; Auto Industry; Service Industry
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      Deighton, John, and James T. Kindley. "Olympic Rent-A-Car U.S.: Customer Loyalty Battles." Harvard Business School Brief Case 913-568, June 2013.
      • 2013
      • Working Paper

      Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity

      By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
      Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence... View Details
      Keywords: Expectations Hypothesis; Term Structure; Real Interest Rate Risk; Inflation Risk; Inflation-Indexed Bonds; Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Liquidity; Bonds; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; United Kingdom; United States
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      Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-094, March 2011. (Revised September 2013.)
      • November 2010
      • Case

      Esquel Group: Building a Sustainable Partnership with Cotton Farmers in Xinjiang (A)

      By: James K. Sebenius and Jason Cheng Qian
      Esquel Group, leading manufacturer of quality shirts, sought to negotiate long-term partnerships with often-exploited farmers in Xinjiang (western China) to procure a superior cotton variety. Seeking to secure a large supply of specialty cotton in an ethical and... View Details
      Keywords: Contracts; Agreements and Arrangements; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Leasing; Business and Community Relations; Business and Government Relations; Partners and Partnerships; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Manufacturing Industry; Hong Kong; Xinjiang Uygur Zizhiqu
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      Sebenius, James K., and Jason Cheng Qian. "Esquel Group: Building a Sustainable Partnership with Cotton Farmers in Xinjiang (A)." Harvard Business School Case 911-031, November 2010.
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Equity Derivatives

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of these simulations is to understand the dynamic replication technique behind the Black-Scholes/Merton options model. The simulations focus on a single stock and a risk-free discount bond, which are used to replicate a contingent payoff. The underlying stock... View Details
      Keywords: Equity; Bonds; Stocks; Price; Risk Management
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Equity Derivatives." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-117, January 2008.
      • October 2007 (Revised February 2008)
      • Background Note

      Evaluating M&A Deals: Accretion vs. Dilution of Earnings-per-share

      By: Carliss Y. Baldwin
      When discussing the pros and cons of an acquisition, practitioners often talk about the impact of the deal on the buyer's earnings-per-share (eps). An acquisition is said to be "accretive" if the buyer's eps goes up post-deal; it is "dilutive" if the buyer's eps goes... View Details
      Keywords: Business Earnings; Mergers and Acquisitions; Private Equity; Negotiation Deal
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      Baldwin, Carliss Y. "Evaluating M&A Deals: Accretion vs. Dilution of Earnings-per-share." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-059, October 2007. (Revised February 2008.)
      • September 2005 (Revised April 2010)
      • Case

      Scharffen Berger Chocolate Maker (A)

      By: Daniel C. Snow, Steven C. Wheelwright and Alison Berkley Wagonfeld
      Scharffen Berger, a premium brand chocolate, is growing rapidly and must decide where and when to add capacity in the production line and with what technology. The company must consider the demands of marketing, the impact on quality and reputation, and the economics... View Details
      Keywords: Production; Business Processes; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Performance Capacity; Quality; Expansion
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      Snow, Daniel C., Steven C. Wheelwright, and Alison Berkley Wagonfeld. "Scharffen Berger Chocolate Maker (A)." Harvard Business School Case 606-043, September 2005. (Revised April 2010.)
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