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- Faculty Publications (4)
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- All HBS Web (20)
- Faculty Publications (4)
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- 2021
- Working Paper
Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight
By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that...
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Keywords:
Experience;
Interdependency;
Strategic Foresight;
Crowdfunding;
Timeline;
Delay;
Forecasting;
Entrepreneurship;
Learning;
Complexity;
Forecasting and Prediction;
Product Development;
Planning
Peterson, Aticus, and Andy Wu. "Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-123, January 2021. (Revised May 2021.)
- 2020
- Working Paper
Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty
By: J. Peter Scoblic
This paper proposes to treat strategic foresight as a dynamic capability, providing a new theoretical lens on managerial judgment. Formulating strategy under uncertainty is a central challenge facing the modern firm. Analogy is thought to help managers make sense of...
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Keywords:
Foresight;
Dynamic Capabilities;
Managerial Judgment;
Risk and Uncertainty;
Management;
Strategy
Scoblic, J. Peter. "Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-093, March 2020.
- December 2021
- Article
Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight
By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that...
View Details
Keywords:
Crowdfunding;
Experience;
Prediction;
Timeline;
Complexity;
Entrepreneurship;
Learning;
Experience and Expertise;
Forecasting and Prediction
Peterson, Aticus, and Andy Wu. "Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight." Art. 1. Strategic Management Journal 42, no. 13 (December 2021): 2357–2388. (Lead article.)
- 02 Apr 2020
- Working Paper Summaries
Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty
Keywords:
by J. Peter Scoblic
- 2008
- Other Unpublished Work
Punctuated Identities and the Careers of Professional Women
This paper proposes a punctuated equilibrium model of identity change to explain how professional women's career goals and attitudes can change rapidly and dramatically during mid-career years. Data collected from interviews of 43 women alumni of an elite business...
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- 06 Dec 2004
- What Do You Think?
Why Do Managers Fail to Act on Their Predictions?
Summing Up Respondents to the December column produced such a lengthy list of reasons why managers fail to act on their predictions that it is a wonder that organizations are ever able to respond with the foresight needed to avert...
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Keywords:
by James Heskett
- 31 Jan 2022
- Research & Ideas
Where Can Digital Transformation Take You? Insights from 1,700 Leaders
but also themselves. Everything is changing and technology is a key driver When we asked executives to join our roundtable conversations about “digital leadership,” they warned us that the term was too narrow: “leadership in the digital age” better describes the View Details
- 14 Feb 2022
- Research & Ideas
Curiosity, Not Coding: 6 Skills Leaders Need in the Digital Age
themselves. However, the qualities they need to develop aren’t the ones you might expect. You might think an organization in flux needs a steady hand, someone with foresight and experience who plots a sensible route to cautiously and...
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- 13 Nov 2019
- Research & Ideas
Don't Turn Your Marketing Function Over to AI Just Yet
Imagine a future in which a smart marketing machine can predict the needs and habits of individual consumers and the dynamics of competitors across industries and markets. This device would collect data to answer strategic questions,...
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Keywords:
by Kristen Senz
- 21 Nov 2006
- First Look
First Look: November 21, 2006
capital. Purchase this working paper from SSRN: http://papers.nber.org/papers/w12592 Cases & Course MaterialsFriendster (A) Harvard Business School Case 707-409 In January 2006, the president of Friendster needs to choose between two View Details
Keywords:
Sean Silverthorne
- 18 Sep 2007
- First Look
First Look: September 18, 2007
Underlying this change is a story of foresighted strategy and disciplined execution—of connecting knowing to doing. In strategic terms, the IBM transformation illustrates the ideas behind dynamic...
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Keywords:
Martha Lagace
- 13 Oct 2003
- Research & Ideas
How to Pick Managers for Disruptive Growth
eight months, and quickly established offices in Europe and Asia. Within a year it had announced forty strategic partnerships with companies such as Compaq, Hewlett-Packard, and Citibank. Pandesic executives boldly announced their first...
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Keywords:
by Michael Raynor