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  • 2021
  • Working Paper

Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight

By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that... View Details
Keywords: Experience; Interdependency; Strategic Foresight; Crowdfunding; Timeline; Delay; Forecasting; Entrepreneurship; Learning; Complexity; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Development; Planning
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  • 2020
  • Working Paper

Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty

By: J. Peter Scoblic
This paper proposes to treat strategic foresight as a dynamic capability, providing a new theoretical lens on managerial judgment. Formulating strategy under uncertainty is a central challenge facing the modern firm. Analogy is thought to help managers make sense of... View Details
Keywords: Foresight; Dynamic Capabilities; Managerial Judgment; Risk and Uncertainty; Management; Strategy
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  • December 2021
  • Article

Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight

By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that... View Details
Keywords: Crowdfunding; Experience; Prediction; Timeline; Complexity; Entrepreneurship; Learning; Experience and Expertise; Forecasting and Prediction
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  • 02 Apr 2020
  • Working Paper Summaries

Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty

Keywords: by J. Peter Scoblic
  • 2008
  • Other Unpublished Work

Punctuated Identities and the Careers of Professional Women

This paper proposes a punctuated equilibrium model of identity change to explain how professional women's career goals and attitudes can change rapidly and dramatically during mid-career years. Data collected from interviews of 43 women alumni of an elite business... View Details
Keywords: Work-Life Balance; Decision Choices and Conditions; Identity; Personal Development and Career; Gender
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  • 06 Dec 2004
  • What Do You Think?

Why Do Managers Fail to Act on Their Predictions?

Summing Up Respondents to the December column produced such a lengthy list of reasons why managers fail to act on their predictions that it is a wonder that organizations are ever able to respond with the foresight needed to avert... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 31 Jan 2022
  • Research & Ideas

Where Can Digital Transformation Take You? Insights from 1,700 Leaders

but also themselves. Everything is changing and technology is a key driver When we asked executives to join our roundtable conversations about “digital leadership,” they warned us that the term was too narrow: “leadership in the digital age” better describes the View Details
Keywords: by Linda A. Hill, Ann Le Cam, Sunand Menon, and Emily Tedards
  • 14 Feb 2022
  • Research & Ideas

Curiosity, Not Coding: 6 Skills Leaders Need in the Digital Age

themselves. However, the qualities they need to develop aren’t the ones you might expect. You might think an organization in flux needs a steady hand, someone with foresight and experience who plots a sensible route to cautiously and... View Details
Keywords: by Linda A. Hill, Ann Le Cam, Sunand Menon, and Emily Tedards; Technology
  • 13 Nov 2019
  • Research & Ideas

Don't Turn Your Marketing Function Over to AI Just Yet

Imagine a future in which a smart marketing machine can predict the needs and habits of individual consumers and the dynamics of competitors across industries and markets. This device would collect data to answer strategic questions,... View Details
Keywords: by Kristen Senz
  • 21 Nov 2006
  • First Look

First Look: November 21, 2006

capital. Purchase this working paper from SSRN: http://papers.nber.org/papers/w12592   Cases & Course MaterialsFriendster (A) Harvard Business School Case 707-409 In January 2006, the president of Friendster needs to choose between two View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Oct 2003
  • Research & Ideas

How to Pick Managers for Disruptive Growth

eight months, and quickly established offices in Europe and Asia. Within a year it had announced forty strategic partnerships with companies such as Compaq, Hewlett-Packard, and Citibank. Pandesic executives boldly announced their first... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Raynor
  • 18 Sep 2007
  • First Look

First Look: September 18, 2007

Underlying this change is a story of foresighted strategy and disciplined execution—of connecting knowing to doing. In strategic terms, the IBM transformation illustrates the ideas behind dynamic... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace

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